Earlier picks tend to deliver more wins. Draft position is less tied to impact per possession.
2009–2022 drafts · four seasons after selection. Estimated WAR: any NBA team. LEBRON rate: rated players only.
Reading the chartPick meanFit95% fit intervalPlayers · tap
2009–2022 drafts · four seasons after selection. Estimated WAR: any NBA team. LEBRON rate: rated players only.
Pick overview
Pick 1 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
14.70
Expected NBA minutes
9920
Observed at this pick: mean 17.60, median 18.48 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 13.42–16.02 four-season WAR; 9502–10349 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jae Crowder, 14.79 WAR and 6562 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Brandon Jennings
Drafted 2009, pick 10 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
14.54 (-0.16 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
10068 (+148 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Brandon Jennings’s four seasons
291 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.16. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
2671
82
2010–11
2169
63
2011–12
2331
66
2012–13
2897
80
Otto Porter Jr.
Drafted 2013, pick 3 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
14.80 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6632 (-3288 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Otto Porter Jr.’s four seasons
266 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 1.07. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
319
37
2014–15
1432
74
2015–16
2276
75
2016–17
2605
80
Jae Crowder
Drafted 2012, pick 34 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
14.79 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6562 (-3358 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Jae Crowder’s four seasons
311 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
1353
78
2013–14
1254
78
2014–15
1647
82
2015–16
2308
73
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Brandon Jennings · 2009, pick 10 (cross-slot): 14.54 four-season WAR (-0.16); 10068 minutes (+148). WAR and workload within support.
Otto Porter Jr. · 2013, pick 3 (cross-slot): 14.80 four-season WAR (+0.10); 6632 minutes (-3288). WAR only · workload outside support.
Jae Crowder · 2012, pick 34 (cross-slot): 14.79 four-season WAR (+0.09); 6562 minutes (-3358). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 2 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
12.30
Expected NBA minutes
8434
Observed at this pick: mean 7.70, median 5.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 11.30–13.37 four-season WAR; 8104–8765 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kristaps Porziņģis, 12.25 WAR and 5764 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Lonzo Ball
Drafted 2017, pick 2 · same slot 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
12.45 (+0.15 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6975 (-1459 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Lonzo Ball’s four seasons
217 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.36. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
1780
52
2018–19
1423
47
2019–20
2025
63
2020–21
1747
55
Malcolm Brogdon
Drafted 2016, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
12.38 (+0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6916 (-1518 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Malcolm Brogdon’s four seasons
241 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.41. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
1982
75
2017–18
1436
48
2018–19
1832
64
2019–20
1666
54
LaMelo Ball
Drafted 2020, pick 3 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
12.20 (-0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5870 (-2564 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect LaMelo Ball’s four seasons
184 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.85. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
1469
51
2021–22
2422
75
2022–23
1268
36
2023–24
711
22
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Lonzo Ball · 2017, pick 2 (same slot): 12.45 four-season WAR (+0.15); 6975 minutes (-1459). WAR and workload within support.
Malcolm Brogdon · 2016, pick 36 (cross-slot): 12.38 four-season WAR (+0.08); 6916 minutes (-1518). WAR and workload within support.
LaMelo Ball · 2020, pick 3 (cross-slot): 12.20 four-season WAR (-0.10); 5870 minutes (-2564). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 3 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
10.90
Expected NBA minutes
7565
Observed at this pick: mean 14.41, median 11.52 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 10.04–11.82 four-season WAR; 7286–7840 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Trey Murphy III, 10.93 WAR and 6856 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Trey Murphy III
Drafted 2021, pick 17 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
10.93 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6856 (-709 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Trey Murphy III’s four seasons
251 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.10. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
864
62
2022–23
2448
79
2023–24
1690
57
2024–25
1854
53
Jabari Smith Jr.
Drafted 2022, pick 3 · same slot 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
10.84 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
9296 (+1731 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jabari Smith Jr.’s four seasons
289 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.61. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
2451
79
2023–24
2424
76
2024–25
1716
57
2025–26
2705
77
Zion Williamson
Drafted 2019, pick 1 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
10.81 (-0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3650 (-3915 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Zion Williamson’s four seasons
114 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 2.22. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
668
24
2020–21
2026
61
2021–22
0
0
2022–23
956
29
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Trey Murphy III · 2021, pick 17 (cross-slot): 10.93 four-season WAR (+0.03); 6856 minutes (-709). WAR and workload within support.
Jabari Smith Jr. · 2022, pick 3 (same slot): 10.84 four-season WAR (-0.06); 9296 minutes (+1731). WAR and workload within support.
Zion Williamson · 2019, pick 1 (cross-slot): 10.81 four-season WAR (-0.09); 3650 minutes (-3915). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 4 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
9.90
Expected NBA minutes
6949
Observed at this pick: mean 8.22, median 9.51 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 9.14–10.74 four-season WAR; 6704–7188 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jusuf Nurkić, 9.91 WAR and 5129 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Gordon Hayward
Drafted 2010, pick 9 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
9.85 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
8137 (+1188 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Gordon Hayward’s four seasons
287 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.50. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
1218
72
2011–12
2015
66
2012–13
2104
72
2013–14
2800
77
Jusuf Nurkić
Drafted 2014, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2014-15 through 2017-18
Actual four-season WAR
9.91 (+0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5129 (-1820 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Jusuf Nurkić’s four seasons
238 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.58. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2014–15
1103
62
2015–16
547
32
2016–17
1391
65
2017–18
2088
79
Kyle Anderson
Drafted 2014, pick 30 · cross-slot example 2014-15 through 2017-18
Actual four-season WAR
9.99 (+0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4601 (-2348 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Kyle Anderson’s four seasons
257 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.95. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2014–15
358
33
2015–16
1245
78
2016–17
1020
72
2017–18
1978
74
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Gordon Hayward · 2010, pick 9 (cross-slot): 9.85 four-season WAR (-0.05); 8137 minutes (+1188). WAR and workload within support.
Jusuf Nurkić · 2014, pick 16 (cross-slot): 9.91 four-season WAR (+0.00); 5129 minutes (-1820). WAR only · workload outside support.
Kyle Anderson · 2014, pick 30 (cross-slot): 9.99 four-season WAR (+0.08); 4601 minutes (-2348). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 5 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
9.13
Expected NBA minutes
6470
Observed at this pick: mean 7.58, median 6.71 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 8.44–9.89 four-season WAR; 6248–6684 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Al-Farouq Aminu, 9.13 WAR and 7040 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Al-Farouq Aminu
Drafted 2010, pick 8 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
9.13 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
7040 (+570 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Al-Farouq Aminu’s four seasons
303 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.38. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
1452
81
2011–12
1477
66
2012–13
2066
76
2013–14
2045
80
Lance Stephenson
Drafted 2010, pick 40 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
9.11 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5587 (-883 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Lance Stephenson’s four seasons
210 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.12. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
115
12
2011–12
442
42
2012–13
2278
78
2013–14
2752
78
Deni Avdija
Drafted 2020, pick 9 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
9.15 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
7518 (+1048 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Deni Avdija’s four seasons
287 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.52. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
1257
54
2021–22
1984
82
2022–23
2020
76
2023–24
2257
75
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Al-Farouq Aminu · 2010, pick 8 (cross-slot): 9.13 four-season WAR (0.00); 7040 minutes (+570). WAR and workload within support.
Lance Stephenson · 2010, pick 40 (cross-slot): 9.11 four-season WAR (-0.02); 5587 minutes (-883). WAR and workload within support.
Deni Avdija · 2020, pick 9 (cross-slot): 9.15 four-season WAR (+0.02); 7518 minutes (+1048). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 6 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
8.50
Expected NBA minutes
6079
Observed at this pick: mean 8.16, median 6.45 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 7.87–9.20 four-season WAR; 5879–6272 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kevin Huerter, 8.51 WAR and 8122 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Landry Fields
Drafted 2010, pick 39 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
8.57 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5794 (-285 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Landry Fields’s four seasons
229 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.09. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
2541
82
2011–12
1894
66
2012–13
1037
51
2013–14
322
30
Andre Roberson
Drafted 2013, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
8.43 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5614 (-465 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Andre Roberson’s four seasons
256 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
399
40
2014–15
1286
67
2015–16
1553
70
2016–17
2376
79
Santi Aldama
Drafted 2021, pick 30 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
8.46 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5320 (-759 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Santi Aldama’s four seasons
235 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.10. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
360
32
2022–23
1682
77
2023–24
1618
61
2024–25
1660
65
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Landry Fields · 2010, pick 39 (cross-slot): 8.57 four-season WAR (+0.07); 5794 minutes (-285). WAR and workload within support.
Andre Roberson · 2013, pick 26 (cross-slot): 8.43 four-season WAR (-0.07); 5614 minutes (-465). WAR and workload within support.
Santi Aldama · 2021, pick 30 (cross-slot): 8.46 four-season WAR (-0.04); 5320 minutes (-759). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 7 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
7.97
Expected NBA minutes
5749
Observed at this pick: mean 7.54, median 5.57 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 7.39–8.61 four-season WAR; 5566–5926 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Mark Williams, 7.99 WAR and 3923 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jodie Meeks
Drafted 2009, pick 41 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
7.89 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6088 (+339 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jodie Meeks’s four seasons
278 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.36. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
719
60
2010–11
2062
74
2011–12
1644
66
2012–13
1663
78
Frank Kaminsky
Drafted 2015, pick 9 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
7.90 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6252 (+503 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Frank Kaminsky’s four seasons
282 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.42. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
1708
81
2016–17
1954
75
2017–18
1835
79
2018–19
755
47
Onyeka Okongwu
Drafted 2020, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
7.93 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4847 (-902 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Onyeka Okongwu’s four seasons
233 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.14. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
601
50
2021–22
992
48
2022–23
1849
80
2023–24
1405
55
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jodie Meeks · 2009, pick 41 (cross-slot): 7.89 four-season WAR (-0.08); 6088 minutes (+339). WAR and workload within support.
Frank Kaminsky · 2015, pick 9 (cross-slot): 7.90 four-season WAR (-0.07); 6252 minutes (+503). WAR and workload within support.
Onyeka Okongwu · 2020, pick 6 (cross-slot): 7.93 four-season WAR (-0.05); 4847 minutes (-902). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 8 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
7.51
Expected NBA minutes
5463
Observed at this pick: mean 6.98, median 6.25 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 6.98–8.10 four-season WAR; 5293–5629 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: OG Anunoby, 7.47 WAR and 6332 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
DeJuan Blair
Drafted 2009, pick 37 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
7.39 (-0.12 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5442 (-21 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect DeJuan Blair’s four seasons
288 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.27. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
1494
82
2010–11
1734
81
2011–12
1363
64
2012–13
851
61
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
Drafted 2015, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
7.44 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5530 (+67 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Rondae Hollis-Jefferson’s four seasons
234 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.31. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
615
29
2016–17
1761
78
2017–18
1920
68
2018–19
1234
59
OG Anunoby
Drafted 2017, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
7.47 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6332 (+869 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect OG Anunoby’s four seasons
253 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.55. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
1481
74
2018–19
1352
67
2019–20
2066
69
2020–21
1433
43
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
DeJuan Blair · 2009, pick 37 (cross-slot): 7.39 four-season WAR (-0.12); 5442 minutes (-21). WAR and workload within support.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson · 2015, pick 23 (cross-slot): 7.44 four-season WAR (-0.07); 5530 minutes (+67). WAR and workload within support.
OG Anunoby · 2017, pick 23 (cross-slot): 7.47 four-season WAR (-0.04); 6332 minutes (+869). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 9 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
7.10
Expected NBA minutes
5210
Observed at this pick: mean 7.15, median 3.72 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 6.60–7.66 four-season WAR; 5048–5370 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jonathan Isaac, 7.16 WAR and 3512 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Caris LeVert
Drafted 2016, pick 20 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
7.02 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5494 (+284 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Caris LeVert’s four seasons
213 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.39. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
1237
57
2017–18
1864
71
2018–19
1063
40
2019–20
1330
45
Monte Morris
Drafted 2017, pick 51 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
7.02 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4827 (-383 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Monte Morris’s four seasons
205 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.14. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
25
3
2018–19
1970
82
2019–20
1636
73
2020–21
1196
47
Devin Vassell
Drafted 2020, pick 11 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
6.97 (-0.13 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6419 (+1209 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Devin Vassell’s four seasons
239 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.72. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
1056
62
2021–22
1937
71
2022–23
1178
38
2023–24
2248
68
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Caris LeVert · 2016, pick 20 (cross-slot): 7.02 four-season WAR (-0.08); 5494 minutes (+284). WAR and workload within support.
Monte Morris · 2017, pick 51 (cross-slot): 7.02 four-season WAR (-0.08); 4827 minutes (-383). WAR and workload within support.
Devin Vassell · 2020, pick 11 (cross-slot): 6.97 four-season WAR (-0.13); 6419 minutes (+1209). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 10 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
6.74
Expected NBA minutes
4984
Observed at this pick: mean 8.01, median 4.12 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 6.27–7.27 four-season WAR; 4831–5136 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kelly Olynyk, 6.76 WAR and 5756 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Obi Toppin
Drafted 2020, pick 8 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
6.64 (-0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4693 (-291 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Obi Toppin’s four seasons
283 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.22. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
683
62
2021–22
1230
72
2022–23
1050
67
2023–24
1730
82
Kelly Olynyk
Drafted 2013, pick 13 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
6.76 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5756 (+772 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kelly Olynyk’s four seasons
278 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.54. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
1400
70
2014–15
1423
64
2015–16
1395
69
2016–17
1538
75
Quentin Grimes
Drafted 2021, pick 25 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
6.79 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5945 (+961 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Quentin Grimes’s four seasons
243 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.62. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
786
46
2022–23
2121
71
2023–24
1025
51
2024–25
2013
75
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Obi Toppin · 2020, pick 8 (cross-slot): 6.64 four-season WAR (-0.10); 4693 minutes (-291). WAR and workload within support.
Kelly Olynyk · 2013, pick 13 (cross-slot): 6.76 four-season WAR (+0.02); 5756 minutes (+772). WAR and workload within support.
Quentin Grimes · 2021, pick 25 (cross-slot): 6.79 four-season WAR (+0.05); 5945 minutes (+961). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 11 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
6.41
Expected NBA minutes
4780
Observed at this pick: mean 6.76, median 4.22 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 5.96–6.91 four-season WAR; 4634–4926 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Michael Porter Jr., 6.42 WAR and 3080 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Marquese Chriss
Drafted 2016, pick 8 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
6.34 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4965 (+185 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Marquese Chriss’s four seasons
256 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.40. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
1743
82
2017–18
1527
72
2018–19
499
43
2019–20
1196
59
Dejounte Murray
Drafted 2016, pick 29 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
6.33 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3752 (-1028 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Dejounte Murray’s four seasons
185 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.20. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
322
38
2017–18
1743
81
2018–19
0
0
2019–20
1687
66
Michael Porter Jr.
Drafted 2018, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
6.42 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3080 (-1700 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Michael Porter Jr.’s four seasons
125 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.84. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
0
0
2019–20
903
55
2020–21
1912
61
2021–22
265
9
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Marquese Chriss · 2016, pick 8 (cross-slot): 6.34 four-season WAR (-0.07); 4965 minutes (+185). WAR and workload within support.
Dejounte Murray · 2016, pick 29 (cross-slot): 6.33 four-season WAR (-0.08); 3752 minutes (-1028). WAR and workload within support.
Michael Porter Jr. · 2018, pick 14 (cross-slot): 6.42 four-season WAR (+0.01); 3080 minutes (-1700). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 12 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
6.11
Expected NBA minutes
4594
Observed at this pick: mean 6.86, median 5.11 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 5.68–6.58 four-season WAR; 4452–4734 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kris Dunn, 6.08 WAR and 5516 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jaxson Hayes
Drafted 2019, pick 8 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
6.15 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4052 (-542 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jaxson Hayes’s four seasons
241 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.04. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
1080
64
2020–21
964
60
2021–22
1398
70
2022–23
610
47
Terry Rozier
Drafted 2015, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
6.16 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5433 (+839 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Terry Rozier’s four seasons
272 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.62. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
311
39
2016–17
1263
74
2017–18
2068
80
2018–19
1791
79
Kris Dunn
Drafted 2016, pick 5 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
6.08 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5516 (+922 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kris Dunn’s four seasons
227 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.65. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
1333
78
2017–18
1525
52
2018–19
1389
46
2019–20
1269
51
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jaxson Hayes · 2019, pick 8 (cross-slot): 6.15 four-season WAR (+0.05); 4052 minutes (-542). WAR and workload within support.
Terry Rozier · 2015, pick 16 (cross-slot): 6.16 four-season WAR (+0.05); 5433 minutes (+839). WAR and workload within support.
Kris Dunn · 2016, pick 5 (cross-slot): 6.08 four-season WAR (-0.03); 5516 minutes (+922). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 13 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
5.83
Expected NBA minutes
4422
Observed at this pick: mean 5.57, median 2.57 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 5.42–6.27 four-season WAR; 4280–4558 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Cody Martin, 5.85 WAR and 3752 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Miles McBride
Drafted 2021, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
5.91 (+0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4053 (-369 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Miles McBride’s four seasons
236 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.13. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
372
40
2022–23
760
64
2023–24
1328
68
2024–25
1593
64
Cody Martin
Drafted 2019, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
5.85 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3752 (-670 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cody Martin’s four seasons
178 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.01. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
903
48
2020–21
849
52
2021–22
1866
71
2022–23
134
7
Nerlens Noel
Drafted 2013, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
5.75 (-0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5323 (+901 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Nerlens Noel’s four seasons
193 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.66. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
2311
75
2015–16
1965
67
2016–17
1047
51
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Miles McBride · 2021, pick 36 (cross-slot): 5.91 four-season WAR (+0.08); 4053 minutes (-369). WAR and workload within support.
Cody Martin · 2019, pick 36 (cross-slot): 5.85 four-season WAR (+0.02); 3752 minutes (-670). WAR and workload within support.
Nerlens Noel · 2013, pick 6 (cross-slot): 5.75 four-season WAR (-0.09); 5323 minutes (+901). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 14 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
5.57
Expected NBA minutes
4263
Observed at this pick: mean 4.44, median 4.13 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 5.19–5.99 four-season WAR; 4121–4399 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Toney Douglas, 5.54 WAR and 5003 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Terrence Jones
Drafted 2012, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
5.47 (-0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4287 (+24 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Terrence Jones’s four seasons
178 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.41. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
276
19
2013–14
2078
76
2014–15
889
33
2015–16
1044
50
Mo Bamba
Drafted 2018, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
5.45 (-0.13 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4193 (-70 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Mo Bamba’s four seasons
226 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.38. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
766
47
2019–20
878
62
2020–21
725
46
2021–22
1824
71
Jeremy Lamb
Drafted 2012, pick 12 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
5.51 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3545 (-718 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jeremy Lamb’s four seasons
214 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
147
23
2013–14
1538
78
2014–15
633
47
2015–16
1227
66
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Terrence Jones · 2012, pick 18 (cross-slot): 5.47 four-season WAR (-0.11); 4287 minutes (+24). WAR and workload within support.
Mo Bamba · 2018, pick 6 (cross-slot): 5.45 four-season WAR (-0.13); 4193 minutes (-70). WAR and workload within support.
Jeremy Lamb · 2012, pick 12 (cross-slot): 5.51 four-season WAR (-0.07); 3545 minutes (-718). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 15 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
5.34
Expected NBA minutes
4115
Observed at this pick: mean 6.70, median 3.44 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.97–5.73 four-season WAR; 3974–4248 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Miles Plumlee, 5.32 WAR and 4083 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Miles Plumlee
Drafted 2012, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
5.32 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4083 (-32 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Miles Plumlee’s four seasons
228 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.35. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
55
14
2013–14
1964
80
2014–15
1194
73
2015–16
870
61
Mo Bamba
Drafted 2018, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
5.45 (+0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4193 (+78 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Mo Bamba’s four seasons
226 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.38. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
766
47
2019–20
878
62
2020–21
725
46
2021–22
1824
71
Omri Casspi
Drafted 2009, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
5.43 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5477 (+1362 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Omri Casspi’s four seasons
256 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.79. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
1931
77
2010–11
1702
71
2011–12
1341
65
2012–13
503
43
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Miles Plumlee · 2012, pick 26 (cross-slot): 5.32 four-season WAR (-0.02); 4083 minutes (-32). WAR and workload within support.
Mo Bamba · 2018, pick 6 (cross-slot): 5.45 four-season WAR (+0.11); 4193 minutes (+78). WAR and workload within support.
Omri Casspi · 2009, pick 23 (cross-slot): 5.43 four-season WAR (+0.09); 5477 minutes (+1362). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 16 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
5.11
Expected NBA minutes
3977
Observed at this pick: mean 4.35, median 2.33 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.76–5.49 four-season WAR; 3835–4111 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Moses Moody, 5.09 WAR and 4229 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Moses Moody
Drafted 2021, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
5.09 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4229 (+252 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Moses Moody’s four seasons
255 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.54. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
607
52
2022–23
817
63
2023–24
1156
66
2024–25
1649
74
Ekpe Udoh
Drafted 2010, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
5.21 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4436 (+459 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ekpe Udoh’s four seasons
237 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.53. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
1030
58
2011–12
1290
61
2012–13
1312
76
2013–14
804
42
A.J. Price
Drafted 2009, pick 52 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
5.18 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3506 (-471 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect A.J. Price’s four seasons
207 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.09. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
865
56
2010–11
795
50
2011–12
568
44
2012–13
1278
57
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Moses Moody · 2021, pick 14 (cross-slot): 5.09 four-season WAR (-0.02); 4229 minutes (+252). WAR and workload within support.
Ekpe Udoh · 2010, pick 6 (cross-slot): 5.21 four-season WAR (+0.10); 4436 minutes (+459). WAR and workload within support.
A.J. Price · 2009, pick 52 (cross-slot): 5.18 four-season WAR (+0.07); 3506 minutes (-471). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 17 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.90
Expected NBA minutes
3847
Observed at this pick: mean 4.93, median 2.53 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.56–5.26 four-season WAR; 3703–3982 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Bobby Portis, 4.92 WAR and 5044 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Isaiah Joe
Drafted 2020, pick 49 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
4.86 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3832 (-15 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Isaiah Joe’s four seasons
247 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.41. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
383
41
2021–22
609
55
2022–23
1395
73
2023–24
1445
78
Grayson Allen
Drafted 2018, pick 21 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
4.85 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4198 (+351 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Grayson Allen’s four seasons
192 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.61. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
416
38
2019–20
718
38
2020–21
1259
50
2021–22
1805
66
Jalen Smith
Drafted 2020, pick 10 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
4.97 (+0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3407 (-440 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jalen Smith’s four seasons
207 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.14. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
156
27
2021–22
925
51
2022–23
1279
68
2023–24
1047
61
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Isaiah Joe · 2020, pick 49 (cross-slot): 4.86 four-season WAR (-0.05); 3832 minutes (-15). WAR and workload within support.
Grayson Allen · 2018, pick 21 (cross-slot): 4.85 four-season WAR (-0.06); 4198 minutes (+351). WAR and workload within support.
Jalen Smith · 2020, pick 10 (cross-slot): 4.97 four-season WAR (+0.06); 3407 minutes (-440). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 18 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.71
Expected NBA minutes
3724
Observed at this pick: mean 3.61, median 2.12 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.38–5.05 four-season WAR; 3580–3859 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Aaron Nesmith, 4.67 WAR and 5054 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Richaun Holmes
Drafted 2015, pick 37 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
4.63 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3825 (+101 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Richaun Holmes’s four seasons
226 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.50. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
702
51
2016–17
1193
57
2017–18
746
48
2018–19
1184
70
Aaron Nesmith
Drafted 2020, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
4.67 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5054 (+1330 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Aaron Nesmith’s four seasons
243 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.97. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
669
46
2021–22
574
52
2022–23
1816
73
2023–24
1995
72
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Drafted 2015, pick 15 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
4.82 (+0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
6442 (+2718 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Kelly Oubre Jr.’s four seasons
292 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.18. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
671
63
2016–17
1605
79
2017–18
2231
81
2018–19
1935
69
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Richaun Holmes · 2015, pick 37 (cross-slot): 4.63 four-season WAR (-0.08); 3825 minutes (+101). WAR and workload within support.
Aaron Nesmith · 2020, pick 14 (cross-slot): 4.67 four-season WAR (-0.03); 5054 minutes (+1330). WAR and workload within support.
Kelly Oubre Jr. · 2015, pick 15 (cross-slot): 4.82 four-season WAR (+0.11); 6442 minutes (+2718). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 19 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.52
Expected NBA minutes
3608
Observed at this pick: mean 5.17, median 3.33 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.20–4.85 four-season WAR; 3462–3745 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: T.J. Warren, 4.55 WAR and 5874 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Richaun Holmes
Drafted 2015, pick 37 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
4.63 (+0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3825 (+217 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Richaun Holmes’s four seasons
226 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.50. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
702
51
2016–17
1193
57
2017–18
746
48
2018–19
1184
70
T.J. Warren
Drafted 2014, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2014-15 through 2017-18
Actual four-season WAR
4.55 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5874 (+2266 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect T.J. Warren’s four seasons
218 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.13. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2014–15
614
40
2015–16
1070
47
2016–17
2048
66
2017–18
2142
65
Jalen Green
Drafted 2021, pick 2 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
4.64 (+0.13 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
10038 (+6430 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Jalen Green’s four seasons
307 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.72. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
2138
67
2022–23
2602
76
2023–24
2601
82
2024–25
2697
82
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Richaun Holmes · 2015, pick 37 (cross-slot): 4.63 four-season WAR (+0.11); 3825 minutes (+217). WAR and workload within support.
T.J. Warren · 2014, pick 14 (cross-slot): 4.55 four-season WAR (+0.03); 5874 minutes (+2266). WAR only · workload outside support.
Jalen Green · 2021, pick 2 (cross-slot): 4.64 four-season WAR (+0.13); 10038 minutes (+6430). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 20 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.34
Expected NBA minutes
3499
Observed at this pick: mean 3.83, median 3.90 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 4.03–4.66 four-season WAR; 3348–3637 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Rodrigue Beaubois, 4.36 WAR and 2896 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Kyle O'Quinn
Drafted 2012, pick 49 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
4.28 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3414 (-85 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kyle O'Quinn’s four seasons
242 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.42. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
638
57
2013–14
1188
69
2014–15
824
51
2015–16
764
65
Rodrigue Beaubois
Drafted 2009, pick 25 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
4.36 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2896 (-603 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Rodrigue Beaubois’s four seasons
182 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.08. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
700
56
2010–11
496
28
2011–12
1151
53
2012–13
549
45
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Kyle O'Quinn · 2012, pick 49 (cross-slot): 4.28 four-season WAR (-0.06); 3414 minutes (-85). WAR and workload within support.
Rodrigue Beaubois · 2009, pick 25 (cross-slot): 4.36 four-season WAR (+0.02); 2896 minutes (-603). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 21 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.17
Expected NBA minutes
3394
Observed at this pick: mean 4.98, median 3.95 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.88–4.49 four-season WAR; 3241–3532 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jerian Grant, 4.18 WAR and 4918 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Isaiah Jackson
Drafted 2021, pick 22 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
4.19 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2438 (-956 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Isaiah Jackson’s four seasons
164 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.28. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
541
36
2022–23
1042
63
2023–24
771
60
2024–25
84
5
John Henson
Drafted 2012, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
4.13 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4871 (+1477 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect John Henson’s four seasons
257 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.01. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
827
63
2013–14
1856
70
2014–15
1228
67
2015–16
960
57
Jerian Grant
Drafted 2015, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
4.18 (+0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4918 (+1524 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jerian Grant’s four seasons
273 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.04. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
1265
76
2016–17
1028
63
2017–18
1686
74
2018–19
939
60
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Isaiah Jackson · 2021, pick 22 (cross-slot): 4.19 four-season WAR (+0.02); 2438 minutes (-956). WAR and workload within support.
John Henson · 2012, pick 14 (cross-slot): 4.13 four-season WAR (-0.04); 4871 minutes (+1477). WAR and workload within support.
Jerian Grant · 2015, pick 19 (cross-slot): 4.18 four-season WAR (+0.00); 4918 minutes (+1524). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 22 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
4.01
Expected NBA minutes
3294
Observed at this pick: mean 5.37, median 2.39 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.72–4.31 four-season WAR; 3137–3434 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Terrence Ross, 4.00 WAR and 7237 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Marvin Bagley III
Drafted 2018, pick 2 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
3.93 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4166 (+872 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Marvin Bagley III’s four seasons
166 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.93. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
1567
62
2019–20
334
13
2020–21
1112
43
2021–22
1153
48
Talen Horton-Tucker
Drafted 2019, pick 46 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
4.05 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4209 (+915 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Talen Horton-Tucker’s four seasons
196 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.91. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
81
6
2020–21
1304
65
2021–22
1511
60
2022–23
1313
65
Precious Achiuwa
Drafted 2020, pick 20 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
4.11 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
5226 (+1932 vs fitted)
WAR only · workload outside support
Inspect Precious Achiuwa’s four seasons
263 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.19. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
737
61
2021–22
1725
73
2022–23
1140
55
2023–24
1624
74
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Marvin Bagley III · 2018, pick 2 (cross-slot): 3.93 four-season WAR (-0.08); 4166 minutes (+872). WAR and workload within support.
Talen Horton-Tucker · 2019, pick 46 (cross-slot): 4.05 four-season WAR (+0.03); 4209 minutes (+915). WAR and workload within support.
Precious Achiuwa · 2020, pick 20 (cross-slot): 4.11 four-season WAR (+0.10); 5226 minutes (+1932). WAR only · workload outside support.
Pick 23 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.86
Expected NBA minutes
3199
Observed at this pick: mean 3.14, median 2.99 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.58–4.15 four-season WAR; 3039–3340 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Bones Hyland, 3.89 WAR and 3174 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Bones Hyland
Drafted 2021, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
3.89 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3174 (-25 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Bones Hyland’s four seasons
186 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.50. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
1310
69
2022–23
1085
56
2023–24
540
37
2024–25
239
24
Marvin Bagley III
Drafted 2018, pick 2 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
3.93 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4166 (+967 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Marvin Bagley III’s four seasons
166 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.93. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
1567
62
2019–20
334
13
2020–21
1112
43
2021–22
1153
48
Josh Green
Drafted 2020, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
3.73 (-0.13 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4528 (+1329 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Josh Green’s four seasons
223 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.13. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
445
39
2021–22
1039
67
2022–23
1539
60
2023–24
1505
57
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Bones Hyland · 2021, pick 26 (cross-slot): 3.89 four-season WAR (+0.03); 3174 minutes (-25). WAR and workload within support.
Marvin Bagley III · 2018, pick 2 (cross-slot): 3.93 four-season WAR (+0.07); 4166 minutes (+967). WAR and workload within support.
Josh Green · 2020, pick 18 (cross-slot): 3.73 four-season WAR (-0.13); 4528 minutes (+1329). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 24 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.71
Expected NBA minutes
3108
Observed at this pick: mean 1.92, median 0.24 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.44–4.00 four-season WAR; 2945–3249 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Goga Bitadze, 3.70 WAR and 2218 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Moritz Wagner
Drafted 2018, pick 25 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
3.64 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2963 (-145 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Moritz Wagner’s four seasons
196 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.48. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
446
43
2019–20
835
45
2020–21
722
45
2021–22
960
63
Goga Bitadze
Drafted 2019, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
3.70 (-0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2218 (-890 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Goga Bitadze’s four seasons
187 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.20. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
471
54
2020–21
561
45
2021–22
729
50
2022–23
457
38
Mike Scott
Drafted 2012, pick 43 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
3.64 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
4127 (+1019 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Mike Scott’s four seasons
263 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.97. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
376
40
2013–14
1482
80
2014–15
1123
68
2015–16
1146
75
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Moritz Wagner · 2018, pick 25 (cross-slot): 3.64 four-season WAR (-0.07); 2963 minutes (-145). WAR and workload within support.
Goga Bitadze · 2019, pick 18 (cross-slot): 3.70 four-season WAR (-0.01); 2218 minutes (-890). WAR and workload within support.
Mike Scott · 2012, pick 43 (cross-slot): 3.64 four-season WAR (-0.07); 4127 minutes (+1019). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 25 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.57
Expected NBA minutes
3020
Observed at this pick: mean 3.16, median 0.90 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.31–3.85 four-season WAR; 2856–3165 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Gui Santos, 3.58 WAR and 2349 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Nikola Jović
Drafted 2022, pick 27 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
3.52 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3064 (+44 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Nikola Jović’s four seasons
154 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.64. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
204
15
2023–24
896
46
2024–25
1156
46
2025–26
808
47
Moritz Wagner
Drafted 2018, pick 25 · same slot 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
3.64 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2963 (-57 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Moritz Wagner’s four seasons
196 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.48. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
446
43
2019–20
835
45
2020–21
722
45
2021–22
960
63
Ryan Rollins
Drafted 2022, pick 44 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
3.52 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3336 (+316 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ryan Rollins’s four seasons
155 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.77. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
62
12
2023–24
78
13
2024–25
820
56
2025–26
2376
74
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Nikola Jović · 2022, pick 27 (cross-slot): 3.52 four-season WAR (-0.05); 3064 minutes (+44). WAR and workload within support.
Moritz Wagner · 2018, pick 25 (same slot): 3.64 four-season WAR (+0.07); 2963 minutes (-57). WAR and workload within support.
Ryan Rollins · 2022, pick 44 (cross-slot): 3.52 four-season WAR (-0.06); 3336 minutes (+316). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 26 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.44
Expected NBA minutes
2936
Observed at this pick: mean 3.43, median 1.41 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.18–3.71 four-season WAR; 2768–3083 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Evan Turner, 3.45 WAR and 8859 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Nikola Jović
Drafted 2022, pick 27 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
3.52 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3064 (+128 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Nikola Jović’s four seasons
154 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.64. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
204
15
2023–24
896
46
2024–25
1156
46
2025–26
808
47
Ryan Kelly
Drafted 2013, pick 48 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
3.35 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3125 (+189 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ryan Kelly’s four seasons
163 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.68. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
1312
59
2014–15
1233
52
2015–16
470
36
2016–17
110
16
Willy Hernangómez
Drafted 2015, pick 35 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
3.34 (-0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2631 (-305 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Willy Hernangómez’s four seasons
178 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.40. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
1324
72
2017–18
495
48
2018–19
812
58
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Nikola Jović · 2022, pick 27 (cross-slot): 3.52 four-season WAR (+0.09); 3064 minutes (+128). WAR and workload within support.
Ryan Kelly · 2013, pick 48 (cross-slot): 3.35 four-season WAR (-0.08); 3125 minutes (+189). WAR and workload within support.
Willy Hernangómez · 2015, pick 35 (cross-slot): 3.34 four-season WAR (-0.09); 2631 minutes (-305). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 27 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.31
Expected NBA minutes
2855
Observed at this pick: mean 6.35, median 3.18 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 3.05–3.58 four-season WAR; 2684–3005 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Shake Milton, 3.31 WAR and 3713 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Willy Hernangómez
Drafted 2015, pick 35 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
3.34 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2631 (-224 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Willy Hernangómez’s four seasons
178 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.40. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
1324
72
2017–18
495
48
2018–19
812
58
Ryan Kelly
Drafted 2013, pick 48 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
3.35 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3125 (+270 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ryan Kelly’s four seasons
163 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.68. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
1312
59
2014–15
1233
52
2015–16
470
36
2016–17
110
16
Thon Maker
Drafted 2016, pick 10 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
3.28 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3548 (+693 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Thon Maker’s four seasons
255 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.95. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
562
57
2017–18
1238
74
2018–19
972
64
2019–20
776
60
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Willy Hernangómez · 2015, pick 35 (cross-slot): 3.34 four-season WAR (+0.04); 2631 minutes (-224). WAR and workload within support.
Ryan Kelly · 2013, pick 48 (cross-slot): 3.35 four-season WAR (+0.05); 3125 minutes (+270). WAR and workload within support.
Thon Maker · 2016, pick 10 (cross-slot): 3.28 four-season WAR (-0.03); 3548 minutes (+693). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 28 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.18
Expected NBA minutes
2777
Observed at this pick: mean 1.70, median 0.81 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.92–3.45 four-season WAR; 2602–2930 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Cam Thomas, 3.18 WAR and 4980 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Sam Dekker
Drafted 2015, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
3.16 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3096 (+319 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sam Dekker’s four seasons
200 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.78. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
6
3
2016–17
1419
77
2017–18
883
73
2018–19
788
47
Jevon Carter
Drafted 2018, pick 32 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
3.11 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3144 (+367 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jevon Carter’s four seasons
223 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.84. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
577
39
2019–20
945
58
2020–21
717
60
2021–22
905
66
Thon Maker
Drafted 2016, pick 10 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
3.28 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3548 (+771 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Thon Maker’s four seasons
255 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.95. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
562
57
2017–18
1238
74
2018–19
972
64
2019–20
776
60
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Sam Dekker · 2015, pick 18 (cross-slot): 3.16 four-season WAR (-0.02); 3096 minutes (+319). WAR and workload within support.
Jevon Carter · 2018, pick 32 (cross-slot): 3.11 four-season WAR (-0.07); 3144 minutes (+367). WAR and workload within support.
Thon Maker · 2016, pick 10 (cross-slot): 3.28 four-season WAR (+0.10); 3548 minutes (+771). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 29 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
3.06
Expected NBA minutes
2702
Observed at this pick: mean 3.13, median 1.34 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.81–3.33 four-season WAR; 2526–2857 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jordan Bell, 3.06 WAR and 1935 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Justin Anderson
Drafted 2015, pick 21 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
3.06 (+0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2857 (+155 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Justin Anderson’s four seasons
216 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.72. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
647
55
2016–17
1228
75
2017–18
519
38
2018–19
463
48
Mike Muscala
Drafted 2013, pick 44 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
3.03 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2519 (-183 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Mike Muscala’s four seasons
190 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.49. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
215
20
2014–15
502
40
2015–16
565
60
2016–17
1237
70
Sam Dekker
Drafted 2015, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
3.16 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3096 (+394 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sam Dekker’s four seasons
200 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.78. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
6
3
2016–17
1419
77
2017–18
883
73
2018–19
788
47
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Justin Anderson · 2015, pick 21 (cross-slot): 3.06 four-season WAR (+0.00); 2857 minutes (+155). WAR and workload within support.
Mike Muscala · 2013, pick 44 (cross-slot): 3.03 four-season WAR (-0.02); 2519 minutes (-183). WAR and workload within support.
Sam Dekker · 2015, pick 18 (cross-slot): 3.16 four-season WAR (+0.10); 3096 minutes (+394). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 30 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.94
Expected NBA minutes
2629
Observed at this pick: mean 5.09, median 2.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.69–3.21 four-season WAR; 2449–2787 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Gerald Henderson, 2.94 WAR and 5980 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Mike Muscala
Drafted 2013, pick 44 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
3.03 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2519 (-110 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Mike Muscala’s four seasons
190 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.49. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
215
20
2014–15
502
40
2015–16
565
60
2016–17
1237
70
Markelle Fultz
Drafted 2017, pick 1 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
2.85 (-0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2891 (+262 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Markelle Fultz’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.86. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
253
14
2018–19
427
19
2019–20
1996
72
2020–21
215
8
Andrew Harrison
Drafted 2015, pick 44 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
2.95 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2987 (+358 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Andrew Harrison’s four seasons
145 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.83. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
1474
72
2017–18
1326
56
2018–19
187
17
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Mike Muscala · 2013, pick 44 (cross-slot): 3.03 four-season WAR (+0.09); 2519 minutes (-110). WAR and workload within support.
Markelle Fultz · 2017, pick 1 (cross-slot): 2.85 four-season WAR (-0.09); 2891 minutes (+262). WAR and workload within support.
Andrew Harrison · 2015, pick 44 (cross-slot): 2.95 four-season WAR (+0.01); 2987 minutes (+358). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 31 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.83
Expected NBA minutes
2559
Observed at this pick: mean 1.28, median 0.12 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.57–3.09 four-season WAR; 2376–2720 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Markelle Fultz, 2.85 WAR and 2891 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Vince Williams Jr.
Drafted 2022, pick 47 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
2.76 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2860 (+301 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Vince Williams Jr.’s four seasons
134 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.92. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
105
15
2023–24
1436
52
2024–25
499
27
2025–26
820
40
Markelle Fultz
Drafted 2017, pick 1 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
2.85 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2891 (+332 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Markelle Fultz’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.86. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
253
14
2018–19
427
19
2019–20
1996
72
2020–21
215
8
Jeremy Evans
Drafted 2010, pick 55 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
2.85 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2104 (-455 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jeremy Evans’s four seasons
181 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.26. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
463
49
2011–12
217
29
2012–13
215
37
2013–14
1209
66
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Vince Williams Jr. · 2022, pick 47 (cross-slot): 2.76 four-season WAR (-0.06); 2860 minutes (+301). WAR and workload within support.
Markelle Fultz · 2017, pick 1 (cross-slot): 2.85 four-season WAR (+0.02); 2891 minutes (+332). WAR and workload within support.
Jeremy Evans · 2010, pick 55 (cross-slot): 2.85 four-season WAR (+0.03); 2104 minutes (-455). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 32 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.72
Expected NBA minutes
2491
Observed at this pick: mean 1.60, median 0.20 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.46–2.98 four-season WAR; 2304–2655 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Will Barton, 2.73 WAR and 4617 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Vince Williams Jr.
Drafted 2022, pick 47 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
2.76 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2860 (+369 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Vince Williams Jr.’s four seasons
134 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.92. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
105
15
2023–24
1436
52
2024–25
499
27
2025–26
820
40
Pat Connaughton
Drafted 2015, pick 41 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
2.78 (+0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3208 (+717 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Pat Connaughton’s four seasons
216 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.99. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
143
34
2016–17
316
39
2017–18
1488
82
2018–19
1261
61
Noah Vonleh
Drafted 2014, pick 9 · cross-slot example 2014-15 through 2017-18
Actual four-season WAR
2.69 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3573 (+1082 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Noah Vonleh’s four seasons
231 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.17. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2014–15
259
25
2015–16
1174
78
2016–17
1265
74
2017–18
875
54
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Vince Williams Jr. · 2022, pick 47 (cross-slot): 2.76 four-season WAR (+0.05); 2860 minutes (+369). WAR and workload within support.
Pat Connaughton · 2015, pick 41 (cross-slot): 2.78 four-season WAR (+0.06); 3208 minutes (+717). WAR and workload within support.
Noah Vonleh · 2014, pick 9 (cross-slot): 2.69 four-season WAR (-0.03); 3573 minutes (+1082). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 33 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.61
Expected NBA minutes
2425
Observed at this pick: mean 1.89, median 0.67 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.35–2.88 four-season WAR; 2234–2590 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Hasheem Thabeet, 2.61 WAR and 2165 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Hasheem Thabeet
Drafted 2009, pick 2 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
2.61 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2165 (-260 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Hasheem Thabeet’s four seasons
201 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.49. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
883
68
2010–11
373
47
2011–12
139
20
2012–13
770
66
Noah Vonleh
Drafted 2014, pick 9 · cross-slot example 2014-15 through 2017-18
Actual four-season WAR
2.69 (+0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3573 (+1148 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Noah Vonleh’s four seasons
231 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.17. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2014–15
259
25
2015–16
1174
78
2016–17
1265
74
2017–18
875
54
Malik Beasley
Drafted 2016, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
2.57 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3836 (+1411 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Malik Beasley’s four seasons
220 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.33. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
165
22
2017–18
583
62
2018–19
1879
81
2019–20
1209
55
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Hasheem Thabeet · 2009, pick 2 (cross-slot): 2.61 four-season WAR (0.00); 2165 minutes (-260). WAR and workload within support.
Noah Vonleh · 2014, pick 9 (cross-slot): 2.69 four-season WAR (+0.08); 3573 minutes (+1148). WAR and workload within support.
Malik Beasley · 2016, pick 19 (cross-slot): 2.57 four-season WAR (-0.04); 3836 minutes (+1411). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 34 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.51
Expected NBA minutes
2361
Observed at this pick: mean 2.93, median 0.42 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.25–2.78 four-season WAR; 2167–2529 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Chuma Okeke, 2.51 WAR and 3400 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Isaac Bonga
Drafted 2018, pick 39 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
2.48 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1871 (-490 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Isaac Bonga’s four seasons
143 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.36. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
120
22
2019–20
1250
66
2020–21
432
40
2021–22
69
15
Chuma Okeke
Drafted 2019, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
2.51 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3400 (+1039 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Chuma Okeke’s four seasons
142 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.25. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
1133
45
2021–22
1749
70
2022–23
518
27
Svi Mykhailiuk
Drafted 2018, pick 47 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
2.49 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
3745 (+1384 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Svi Mykhailiuk’s four seasons
220 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.36. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
440
42
2019–20
1265
56
2020–21
1324
66
2021–22
716
56
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Isaac Bonga · 2018, pick 39 (cross-slot): 2.48 four-season WAR (-0.03); 1871 minutes (-490). WAR and workload within support.
Chuma Okeke · 2019, pick 16 (cross-slot): 2.51 four-season WAR (0.00); 3400 minutes (+1039). WAR and workload within support.
Svi Mykhailiuk · 2018, pick 47 (cross-slot): 2.49 four-season WAR (-0.02); 3745 minutes (+1384). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 35 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.41
Expected NBA minutes
2299
Observed at this pick: mean 4.15, median 0.16 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.15–2.68 four-season WAR; 2100–2468 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Ayo Dosunmu, 2.41 WAR and 7814 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jared Butler
Drafted 2021, pick 40 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
2.37 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2047 (-252 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jared Butler’s four seasons
148 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.60. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
360
42
2022–23
77
6
2023–24
566
40
2024–25
1044
60
Isaac Bonga
Drafted 2018, pick 39 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
2.48 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1871 (-428 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Isaac Bonga’s four seasons
143 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.36. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
120
22
2019–20
1250
66
2020–21
432
40
2021–22
69
15
Nate Wolters
Drafted 2013, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
2.37 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1556 (-743 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Nate Wolters’s four seasons
79 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
1309
58
2014–15
247
21
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jared Butler · 2021, pick 40 (cross-slot): 2.37 four-season WAR (-0.04); 2047 minutes (-252). WAR and workload within support.
Isaac Bonga · 2018, pick 39 (cross-slot): 2.48 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1871 minutes (-428). WAR and workload within support.
Nate Wolters · 2013, pick 38 (cross-slot): 2.37 four-season WAR (-0.04); 1556 minutes (-743). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 36 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.31
Expected NBA minutes
2239
Observed at this pick: mean 2.90, median 0.60 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 2.05–2.58 four-season WAR; 2037–2410 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Alex Len, 2.31 WAR and 5261 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Festus Ezeli
Drafted 2012, pick 30 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
2.27 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2394 (+155 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Festus Ezeli’s four seasons
170 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.86. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
1120
78
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
504
46
2015–16
770
46
Jared Butler
Drafted 2021, pick 40 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
2.37 (+0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2047 (-192 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jared Butler’s four seasons
148 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.60. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
360
42
2022–23
77
6
2023–24
566
40
2024–25
1044
60
Nate Wolters
Drafted 2013, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
2.37 (+0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1556 (-683 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Nate Wolters’s four seasons
79 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
1309
58
2014–15
247
21
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Festus Ezeli · 2012, pick 30 (cross-slot): 2.27 four-season WAR (-0.04); 2394 minutes (+155). WAR and workload within support.
Jared Butler · 2021, pick 40 (cross-slot): 2.37 four-season WAR (+0.06); 2047 minutes (-192). WAR and workload within support.
Nate Wolters · 2013, pick 38 (cross-slot): 2.37 four-season WAR (+0.06); 1556 minutes (-683). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 37 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.22
Expected NBA minutes
2180
Observed at this pick: mean 1.38, median 0.09 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.95–2.49 four-season WAR; 1976–2353 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Tony Bradley, 2.20 WAR and 1412 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Chimezie Metu
Drafted 2018, pick 49 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
2.20 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2017 (-163 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Chimezie Metu’s four seasons
143 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.71. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
145
29
2019–20
105
18
2020–21
488
36
2021–22
1279
60
Festus Ezeli
Drafted 2012, pick 30 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
2.27 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2394 (+214 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Festus Ezeli’s four seasons
170 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.86. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
1120
78
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
504
46
2015–16
770
46
Dalen Terry
Drafted 2022, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
2.19 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2433 (+253 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Dalen Terry’s four seasons
218 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.03. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
214
38
2023–24
681
59
2024–25
987
73
2025–26
551
48
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Chimezie Metu · 2018, pick 49 (cross-slot): 2.20 four-season WAR (-0.02); 2017 minutes (-163). WAR and workload within support.
Festus Ezeli · 2012, pick 30 (cross-slot): 2.27 four-season WAR (+0.05); 2394 minutes (+214). WAR and workload within support.
Dalen Terry · 2022, pick 18 (cross-slot): 2.19 four-season WAR (-0.02); 2433 minutes (+253). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 38 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.12
Expected NBA minutes
2123
Observed at this pick: mean 3.53, median 1.50 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.86–2.40 four-season WAR; 1918–2299 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Thomas Robinson, 2.14 WAR and 3644 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Chimezie Metu
Drafted 2018, pick 49 · cross-slot example 2018-19 through 2021-22
Actual four-season WAR
2.20 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2017 (-106 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Chimezie Metu’s four seasons
143 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.71. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2018–19
145
29
2019–20
105
18
2020–21
488
36
2021–22
1279
60
Dalen Terry
Drafted 2022, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
2.19 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2433 (+310 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Dalen Terry’s four seasons
218 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.03. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
214
38
2023–24
681
59
2024–25
987
73
2025–26
551
48
Cameron Payne
Drafted 2015, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
2.06 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2454 (+331 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cameron Payne’s four seasons
153 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
698
57
2016–17
462
31
2017–18
582
25
2018–19
712
40
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Chimezie Metu · 2018, pick 49 (cross-slot): 2.20 four-season WAR (+0.07); 2017 minutes (-106). WAR and workload within support.
Dalen Terry · 2022, pick 18 (cross-slot): 2.19 four-season WAR (+0.07); 2433 minutes (+310). WAR and workload within support.
Cameron Payne · 2015, pick 14 (cross-slot): 2.06 four-season WAR (-0.06); 2454 minutes (+331). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 39 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
2.03
Expected NBA minutes
2067
Observed at this pick: mean 3.29, median 1.37 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.77–2.32 four-season WAR; 1860–2245 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jabari Walker, 2.02 WAR and 3830 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Saben Lee
Drafted 2020, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
1.96 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1943 (-124 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Saben Lee’s four seasons
134 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.82. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
781
48
2021–22
604
37
2022–23
373
25
2023–24
185
24
Cameron Payne
Drafted 2015, pick 14 · cross-slot example 2015-16 through 2018-19
Actual four-season WAR
2.06 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2454 (+387 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cameron Payne’s four seasons
153 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2015–16
698
57
2016–17
462
31
2017–18
582
25
2018–19
712
40
Chris Singleton
Drafted 2011, pick 18 · cross-slot example 2011-12 through 2014-15
Actual four-season WAR
2.06 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2605 (+538 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Chris Singleton’s four seasons
148 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.09. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2011–12
1431
66
2012–13
924
57
2013–14
250
25
2014–15
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Saben Lee · 2020, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.96 four-season WAR (-0.08); 1943 minutes (-124). WAR and workload within support.
Cameron Payne · 2015, pick 14 (cross-slot): 2.06 four-season WAR (+0.03); 2454 minutes (+387). WAR and workload within support.
Chris Singleton · 2011, pick 18 (cross-slot): 2.06 four-season WAR (+0.02); 2605 minutes (+538). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 40 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.95
Expected NBA minutes
2013
Observed at this pick: mean 2.05, median 0.33 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.68–2.23 four-season WAR; 1804–2193 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Charles Bassey, 1.94 WAR and 1257 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Saben Lee
Drafted 2020, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
1.96 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1943 (-70 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Saben Lee’s four seasons
134 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.82. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
781
48
2021–22
604
37
2022–23
373
25
2023–24
185
24
Ty Jerome
Drafted 2019, pick 24 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
1.96 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2733 (+720 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ty Jerome’s four seasons
157 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
328
31
2020–21
788
33
2021–22
801
48
2022–23
816
45
Charles Bassey
Drafted 2021, pick 53 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
1.94 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1257 (-756 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Charles Bassey’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: 0.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
168
23
2022–23
508
35
2023–24
205
19
2024–25
376
36
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Saben Lee · 2020, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.96 four-season WAR (+0.01); 1943 minutes (-70). WAR and workload within support.
Ty Jerome · 2019, pick 24 (cross-slot): 1.96 four-season WAR (+0.01); 2733 minutes (+720). WAR and workload within support.
Charles Bassey · 2021, pick 53 (cross-slot): 1.94 four-season WAR (0.00); 1257 minutes (-756). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 41 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.86
Expected NBA minutes
1960
Observed at this pick: mean 3.81, median 0.47 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.59–2.15 four-season WAR; 1748–2142 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kevin Porter Jr., 1.88 WAR and 5928 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Saben Lee
Drafted 2020, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
1.96 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1943 (-17 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Saben Lee’s four seasons
134 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.82. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
781
48
2021–22
604
37
2022–23
373
25
2023–24
185
24
Cheick Diallo
Drafted 2016, pick 33 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.78 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2155 (+195 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cheick Diallo’s four seasons
180 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.09. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
199
17
2017–18
581
52
2018–19
896
64
2019–20
479
47
Jan Veselý
Drafted 2011, pick 6 · cross-slot example 2011-12 through 2014-15
Actual four-season WAR
1.80 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2455 (+495 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jan Veselý’s four seasons
162 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.17. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2011–12
1078
57
2012–13
601
51
2013–14
776
54
2014–15
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Saben Lee · 2020, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.96 four-season WAR (+0.10); 1943 minutes (-17). WAR and workload within support.
Cheick Diallo · 2016, pick 33 (cross-slot): 1.78 four-season WAR (-0.08); 2155 minutes (+195). WAR and workload within support.
Jan Veselý · 2011, pick 6 (cross-slot): 1.80 four-season WAR (-0.06); 2455 minutes (+495). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 42 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.78
Expected NBA minutes
1908
Observed at this pick: mean 1.04, median 0.01 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.50–2.07 four-season WAR; 1693–2092 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Cheick Diallo, 1.78 WAR and 2155 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Luke Babbitt
Drafted 2010, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
1.72 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1877 (-31 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Luke Babbitt’s four seasons
153 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.93. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
137
24
2011–12
537
40
2012–13
730
62
2013–14
473
27
Cheick Diallo
Drafted 2016, pick 33 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.78 (+0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
2155 (+247 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cheick Diallo’s four seasons
180 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.09. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
199
17
2017–18
581
52
2018–19
896
64
2019–20
479
47
Christian Koloko
Drafted 2022, pick 33 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
1.72 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1501 (-407 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Christian Koloko’s four seasons
122 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.63. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
802
58
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
342
37
2025–26
357
27
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Luke Babbitt · 2010, pick 16 (cross-slot): 1.72 four-season WAR (-0.06); 1877 minutes (-31). WAR and workload within support.
Cheick Diallo · 2016, pick 33 (cross-slot): 1.78 four-season WAR (+0.00); 2155 minutes (+247). WAR and workload within support.
Christian Koloko · 2022, pick 33 (cross-slot): 1.72 four-season WAR (-0.05); 1501 minutes (-407). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 43 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.70
Expected NBA minutes
1858
Observed at this pick: mean 1.68, median 0.24 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.41–2.00 four-season WAR; 1641–2043 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Mario Hezonja, 1.70 WAR and 5236 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Luke Babbitt
Drafted 2010, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
1.72 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1877 (+19 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Luke Babbitt’s four seasons
153 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.93. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
137
24
2011–12
537
40
2012–13
730
62
2013–14
473
27
Bol Bol
Drafted 2019, pick 44 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
1.65 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1833 (-25 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Bol Bol’s four seasons
123 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
87
7
2020–21
160
32
2021–22
81
14
2022–23
1505
70
D.J. Wilson
Drafted 2017, pick 17 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.67 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1749 (-109 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect D.J. Wilson’s four seasons
142 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.91. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
71
22
2018–19
882
48
2019–20
363
37
2020–21
433
35
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Luke Babbitt · 2010, pick 16 (cross-slot): 1.72 four-season WAR (+0.02); 1877 minutes (+19). WAR and workload within support.
Bol Bol · 2019, pick 44 (cross-slot): 1.65 four-season WAR (-0.05); 1833 minutes (-25). WAR and workload within support.
D.J. Wilson · 2017, pick 17 (cross-slot): 1.67 four-season WAR (-0.03); 1749 minutes (-109). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 44 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.62
Expected NBA minutes
1808
Observed at this pick: mean 1.52, median 1.11 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.33–1.92 four-season WAR; 1589–1996 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Bol Bol, 1.65 WAR and 1833 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jordan Hamilton
Drafted 2011, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2011-12 through 2014-15
Actual four-season WAR
1.58 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1796 (-12 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jordan Hamilton’s four seasons
140 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.98. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2011–12
258
26
2012–13
397
40
2013–14
1019
60
2014–15
122
14
Bol Bol
Drafted 2019, pick 44 · same slot 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
1.65 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1833 (+25 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Bol Bol’s four seasons
123 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.02. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
87
7
2020–21
160
32
2021–22
81
14
2022–23
1505
70
Raul Neto
Drafted 2013, pick 47 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
1.58 (-0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1845 (+37 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Raul Neto’s four seasons
121 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.01. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
1499
81
2016–17
346
40
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jordan Hamilton · 2011, pick 26 (cross-slot): 1.58 four-season WAR (-0.04); 1796 minutes (-12). WAR and workload within support.
Bol Bol · 2019, pick 44 (same slot): 1.65 four-season WAR (+0.03); 1833 minutes (+25). WAR and workload within support.
Raul Neto · 2013, pick 47 (cross-slot): 1.58 four-season WAR (-0.04); 1845 minutes (+37). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 45 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.54
Expected NBA minutes
1760
Observed at this pick: mean 1.28, median 0.65 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.25–1.85 four-season WAR; 1537–1950 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Zach Collins, 1.54 WAR and 2691 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jordan Hamilton
Drafted 2011, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2011-12 through 2014-15
Actual four-season WAR
1.58 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1796 (+36 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jordan Hamilton’s four seasons
140 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.98. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2011–12
258
26
2012–13
397
40
2013–14
1019
60
2014–15
122
14
Karlo Matković
Drafted 2022, pick 52 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
1.49 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1703 (-57 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Karlo Matković’s four seasons
104 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.05. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
0
0
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
791
42
2025–26
912
62
Raul Neto
Drafted 2013, pick 47 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
1.58 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1845 (+85 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Raul Neto’s four seasons
121 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.01. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
1499
81
2016–17
346
40
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jordan Hamilton · 2011, pick 26 (cross-slot): 1.58 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1796 minutes (+36). WAR and workload within support.
Karlo Matković · 2022, pick 52 (cross-slot): 1.49 four-season WAR (-0.05); 1703 minutes (-57). WAR and workload within support.
Raul Neto · 2013, pick 47 (cross-slot): 1.58 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1845 minutes (+85). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 46 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.46
Expected NBA minutes
1713
Observed at this pick: mean 2.36, median 1.17 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.17–1.77 four-season WAR; 1488–1905 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Frank Mason III, 1.46 WAR and 1616 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Karlo Matković
Drafted 2022, pick 52 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
1.49 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1703 (-10 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Karlo Matković’s four seasons
104 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.05. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
0
0
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
791
42
2025–26
912
62
Frank Mason III
Drafted 2017, pick 34 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.46 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1616 (-97 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Frank Mason III’s four seasons
103 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.96. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
984
52
2018–19
435
38
2019–20
118
9
2020–21
79
4
Bruno Fernando
Drafted 2019, pick 34 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
1.37 (-0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1496 (-217 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Bruno Fernando’s four seasons
158 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.97. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
713
56
2020–21
226
33
2021–22
152
30
2022–23
405
39
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Karlo Matković · 2022, pick 52 (cross-slot): 1.49 four-season WAR (+0.03); 1703 minutes (-10). WAR and workload within support.
Frank Mason III · 2017, pick 34 (cross-slot): 1.46 four-season WAR (0.00); 1616 minutes (-97). WAR and workload within support.
Bruno Fernando · 2019, pick 34 (cross-slot): 1.37 four-season WAR (-0.09); 1496 minutes (-217). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 47 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.39
Expected NBA minutes
1667
Observed at this pick: mean 0.64, median 0.03 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.09–1.70 four-season WAR; 1440–1860 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Sterling Brown, 1.39 WAR and 3806 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Frank Mason III
Drafted 2017, pick 34 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.46 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1616 (-51 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Frank Mason III’s four seasons
103 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.96. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
984
52
2018–19
435
38
2019–20
118
9
2020–21
79
4
Kira Lewis Jr.
Drafted 2020, pick 13 · cross-slot example 2020-21 through 2023-24
Actual four-season WAR
1.33 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1745 (+78 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kira Lewis Jr.’s four seasons
131 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.22. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2020–21
904
54
2021–22
341
24
2022–23
235
25
2023–24
265
28
Georges Niang
Drafted 2016, pick 50 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.33 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1564 (-103 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Georges Niang’s four seasons
157 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
93
23
2017–18
32
9
2018–19
516
59
2019–20
923
66
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Frank Mason III · 2017, pick 34 (cross-slot): 1.46 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1616 minutes (-51). WAR and workload within support.
Kira Lewis Jr. · 2020, pick 13 (cross-slot): 1.33 four-season WAR (-0.06); 1745 minutes (+78). WAR and workload within support.
Georges Niang · 2016, pick 50 (cross-slot): 1.33 four-season WAR (-0.06); 1564 minutes (-103). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 48 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.32
Expected NBA minutes
1622
Observed at this pick: mean 0.93, median 0.11 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 1.02–1.63 four-season WAR; 1392–1817 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Kira Lewis Jr., 1.33 WAR and 1745 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Georges Niang
Drafted 2016, pick 50 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.33 (+0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1564 (-58 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Georges Niang’s four seasons
157 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
93
23
2017–18
32
9
2018–19
516
59
2019–20
923
66
Sindarius Thornwell
Drafted 2017, pick 48 · same slot 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.28 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1721 (+99 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sindarius Thornwell’s four seasons
160 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.21. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
1156
73
2018–19
313
64
2019–20
35
2
2020–21
217
21
Ante Žižić
Drafted 2016, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.29 (-0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1517 (-105 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ante Žižić’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.05. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
0
0
2017–18
214
32
2018–19
1082
59
2019–20
221
22
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Georges Niang · 2016, pick 50 (cross-slot): 1.33 four-season WAR (+0.02); 1564 minutes (-58). WAR and workload within support.
Sindarius Thornwell · 2017, pick 48 (same slot): 1.28 four-season WAR (-0.03); 1721 minutes (+99). WAR and workload within support.
Ante Žižić · 2016, pick 23 (cross-slot): 1.29 four-season WAR (-0.03); 1517 minutes (-105). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 49 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.25
Expected NBA minutes
1578
Observed at this pick: mean 0.85, median 0.05 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.95–1.56 four-season WAR; 1345–1776 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: P.J. Hairston, 1.25 WAR and 2000 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Georges Niang
Drafted 2016, pick 50 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.33 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1564 (-14 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Georges Niang’s four seasons
157 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.06. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
93
23
2017–18
32
9
2018–19
516
59
2019–20
923
66
Ante Žižić
Drafted 2016, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.29 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1517 (-61 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ante Žižić’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.05. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
0
0
2017–18
214
32
2018–19
1082
59
2019–20
221
22
Sindarius Thornwell
Drafted 2017, pick 48 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.28 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1721 (+143 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sindarius Thornwell’s four seasons
160 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.21. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
1156
73
2018–19
313
64
2019–20
35
2
2020–21
217
21
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Georges Niang · 2016, pick 50 (cross-slot): 1.33 four-season WAR (+0.09); 1564 minutes (-14). WAR and workload within support.
Ante Žižić · 2016, pick 23 (cross-slot): 1.29 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1517 minutes (-61). WAR and workload within support.
Sindarius Thornwell · 2017, pick 48 (cross-slot): 1.28 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1721 minutes (+143). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 50 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.18
Expected NBA minutes
1534
Observed at this pick: mean 0.67, median 0.11 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.87–1.50 four-season WAR; 1299–1734 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Patrick Baldwin Jr., 1.19 WAR and 928 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Ante Žižić
Drafted 2016, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2016-17 through 2019-20
Actual four-season WAR
1.29 (+0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1517 (-17 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ante Žižić’s four seasons
113 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.05. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2016–17
0
0
2017–18
214
32
2018–19
1082
59
2019–20
221
22
Sindarius Thornwell
Drafted 2017, pick 48 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
1.28 (+0.11 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1721 (+187 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sindarius Thornwell’s four seasons
160 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.21. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
1156
73
2018–19
313
64
2019–20
35
2
2020–21
217
21
Patty Mills
Drafted 2009, pick 55 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
1.26 (+0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1738 (+204 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Patty Mills’s four seasons
148 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.19. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
38
10
2010–11
783
64
2011–12
261
16
2012–13
656
58
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Ante Žižić · 2016, pick 23 (cross-slot): 1.29 four-season WAR (+0.11); 1517 minutes (-17). WAR and workload within support.
Sindarius Thornwell · 2017, pick 48 (cross-slot): 1.28 four-season WAR (+0.11); 1721 minutes (+187). WAR and workload within support.
Patty Mills · 2009, pick 55 (cross-slot): 1.26 four-season WAR (+0.08); 1738 minutes (+204). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 51 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.11
Expected NBA minutes
1492
Observed at this pick: mean 0.69, median 0.00 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.80–1.44 four-season WAR; 1254–1694 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Lorenzo Brown, 1.11 WAR and 834 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Jon Brockman
Drafted 2009, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
1.04 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1570 (+78 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jon Brockman’s four seasons
150 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
654
52
2010–11
677
63
2011–12
239
35
2012–13
0
0
Usman Garuba
Drafted 2021, pick 23 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
1.15 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1228 (-264 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Usman Garuba’s four seasons
105 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.96. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
240
24
2022–23
970
75
2023–24
18
6
2024–25
0
0
Cole Aldrich
Drafted 2010, pick 11 · cross-slot example 2010-11 through 2013-14
Actual four-season WAR
1.20 (+0.10 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1033 (-459 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Cole Aldrich’s four seasons
135 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.58. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2010–11
142
18
2011–12
173
26
2012–13
388
45
2013–14
330
46
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Jon Brockman · 2009, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.04 four-season WAR (-0.07); 1570 minutes (+78). WAR and workload within support.
Usman Garuba · 2021, pick 23 (cross-slot): 1.15 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1228 minutes (-264). WAR and workload within support.
Cole Aldrich · 2010, pick 11 (cross-slot): 1.20 four-season WAR (+0.10); 1033 minutes (-459). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 52 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
1.04
Expected NBA minutes
1450
Observed at this pick: mean 1.03, median 0.42 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.73–1.37 four-season WAR; 1209–1655 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jon Brockman, 1.04 WAR and 1570 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Darius Miller
Drafted 2012, pick 46 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.96 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1460 (+10 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Darius Miller’s four seasons
102 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
694
52
2013–14
723
45
2014–15
43
5
2015–16
0
0
Jon Brockman
Drafted 2009, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
1.04 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1570 (+120 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jon Brockman’s four seasons
150 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
654
52
2010–11
677
63
2011–12
239
35
2012–13
0
0
Lorenzo Brown
Drafted 2013, pick 52 · same slot 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
1.11 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
834 (-616 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Lorenzo Brown’s four seasons
63 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
224
26
2014–15
549
29
2015–16
61
8
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Darius Miller · 2012, pick 46 (cross-slot): 0.96 four-season WAR (-0.08); 1460 minutes (+10). WAR and workload within support.
Jon Brockman · 2009, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.04 four-season WAR (0.00); 1570 minutes (+120). WAR and workload within support.
Lorenzo Brown · 2013, pick 52 (same slot): 1.11 four-season WAR (+0.07); 834 minutes (-616). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 53 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.97
Expected NBA minutes
1409
Observed at this pick: mean 0.28, median 0.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.66–1.31 four-season WAR; 1166–1617 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Darius Miller, 0.96 WAR and 1460 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Darius Miller
Drafted 2012, pick 46 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.96 (-0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1460 (+51 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Darius Miller’s four seasons
102 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
694
52
2013–14
723
45
2014–15
43
5
2015–16
0
0
Jon Brockman
Drafted 2009, pick 38 · cross-slot example 2009-10 through 2012-13
Actual four-season WAR
1.04 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1570 (+161 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Jon Brockman’s four seasons
150 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2009–10
654
52
2010–11
677
63
2011–12
239
35
2012–13
0
0
Luka Garza
Drafted 2021, pick 52 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
0.89 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
973 (-436 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Luka Garza’s four seasons
124 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -0.98. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
389
32
2022–23
243
28
2023–24
122
25
2024–25
219
39
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Darius Miller · 2012, pick 46 (cross-slot): 0.96 four-season WAR (-0.01); 1460 minutes (+51). WAR and workload within support.
Jon Brockman · 2009, pick 38 (cross-slot): 1.04 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1570 minutes (+161). WAR and workload within support.
Luka Garza · 2021, pick 52 (cross-slot): 0.89 four-season WAR (-0.08); 973 minutes (-436). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 54 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.91
Expected NBA minutes
1369
Observed at this pick: mean 0.56, median 0.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.59–1.25 four-season WAR; 1124–1580 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Luka Garza, 0.89 WAR and 973 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Darius Miller
Drafted 2012, pick 46 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.96 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1460 (+91 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Darius Miller’s four seasons
102 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
694
52
2013–14
723
45
2014–15
43
5
2015–16
0
0
Ivan Rabb
Drafted 2017, pick 35 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
0.86 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1237 (-132 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ivan Rabb’s four seasons
85 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
516
36
2018–19
721
49
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
0
0
Sergey Karasev
Drafted 2013, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
0.85 (-0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1110 (-259 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sergey Karasev’s four seasons
95 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.15. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
156
22
2014–15
555
33
2015–16
399
40
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Darius Miller · 2012, pick 46 (cross-slot): 0.96 four-season WAR (+0.05); 1460 minutes (+91). WAR and workload within support.
Ivan Rabb · 2017, pick 35 (cross-slot): 0.86 four-season WAR (-0.05); 1237 minutes (-132). WAR and workload within support.
Sergey Karasev · 2013, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.85 four-season WAR (-0.06); 1110 minutes (-259). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 55 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.85
Expected NBA minutes
1330
Observed at this pick: mean 1.05, median 0.22 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.52–1.19 four-season WAR; 1082–1543 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Sergey Karasev, 0.85 WAR and 1110 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Robbie Hummel
Drafted 2012, pick 58 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.77 (-0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1397 (+67 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Robbie Hummel’s four seasons
98 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.44. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
0
0
2013–14
655
53
2014–15
742
45
2015–16
0
0
Ivan Rabb
Drafted 2017, pick 35 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
0.86 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1237 (-93 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ivan Rabb’s four seasons
85 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
516
36
2018–19
721
49
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
0
0
Sergey Karasev
Drafted 2013, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
0.85 (0.00 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1110 (-220 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sergey Karasev’s four seasons
95 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.15. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
156
22
2014–15
555
33
2015–16
399
40
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Robbie Hummel · 2012, pick 58 (cross-slot): 0.77 four-season WAR (-0.07); 1397 minutes (+67). WAR and workload within support.
Ivan Rabb · 2017, pick 35 (cross-slot): 0.86 four-season WAR (+0.01); 1237 minutes (-93). WAR and workload within support.
Sergey Karasev · 2013, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.85 four-season WAR (0.00); 1110 minutes (-220). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 56 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.78
Expected NBA minutes
1291
Observed at this pick: mean 0.11, median 0.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
The fitted WAR target exceeds this slot’s observed range (0.00–0.45). The illustration comes from the broader draft library.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.45–1.13 four-season WAR; 1041–1506 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Frank Ntilikina, 0.78 WAR and 4119 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Ivan Rabb
Drafted 2017, pick 35 · cross-slot example 2017-18 through 2020-21
Actual four-season WAR
0.86 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1237 (-54 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Ivan Rabb’s four seasons
85 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.29. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2017–18
516
36
2018–19
721
49
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
0
0
Robbie Hummel
Drafted 2012, pick 58 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.77 (-0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1397 (+106 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Robbie Hummel’s four seasons
98 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.44. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
0
0
2013–14
655
53
2014–15
742
45
2015–16
0
0
Sergey Karasev
Drafted 2013, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
0.85 (+0.06 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1110 (-181 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Sergey Karasev’s four seasons
95 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.15. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
156
22
2014–15
555
33
2015–16
399
40
2016–17
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Ivan Rabb · 2017, pick 35 (cross-slot): 0.86 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1237 minutes (-54). WAR and workload within support.
Robbie Hummel · 2012, pick 58 (cross-slot): 0.77 four-season WAR (-0.01); 1397 minutes (+106). WAR and workload within support.
Sergey Karasev · 2013, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.85 four-season WAR (+0.06); 1110 minutes (-181). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 57 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.72
Expected NBA minutes
1253
Observed at this pick: mean 0.18, median 0.00 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.39–1.08 four-season WAR; 1002–1470 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Bernard James, 0.72 WAR and 761 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Robbie Hummel
Drafted 2012, pick 58 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.77 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1397 (+144 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Robbie Hummel’s four seasons
98 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.44. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
0
0
2013–14
655
53
2014–15
742
45
2015–16
0
0
Álex Abrines
Drafted 2013, pick 32 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
0.75 (+0.03 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1055 (-198 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Álex Abrines’s four seasons
68 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.25. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
1055
68
AJ Griffin
Drafted 2022, pick 16 · cross-slot example 2022-23 through 2025-26
Actual four-season WAR
0.79 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1572 (+319 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect AJ Griffin’s four seasons
92 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.65. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2022–23
1401
72
2023–24
171
20
2024–25
0
0
2025–26
0
0
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Robbie Hummel · 2012, pick 58 (cross-slot): 0.77 four-season WAR (+0.05); 1397 minutes (+144). WAR and workload within support.
Álex Abrines · 2013, pick 32 (cross-slot): 0.75 four-season WAR (+0.03); 1055 minutes (-198). WAR and workload within support.
AJ Griffin · 2022, pick 16 (cross-slot): 0.79 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1572 minutes (+319). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 58 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.66
Expected NBA minutes
1216
Observed at this pick: mean 0.53, median 0.01 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.32–1.02 four-season WAR; 962–1436 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Jordan Hill, 0.66 WAR and 2758 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Orlando Johnson
Drafted 2012, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.61 (-0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1112 (-104 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Orlando Johnson’s four seasons
103 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.45. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
619
51
2013–14
392
45
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
101
7
Kai Jones
Drafted 2021, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
0.58 (-0.08 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1081 (-135 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kai Jones’s four seasons
107 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.59. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
63
21
2022–23
550
46
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
468
40
Álex Abrines
Drafted 2013, pick 32 · cross-slot example 2013-14 through 2016-17
Actual four-season WAR
0.75 (+0.09 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1055 (-161 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Álex Abrines’s four seasons
68 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.25. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2013–14
0
0
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
0
0
2016–17
1055
68
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Orlando Johnson · 2012, pick 36 (cross-slot): 0.61 four-season WAR (-0.05); 1112 minutes (-104). WAR and workload within support.
Kai Jones · 2021, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.58 four-season WAR (-0.08); 1081 minutes (-135). WAR and workload within support.
Álex Abrines · 2013, pick 32 (cross-slot): 0.75 four-season WAR (+0.09); 1055 minutes (-161). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 59 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.60
Expected NBA minutes
1180
Observed at this pick: mean 0.05, median 0.00 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
The fitted WAR target exceeds this slot’s observed range (0.00–0.44). The illustration comes from the broader draft library.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.26–0.97 four-season WAR; 923–1402 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Quincy Miller, 0.60 WAR and 934 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Orlando Johnson
Drafted 2012, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.61 (+0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1112 (-68 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Orlando Johnson’s four seasons
103 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.45. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
619
51
2013–14
392
45
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
101
7
Kai Jones
Drafted 2021, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
0.58 (-0.02 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1081 (-99 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kai Jones’s four seasons
107 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.59. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
63
21
2022–23
550
46
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
468
40
Dylan Windler
Drafted 2019, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
0.59 (-0.01 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
982 (-198 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Dylan Windler’s four seasons
84 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.45. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
513
31
2021–22
459
50
2022–23
10
3
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Orlando Johnson · 2012, pick 36 (cross-slot): 0.61 four-season WAR (+0.01); 1112 minutes (-68). WAR and workload within support.
Kai Jones · 2021, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.58 four-season WAR (-0.02); 1081 minutes (-99). WAR and workload within support.
Dylan Windler · 2019, pick 26 (cross-slot): 0.59 four-season WAR (-0.01); 982 minutes (-198). WAR and workload within support.
Pick 60 → a real player near the fitted outcome
Past four-season production, not a prediction or playing-style match.
Modeled pick outcome
Expected four-season WAR (wins above replacement)
0.55
Expected NBA minutes
1143
Observed at this pick: mean 1.77, median 0.07 four-season WAR. These differ from the fitted target.
Target uncertainty and selection
95% mean-target intervals: 0.20–0.91 four-season WAR; 885–1368 minutes. These condition on the selected curve. They are not an individual outcome range or a probability of becoming this player; the selected name can change with the target.
The approved method keeps WAR close to the fitted target, then considers fitted workload inside its support rules. The library has 828 complete historical outcomes, including nonparticipants; 10 unresolved windows are excluded. Unsupported WAR abstains. Supported WAR with unsupported workload falls back to a WAR-only illustration.
Pure nearest-WAR reference: Chris McCullough, 0.55 WAR and 532 minutes. It is a different selection rule.
Orlando Johnson
Drafted 2012, pick 36 · cross-slot example 2012-13 through 2015-16
Actual four-season WAR
0.61 (+0.07 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1112 (-31 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Orlando Johnson’s four seasons
103 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.45. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2012–13
619
51
2013–14
392
45
2014–15
0
0
2015–16
101
7
Kai Jones
Drafted 2021, pick 19 · cross-slot example 2021-22 through 2024-25
Actual four-season WAR
0.58 (+0.04 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
1081 (-62 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Kai Jones’s four seasons
107 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.59. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2021–22
63
21
2022–23
550
46
2023–24
0
0
2024–25
468
40
Dylan Windler
Drafted 2019, pick 26 · cross-slot example 2019-20 through 2022-23
Actual four-season WAR
0.59 (+0.05 vs fitted)
Actual NBA minutes
982 (-161 vs fitted)
WAR and workload within support
Inspect Dylan Windler’s four seasons
84 games. Actual possession-weighted LEBRON: -1.45. This rate describes this person’s measured NBA minutes; the pick has no unconditional rate target.
Season participation · waiting years count
Season
Min
Games
2019–20
0
0
2020–21
513
31
2021–22
459
50
2022–23
10
3
Nearby alternatives and their gaps
Supplied order; all gaps are actual minus fitted target. Choosing an alternative changes the illustration only, not the pick or salary ceiling.
Orlando Johnson · 2012, pick 36 (cross-slot): 0.61 four-season WAR (+0.07); 1112 minutes (-31). WAR and workload within support.
Kai Jones · 2021, pick 19 (cross-slot): 0.58 four-season WAR (+0.04); 1081 minutes (-62). WAR and workload within support.
Dylan Windler · 2019, pick 26 (cross-slot): 0.59 four-season WAR (+0.05); 982 minutes (-161). WAR and workload within support.
LEBRON: points per 100 possessions relative to league average
Pick meanShared rate benchmark95% pooled mean intervalPlayers · tap
Top-five held-out check: -0.89 predicted vs -0.11 observed LEBRON among 15 rated players in 2020–2022. These predictions use the training-period pooled benchmark; the plotted curve is the full-data refit.
50.0-5
Pick →
115304560
Same 735 rated players: pick–WAR rank correlation -0.45; pick–LEBRON -0.13.
Median 0.66 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.84 to 2.92 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
At No. 1, Zion Williamson recorded 2.220 LEBRON in 3650 minutes and 10.810 WAR; Paolo Banchero recorded 0.566 LEBRON in 9313 minutes and 17.700 WAR. The higher measured rate did not produce the larger accumulated total.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.82 points per 100 possessions (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Blake Griffin, draft 2009: 29.14 WAR, 3.02 LEBRON, 8102 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
John Wall, draft 2010: 19.83 WAR, 0.76 LEBRON, 9574 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyrie Irving, draft 2011: 21.14 WAR, 1.24 LEBRON, 8832 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Davis, draft 2012: 33.46 WAR, 3.37 LEBRON, 8823 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Bennett, draft 2013: 0.67 WAR, -1.73 LEBRON, 1905 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Wiggins, draft 2014: 11.59 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 11841 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Karl-Anthony Towns, draft 2015: 36.56 WAR, 2.68 LEBRON, 11120 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ben Simmons, draft 2016: 20.84 WAR, 1.91 LEBRON, 7449 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Markelle Fultz, draft 2017: 2.85 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 2891 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deandre Ayton, draft 2018: 12.54 WAR, 0.29 LEBRON, 7247 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zion Williamson, draft 2019: 10.81 WAR, 2.22 LEBRON, 3650 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Edwards, draft 2020: 19.27 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 10392 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cade Cunningham, draft 2021: 10.06 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 7014 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paolo Banchero, draft 2022: 17.70 WAR, 0.57 LEBRON, 9313 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
0.93
Observed median (LEBRON)
0.66
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -0.04 to 2.14. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.84 to 2.92. Mean intervals: observed 0.10 to 1.68, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.89 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.78 to 1.27 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.82 points per 100 possessions (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Hasheem Thabeet, draft 2009: 2.61 WAR, -0.49 LEBRON, 2165 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Evan Turner, draft 2010: 3.45 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 8859 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Williams, draft 2011: 2.07 WAR, -1.80 LEBRON, 6616 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, draft 2012: 10.01 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 5319 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Victor Oladipo, draft 2013: 12.51 WAR, -0.37 LEBRON, 9661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jabari Parker, draft 2014: 3.75 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 5617 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
D'Angelo Russell, draft 2015: 7.28 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 7752 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Ingram, draft 2016: 5.49 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 8118 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lonzo Ball, draft 2017: 12.45 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 6975 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marvin Bagley III, draft 2018: 3.93 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 4166 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ja Morant, draft 2019: 20.38 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 7964 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Wiseman, draft 2020: -0.19 WAR, -2.56 LEBRON, 2794 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Green, draft 2021: 4.64 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 10038 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chet Holmgren, draft 2022: 19.42 WAR, 3.45 LEBRON, 5287 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.51
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.89
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.61 to 0.18. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.78 to 1.27. Mean intervals: observed -1.24 to 0.32, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.49 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.65 to 2.85 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.82 points per 100 possessions (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
James Harden, draft 2009: 27.45 WAR, 2.30 LEBRON, 8858 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Favors, draft 2010: 11.26 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 6899 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Enes Freedom, draft 2011: 2.28 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 6225 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bradley Beal, draft 2012: 9.49 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 8090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Otto Porter Jr., draft 2013: 14.80 WAR, 1.07 LEBRON, 6632 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joel Embiid, draft 2014: 9.63 WAR, 3.08 LEBRON, 2698 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Jahlil Okafor, draft 2015: 0.83 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 4013 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaylen Brown, draft 2016: 11.78 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 7340 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jayson Tatum, draft 2017: 27.70 WAR, 2.16 LEBRON, 9453 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Dončić, draft 2018: 33.55 WAR, 3.48 LEBRON, 8928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
RJ Barrett, draft 2019: 5.25 WAR, -1.50 LEBRON, 9107 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
LaMelo Ball, draft 2020: 12.20 WAR, 0.85 LEBRON, 5870 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Evan Mobley, draft 2021: 24.66 WAR, 2.05 LEBRON, 8745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jabari Smith Jr., draft 2022: 10.84 WAR, -0.61 LEBRON, 9296 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
0.63
Observed median (LEBRON)
0.49
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -0.59 to 2.13. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.65 to 2.85. Mean intervals: observed -0.23 to 1.55, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.69 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.32 to 0.86 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.82 points per 100 possessions (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Tyreke Evans, draft 2009: 10.47 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 8962 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wesley Johnson, draft 2010: 1.68 WAR, -1.90 LEBRON, 6731 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tristan Thompson, draft 2011: 8.55 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 8776 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dion Waiters, draft 2012: 5.39 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 8188 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cody Zeller, draft 2013: 13.47 WAR, 0.84 LEBRON, 6402 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Gordon, draft 2014: 11.11 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 6867 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kristaps Porziņģis, draft 2015: 12.25 WAR, 0.86 LEBRON, 5764 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dragan Bender, draft 2016: -0.42 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 3755 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Jackson, draft 2017: -0.19 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 5888 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaren Jackson Jr., draft 2018: 10.72 WAR, 0.64 LEBRON, 5521 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Andre Hunter, draft 2019: 3.08 WAR, -1.66 LEBRON, 6399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Williams, draft 2020: 1.22 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 5902 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Scottie Barnes, draft 2021: 22.76 WAR, 1.35 LEBRON, 9523 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keegan Murray, draft 2022: 14.99 WAR, 0.39 LEBRON, 8373 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.65
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.69
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.84 to 0.58. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.32 to 0.86. Mean intervals: observed -1.29 to 0.06, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.67 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.05 to 0.90 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.82 points per 100 possessions (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Ricky Rubio, draft 2009: 9.19 WAR, 2.08 LEBRON, 3095 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
DeMarcus Cousins, draft 2010: 16.14 WAR, 0.40 LEBRON, 8846 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonas Valančiūnas, draft 2011: 6.24 WAR, -0.70 LEBRON, 5860 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Thomas Robinson, draft 2012: 2.14 WAR, -1.39 LEBRON, 3644 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alex Len, draft 2013: 2.31 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 5261 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Danté Exum, draft 2014: 0.29 WAR, -2.14 LEBRON, 3280 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mario Hezonja, draft 2015: 1.70 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 5236 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kris Dunn, draft 2016: 6.08 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 5516 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Aaron Fox, draft 2017: 13.17 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 8242 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trae Young, draft 2018: 21.33 WAR, 1.11 LEBRON, 9400 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Garland, draft 2019: 12.50 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 8491 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaac Okoro, draft 2020: 7.18 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 7693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Suggs, draft 2021: 7.79 WAR, -0.24 LEBRON, 5580 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Ivey, draft 2022: 0.13 WAR, -2.44 LEBRON, 6089 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.60
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.67
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.57 to 0.07. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.05 to 0.90. Mean intervals: observed -1.21 to 0.08, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.46 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.68 to 0.76 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Jonny Flynn, draft 2009: -2.61 WAR, -3.37 LEBRON, 3738 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ekpe Udoh, draft 2010: 5.21 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 4436 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jan Veselý, draft 2011: 1.80 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 2455 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damian Lillard, draft 2012: 30.85 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 11705 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nerlens Noel, draft 2013: 5.75 WAR, -0.66 LEBRON, 5323 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Marcus Smart, draft 2014: 15.03 WAR, 0.69 LEBRON, 7488 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Willie Cauley-Stein, draft 2015: 14.31 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 7090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Buddy Hield, draft 2016: 7.32 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 8743 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonathan Isaac, draft 2017: 7.16 WAR, 0.77 LEBRON, 3512 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mo Bamba, draft 2018: 5.45 WAR, -0.38 LEBRON, 4193 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrett Culver, draft 2019: 1.45 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 2480 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Onyeka Okongwu, draft 2020: 7.93 WAR, 0.14 LEBRON, 4847 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Giddey, draft 2021: 11.29 WAR, -0.24 LEBRON, 8195 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bennedict Mathurin, draft 2022: 3.29 WAR, -1.77 LEBRON, 7529 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.48
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.46
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.14 to 0.55. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.68 to 0.76. Mean intervals: observed -1.12 to 0.14, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.03 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.26 to 0.33 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Stephen Curry, draft 2009: 24.40 WAR, 1.65 LEBRON, 9100 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greg Monroe, draft 2010: 16.49 WAR, 0.24 LEBRON, 9681 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bismack Biyombo, draft 2011: 3.48 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 5956 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Harrison Barnes, draft 2012: 10.75 WAR, -0.43 LEBRON, 8622 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ben McLemore, draft 2013: 0.67 WAR, -2.14 LEBRON, 7476 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Julius Randle, draft 2014: 2.58 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 6622 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Emmanuel Mudiay, draft 2015: -0.47 WAR, -2.45 LEBRON, 6326 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jamal Murray, draft 2016: 15.45 WAR, 0.35 LEBRON, 8680 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lauri Markkanen, draft 2017: 9.24 WAR, -0.19 LEBRON, 6511 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wendell Carter Jr., draft 2018: 9.65 WAR, 0.29 LEBRON, 5593 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Coby White, draft 2019: 5.09 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 7235 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Killian Hayes, draft 2020: 0.44 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 5479 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonathan Kuminga, draft 2021: 6.05 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 5672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shaedon Sharpe, draft 2022: 1.76 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 6561 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.87
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.03
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.95 to 0.13. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.26 to 0.33. Mean intervals: observed -1.46 to -0.22, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.77 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.34 to 1.00 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Jordan Hill, draft 2009: 0.66 WAR, -1.95 LEBRON, 2758 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Al-Farouq Aminu, draft 2010: 9.13 WAR, -0.38 LEBRON, 7040 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Knight, draft 2011: 6.63 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 8929 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrence Ross, draft 2012: 4.00 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 7237 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, draft 2013: 15.99 WAR, 0.21 LEBRON, 9488 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nik Stauskas, draft 2014: -2.22 WAR, -2.90 LEBRON, 5647 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Stanley Johnson, draft 2015: 2.49 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 6160 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marquese Chriss, draft 2016: 6.34 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 4965 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Ntilikina, draft 2017: 0.78 WAR, -2.06 LEBRON, 4119 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Collin Sexton, draft 2018: -0.34 WAR, -2.46 LEBRON, 7179 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaxson Hayes, draft 2019: 6.15 WAR, -0.04 LEBRON, 4052 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Obi Toppin, draft 2020: 6.64 WAR, -0.22 LEBRON, 4693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Franz Wagner, draft 2021: 23.70 WAR, 1.55 LEBRON, 9398 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dyson Daniels, draft 2022: 17.75 WAR, 1.34 LEBRON, 7491 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.83
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.77
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.90 to -0.09. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.34 to 1.00. Mean intervals: observed -1.52 to -0.14, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.33 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.77 to 1.00 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
DeMar DeRozan, draft 2009: 4.16 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 9734 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gordon Hayward, draft 2010: 9.85 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 8137 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kemba Walker, draft 2011: 18.98 WAR, 0.71 LEBRON, 9384 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andre Drummond, draft 2012: 27.46 WAR, 2.21 LEBRON, 9030 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trey Burke, draft 2013: 2.16 WAR, -1.81 LEBRON, 6619 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Noah Vonleh, draft 2014: 2.69 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 3573 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Kaminsky, draft 2015: 7.90 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 6252 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jakob Poeltl, draft 2016: 10.40 WAR, 1.13 LEBRON, 4594 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dennis Smith Jr., draft 2017: 2.15 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 4514 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Knox, draft 2018: -4.07 WAR, -4.02 LEBRON, 4010 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rui Hachimura, draft 2019: 3.28 WAR, -1.50 LEBRON, 5650 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deni Avdija, draft 2020: 9.15 WAR, -0.52 LEBRON, 7518 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Davion Mitchell, draft 2021: 3.27 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 6651 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Sochan, draft 2022: 2.70 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 5484 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.89
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.33
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.65 to -0.44. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.77 to 1.00. Mean intervals: observed -1.67 to -0.13, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.55 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.31 to 0.58 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Brandon Jennings, draft 2009: 14.54 WAR, -0.16 LEBRON, 10068 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paul George, draft 2010: 31.50 WAR, 2.82 LEBRON, 9093 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jimmer Fredette, draft 2011: 1.14 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 3130 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Austin Rivers, draft 2012: -1.39 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 5784 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
CJ McCollum, draft 2013: 13.92 WAR, 0.66 LEBRON, 7025 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Elfrid Payton, draft 2014: 14.03 WAR, 0.06 LEBRON, 8854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justise Winslow, draft 2015: 9.34 WAR, -0.15 LEBRON, 6496 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Thon Maker, draft 2016: 3.28 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 3548 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zach Collins, draft 2017: 1.54 WAR, -1.46 LEBRON, 2691 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mikal Bridges, draft 2018: 17.43 WAR, 0.40 LEBRON, 9661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cam Reddish, draft 2019: 0.19 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 4303 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Smith, draft 2020: 4.97 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 3407 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ziaire Williams, draft 2021: 1.43 WAR, -1.95 LEBRON, 4486 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Johnny Davis, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -2.25 LEBRON, 1278 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.70
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.55
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.89 to 0.01. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.31 to 0.58. Mean intervals: observed -1.40 to 0.07, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.65 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.53 to 0.70 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Terrence Williams, draft 2009: 0.51 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 2922 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cole Aldrich, draft 2010: 1.20 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 1033 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Klay Thompson, draft 2011: 19.16 WAR, 0.61 LEBRON, 9867 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Meyers Leonard, draft 2012: 0.18 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 3741 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Carter-Williams, draft 2013: 8.73 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 7058 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Doug McDermott, draft 2014: -1.29 WAR, -2.66 LEBRON, 5458 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Myles Turner, draft 2015: 17.31 WAR, 1.01 LEBRON, 7863 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Domantas Sabonis, draft 2016: 13.89 WAR, 0.52 LEBRON, 7439 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malik Monk, draft 2017: 1.13 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 4159 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, draft 2018: 14.27 WAR, 0.47 LEBRON, 7724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Johnson, draft 2019: 11.33 WAR, 0.73 LEBRON, 5621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Vassell, draft 2020: 6.97 WAR, -0.72 LEBRON, 6419 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Bouknight, draft 2021: -0.17 WAR, -2.76 LEBRON, 900 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ousmane Dieng, draft 2022: 1.48 WAR, -1.49 LEBRON, 2438 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.82
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.65
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -2.01 to 0.51. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.53 to 0.70. Mean intervals: observed -1.54 to -0.14, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.12 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.10 to 1.10 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Gerald Henderson, draft 2009: 2.94 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 5980 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Xavier Henry, draft 2010: -0.05 WAR, -2.27 LEBRON, 2819 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alec Burks, draft 2011: 3.28 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 5168 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Lamb, draft 2012: 5.51 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 3545 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Steven Adams, draft 2013: 13.17 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 7371 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dario Šarić, draft 2014: 3.22 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 4439 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Trey Lyles, draft 2015: 5.08 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 5051 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Taurean Prince, draft 2016: 5.15 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 6854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Kennard, draft 2017: 2.09 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 5054 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles Bridges, draft 2018: 8.93 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 8460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
P.J. Washington, draft 2019: 6.80 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 7861 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Haliburton, draft 2020: 21.54 WAR, 1.59 LEBRON, 8548 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joshua Primo, draft 2021: -0.23 WAR, -2.74 LEBRON, 1068 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Williams, draft 2022: 18.60 WAR, 1.41 LEBRON, 7672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.80
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.12
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.49 to -0.16. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.10 to 1.10. Mean intervals: observed -1.41 to -0.13, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.22 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.17 to 0.87 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Tyler Hansbrough, draft 2009: 3.63 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 4854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Markieff Morris, draft 2011: 8.63 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 7798 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kendall Marshall, draft 2012: 0.84 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 3083 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kelly Olynyk, draft 2013: 6.76 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 5756 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zach LaVine, draft 2014: 0.41 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 6601 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Booker, draft 2015: 2.57 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 8945 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Georgios Papagiannis, draft 2016: -0.03 WAR, -2.41 LEBRON, 477 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Donovan Mitchell, draft 2017: 21.96 WAR, 1.22 LEBRON, 9371 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerome Robinson, draft 2018: 0.33 WAR, -2.05 LEBRON, 1604 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Herro, draft 2019: 6.65 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 7631 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kira Lewis Jr., draft 2020: 1.33 WAR, -1.22 LEBRON, 1745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chris Duarte, draft 2021: 1.42 WAR, -1.74 LEBRON, 3231 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Duren, draft 2022: 17.94 WAR, 1.40 LEBRON, 7457 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.09
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.22
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.88 to -0.63. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.17 to 0.87. Mean intervals: observed -1.66 to -0.42, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.06 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.12 to 0.56 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.35 points per 100 possessions (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Earl Clark, draft 2009: 0.21 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 2769 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Patterson, draft 2010: 5.31 WAR, -0.88 LEBRON, 5659 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
John Henson, draft 2012: 4.13 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 4871 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shabazz Muhammad, draft 2013: 2.01 WAR, -1.60 LEBRON, 4354 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
T.J. Warren, draft 2014: 4.55 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 5874 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Payne, draft 2015: 2.06 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 2454 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Denzel Valentine, draft 2016: 2.00 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 3559 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bam Adebayo, draft 2017: 20.22 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 7841 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Porter Jr., draft 2018: 6.42 WAR, 0.84 LEBRON, 3080 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Romeo Langford, draft 2019: 0.64 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 2268 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Nesmith, draft 2020: 4.67 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 5054 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Moses Moody, draft 2021: 5.09 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 4229 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ochai Agbaji, draft 2022: 0.37 WAR, -2.35 LEBRON, 5562 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.98
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.06
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.60 to -0.88. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.12 to 0.56. Mean intervals: observed -1.50 to -0.37, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.18 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.82 to 1.68 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Austin Daye, draft 2009: 2.09 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 3640 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Larry Sanders, draft 2010: 9.39 WAR, 1.16 LEBRON, 4036 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kawhi Leonard, draft 2011: 25.62 WAR, 2.93 LEBRON, 7300 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Maurice Harkless, draft 2012: 3.46 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 6055 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, draft 2013: 28.05 WAR, 1.90 LEBRON, 10106 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Adreian Payne, draft 2014: -0.59 WAR, -2.90 LEBRON, 1403 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kelly Oubre Jr., draft 2015: 4.82 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 6442 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Juancho Hernangómez, draft 2016: 3.41 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 3310 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Jackson, draft 2017: 0.86 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 4742 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Troy Brown Jr., draft 2018: 3.20 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 4091 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sekou Doumbouya, draft 2019: -1.21 WAR, -3.57 LEBRON, 1639 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cole Anthony, draft 2020: 7.60 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 6701 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Corey Kispert, draft 2021: -0.83 WAR, -2.65 LEBRON, 7563 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mark Williams, draft 2022: 7.99 WAR, 0.78 LEBRON, 3923 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.79
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.18
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.91 to 0.43. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.82 to 1.68. Mean intervals: observed -1.68 to 0.18, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.75 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.40 to 0.44 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
James Johnson, draft 2009: 2.80 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 4018 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Babbitt, draft 2010: 1.72 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 1877 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Vučević, draft 2011: 11.54 WAR, -0.06 LEBRON, 7712 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Royce White, draft 2012: 0.01 WAR, -0.03 LEBRON, 9 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lucas Nogueira, draft 2013: 2.15 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 1336 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jusuf Nurkić, draft 2014: 9.91 WAR, 0.58 LEBRON, 5129 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terry Rozier, draft 2015: 6.16 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 5433 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Guerschon Yabusele, draft 2016: 0.28 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 486 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Justin Patton, draft 2017: 0.35 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 296 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zhaire Smith, draft 2018: 0.12 WAR, -1.12 LEBRON, 143 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chuma Okeke, draft 2019: 2.51 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 3400 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Isaiah Stewart, draft 2020: 5.99 WAR, -0.89 LEBRON, 6108 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alperen Şengün, draft 2021: 16.58 WAR, 0.80 LEBRON, 8101 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
AJ Griffin, draft 2022: 0.79 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 1572 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.59
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.75
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.22 to -0.03. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.40 to 0.44. Mean intervals: observed -0.97 to -0.19, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.16 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.83 to 0.28 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Jrue Holiday, draft 2009: 16.27 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 9790 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Séraphin, draft 2010: -1.77 WAR, -2.98 LEBRON, 4110 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Iman Shumpert, draft 2011: 9.47 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 6208 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Zeller, draft 2012: 2.55 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 5523 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dennis Schröder, draft 2013: 7.37 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 6263 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Young, draft 2014: 0.38 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 812 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rashad Vaughn, draft 2015: -0.94 WAR, -3.15 LEBRON, 1671 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wade Baldwin, draft 2016: -0.06 WAR, -2.49 LEBRON, 579 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
D.J. Wilson, draft 2017: 1.67 WAR, -0.91 LEBRON, 1749 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Donte DiVincenzo, draft 2018: 9.77 WAR, 0.81 LEBRON, 4751 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker, draft 2019: 2.52 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 3948 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aleksej Pokusevski, draft 2020: 1.71 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 3429 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trey Murphy III, draft 2021: 10.93 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 6856 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tari Eason, draft 2022: 9.09 WAR, 0.32 LEBRON, 5216 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.07
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.16
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.65 to 0.07. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.83 to 0.28. Mean intervals: observed -1.72 to -0.44, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.06 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.22 to 0.15 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Ty Lawson, draft 2009: 18.51 WAR, 1.09 LEBRON, 8058 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Eric Bledsoe, draft 2010: 8.22 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 5274 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chris Singleton, draft 2011: 2.06 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 2605 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrence Jones, draft 2012: 5.47 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 4287 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shane Larkin, draft 2013: 1.30 WAR, -1.78 LEBRON, 4105 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Ennis, draft 2014: 1.30 WAR, -1.46 LEBRON, 2336 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sam Dekker, draft 2015: 3.16 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 3096 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Henry Ellenson, draft 2016: 0.88 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 749 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
T.J. Leaf, draft 2017: 0.23 WAR, -2.04 LEBRON, 1238 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lonnie Walker IV, draft 2018: -0.53 WAR, -2.59 LEBRON, 4240 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Goga Bitadze, draft 2019: 3.70 WAR, 0.20 LEBRON, 2218 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Green, draft 2020: 3.73 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 4528 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tre Mann, draft 2021: 0.35 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 3856 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dalen Terry, draft 2022: 2.19 WAR, -1.03 LEBRON, 2433 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.99
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.06
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.70 to -0.44. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.22 to 0.15. Mean intervals: observed -1.52 to -0.51, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.15 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.54 to 0.46 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Jeff Teague, draft 2009: 12.97 WAR, 0.63 LEBRON, 6493 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Avery Bradley, draft 2010: 3.06 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 4820 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Nicholson, draft 2012: -0.18 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 3738 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sergey Karasev, draft 2013: 0.85 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 1110 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gary Harris, draft 2014: 12.01 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 7244 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerian Grant, draft 2015: 4.18 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 4918 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malik Beasley, draft 2016: 2.57 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 3836 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
John Collins, draft 2017: 12.86 WAR, 0.53 LEBRON, 6825 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Huerter, draft 2018: 8.51 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 8122 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Šamanić, draft 2019: 0.46 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 517 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Saddiq Bey, draft 2020: 6.01 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 8804 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kai Jones, draft 2021: 0.58 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 1081 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jake LaRavia, draft 2022: 3.33 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 4630 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.91
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.15
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.33 to -0.77. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.54 to 0.46. Mean intervals: observed -1.35 to -0.46, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.93 LEBRON among rated players (n=12); 12 of 14 rated, 2 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.97 to 0.39 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 12 actual rated players
Donatas Motiejūnas, draft 2011: 3.02 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 3527 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Evan Fournier, draft 2012: 3.69 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 6158 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Snell, draft 2013: 1.08 WAR, -2.04 LEBRON, 6280 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruno Caboclo, draft 2014: 0.24 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 213 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Delon Wright, draft 2015: 7.19 WAR, 0.53 LEBRON, 3807 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Caris LeVert, draft 2016: 7.02 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 5494 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Harry Giles, draft 2017: 1.26 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 1835 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Josh Okogie, draft 2018: 4.99 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 5017 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Matisse Thybulle, draft 2019: 7.80 WAR, -0.18 LEBRON, 5470 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Precious Achiuwa, draft 2020: 4.11 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 5226 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Johnson, draft 2021: 7.90 WAR, 0.46 LEBRON, 4335 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malaki Branham, draft 2022: -2.30 WAR, -3.45 LEBRON, 3846 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.96
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.93
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
12
Middle 50%: -1.34 to -0.34. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.97 to 0.39. Mean intervals: observed -1.57 to -0.41, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.73 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.53 to 0.37 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Darren Collison, draft 2009: 6.99 WAR, -1.10 LEBRON, 8719 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Craig Brackins, draft 2010: 0.04 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 121 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nolan Smith, draft 2011: -0.29 WAR, -2.76 LEBRON, 829 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Sullinger, draft 2012: 10.10 WAR, 0.06 LEBRON, 6414 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gorgui Dieng, draft 2013: 11.08 WAR, -0.20 LEBRON, 7884 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mitch McGary, draft 2014: 0.58 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 557 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Anderson, draft 2015: 3.06 WAR, -0.72 LEBRON, 2857 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
DeAndre' Bembry, draft 2016: 1.15 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 3672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrance Ferguson, draft 2017: -0.48 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 4000 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grayson Allen, draft 2018: 4.85 WAR, -0.61 LEBRON, 4198 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Clarke, draft 2019: 9.48 WAR, 0.51 LEBRON, 5051 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Maxey, draft 2020: 15.53 WAR, 0.55 LEBRON, 8227 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keon Johnson, draft 2021: -0.18 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 3099 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Christian Braun, draft 2022: 7.80 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 6910 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.03
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.73
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.87 to -0.30. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.53 to 0.37. Mean intervals: observed -1.59 to -0.48, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.87 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.13 to 1.07 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Víctor Claver, draft 2009: 0.17 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 812 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Elliot Williams, draft 2010: -0.98 WAR, -3.42 LEBRON, 1306 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kenneth Faried, draft 2011: 18.71 WAR, 1.37 LEBRON, 7549 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Fab Melo, draft 2012: 0.03 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mason Plumlee, draft 2013: 15.61 WAR, 0.92 LEBRON, 7250 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Adams, draft 2014: 0.24 WAR, -0.90 LEBRON, 263 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bobby Portis, draft 2015: 4.92 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 5044 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malachi Richardson, draft 2016: 0.32 WAR, -1.57 LEBRON, 625 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrett Allen, draft 2017: 13.52 WAR, 0.52 LEBRON, 7253 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chandler Hutchison, draft 2018: 0.58 WAR, -1.86 LEBRON, 1790 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grant Williams, draft 2019: 6.05 WAR, -0.85 LEBRON, 6101 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zeke Nnaji, draft 2020: 0.34 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 2399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Jackson, draft 2021: 4.19 WAR, 0.28 LEBRON, 2438 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Walker Kessler, draft 2022: 11.47 WAR, 1.13 LEBRON, 5090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.74
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.87
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.79 to 0.46. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.13 to 1.07. Mean intervals: observed -1.44 to -0.05, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.15 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.31 to -0.38 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Omri Casspi, draft 2009: 5.43 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 5477 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trevor Booker, draft 2010: 3.29 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 4764 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Mirotić, draft 2011: 4.16 WAR, 1.42 LEBRON, 1654 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
John Jenkins, draft 2012: 0.26 WAR, -2.06 LEBRON, 1837 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Solomon Hill, draft 2013: 4.13 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 5847 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rodney Hood, draft 2014: 6.81 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 6814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, draft 2015: 7.44 WAR, -0.31 LEBRON, 5530 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ante Žižić, draft 2016: 1.29 WAR, -1.05 LEBRON, 1517 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
OG Anunoby, draft 2017: 7.47 WAR, -0.55 LEBRON, 6332 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Holiday, draft 2018: 2.70 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 4460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Bazley, draft 2019: 0.29 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 5384 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Leandro Bolmaro, draft 2020: 0.02 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 309 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Usman Garuba, draft 2021: 1.15 WAR, -0.96 LEBRON, 1228 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
David Roddy, draft 2022: -0.42 WAR, -2.69 LEBRON, 2918 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.17
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.15
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.91 to -0.80. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.31 to -0.38. Mean intervals: observed -1.67 to -0.59, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.67 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.91 to 0.09 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Byron Mullens, draft 2009: -1.77 WAR, -3.11 LEBRON, 3032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Jackson, draft 2011: 11.64 WAR, 0.56 LEBRON, 6039 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Cunningham, draft 2012: 0.24 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 605 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tim Hardaway Jr., draft 2013: 3.17 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 6574 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shabazz Napier, draft 2014: 3.05 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 3659 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyus Jones, draft 2015: 7.83 WAR, 0.38 LEBRON, 4374 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot, draft 2016: 0.83 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 3519 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Lydon, draft 2017: 0.05 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 96 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anfernee Simons, draft 2018: -1.05 WAR, -2.80 LEBRON, 4375 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ty Jerome, draft 2019: 1.96 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 2733 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
R.J. Hampton, draft 2020: -1.01 WAR, -2.94 LEBRON, 3116 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Christopher, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 2189 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
MarJon Beauchamp, draft 2022: -0.01 WAR, -2.47 LEBRON, 1661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.69
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.67
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -2.47 to -1.29. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.91 to 0.09. Mean intervals: observed -2.27 to -1.05, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.96 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.64 to 0.41 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Rodrigue Beaubois, draft 2009: 4.36 WAR, -0.08 LEBRON, 2896 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dominique Jones, draft 2010: 0.58 WAR, -1.12 LEBRON, 741 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
MarShon Brooks, draft 2011: -0.90 WAR, -2.69 LEBRON, 2876 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Wroten, draft 2012: -1.88 WAR, -3.21 LEBRON, 3076 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Bullock, draft 2013: 0.84 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 1629 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Clint Capela, draft 2014: 13.91 WAR, 1.73 LEBRON, 5146 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarell Martin, draft 2015: 0.95 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 2927 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brice Johnson, draft 2016: 0.14 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 107 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anžejs Pasečņiks, draft 2017: 0.45 WAR, -0.80 LEBRON, 443 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Moritz Wagner, draft 2018: 3.64 WAR, -0.48 LEBRON, 2963 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nassir Little, draft 2019: 1.22 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 3277 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Immanuel Quickley, draft 2020: 14.25 WAR, 0.62 LEBRON, 7374 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quentin Grimes, draft 2021: 6.79 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 5945 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Blake Wesley, draft 2022: -0.06 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2589 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.06
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.96
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.83 to -0.43. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.64 to 0.41. Mean intervals: observed -1.71 to -0.40, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.34 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.85 to -0.07 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Taj Gibson, draft 2009: 13.83 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 6689 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Pondexter, draft 2010: 0.69 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 3249 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Hamilton, draft 2011: 1.58 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 1796 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles Plumlee, draft 2012: 5.32 WAR, -0.35 LEBRON, 4083 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andre Roberson, draft 2013: 8.43 WAR, -0.06 LEBRON, 5614 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
P.J. Hairston, draft 2014: 1.25 WAR, -1.34 LEBRON, 2000 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Furkan Korkmaz, draft 2016: 1.08 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 2318 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Caleb Swanigan, draft 2017: 0.20 WAR, -1.90 LEBRON, 655 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Landry Shamet, draft 2018: 3.80 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 6094 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dylan Windler, draft 2019: 0.59 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 982 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Payton Pritchard, draft 2020: 6.92 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 4737 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bones Hyland, draft 2021: 3.89 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 3174 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wendell Moore Jr., draft 2022: 0.49 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 787 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.96
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.34
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.45 to -0.35. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.85 to -0.07. Mean intervals: observed -1.37 to -0.49, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.19 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.83 to 1.69 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Jordan Crawford, draft 2010: 1.48 WAR, -1.92 LEBRON, 6348 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
JaJuan Johnson, draft 2011: 0.06 WAR, -1.92 LEBRON, 298 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Arnett Moultrie, draft 2012: 0.44 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 729 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rudy Gobert, draft 2013: 25.62 WAR, 2.99 LEBRON, 7268 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bogdan Bogdanović, draft 2014: 1.21 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 2175 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Larry Nance Jr., draft 2015: 11.62 WAR, 0.65 LEBRON, 5924 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Pascal Siakam, draft 2016: 16.94 WAR, 1.26 LEBRON, 7196 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Kuzma, draft 2017: 8.24 WAR, -0.81 LEBRON, 8195 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Williams, draft 2018: 9.37 WAR, 1.80 LEBRON, 3460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mfiondu Kabengele, draft 2019: 0.30 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 380 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Udoka Azubuike, draft 2020: 0.52 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cam Thomas, draft 2021: 3.18 WAR, -1.43 LEBRON, 4980 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Jović, draft 2022: 3.52 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 3064 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.41
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.19
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.43 to 0.65. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.83 to 1.69. Mean intervals: observed -1.15 to 0.51, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.48 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.60 to -0.45 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Wayne Ellington, draft 2009: 0.78 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 5199 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greivis Vásquez, draft 2010: 7.85 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 7030 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Norris Cole, draft 2011: -1.41 WAR, -2.58 LEBRON, 6695 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Perry Jones, draft 2012: -0.41 WAR, -2.63 LEBRON, 1675 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
C.J. Wilcox, draft 2014: 0.12 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 376 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
R.J. Hunter, draft 2015: 0.21 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 395 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Skal Labissière, draft 2016: 1.30 WAR, -1.57 LEBRON, 2595 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Bradley, draft 2017: 2.20 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 1412 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jacob Evans, draft 2018: -0.09 WAR, -2.61 LEBRON, 622 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Poole, draft 2019: 5.78 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 7003 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden McDaniels, draft 2020: 5.49 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 7835 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Springer, draft 2021: 0.84 WAR, -1.07 LEBRON, 967 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Baldwin Jr., draft 2022: 1.19 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.49
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.48
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -2.11 to -1.07. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.60 to -0.45. Mean intervals: observed -1.94 to -1.06, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.71 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.31 to 0.40 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Toney Douglas, draft 2009: 5.54 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 5003 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Orton, draft 2010: 0.48 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 542 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Cory Joseph, draft 2011: 5.15 WAR, 0.21 LEBRON, 3034 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marquis Teague, draft 2012: 0.16 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 835 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Archie Goodwin, draft 2013: -0.47 WAR, -2.57 LEBRON, 2396 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Huestis, draft 2014: -0.09 WAR, -2.45 LEBRON, 1068 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Chris McCullough, draft 2015: 0.55 WAR, -0.75 LEBRON, 532 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dejounte Murray, draft 2016: 6.33 WAR, 0.20 LEBRON, 3752 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick White, draft 2017: 9.76 WAR, 0.88 LEBRON, 4608 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Džanan Musa, draft 2018: 0.40 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 526 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keldon Johnson, draft 2019: 8.20 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 6724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malachi Flynn, draft 2020: 1.89 WAR, -1.44 LEBRON, 3032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Day'Ron Sharpe, draft 2021: 5.15 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 2772 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
TyTy Washington Jr., draft 2022: 0.78 WAR, -0.67 LEBRON, 695 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.81
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.71
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.38 to 0.03. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.31 to 0.40. Mean intervals: observed -1.34 to -0.27, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.98 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.91 to 0.88 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 1.16 points per 100 possessions (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Christian Eyenga, draft 2009: 0.41 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 1049 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lazar Hayward, draft 2010: 0.41 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 591 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jimmy Butler, draft 2011: 19.70 WAR, 1.55 LEBRON, 7597 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Festus Ezeli, draft 2012: 2.27 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 2394 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nemanja Nedović, draft 2013: -0.04 WAR, -2.72 LEBRON, 142 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Anderson, draft 2014: 9.99 WAR, 0.95 LEBRON, 4601 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevon Looney, draft 2015: 5.02 WAR, 0.34 LEBRON, 2859 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damian Jones, draft 2016: 1.43 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 1471 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Hart, draft 2017: 5.18 WAR, -1.10 LEBRON, 6280 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Omari Spellman, draft 2018: 0.80 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 1691 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Porter Jr., draft 2019: 1.88 WAR, -1.91 LEBRON, 5928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Desmond Bane, draft 2020: 14.09 WAR, 0.72 LEBRON, 7069 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Santi Aldama, draft 2021: 8.46 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 5320 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Peyton Watson, draft 2022: 1.71 WAR, -1.91 LEBRON, 4928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.73
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.98
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.70 to 0.28. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.91 to 0.88. Mean intervals: observed -1.32 to -0.06, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.81 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -3.02 to -0.22 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Jeff Ayres, draft 2009: 0.61 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 880 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bojan Bogdanović, draft 2011: -0.94 WAR, -3.02 LEBRON, 1854 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Jeff Taylor, draft 2012: -1.39 WAR, -3.08 LEBRON, 2566 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Allen Crabbe, draft 2013: 1.66 WAR, -1.81 LEBRON, 5142 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damien Inglis, draft 2014: 0.11 WAR, -1.28 LEBRON, 156 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Cedi Osman, draft 2015: 0.41 WAR, -2.16 LEBRON, 3116 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Deyonta Davis, draft 2016: 0.13 WAR, -2.17 LEBRON, 1299 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Jackson, draft 2017: -1.08 WAR, -3.01 LEBRON, 2704 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Elie Okobo, draft 2018: 0.11 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 1677 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nic Claxton, draft 2019: 10.55 WAR, 1.71 LEBRON, 4026 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrell Terry, draft 2020: 0.09 WAR, -0.12 LEBRON, 59 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Todd, draft 2021: 0.16 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 135 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Nembhard, draft 2022: 7.45 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 7437 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.53
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.81
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -2.28 to -0.86. 10th–90th percentiles: -3.02 to -0.22. Mean intervals: observed -2.20 to -0.81, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.59 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.45 to 0.30 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Jermaine Taylor, draft 2009: -0.05 WAR, -2.41 LEBRON, 786 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dexter Pittman, draft 2010: 0.12 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 347 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Harper, draft 2011: 0.04 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 84 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Álex Abrines, draft 2013: 0.75 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 1055 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
K.J. McDaniels, draft 2014: -0.28 WAR, -2.46 LEBRON, 2092 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Montrezl Harrell, draft 2015: 9.39 WAR, 0.58 LEBRON, 4894 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ivica Zubac, draft 2016: 6.91 WAR, 0.77 LEBRON, 3385 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Davon Reed, draft 2017: 0.24 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 289 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jevon Carter, draft 2018: 3.11 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 3144 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
KZ Okpala, draft 2019: 0.47 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 965 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vernon Carey Jr., draft 2020: 0.16 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 187 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, draft 2021: 1.77 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 3474 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Caleb Houstan, draft 2022: -0.28 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 2490 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.30
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.59
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.75 to -1.02. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.45 to 0.30. Mean intervals: observed -1.83 to -0.71, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.96 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.77 to 0.00 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Dante Cunningham, draft 2009: 5.00 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 5478 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Hassan Whiteside, draft 2010: 0.21 WAR, 0.59 LEBRON, 111 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Singler, draft 2011: 3.23 WAR, -1.52 LEBRON, 6373 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Bernard James, draft 2012: 0.72 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 761 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Carrick Felix, draft 2013: 0.05 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 38 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joe Harris, draft 2014: 0.62 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 3621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Mickey, draft 2015: 0.37 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 482 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cheick Diallo, draft 2016: 1.78 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 2155 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wes Iwundu, draft 2017: 1.34 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 3745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Brunson, draft 2018: 10.53 WAR, -0.01 LEBRON, 6834 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Carsen Edwards, draft 2019: 0.34 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 706 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Oturu, draft 2020: 0.17 WAR, -1.00 LEBRON, 188 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jason Preston, draft 2021: 0.30 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 195 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Christian Koloko, draft 2022: 1.72 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 1501 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.89
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.96
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.43 to -0.35. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.77 to 0.00. Mean intervals: observed -1.26 to -0.47, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.47 LEBRON among rated players (n=11); 11 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.24 to 0.61 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 11 actual rated players
Armon Johnson, draft 2010: 0.08 WAR, -2.00 LEBRON, 401 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jae Crowder, draft 2012: 14.79 WAR, 1.06 LEBRON, 6562 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Canaan, draft 2013: 0.12 WAR, -2.24 LEBRON, 3748 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cleanthony Early, draft 2014: 0.15 WAR, -1.99 LEBRON, 801 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Brown, draft 2015: 0.42 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 762 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Ulis, draft 2016: 1.43 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 2782 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Mason III, draft 2017: 1.46 WAR, -0.96 LEBRON, 1616 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devonte' Graham, draft 2018: 11.30 WAR, 0.22 LEBRON, 6708 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruno Fernando, draft 2019: 1.37 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 1496 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Théo Maledon, draft 2020: -0.48 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 3753 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaylin Williams, draft 2022: 7.45 WAR, 0.61 LEBRON, 3872 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.08
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.47
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
11
Middle 50%: -2.00 to -0.37. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.24 to 0.61. Mean intervals: observed -1.74 to -0.33, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.72 LEBRON among rated players (n=12); 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.03 to 0.68 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 12 actual rated players
DaJuan Summers, draft 2009: 0.11 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 820 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Honeycutt, draft 2011: 0.15 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 120 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Draymond Green, draft 2012: 30.39 WAR, 3.30 LEBRON, 8156 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Glen Rice Jr., draft 2013: 0.15 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 152 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarnell Stokes, draft 2014: 0.17 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 151 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Willy Hernangómez, draft 2015: 3.34 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 2631 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Ivan Rabb, draft 2017: 0.86 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1237 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Melvin Frazier, draft 2018: 0.16 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 290 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Didi Louzada, draft 2019: 0.10 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 185 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Xavier Tillman Sr., draft 2020: 6.77 WAR, 0.28 LEBRON, 3940 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Herbert Jones, draft 2021: 14.49 WAR, 0.73 LEBRON, 7255 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Max Christie, draft 2022: 1.43 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 5827 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.54
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.72
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
12
Middle 50%: -1.54 to -0.23. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.03 to 0.68. Mean intervals: observed -1.24 to 0.36, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.90 LEBRON among rated players (n=12); 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.20 to 0.37 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 12 actual rated players
Sam Young, draft 2009: 0.46 WAR, -2.13 LEBRON, 3966 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Williams, draft 2011: 0.87 WAR, -0.25 LEBRON, 635 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Orlando Johnson, draft 2012: 0.61 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 1112 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ray McCallum, draft 2013: 1.89 WAR, -1.27 LEBRON, 2808 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Johnny O'Bryant, draft 2014: -1.09 WAR, -3.25 LEBRON, 1684 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rakeem Christmas, draft 2015: 0.02 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 225 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malcolm Brogdon, draft 2016: 12.38 WAR, 0.41 LEBRON, 6916 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonah Bolden, draft 2017: 0.59 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 686 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Mitchell Robinson, draft 2018: 13.01 WAR, 1.29 LEBRON, 5473 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cody Martin, draft 2019: 5.85 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 3752 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Bey, draft 2020: 0.07 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 71 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles McBride, draft 2021: 5.91 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 4053 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.90
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
12
Middle 50%: -1.62 to -0.09. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.20 to 0.37. Mean intervals: observed -1.62 to -0.19, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.40 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.76 to -0.30 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
DeJuan Blair, draft 2009: 7.39 WAR, -0.27 LEBRON, 5442 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darington Hobson, draft 2010: 0.05 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 39 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Trey Thompkins, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, -2.23 LEBRON, 119 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Acy, draft 2012: 1.94 WAR, -1.40 LEBRON, 3352 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Mitchell, draft 2013: 0.12 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 79 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Richaun Holmes, draft 2015: 4.63 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 3825 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chinanu Onuaku, draft 2016: 0.04 WAR, -1.51 LEBRON, 74 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Semi Ojeleye, draft 2017: -1.21 WAR, -2.87 LEBRON, 3705 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gary Trent Jr., draft 2018: 5.91 WAR, -0.80 LEBRON, 5693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deividas Sirvydis, draft 2019: 0.13 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 160 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Vít Krejčí, draft 2020: -0.01 WAR, -2.44 LEBRON, 1396 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
JT Thor, draft 2021: -0.52 WAR, -2.84 LEBRON, 2261 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Hardy, draft 2022: 0.80 WAR, -2.10 LEBRON, 3502 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.43
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.40
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -2.23 to -0.50. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.76 to -0.30. Mean intervals: observed -1.93 to -0.92, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.98 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.81 to 0.64 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Jon Brockman, draft 2009: 1.04 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1570 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andy Rautins, draft 2010: 0.02 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 24 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chandler Parsons, draft 2011: 20.15 WAR, 0.83 LEBRON, 9531 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Miller, draft 2012: 0.60 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 934 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nate Wolters, draft 2013: 2.37 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 1556 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Spencer Dinwiddie, draft 2014: 10.16 WAR, 1.28 LEBRON, 4254 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darrun Hilliard, draft 2015: 0.48 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 859 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick McCaw, draft 2016: -1.02 WAR, -2.82 LEBRON, 3340 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Bell, draft 2017: 3.06 WAR, 0.05 LEBRON, 1935 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Khyri Thomas, draft 2018: 0.43 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 409 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Gafford, draft 2019: 7.38 WAR, 0.19 LEBRON, 4448 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Saben Lee, draft 2020: 1.96 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 1943 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ayo Dosunmu, draft 2021: 2.41 WAR, -1.96 LEBRON, 7814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kennedy Chandler, draft 2022: 0.43 WAR, -1.37 LEBRON, 636 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.76
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.98
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.36 to 0.03. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.81 to 0.64. Mean intervals: observed -1.31 to -0.17, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.36 LEBRON among rated players (n=11); 11 of 14 rated, 3 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.32 to 0.36 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 11 actual rated players
Jonas Jerebko, draft 2009: 8.05 WAR, 0.31 LEBRON, 4592 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Landry Fields, draft 2010: 8.57 WAR, -0.09 LEBRON, 5794 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Tyler, draft 2011: -0.05 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 1034 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Khris Middleton, draft 2012: 16.64 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 8165 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeff Withey, draft 2013: 3.64 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 2033 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerami Grant, draft 2014: 3.91 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 6621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jawun Evans, draft 2017: 0.39 WAR, -1.62 LEBRON, 843 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaac Bonga, draft 2018: 2.48 WAR, -0.36 LEBRON, 1871 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alen Smailagić, draft 2019: 0.20 WAR, -1.00 LEBRON, 223 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Elijah Hughes, draft 2020: -0.14 WAR, -2.85 LEBRON, 498 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Neemias Queta, draft 2021: 2.34 WAR, 0.31 LEBRON, 1345 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.72
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.36
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
11
Middle 50%: -1.52 to 0.31. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.32 to 0.36. Mean intervals: observed -1.41 to -0.05, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.30 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.52 to -0.17 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Derrick Brown, draft 2009: -0.47 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2554 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lance Stephenson, draft 2010: 9.11 WAR, 0.12 LEBRON, 5587 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Will Barton, draft 2012: 2.73 WAR, -1.40 LEBRON, 4617 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grant Jerrett, draft 2013: 0.06 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 51 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Glenn Robinson III, draft 2014: 1.09 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 2534 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Richardson, draft 2015: 11.58 WAR, -0.11 LEBRON, 7949 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Diamond Stone, draft 2016: 0.02 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 24 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dwayne Bacon, draft 2017: -1.66 WAR, -3.05 LEBRON, 4012 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rodions Kurucs, draft 2018: 1.46 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 2103 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin James, draft 2019: 0.33 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 542 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Woodard II, draft 2020: 0.11 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 87 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Butler, draft 2021: 2.37 WAR, -0.60 LEBRON, 2047 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bryce McGowens, draft 2022: -0.10 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2581 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.29
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.30
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.67 to -0.60. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.52 to -0.17. Mean intervals: observed -1.78 to -0.78, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.15 LEBRON among rated players; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.14 to 0.37 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual rated players
Jodie Meeks, draft 2009: 7.89 WAR, -0.36 LEBRON, 6088 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarvis Varnado, draft 2010: 0.43 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 397 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Darius Morris, draft 2011: 0.09 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 1464 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyshawn Taylor, draft 2012: -0.10 WAR, -2.58 LEBRON, 491 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jamaal Franklin, draft 2013: 0.07 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 174 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Jokić, draft 2014: 26.09 WAR, 4.06 LEBRON, 6214 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Pat Connaughton, draft 2015: 2.78 WAR, -0.99 LEBRON, 3208 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Stephen Zimmerman, draft 2016: 0.11 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 108 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Dorsey, draft 2017: 0.50 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 1672 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarred Vanderbilt, draft 2018: 5.93 WAR, 0.54 LEBRON, 3134 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Eric Paschall, draft 2019: 0.74 WAR, -2.01 LEBRON, 3086 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tre Jones, draft 2020: 8.39 WAR, -0.04 LEBRON, 5539 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joe Wieskamp, draft 2021: 0.16 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 255 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
E.J. Liddell, draft 2022: 0.30 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 425 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.80
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.15
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
14
Middle 50%: -1.82 to -0.43. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.14 to 0.37. Mean intervals: observed -1.50 to 0.10, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.87 LEBRON among rated players (n=11); 11 of 14 rated, 3 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.75 to 0.57 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 11 actual rated players
Patrick Beverley, draft 2009: 1.75 WAR, 1.32 LEBRON, 713 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Doron Lamb, draft 2012: -0.13 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 1272 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Pierre Jackson, draft 2013: 0.16 WAR, 0.57 LEBRON, 84 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Nick Johnson, draft 2014: -0.12 WAR, -2.93 LEBRON, 262 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Whitehead, draft 2016: -0.28 WAR, -2.56 LEBRON, 1823 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Thomas Bryant, draft 2017: 5.08 WAR, 0.24 LEBRON, 2986 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruce Brown, draft 2018: 7.27 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 6308 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Admiral Schofield, draft 2019: 0.02 WAR, -2.39 LEBRON, 1288 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nick Richards, draft 2020: 1.23 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 3406 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Livers, draft 2021: -0.37 WAR, -2.75 LEBRON, 2051 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trevor Keels, draft 2022: 0.02 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 23 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.29
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.87
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
11
Middle 50%: -2.49 to -0.17. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.75 to 0.57. Mean intervals: observed -2.08 to -0.41, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.09 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.26 to -0.04 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Marcus Thornton, draft 2009: 6.47 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 7153 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Ebanks, draft 2010: 0.18 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 711 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malcolm Lee, draft 2011: 0.46 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 534 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mike Scott, draft 2012: 3.64 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 4127 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ricky Ledo, draft 2013: -0.01 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 277 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Edy Tavares, draft 2014: 0.08 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 101 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Joe Young, draft 2015: -0.23 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 1077 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zhou Qi, draft 2016: 0.03 WAR, -1.93 LEBRON, 125 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Isaiah Hartenstein, draft 2017: 1.75 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 1046 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jaylen Nowell, draft 2019: 2.90 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 3137 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jahmi'us Ramsey, draft 2020: 0.29 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 349 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greg Brown III, draft 2021: 0.11 WAR, -2.16 LEBRON, 773 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Moussa Diabaté, draft 2022: 7.90 WAR, 1.24 LEBRON, 3399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.20
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.09
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.93 to -0.97. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.26 to -0.04. Mean intervals: observed -1.73 to -0.61, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.83 LEBRON among rated players (n=11); 11 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances, 1 unresolved in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.64 to -0.30 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 11 actual rated players
Chase Budinger, draft 2009: 7.28 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 5032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerome Jordan, draft 2010: 0.12 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 108 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kim English, draft 2012: 0.27 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 407 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mike Muscala, draft 2013: 3.03 WAR, -0.49 LEBRON, 2519 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Markel Brown, draft 2014: 1.28 WAR, -1.22 LEBRON, 1794 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Harrison, draft 2015: 2.95 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 2987 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Damyean Dotson, draft 2017: -1.47 WAR, -2.92 LEBRON, 4221 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bol Bol, draft 2019: 1.65 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 1833 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marko Simonovic, draft 2020: 0.07 WAR, -0.30 LEBRON, 55 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kessler Edwards, draft 2021: 1.11 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 2255 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ryan Rollins, draft 2022: 3.52 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 3336 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.02
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.83
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
11
Middle 50%: -1.26 to -0.54. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.64 to -0.30. Mean intervals: observed -1.50 to -0.62, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.20 LEBRON among rated players (n=9); 9 of 14 rated, 5 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.12 to 0.26 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 9 actual rated players
Josh Harrellson, draft 2011: 1.47 WAR, 0.16 LEBRON, 888 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Hamilton, draft 2012: 0.76 WAR, -0.85 LEBRON, 784 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Dwight Powell, draft 2014: 8.41 WAR, 0.67 LEBRON, 4233 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Demetrius Jackson, draft 2016: 0.10 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 136 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dillon Brooks, draft 2017: 3.14 WAR, -1.61 LEBRON, 6789 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Hamidou Diallo, draft 2018: 0.71 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 3917 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Roby, draft 2019: 1.23 WAR, -1.74 LEBRON, 2858 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Nwora, draft 2020: 0.60 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 3359 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Minott, draft 2022: 1.52 WAR, -0.59 LEBRON, 1297 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.05
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.20
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
9
Middle 50%: -1.74 to -0.59. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.12 to 0.26. Mean intervals: observed -1.65 to -0.42, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.29 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.45 to 0.31 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Danny Green, draft 2009: 9.62 WAR, 1.31 LEBRON, 3930 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gani Lawal, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, -0.43 LEBRON, 2 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Goudelock, draft 2011: -0.45 WAR, -3.84 LEBRON, 425 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Miller, draft 2012: 0.96 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1460 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Erick Green, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 452 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jordan Clarkson, draft 2014: 3.19 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 8313 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Norman Powell, draft 2015: 2.86 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 4281 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
A.J. Hammons, draft 2016: 0.12 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 163 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sterling Brown, draft 2017: 1.39 WAR, -1.80 LEBRON, 3806 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Anthony Melton, draft 2018: 9.03 WAR, 0.50 LEBRON, 4853 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Talen Horton-Tucker, draft 2019: 4.05 WAR, -0.91 LEBRON, 4209 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
CJ Elleby, draft 2020: -0.08 WAR, -2.49 LEBRON, 1366 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dalano Banton, draft 2021: 2.35 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 3142 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.29
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.29
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.80 to -0.91. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.45 to 0.31. Mean intervals: observed -1.94 to -0.63, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.17 LEBRON among rated players (n=10); 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.39 to -0.85 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 10 actual rated players
Travis Leslie, draft 2011: 0.03 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 45 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Murphy, draft 2012: 0.03 WAR, -1.35 LEBRON, 52 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Raul Neto, draft 2013: 1.58 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 1845 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Russ Smith, draft 2014: 0.14 WAR, -0.67 LEBRON, 131 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jake Layman, draft 2016: 1.45 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 2241 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ike Anigbogu, draft 2017: 0.03 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Svi Mykhailiuk, draft 2018: 2.49 WAR, -1.36 LEBRON, 3745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ignas Brazdeikis, draft 2019: 0.47 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 838 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
David Johnson, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 2 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vince Williams Jr., draft 2022: 2.76 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 2860 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.14
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.17
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
10
Middle 50%: -1.36 to -0.93. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.39 to -0.85. Mean intervals: observed -1.30 to -0.97, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.21 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.02 to -0.59 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Taylor Griffin, draft 2009: 0.02 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 32 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keith Benson, draft 2011: 0.01 WAR, -0.57 LEBRON, 9 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kostas Papanikolaou, draft 2012: 0.17 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 1089 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Ryan Kelly, draft 2013: 3.35 WAR, -0.68 LEBRON, 3125 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lamar Patterson, draft 2014: 0.09 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 435 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Dakari Johnson, draft 2015: 0.15 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 161 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Paul Zipser, draft 2016: -0.20 WAR, -2.51 LEBRON, 1667 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sindarius Thornwell, draft 2017: 1.28 WAR, -1.21 LEBRON, 1721 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keita Bates-Diop, draft 2018: 1.00 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 2449 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terance Mann, draft 2019: 6.88 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 5814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nico Mannion, draft 2020: 0.13 WAR, -1.84 LEBRON, 364 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sharife Cooper, draft 2021: 0.04 WAR, -0.89 LEBRON, 39 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kendall Brown, draft 2022: 0.08 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 103 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.33
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.21
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.84 to -0.89. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.02 to -0.59. Mean intervals: observed -1.68 to -1.02, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.87 LEBRON among rated players (n=10); 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.53 to -0.37 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 10 actual rated players
Josh Selby, draft 2011: -0.08 WAR, -2.62 LEBRON, 296 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle O'Quinn, draft 2012: 4.28 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 3414 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Erik Murphy, draft 2013: 0.04 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 62 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Bairstow, draft 2014: 0.14 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 167 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Gbinije, draft 2016: 0.05 WAR, 0.05 LEBRON, 32 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vlatko Čančar, draft 2017: -0.02 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 326 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Chimezie Metu, draft 2018: 2.20 WAR, -0.71 LEBRON, 2017 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quinndary Weatherspoon, draft 2019: 0.21 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 272 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Joe, draft 2020: 4.86 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 3832 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Mobley, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -0.75 LEBRON, 173 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.08
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.87
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
10
Middle 50%: -1.23 to -0.49. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.53 to -0.37. Mean intervals: observed -1.64 to -0.60, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.80 LEBRON among rated players (n=8); 8 of 14 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.12 to -0.51 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 8 actual rated players
Solomon Alabi, draft 2010: 0.20 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 181 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lavoy Allen, draft 2011: 3.72 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 4435 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Ennis III, draft 2013: 2.01 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 2881 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Georges Niang, draft 2016: 1.33 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 1564 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alize Johnson, draft 2018: 0.64 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 538 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrell Brantley, draft 2019: 0.25 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 273 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Skylar Mays, draft 2020: 1.25 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 1111 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Filip Petrušev, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -0.45 LEBRON, 10 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.82
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.80
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
8
Middle 50%: -1.03 to -0.61. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.12 to -0.51. Mean intervals: observed -1.01 to -0.62, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.98 LEBRON among rated players (n=7); 7 of 14 rated, 7 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.57 to -0.26 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 7 actual rated players
Kris Joseph, draft 2012: 0.05 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 54 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Thanasis Antetokounmpo, draft 2014: 0.01 WAR, -0.33 LEBRON, 6 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Ben Bentil, draft 2016: 0.01 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 10 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Monte Morris, draft 2017: 7.02 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 4827 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tremont Waters, draft 2019: 0.28 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 407 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Boston Jr., draft 2021: 0.86 WAR, -1.86 LEBRON, 2346 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Martin, draft 2022: 1.44 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 2158 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.93
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.98
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
7
Middle 50%: -1.35 to -0.43. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.57 to -0.26. Mean intervals: observed -1.40 to -0.49, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.06 LEBRON among rated players (n=12); 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.28 to -0.23 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 12 actual rated players
A.J. Price, draft 2009: 5.18 WAR, -0.09 LEBRON, 3506 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Harangody, draft 2010: 0.66 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 871 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vernon Macklin, draft 2011: 0.19 WAR, -0.22 LEBRON, 135 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ognjen Kuzmić, draft 2012: -0.01 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 164 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lorenzo Brown, draft 2013: 1.11 WAR, -0.29 LEBRON, 834 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joel Bolomboy, draft 2016: 0.10 WAR, -0.66 LEBRON, 91 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Edmond Sumner, draft 2017: -0.13 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 1520 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vince Edwards, draft 2018: 0.01 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 16 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen McDaniels, draft 2019: 3.18 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 4005 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
KJ Martin, draft 2020: 1.70 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 5762 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Garza, draft 2021: 0.89 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 973 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Karlo Matković, draft 2022: 1.49 WAR, -1.05 LEBRON, 1703 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.12
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.06
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
12
Middle 50%: -1.36 to -0.57. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.28 to -0.23. Mean intervals: observed -1.55 to -0.71, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.67 LEBRON among rated players (n=10); 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.14 to -0.36 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 10 actual rated players
Nando De Colo, draft 2009: 0.08 WAR, -2.13 LEBRON, 920 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Pape Sy, draft 2010: 0.02 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 21 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
DeAndre Liggins, draft 2011: 0.01 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 406 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Furkan Aldemir, draft 2012: 0.48 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 540 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Kadeem Allen, draft 2017: 0.77 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 640 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devon Hall, draft 2018: 0.09 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 81 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Justin Wright-Foreman, draft 2019: 0.06 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 45 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cassius Winston, draft 2020: 0.15 WAR, -0.71 LEBRON, 137 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Charles Bassey, draft 2021: 1.94 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 1257 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
JD Davison, draft 2022: 0.25 WAR, -1.49 LEBRON, 416 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.96
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.67
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
10
Middle 50%: -1.36 to -0.52. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.14 to -0.36. Mean intervals: observed -1.42 to -0.53, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.02 LEBRON among rated players (n=8); 8 of 14 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.61 to 0.03 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 8 actual rated players
Willie Warren, draft 2010: 0.21 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 134 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tornike Shengelia, draft 2012: 0.12 WAR, -1.55 LEBRON, 247 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kay Felder, draft 2016: 0.20 WAR, -1.73 LEBRON, 526 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alec Peters, draft 2017: 0.28 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 225 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shake Milton, draft 2018: 3.31 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 3713 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marial Shayok, draft 2019: 0.02 WAR, -1.03 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cassius Stanley, draft 2020: 0.13 WAR, -1.56 LEBRON, 248 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sandro Mamukelashvili, draft 2021: 3.49 WAR, 0.08 LEBRON, 2199 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.02
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
8
Middle 50%: -1.55 to -0.31. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.61 to 0.03. Mean intervals: observed -1.35 to -0.41, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.94 LEBRON among rated players (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.14 to -0.17 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual rated players
Patty Mills, draft 2009: 1.26 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 1738 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Evans, draft 2010: 2.85 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 2104 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
E'Twaun Moore, draft 2011: 0.49 WAR, -2.09 LEBRON, 4023 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Johnson-Odom, draft 2012: 0.04 WAR, -0.15 LEBRON, 21 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joffrey Lauvergne, draft 2013: 0.22 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 2289 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Semaj Christon, draft 2014: 0.08 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 973 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Marcus Paige, draft 2016: 0.04 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Nigel Williams-Goss, draft 2017: 0.06 WAR, -0.45 LEBRON, 50 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Arnoldas Kulboka, draft 2018: 0.00 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 5 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Kyle Guy, draft 2019: 0.29 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 431 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jay Scrubb, draft 2020: 0.22 WAR, -0.94 LEBRON, 235 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Wiggins, draft 2021: 5.53 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 5478 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gui Santos, draft 2022: 3.58 WAR, -0.03 LEBRON, 2349 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.00
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.94
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
13
Middle 50%: -1.33 to -0.26. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.14 to -0.17. Mean intervals: observed -1.42 to -0.62, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.85 LEBRON among rated players (n=10); 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.29 to -0.65 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 10 actual rated players
Hamady N'Diaye, draft 2010: 0.17 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 157 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Peyton Siva, draft 2013: 0.21 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 224 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devyn Marble, draft 2014: 0.45 WAR, -0.81 LEBRON, 457 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Branden Dawson, draft 2015: 0.01 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 29 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Hamilton, draft 2016: 0.17 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 232 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jabari Bird, draft 2017: 0.11 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 115 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ray Spalding, draft 2018: 0.19 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 167 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grant Riller, draft 2020: 0.03 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 27 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Scottie Lewis, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 7 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Travers, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 191 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.95
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.85
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
10
Middle 50%: -0.99 to -0.77. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.29 to -0.65. Mean intervals: observed -1.16 to -0.78, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.33 LEBRON among rated players (n=5); 5 of 14 rated, 9 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.78 to -0.70 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 5 actual rated players
Ryan Reid, draft 2010: 0.01 WAR, -1.08 LEBRON, 17 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kevin Hervey, draft 2018: 0.07 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 52 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jordan Bone, draft 2019: 0.08 WAR, -1.89 LEBRON, 249 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Perry, draft 2020: 0.27 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 398 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jabari Walker, draft 2022: 2.02 WAR, -1.61 LEBRON, 3830 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.27
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.33
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
5
Middle 50%: -1.61 to -1.08. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.78 to -0.70. Mean intervals: observed -1.71 to -0.76, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -1.51 LEBRON among rated players (n=9); 9 of 14 rated, 5 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -2.90 to -0.22 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 9 actual rated players
Lester Hudson, draft 2009: 0.66 WAR, -0.47 LEBRON, 538 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Caracter, draft 2010: -0.10 WAR, -3.03 LEBRON, 215 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robbie Hummel, draft 2012: 0.77 WAR, -1.44 LEBRON, 1397 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jordan McRae, draft 2014: 0.32 WAR, -1.51 LEBRON, 579 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Abdel Nader, draft 2016: -0.67 WAR, -2.87 LEBRON, 2083 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Thomas Welsh, draft 2018: 0.04 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miye Oni, draft 2019: 0.03 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 672 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paul Reed, draft 2020: 5.76 WAR, 0.78 LEBRON, 2824 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jericho Sims, draft 2021: 0.64 WAR, -2.05 LEBRON, 2584 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-1.52
Observed median (LEBRON)
-1.51
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
9
Middle 50%: -2.34 to -0.79. 10th–90th percentiles: -2.90 to -0.22. Mean intervals: observed -2.27 to -0.69, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.82 LEBRON among rated players (n=5); 5 of 13 rated, 8 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.24 to -0.62 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 5 actual rated players
Jaron Blossomgame, draft 2017: 0.44 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 439 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
George King, draft 2018: 0.03 WAR, -0.74 LEBRON, 25 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dewan Hernandez, draft 2019: 0.03 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Harris, draft 2020: 0.11 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 172 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
RaiQuan Gray, draft 2021: 0.09 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 74 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.82
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
5
Middle 50%: -0.97 to -0.74. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.24 to -0.62. Mean intervals: observed -1.19 to -0.64, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median -0.70 LEBRON among rated players (n=7); 7 of 13 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The -0.90 LEBRON shared benchmark is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.96 to 0.40 points per 100 possessions, not a future-player prediction interval.
League average and replacement are different baselines: a below-average LEBRON rate can coexist with positive accumulated WAR.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 0.92 points per 100 possessions (n=76, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The pooled mean’s 95% interval across all rated picks is -0.95 to -0.84 points per 100 possessions. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 7 actual rated players
Isaiah Thomas, draft 2011: 18.69 WAR, 1.16 LEBRON, 8001 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Sacre, draft 2012: 1.24 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 2745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cory Jefferson, draft 2014: 0.85 WAR, -0.10 LEBRON, 581 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrone Wallace, draft 2016: 0.28 WAR, -2.09 LEBRON, 1639 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kostas Antetokounmpo, draft 2018: 0.09 WAR, -0.70 LEBRON, 87 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sam Merrill, draft 2020: 1.80 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 1419 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Georgios Kalaitzakis, draft 2021: 0.07 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 214 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed mean (LEBRON)
-0.81
Observed median (LEBRON)
-0.70
Pooled cohort mean (LEBRON)
-0.90
Rated participants
7
Middle 50%: -1.74 to -0.27. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.96 to 0.40. Mean intervals: observed -1.58 to 0.06, pooled mean across all rated picks -0.95 to -0.84. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Evidence for the overall finding
Same-population check: among the same 735 complete rated participants, pick–WAR rank correlation is -0.45, compared with -0.13 for pick–LEBRON. All 828 complete WAR outcomes give -0.52. On the same 735 players, the signed correlation difference (WAR minus LEBRON) is -0.325, with a paired class-bootstrap 95% interval -0.36 to -0.29. This is a retrospective association contrast, not a causal effect.
Player-level rank correlation: -0.13 (95% interval -0.16 to -0.10; n=735). Selected model: Training mean.
The simplicity rule retains the pooled cohort mean after comparing candidate models. It does not establish equal talent or precise calibration at each pick. Rate measurement excludes nonparticipants and unresolved windows.
Validation and model detailsHeld-out prediction errors by pick band — LEBRON rate
Selected model fitted only on 2009-2019; evaluate all 2020-2022 draft classes together by pick band. These test classes were excluded from model selection and fitting. Prediction minus observed outcome; positive means overprediction, negative means underprediction. The chart above instead uses the final refit on all complete classes.
Points per 100 possessions; test classes 2020–2022 only. Swipe or use arrow keys to see every column.
Picks
n
Observed mean
Predicted mean
Signed error
RMSE
1–5
15
-0.11
-0.89
-0.78
1.82
6–14
27
-0.84
-0.89
-0.05
1.35
15–30
48
-1.02
-0.89
0.14
1.16
31–60
76
-1.07
-0.89
0.18
0.92
Three test classes give small subgroup samples; these are not precise estimates of lasting tier bias.
Error by held-out draft class — LEBRON rate
One selected model trained on 2009–2019; each displayed class is excluded from fitting. Positive signed error means overprediction.
Points per 100 possessions; retrospective held-out classes.
Draft
n
Observed mean
Predicted mean
Signed error
RMSE
2020
58
-0.97
-0.89
0.08
1.03
2021
56
-0.90
-0.89
0.02
1.16
2022
52
-0.92
-0.89
0.03
1.33
The 2019 class's four-season outcome matures after 2022-23. These are retrospective held-out-class diagnostics, not forecasts available before the 2020 draft.
Model comparison — LEBRON rate
Root mean squared error (RMSE): square each prediction error, average those squares, then take the square root. It uses the outcome units and gives larger errors more weight. Lower is better. measures prediction error in the outcome units; lower is better. The best CV error is 1.192. Adding its class-error standard error gives a cutoff of 1.239. The simplest candidate within that cutoff is retained.
Leave-one-draft-class-out CV on 2009-2019; simplest model within one SE of the lowest mean fold RMSE. 2020-2022 reserved for final testing. Final displayed curve refit on all eligible complete classes.
Error uses points per 100 possessions. Lower error is better. Test set: 2020–2022, n=166.
Candidate models; selection uses development classes only.
Model
Class CV RMSE
Test RMSE
Training mean (selected)
1.23
1.17
Line on log pick
1.19
1.14
Straight line
1.21
1.16
Quadratic
1.20
1.14
Cubic
1.20
1.14
Natural spline (3 df)
1.20
1.14
Natural spline (4 df)
1.20
1.13
Selected model test R²: 0.00. Final displayed fit R²: 0.00. Final-fit performance includes the test classes after evaluation.
WAR: estimated wins above replacement over four seasons
Pick meanFit95% fit intervalPlayers · tap
3716.00
Pick →
115304560
Held-out 2020–2022 drafts: 4.60 WAR prediction error (RMSE), versus 5.55 for the no-pick baseline. Lower is better.
Same 735 rated players: pick–WAR rank correlation -0.45; pick–LEBRON -0.13.
Median 18.48 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 14.70 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 5.01 to 32.17 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
At No. 1, Zion Williamson recorded 2.220 LEBRON in 3650 minutes and 10.810 WAR; Paolo Banchero recorded 0.566 LEBRON in 9313 minutes and 17.700 WAR. The higher measured rate did not produce the larger accumulated total.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.58 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 13.42 to 16.02 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Blake Griffin, draft 2009: 29.14 WAR, 3.02 LEBRON, 8102 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
John Wall, draft 2010: 19.83 WAR, 0.76 LEBRON, 9574 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyrie Irving, draft 2011: 21.14 WAR, 1.24 LEBRON, 8832 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Davis, draft 2012: 33.46 WAR, 3.37 LEBRON, 8823 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Bennett, draft 2013: 0.67 WAR, -1.73 LEBRON, 1905 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Wiggins, draft 2014: 11.59 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 11841 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Karl-Anthony Towns, draft 2015: 36.56 WAR, 2.68 LEBRON, 11120 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ben Simmons, draft 2016: 20.84 WAR, 1.91 LEBRON, 7449 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Markelle Fultz, draft 2017: 2.85 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 2891 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deandre Ayton, draft 2018: 12.54 WAR, 0.29 LEBRON, 7247 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zion Williamson, draft 2019: 10.81 WAR, 2.22 LEBRON, 3650 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Edwards, draft 2020: 19.27 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 10392 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cade Cunningham, draft 2021: 10.06 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 7014 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paolo Banchero, draft 2022: 17.70 WAR, 0.57 LEBRON, 9313 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
17.60
Observed four-season median (WAR)
18.48
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
14.70
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 11.00 to 21.06. 10th–90th percentiles: 5.01 to 32.17. Mean intervals: observed 12.16 to 22.91, fitted mean 13.42 to 16.02. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 5.07 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 12.30 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 2.23 to 17.35 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.58 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 11.30 to 13.37 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Hasheem Thabeet, draft 2009: 2.61 WAR, -0.49 LEBRON, 2165 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Evan Turner, draft 2010: 3.45 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 8859 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Williams, draft 2011: 2.07 WAR, -1.80 LEBRON, 6616 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, draft 2012: 10.01 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 5319 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Victor Oladipo, draft 2013: 12.51 WAR, -0.37 LEBRON, 9661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jabari Parker, draft 2014: 3.75 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 5617 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
D'Angelo Russell, draft 2015: 7.28 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 7752 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Ingram, draft 2016: 5.49 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 8118 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lonzo Ball, draft 2017: 12.45 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 6975 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marvin Bagley III, draft 2018: 3.93 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 4166 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ja Morant, draft 2019: 20.38 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 7964 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Wiseman, draft 2020: -0.19 WAR, -2.56 LEBRON, 2794 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Green, draft 2021: 4.64 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 10038 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chet Holmgren, draft 2022: 19.42 WAR, 3.45 LEBRON, 5287 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
7.70
Observed four-season median (WAR)
5.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
12.30
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 3.52 to 11.84. 10th–90th percentiles: 2.23 to 17.35. Mean intervals: observed 4.71 to 10.88, fitted mean 11.30 to 13.37. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 11.52 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 10.90 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 3.17 to 27.62 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.58 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 10.04 to 11.82 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
James Harden, draft 2009: 27.45 WAR, 2.30 LEBRON, 8858 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Favors, draft 2010: 11.26 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 6899 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Enes Freedom, draft 2011: 2.28 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 6225 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bradley Beal, draft 2012: 9.49 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 8090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Otto Porter Jr., draft 2013: 14.80 WAR, 1.07 LEBRON, 6632 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joel Embiid, draft 2014: 9.63 WAR, 3.08 LEBRON, 2698 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Jahlil Okafor, draft 2015: 0.83 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 4013 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaylen Brown, draft 2016: 11.78 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 7340 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jayson Tatum, draft 2017: 27.70 WAR, 2.16 LEBRON, 9453 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Dončić, draft 2018: 33.55 WAR, 3.48 LEBRON, 8928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
RJ Barrett, draft 2019: 5.25 WAR, -1.50 LEBRON, 9107 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
LaMelo Ball, draft 2020: 12.20 WAR, 0.85 LEBRON, 5870 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Evan Mobley, draft 2021: 24.66 WAR, 2.05 LEBRON, 8745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jabari Smith Jr., draft 2022: 10.84 WAR, -0.61 LEBRON, 9296 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
14.41
Observed four-season median (WAR)
11.52
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
10.90
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 9.52 to 22.19. 10th–90th percentiles: 3.17 to 27.62. Mean intervals: observed 9.61 to 19.80, fitted mean 10.04 to 11.82. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 9.51 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 9.90 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.24 to 14.54 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.58 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 9.14 to 10.74 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Tyreke Evans, draft 2009: 10.47 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 8962 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wesley Johnson, draft 2010: 1.68 WAR, -1.90 LEBRON, 6731 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tristan Thompson, draft 2011: 8.55 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 8776 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dion Waiters, draft 2012: 5.39 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 8188 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cody Zeller, draft 2013: 13.47 WAR, 0.84 LEBRON, 6402 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Gordon, draft 2014: 11.11 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 6867 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kristaps Porziņģis, draft 2015: 12.25 WAR, 0.86 LEBRON, 5764 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dragan Bender, draft 2016: -0.42 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 3755 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Jackson, draft 2017: -0.19 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 5888 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaren Jackson Jr., draft 2018: 10.72 WAR, 0.64 LEBRON, 5521 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Andre Hunter, draft 2019: 3.08 WAR, -1.66 LEBRON, 6399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Williams, draft 2020: 1.22 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 5902 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Scottie Barnes, draft 2021: 22.76 WAR, 1.35 LEBRON, 9523 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keegan Murray, draft 2022: 14.99 WAR, 0.39 LEBRON, 8373 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
8.22
Observed four-season median (WAR)
9.51
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
9.90
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 2.03 to 11.96. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.24 to 14.54. Mean intervals: observed 5.01 to 11.81, fitted mean 9.14 to 10.74. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 6.71 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 9.13 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.71 to 15.25 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 1–5, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.58 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=15, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 8.44 to 9.89 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Ricky Rubio, draft 2009: 9.19 WAR, 2.08 LEBRON, 3095 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
DeMarcus Cousins, draft 2010: 16.14 WAR, 0.40 LEBRON, 8846 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonas Valančiūnas, draft 2011: 6.24 WAR, -0.70 LEBRON, 5860 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Thomas Robinson, draft 2012: 2.14 WAR, -1.39 LEBRON, 3644 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alex Len, draft 2013: 2.31 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 5261 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Danté Exum, draft 2014: 0.29 WAR, -2.14 LEBRON, 3280 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mario Hezonja, draft 2015: 1.70 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 5236 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kris Dunn, draft 2016: 6.08 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 5516 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Aaron Fox, draft 2017: 13.17 WAR, 0.13 LEBRON, 8242 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trae Young, draft 2018: 21.33 WAR, 1.11 LEBRON, 9400 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Garland, draft 2019: 12.50 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 8491 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaac Okoro, draft 2020: 7.18 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 7693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Suggs, draft 2021: 7.79 WAR, -0.24 LEBRON, 5580 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Ivey, draft 2022: 0.13 WAR, -2.44 LEBRON, 6089 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
7.58
Observed four-season median (WAR)
6.71
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
9.13
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 2.18 to 11.68. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.71 to 15.25. Mean intervals: observed 4.49 to 10.99, fitted mean 8.44 to 9.89. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 6.45 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 8.50 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 1.55 to 14.81 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 7.87 to 9.20 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jonny Flynn, draft 2009: -2.61 WAR, -3.37 LEBRON, 3738 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ekpe Udoh, draft 2010: 5.21 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 4436 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jan Veselý, draft 2011: 1.80 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 2455 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damian Lillard, draft 2012: 30.85 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 11705 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nerlens Noel, draft 2013: 5.75 WAR, -0.66 LEBRON, 5323 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Marcus Smart, draft 2014: 15.03 WAR, 0.69 LEBRON, 7488 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Willie Cauley-Stein, draft 2015: 14.31 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 7090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Buddy Hield, draft 2016: 7.32 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 8743 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonathan Isaac, draft 2017: 7.16 WAR, 0.77 LEBRON, 3512 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mo Bamba, draft 2018: 5.45 WAR, -0.38 LEBRON, 4193 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrett Culver, draft 2019: 1.45 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 2480 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Onyeka Okongwu, draft 2020: 7.93 WAR, 0.14 LEBRON, 4847 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Giddey, draft 2021: 11.29 WAR, -0.24 LEBRON, 8195 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bennedict Mathurin, draft 2022: 3.29 WAR, -1.77 LEBRON, 7529 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
8.16
Observed four-season median (WAR)
6.45
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
8.50
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 3.77 to 10.45. 10th–90th percentiles: 1.55 to 14.81. Mean intervals: observed 4.61 to 12.68, fitted mean 7.87 to 9.20. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 5.57 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 7.97 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.51 to 16.18 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 7.39 to 8.61 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Stephen Curry, draft 2009: 24.40 WAR, 1.65 LEBRON, 9100 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greg Monroe, draft 2010: 16.49 WAR, 0.24 LEBRON, 9681 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bismack Biyombo, draft 2011: 3.48 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 5956 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Harrison Barnes, draft 2012: 10.75 WAR, -0.43 LEBRON, 8622 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ben McLemore, draft 2013: 0.67 WAR, -2.14 LEBRON, 7476 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Julius Randle, draft 2014: 2.58 WAR, -1.71 LEBRON, 6622 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Emmanuel Mudiay, draft 2015: -0.47 WAR, -2.45 LEBRON, 6326 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jamal Murray, draft 2016: 15.45 WAR, 0.35 LEBRON, 8680 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lauri Markkanen, draft 2017: 9.24 WAR, -0.19 LEBRON, 6511 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wendell Carter Jr., draft 2018: 9.65 WAR, 0.29 LEBRON, 5593 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Coby White, draft 2019: 5.09 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 7235 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Killian Hayes, draft 2020: 0.44 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 5479 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonathan Kuminga, draft 2021: 6.05 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 5672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shaedon Sharpe, draft 2022: 1.76 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 6561 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
7.54
Observed four-season median (WAR)
5.57
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
7.97
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 1.96 to 10.48. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.51 to 16.18. Mean intervals: observed 4.11 to 11.34, fitted mean 7.39 to 8.61. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 6.25 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 7.51 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.04 to 17.22 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 6.98 to 8.10 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jordan Hill, draft 2009: 0.66 WAR, -1.95 LEBRON, 2758 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Al-Farouq Aminu, draft 2010: 9.13 WAR, -0.38 LEBRON, 7040 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Knight, draft 2011: 6.63 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 8929 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrence Ross, draft 2012: 4.00 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 7237 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, draft 2013: 15.99 WAR, 0.21 LEBRON, 9488 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nik Stauskas, draft 2014: -2.22 WAR, -2.90 LEBRON, 5647 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Stanley Johnson, draft 2015: 2.49 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 6160 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marquese Chriss, draft 2016: 6.34 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 4965 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Ntilikina, draft 2017: 0.78 WAR, -2.06 LEBRON, 4119 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Collin Sexton, draft 2018: -0.34 WAR, -2.46 LEBRON, 7179 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaxson Hayes, draft 2019: 6.15 WAR, -0.04 LEBRON, 4052 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Obi Toppin, draft 2020: 6.64 WAR, -0.22 LEBRON, 4693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Franz Wagner, draft 2021: 23.70 WAR, 1.55 LEBRON, 9398 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dyson Daniels, draft 2022: 17.75 WAR, 1.34 LEBRON, 7491 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
6.98
Observed four-season median (WAR)
6.25
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
7.51
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 1.21 to 8.51. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.04 to 17.22. Mean intervals: observed 3.40 to 11.00, fitted mean 6.98 to 8.10. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.72 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 7.10 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 2.15 to 16.40 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 6.60 to 7.66 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
DeMar DeRozan, draft 2009: 4.16 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 9734 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gordon Hayward, draft 2010: 9.85 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 8137 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kemba Walker, draft 2011: 18.98 WAR, 0.71 LEBRON, 9384 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andre Drummond, draft 2012: 27.46 WAR, 2.21 LEBRON, 9030 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trey Burke, draft 2013: 2.16 WAR, -1.81 LEBRON, 6619 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Noah Vonleh, draft 2014: 2.69 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 3573 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Kaminsky, draft 2015: 7.90 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 6252 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jakob Poeltl, draft 2016: 10.40 WAR, 1.13 LEBRON, 4594 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dennis Smith Jr., draft 2017: 2.15 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 4514 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Knox, draft 2018: -4.07 WAR, -4.02 LEBRON, 4010 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rui Hachimura, draft 2019: 3.28 WAR, -1.50 LEBRON, 5650 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deni Avdija, draft 2020: 9.15 WAR, -0.52 LEBRON, 7518 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Davion Mitchell, draft 2021: 3.27 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 6651 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Sochan, draft 2022: 2.70 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 5484 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
7.15
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.72
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
7.10
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 2.69 to 9.68. 10th–90th percentiles: 2.15 to 16.40. Mean intervals: observed 3.54 to 11.71, fitted mean 6.60 to 7.66. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 4.12 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 6.74 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.18 to 16.56 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 6.27 to 7.27 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Brandon Jennings, draft 2009: 14.54 WAR, -0.16 LEBRON, 10068 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paul George, draft 2010: 31.50 WAR, 2.82 LEBRON, 9093 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jimmer Fredette, draft 2011: 1.14 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 3130 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Austin Rivers, draft 2012: -1.39 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 5784 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
CJ McCollum, draft 2013: 13.92 WAR, 0.66 LEBRON, 7025 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Elfrid Payton, draft 2014: 14.03 WAR, 0.06 LEBRON, 8854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justise Winslow, draft 2015: 9.34 WAR, -0.15 LEBRON, 6496 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Thon Maker, draft 2016: 3.28 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 3548 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zach Collins, draft 2017: 1.54 WAR, -1.46 LEBRON, 2691 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mikal Bridges, draft 2018: 17.43 WAR, 0.40 LEBRON, 9661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cam Reddish, draft 2019: 0.19 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 4303 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Smith, draft 2020: 4.97 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 3407 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ziaire Williams, draft 2021: 1.43 WAR, -1.95 LEBRON, 4486 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Johnny Davis, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -2.25 LEBRON, 1278 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
8.01
Observed four-season median (WAR)
4.12
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
6.74
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 1.21 to 14.00. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.18 to 16.56. Mean intervals: observed 3.79 to 12.92, fitted mean 6.27 to 7.27. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 4.22 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 6.41 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.06 to 16.40 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 5.96 to 6.91 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Terrence Williams, draft 2009: 0.51 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 2922 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cole Aldrich, draft 2010: 1.20 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 1033 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Klay Thompson, draft 2011: 19.16 WAR, 0.61 LEBRON, 9867 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Meyers Leonard, draft 2012: 0.18 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 3741 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Carter-Williams, draft 2013: 8.73 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 7058 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Doug McDermott, draft 2014: -1.29 WAR, -2.66 LEBRON, 5458 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Myles Turner, draft 2015: 17.31 WAR, 1.01 LEBRON, 7863 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Domantas Sabonis, draft 2016: 13.89 WAR, 0.52 LEBRON, 7439 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malik Monk, draft 2017: 1.13 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 4159 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, draft 2018: 14.27 WAR, 0.47 LEBRON, 7724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Johnson, draft 2019: 11.33 WAR, 0.73 LEBRON, 5621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Vassell, draft 2020: 6.97 WAR, -0.72 LEBRON, 6419 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Bouknight, draft 2021: -0.17 WAR, -2.76 LEBRON, 900 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ousmane Dieng, draft 2022: 1.48 WAR, -1.49 LEBRON, 2438 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
6.76
Observed four-season median (WAR)
4.22
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
6.41
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.66 to 13.25. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.06 to 16.40. Mean intervals: observed 3.15 to 10.50, fitted mean 5.96 to 6.91. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 5.11 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 6.11 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.60 to 16.97 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 5.68 to 6.58 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Gerald Henderson, draft 2009: 2.94 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 5980 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Xavier Henry, draft 2010: -0.05 WAR, -2.27 LEBRON, 2819 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alec Burks, draft 2011: 3.28 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 5168 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Lamb, draft 2012: 5.51 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 3545 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Steven Adams, draft 2013: 13.17 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 7371 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dario Šarić, draft 2014: 3.22 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 4439 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Trey Lyles, draft 2015: 5.08 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 5051 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Taurean Prince, draft 2016: 5.15 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 6854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Kennard, draft 2017: 2.09 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 5054 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles Bridges, draft 2018: 8.93 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 8460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
P.J. Washington, draft 2019: 6.80 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 7861 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Haliburton, draft 2020: 21.54 WAR, 1.59 LEBRON, 8548 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joshua Primo, draft 2021: -0.23 WAR, -2.74 LEBRON, 1068 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Williams, draft 2022: 18.60 WAR, 1.41 LEBRON, 7672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
6.86
Observed four-season median (WAR)
5.11
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
6.11
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 3.01 to 8.40. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.60 to 16.97. Mean intervals: observed 3.77 to 10.41, fitted mean 5.68 to 6.58. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.57 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 5.83 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.35 to 16.08 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 5.42 to 6.27 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Tyler Hansbrough, draft 2009: 3.63 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 4854 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Markieff Morris, draft 2011: 8.63 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 7798 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kendall Marshall, draft 2012: 0.84 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 3083 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kelly Olynyk, draft 2013: 6.76 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 5756 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zach LaVine, draft 2014: 0.41 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 6601 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Booker, draft 2015: 2.57 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 8945 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Georgios Papagiannis, draft 2016: -0.03 WAR, -2.41 LEBRON, 477 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Donovan Mitchell, draft 2017: 21.96 WAR, 1.22 LEBRON, 9371 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerome Robinson, draft 2018: 0.33 WAR, -2.05 LEBRON, 1604 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Herro, draft 2019: 6.65 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 7631 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kira Lewis Jr., draft 2020: 1.33 WAR, -1.22 LEBRON, 1745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chris Duarte, draft 2021: 1.42 WAR, -1.74 LEBRON, 3231 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Duren, draft 2022: 17.94 WAR, 1.40 LEBRON, 7457 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
5.57
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.57
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
5.83
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.84 to 6.76. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.35 to 16.08. Mean intervals: observed 2.34 to 9.32, fitted mean 5.42 to 6.27. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 4.13 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 5.57 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.42 to 6.20 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 6–14, the held-out individual RMSE was 7.02 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=27, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 5.19 to 5.99 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Earl Clark, draft 2009: 0.21 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 2769 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Patterson, draft 2010: 5.31 WAR, -0.88 LEBRON, 5659 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
John Henson, draft 2012: 4.13 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 4871 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shabazz Muhammad, draft 2013: 2.01 WAR, -1.60 LEBRON, 4354 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
T.J. Warren, draft 2014: 4.55 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 5874 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Payne, draft 2015: 2.06 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 2454 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Denzel Valentine, draft 2016: 2.00 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 3559 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bam Adebayo, draft 2017: 20.22 WAR, 1.61 LEBRON, 7841 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Michael Porter Jr., draft 2018: 6.42 WAR, 0.84 LEBRON, 3080 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Romeo Langford, draft 2019: 0.64 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 2268 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Nesmith, draft 2020: 4.67 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 5054 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Moses Moody, draft 2021: 5.09 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 4229 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ochai Agbaji, draft 2022: 0.37 WAR, -2.35 LEBRON, 5562 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
4.44
Observed four-season median (WAR)
4.13
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
5.57
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 2.00 to 5.09. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.42 to 6.20. Mean intervals: observed 2.32 to 7.36, fitted mean 5.19 to 5.99. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.44 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 5.34 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.76 to 20.75 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.97 to 5.73 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Austin Daye, draft 2009: 2.09 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 3640 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Larry Sanders, draft 2010: 9.39 WAR, 1.16 LEBRON, 4036 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kawhi Leonard, draft 2011: 25.62 WAR, 2.93 LEBRON, 7300 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Maurice Harkless, draft 2012: 3.46 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 6055 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, draft 2013: 28.05 WAR, 1.90 LEBRON, 10106 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Adreian Payne, draft 2014: -0.59 WAR, -2.90 LEBRON, 1403 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kelly Oubre Jr., draft 2015: 4.82 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 6442 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Juancho Hernangómez, draft 2016: 3.41 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 3310 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Jackson, draft 2017: 0.86 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 4742 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Troy Brown Jr., draft 2018: 3.20 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 4091 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sekou Doumbouya, draft 2019: -1.21 WAR, -3.57 LEBRON, 1639 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cole Anthony, draft 2020: 7.60 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 6701 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Corey Kispert, draft 2021: -0.83 WAR, -2.65 LEBRON, 7563 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mark Williams, draft 2022: 7.99 WAR, 0.78 LEBRON, 3923 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
6.70
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.44
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
5.34
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 1.16 to 7.89. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.76 to 20.75. Mean intervals: observed 2.45 to 11.95, fitted mean 4.97 to 5.73. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.33 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 5.11 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.17 to 11.05 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.76 to 5.49 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
James Johnson, draft 2009: 2.80 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 4018 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Babbitt, draft 2010: 1.72 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 1877 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Vučević, draft 2011: 11.54 WAR, -0.06 LEBRON, 7712 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Royce White, draft 2012: 0.01 WAR, -0.03 LEBRON, 9 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lucas Nogueira, draft 2013: 2.15 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 1336 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jusuf Nurkić, draft 2014: 9.91 WAR, 0.58 LEBRON, 5129 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terry Rozier, draft 2015: 6.16 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 5433 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Guerschon Yabusele, draft 2016: 0.28 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 486 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Justin Patton, draft 2017: 0.35 WAR, -0.54 LEBRON, 296 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zhaire Smith, draft 2018: 0.12 WAR, -1.12 LEBRON, 143 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chuma Okeke, draft 2019: 2.51 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 3400 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Isaiah Stewart, draft 2020: 5.99 WAR, -0.89 LEBRON, 6108 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alperen Şengün, draft 2021: 16.58 WAR, 0.80 LEBRON, 8101 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
AJ Griffin, draft 2022: 0.79 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 1572 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
4.35
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.33
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
5.11
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.46 to 6.12. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.17 to 11.05. Mean intervals: observed 1.98 to 7.05, fitted mean 4.76 to 5.49. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.53 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 4.90 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.67 to 10.58 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.56 to 5.26 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jrue Holiday, draft 2009: 16.27 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 9790 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Séraphin, draft 2010: -1.77 WAR, -2.98 LEBRON, 4110 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Iman Shumpert, draft 2011: 9.47 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 6208 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Zeller, draft 2012: 2.55 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 5523 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dennis Schröder, draft 2013: 7.37 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 6263 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
James Young, draft 2014: 0.38 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 812 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rashad Vaughn, draft 2015: -0.94 WAR, -3.15 LEBRON, 1671 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wade Baldwin, draft 2016: -0.06 WAR, -2.49 LEBRON, 579 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
D.J. Wilson, draft 2017: 1.67 WAR, -0.91 LEBRON, 1749 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Donte DiVincenzo, draft 2018: 9.77 WAR, 0.81 LEBRON, 4751 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker, draft 2019: 2.52 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 3948 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aleksej Pokusevski, draft 2020: 1.71 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 3429 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trey Murphy III, draft 2021: 10.93 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 6856 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tari Eason, draft 2022: 9.09 WAR, 0.32 LEBRON, 5216 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
4.93
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.53
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.90
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.70 to 9.37. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.67 to 10.58. Mean intervals: observed 2.24 to 7.75, fitted mean 4.56 to 5.26. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.12 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 4.71 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.27 to 7.39 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.38 to 5.05 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Ty Lawson, draft 2009: 18.51 WAR, 1.09 LEBRON, 8058 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Eric Bledsoe, draft 2010: 8.22 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 5274 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chris Singleton, draft 2011: 2.06 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 2605 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrence Jones, draft 2012: 5.47 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 4287 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shane Larkin, draft 2013: 1.30 WAR, -1.78 LEBRON, 4105 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Ennis, draft 2014: 1.30 WAR, -1.46 LEBRON, 2336 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sam Dekker, draft 2015: 3.16 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 3096 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Henry Ellenson, draft 2016: 0.88 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 749 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
T.J. Leaf, draft 2017: 0.23 WAR, -2.04 LEBRON, 1238 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lonnie Walker IV, draft 2018: -0.53 WAR, -2.59 LEBRON, 4240 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Goga Bitadze, draft 2019: 3.70 WAR, 0.20 LEBRON, 2218 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Green, draft 2020: 3.73 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 4528 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tre Mann, draft 2021: 0.35 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 3856 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dalen Terry, draft 2022: 2.19 WAR, -1.03 LEBRON, 2433 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.61
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.12
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.71
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.98 to 3.72. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.27 to 7.39. Mean intervals: observed 1.56 to 6.24, fitted mean 4.38 to 5.05. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.33 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 4.52 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.48 to 12.69 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.20 to 4.85 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Jeff Teague, draft 2009: 12.97 WAR, 0.63 LEBRON, 6493 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Avery Bradley, draft 2010: 3.06 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 4820 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Nicholson, draft 2012: -0.18 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 3738 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sergey Karasev, draft 2013: 0.85 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 1110 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gary Harris, draft 2014: 12.01 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 7244 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerian Grant, draft 2015: 4.18 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 4918 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malik Beasley, draft 2016: 2.57 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 3836 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
John Collins, draft 2017: 12.86 WAR, 0.53 LEBRON, 6825 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Huerter, draft 2018: 8.51 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 8122 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Šamanić, draft 2019: 0.46 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 517 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Saddiq Bey, draft 2020: 6.01 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 8804 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kai Jones, draft 2021: 0.58 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 1081 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jake LaRavia, draft 2022: 3.33 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 4630 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
5.17
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.33
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.52
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.85 to 8.51. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.48 to 12.69. Mean intervals: observed 2.67 to 7.63, fitted mean 4.20 to 4.85. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.90 four-season WAR (n=12); 12 of 14 rated, 2 unresolved in this window.
The 4.34 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.32 to 7.74 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 4.03 to 4.66 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 12 actual outcomes
Donatas Motiejūnas, draft 2011: 3.02 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 3527 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Evan Fournier, draft 2012: 3.69 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 6158 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Snell, draft 2013: 1.08 WAR, -2.04 LEBRON, 6280 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruno Caboclo, draft 2014: 0.24 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 213 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Delon Wright, draft 2015: 7.19 WAR, 0.53 LEBRON, 3807 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Caris LeVert, draft 2016: 7.02 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 5494 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Harry Giles, draft 2017: 1.26 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 1835 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Josh Okogie, draft 2018: 4.99 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 5017 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Matisse Thybulle, draft 2019: 7.80 WAR, -0.18 LEBRON, 5470 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Precious Achiuwa, draft 2020: 4.11 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 5226 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Johnson, draft 2021: 7.90 WAR, 0.46 LEBRON, 4335 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malaki Branham, draft 2022: -2.30 WAR, -3.45 LEBRON, 3846 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.83
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.90
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.34
Complete selections
12
Middle 50%: 1.22 to 7.06. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.32 to 7.74. Mean intervals: observed 1.99 to 5.57, fitted mean 4.03 to 4.66. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.95 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 4.17 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.26 to 10.79 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.88 to 4.49 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Darren Collison, draft 2009: 6.99 WAR, -1.10 LEBRON, 8719 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Craig Brackins, draft 2010: 0.04 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 121 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nolan Smith, draft 2011: -0.29 WAR, -2.76 LEBRON, 829 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Sullinger, draft 2012: 10.10 WAR, 0.06 LEBRON, 6414 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gorgui Dieng, draft 2013: 11.08 WAR, -0.20 LEBRON, 7884 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mitch McGary, draft 2014: 0.58 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 557 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Anderson, draft 2015: 3.06 WAR, -0.72 LEBRON, 2857 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
DeAndre' Bembry, draft 2016: 1.15 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 3672 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrance Ferguson, draft 2017: -0.48 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 4000 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grayson Allen, draft 2018: 4.85 WAR, -0.61 LEBRON, 4198 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brandon Clarke, draft 2019: 9.48 WAR, 0.51 LEBRON, 5051 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Maxey, draft 2020: 15.53 WAR, 0.55 LEBRON, 8227 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keon Johnson, draft 2021: -0.18 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 3099 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Christian Braun, draft 2022: 7.80 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 6910 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
4.98
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.95
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.17
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.18 to 9.06. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.26 to 10.79. Mean intervals: observed 2.48 to 7.64, fitted mean 3.88 to 4.49. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.39 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 4.01 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.07 to 14.98 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.72 to 4.31 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Víctor Claver, draft 2009: 0.17 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 812 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Elliot Williams, draft 2010: -0.98 WAR, -3.42 LEBRON, 1306 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kenneth Faried, draft 2011: 18.71 WAR, 1.37 LEBRON, 7549 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Fab Melo, draft 2012: 0.03 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mason Plumlee, draft 2013: 15.61 WAR, 0.92 LEBRON, 7250 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Adams, draft 2014: 0.24 WAR, -0.90 LEBRON, 263 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bobby Portis, draft 2015: 4.92 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 5044 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malachi Richardson, draft 2016: 0.32 WAR, -1.57 LEBRON, 625 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrett Allen, draft 2017: 13.52 WAR, 0.52 LEBRON, 7253 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chandler Hutchison, draft 2018: 0.58 WAR, -1.86 LEBRON, 1790 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grant Williams, draft 2019: 6.05 WAR, -0.85 LEBRON, 6101 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zeke Nnaji, draft 2020: 0.34 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 2399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Jackson, draft 2021: 4.19 WAR, 0.28 LEBRON, 2438 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Walker Kessler, draft 2022: 11.47 WAR, 1.13 LEBRON, 5090 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
5.37
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.39
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
4.01
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.26 to 10.12. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.07 to 14.98. Mean intervals: observed 2.30 to 8.87, fitted mean 3.72 to 4.31. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.99 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 3.86 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.09 to 7.25 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.58 to 4.15 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Omri Casspi, draft 2009: 5.43 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 5477 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trevor Booker, draft 2010: 3.29 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 4764 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Mirotić, draft 2011: 4.16 WAR, 1.42 LEBRON, 1654 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
John Jenkins, draft 2012: 0.26 WAR, -2.06 LEBRON, 1837 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Solomon Hill, draft 2013: 4.13 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 5847 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rodney Hood, draft 2014: 6.81 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 6814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, draft 2015: 7.44 WAR, -0.31 LEBRON, 5530 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ante Žižić, draft 2016: 1.29 WAR, -1.05 LEBRON, 1517 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
OG Anunoby, draft 2017: 7.47 WAR, -0.55 LEBRON, 6332 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Holiday, draft 2018: 2.70 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 4460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Bazley, draft 2019: 0.29 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 5384 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Leandro Bolmaro, draft 2020: 0.02 WAR, -2.31 LEBRON, 309 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Usman Garuba, draft 2021: 1.15 WAR, -0.96 LEBRON, 1228 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
David Roddy, draft 2022: -0.42 WAR, -2.69 LEBRON, 2918 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.14
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.99
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.86
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.50 to 5.11. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.09 to 7.25. Mean intervals: observed 1.71 to 4.66, fitted mean 3.58 to 4.15. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.24 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 3.71 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.04 to 6.90 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.44 to 4.00 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Byron Mullens, draft 2009: -1.77 WAR, -3.11 LEBRON, 3032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Jackson, draft 2011: 11.64 WAR, 0.56 LEBRON, 6039 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Cunningham, draft 2012: 0.24 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 605 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tim Hardaway Jr., draft 2013: 3.17 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 6574 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shabazz Napier, draft 2014: 3.05 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 3659 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyus Jones, draft 2015: 7.83 WAR, 0.38 LEBRON, 4374 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot, draft 2016: 0.83 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 3519 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Lydon, draft 2017: 0.05 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 96 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anfernee Simons, draft 2018: -1.05 WAR, -2.80 LEBRON, 4375 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ty Jerome, draft 2019: 1.96 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 2733 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
R.J. Hampton, draft 2020: -1.01 WAR, -2.94 LEBRON, 3116 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Christopher, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 2189 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
MarJon Beauchamp, draft 2022: -0.01 WAR, -2.47 LEBRON, 1661 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.92
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.24
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.71
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: -0.01 to 3.05. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.04 to 6.90. Mean intervals: observed 0.12 to 4.22, fitted mean 3.44 to 4.00. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.90 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 3.57 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.65 to 11.78 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.31 to 3.85 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Rodrigue Beaubois, draft 2009: 4.36 WAR, -0.08 LEBRON, 2896 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dominique Jones, draft 2010: 0.58 WAR, -1.12 LEBRON, 741 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
MarShon Brooks, draft 2011: -0.90 WAR, -2.69 LEBRON, 2876 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Wroten, draft 2012: -1.88 WAR, -3.21 LEBRON, 3076 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Bullock, draft 2013: 0.84 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 1629 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Clint Capela, draft 2014: 13.91 WAR, 1.73 LEBRON, 5146 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarell Martin, draft 2015: 0.95 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 2927 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Brice Johnson, draft 2016: 0.14 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 107 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anžejs Pasečņiks, draft 2017: 0.45 WAR, -0.80 LEBRON, 443 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Moritz Wagner, draft 2018: 3.64 WAR, -0.48 LEBRON, 2963 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nassir Little, draft 2019: 1.22 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 3277 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Immanuel Quickley, draft 2020: 14.25 WAR, 0.62 LEBRON, 7374 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quentin Grimes, draft 2021: 6.79 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 5945 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Blake Wesley, draft 2022: -0.06 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2589 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.16
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.90
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.57
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.21 to 4.18. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.65 to 11.78. Mean intervals: observed 0.78 to 5.89, fitted mean 3.31 to 3.85. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.41 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 3.44 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.29 to 7.98 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.18 to 3.71 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Taj Gibson, draft 2009: 13.83 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 6689 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Pondexter, draft 2010: 0.69 WAR, -1.94 LEBRON, 3249 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Hamilton, draft 2011: 1.58 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 1796 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles Plumlee, draft 2012: 5.32 WAR, -0.35 LEBRON, 4083 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andre Roberson, draft 2013: 8.43 WAR, -0.06 LEBRON, 5614 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
P.J. Hairston, draft 2014: 1.25 WAR, -1.34 LEBRON, 2000 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Milutinov, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Furkan Korkmaz, draft 2016: 1.08 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 2318 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Caleb Swanigan, draft 2017: 0.20 WAR, -1.90 LEBRON, 655 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Landry Shamet, draft 2018: 3.80 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 6094 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dylan Windler, draft 2019: 0.59 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 982 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Payton Pritchard, draft 2020: 6.92 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 4737 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bones Hyland, draft 2021: 3.89 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 3174 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wendell Moore Jr., draft 2022: 0.49 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 787 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.43
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.41
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.44
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.62 to 4.96. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.29 to 7.98. Mean intervals: observed 1.59 to 5.58, fitted mean 3.18 to 3.71. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 3.18 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 3.31 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.32 to 15.88 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 3.05 to 3.58 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Jordan Crawford, draft 2010: 1.48 WAR, -1.92 LEBRON, 6348 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
JaJuan Johnson, draft 2011: 0.06 WAR, -1.92 LEBRON, 298 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Arnett Moultrie, draft 2012: 0.44 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 729 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rudy Gobert, draft 2013: 25.62 WAR, 2.99 LEBRON, 7268 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bogdan Bogdanović, draft 2014: 1.21 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 2175 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Larry Nance Jr., draft 2015: 11.62 WAR, 0.65 LEBRON, 5924 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Pascal Siakam, draft 2016: 16.94 WAR, 1.26 LEBRON, 7196 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Kuzma, draft 2017: 8.24 WAR, -0.81 LEBRON, 8195 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Williams, draft 2018: 9.37 WAR, 1.80 LEBRON, 3460 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mfiondu Kabengele, draft 2019: 0.30 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 380 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Udoka Azubuike, draft 2020: 0.52 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cam Thomas, draft 2021: 3.18 WAR, -1.43 LEBRON, 4980 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Jović, draft 2022: 3.52 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 3064 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
6.35
Observed four-season median (WAR)
3.18
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.31
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.52 to 9.37. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.32 to 15.88. Mean intervals: observed 2.83 to 10.96, fitted mean 3.05 to 3.58. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.81 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 3.18 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.31 to 5.69 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.92 to 3.45 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Wayne Ellington, draft 2009: 0.78 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 5199 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greivis Vásquez, draft 2010: 7.85 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 7030 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Norris Cole, draft 2011: -1.41 WAR, -2.58 LEBRON, 6695 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Perry Jones, draft 2012: -0.41 WAR, -2.63 LEBRON, 1675 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Livio Jean-Charles, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
C.J. Wilcox, draft 2014: 0.12 WAR, -1.82 LEBRON, 376 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
R.J. Hunter, draft 2015: 0.21 WAR, -1.48 LEBRON, 395 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Skal Labissière, draft 2016: 1.30 WAR, -1.57 LEBRON, 2595 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Bradley, draft 2017: 2.20 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 1412 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jacob Evans, draft 2018: -0.09 WAR, -2.61 LEBRON, 622 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Poole, draft 2019: 5.78 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 7003 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden McDaniels, draft 2020: 5.49 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 7835 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Springer, draft 2021: 0.84 WAR, -1.07 LEBRON, 967 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick Baldwin Jr., draft 2022: 1.19 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.70
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.81
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.18
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.03 to 1.98. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.31 to 5.69. Mean intervals: observed 0.42 to 3.12, fitted mean 2.92 to 3.45. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.34 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 3.06 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.01 to 7.64 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.81 to 3.33 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Toney Douglas, draft 2009: 5.54 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 5003 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Orton, draft 2010: 0.48 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 542 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Cory Joseph, draft 2011: 5.15 WAR, 0.21 LEBRON, 3034 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marquis Teague, draft 2012: 0.16 WAR, -1.98 LEBRON, 835 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Archie Goodwin, draft 2013: -0.47 WAR, -2.57 LEBRON, 2396 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Huestis, draft 2014: -0.09 WAR, -2.45 LEBRON, 1068 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Chris McCullough, draft 2015: 0.55 WAR, -0.75 LEBRON, 532 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dejounte Murray, draft 2016: 6.33 WAR, 0.20 LEBRON, 3752 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick White, draft 2017: 9.76 WAR, 0.88 LEBRON, 4608 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Džanan Musa, draft 2018: 0.40 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 526 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keldon Johnson, draft 2019: 8.20 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 6724 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malachi Flynn, draft 2020: 1.89 WAR, -1.44 LEBRON, 3032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Day'Ron Sharpe, draft 2021: 5.15 WAR, 0.49 LEBRON, 2772 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
TyTy Washington Jr., draft 2022: 0.78 WAR, -0.67 LEBRON, 695 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.13
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.34
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
3.06
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.42 to 5.44. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.01 to 7.64. Mean intervals: observed 1.47 to 4.93, fitted mean 2.81 to 3.33. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 2.07 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 2.94 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.41 to 12.86 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 15–30, the held-out individual RMSE was 4.65 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=48, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.69 to 3.21 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Christian Eyenga, draft 2009: 0.41 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 1049 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lazar Hayward, draft 2010: 0.41 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 591 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jimmy Butler, draft 2011: 19.70 WAR, 1.55 LEBRON, 7597 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Festus Ezeli, draft 2012: 2.27 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 2394 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nemanja Nedović, draft 2013: -0.04 WAR, -2.72 LEBRON, 142 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Anderson, draft 2014: 9.99 WAR, 0.95 LEBRON, 4601 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevon Looney, draft 2015: 5.02 WAR, 0.34 LEBRON, 2859 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damian Jones, draft 2016: 1.43 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 1471 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Hart, draft 2017: 5.18 WAR, -1.10 LEBRON, 6280 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Omari Spellman, draft 2018: 0.80 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 1691 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Porter Jr., draft 2019: 1.88 WAR, -1.91 LEBRON, 5928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Desmond Bane, draft 2020: 14.09 WAR, 0.72 LEBRON, 7069 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Santi Aldama, draft 2021: 8.46 WAR, 0.10 LEBRON, 5320 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Peyton Watson, draft 2022: 1.71 WAR, -1.91 LEBRON, 4928 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
5.09
Observed four-season median (WAR)
2.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.94
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.96 to 7.64. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.41 to 12.86. Mean intervals: observed 2.46 to 8.26, fitted mean 2.69 to 3.21. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.12 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.83 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -1.03 to 5.71 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.57 to 3.09 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jeff Ayres, draft 2009: 0.61 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 880 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tibor Pleiß, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Bojan Bogdanović, draft 2011: -0.94 WAR, -3.02 LEBRON, 1854 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Jeff Taylor, draft 2012: -1.39 WAR, -3.08 LEBRON, 2566 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Allen Crabbe, draft 2013: 1.66 WAR, -1.81 LEBRON, 5142 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Damien Inglis, draft 2014: 0.11 WAR, -1.28 LEBRON, 156 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Cedi Osman, draft 2015: 0.41 WAR, -2.16 LEBRON, 3116 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Deyonta Davis, draft 2016: 0.13 WAR, -2.17 LEBRON, 1299 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Jackson, draft 2017: -1.08 WAR, -3.01 LEBRON, 2704 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Elie Okobo, draft 2018: 0.11 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 1677 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nic Claxton, draft 2019: 10.55 WAR, 1.71 LEBRON, 4026 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrell Terry, draft 2020: 0.09 WAR, -0.12 LEBRON, 59 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Todd, draft 2021: 0.16 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 135 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Nembhard, draft 2022: 7.45 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 7437 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.28
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.12
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.83
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.02 to 0.56. 10th–90th percentiles: -1.03 to 5.71. Mean intervals: observed -0.22 to 3.08, fitted mean 2.57 to 3.09. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.20 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.72 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.21 to 5.77 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.46 to 2.98 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jermaine Taylor, draft 2009: -0.05 WAR, -2.41 LEBRON, 786 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dexter Pittman, draft 2010: 0.12 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 347 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Harper, draft 2011: 0.04 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 84 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tomáš Satoranský, draft 2012: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Álex Abrines, draft 2013: 0.75 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 1055 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
K.J. McDaniels, draft 2014: -0.28 WAR, -2.46 LEBRON, 2092 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Montrezl Harrell, draft 2015: 9.39 WAR, 0.58 LEBRON, 4894 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ivica Zubac, draft 2016: 6.91 WAR, 0.77 LEBRON, 3385 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Davon Reed, draft 2017: 0.24 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 289 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jevon Carter, draft 2018: 3.11 WAR, -0.84 LEBRON, 3144 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
KZ Okpala, draft 2019: 0.47 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 965 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vernon Carey Jr., draft 2020: 0.16 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 187 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, draft 2021: 1.77 WAR, -1.63 LEBRON, 3474 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Caleb Houstan, draft 2022: -0.28 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 2490 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.60
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.20
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.72
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.01 to 1.51. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.21 to 5.77. Mean intervals: observed 0.31 to 3.30, fitted mean 2.46 to 2.98. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.67 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 2.61 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.18 to 4.47 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.35 to 2.88 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Dante Cunningham, draft 2009: 5.00 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 5478 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Hassan Whiteside, draft 2010: 0.21 WAR, 0.59 LEBRON, 111 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle Singler, draft 2011: 3.23 WAR, -1.52 LEBRON, 6373 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Bernard James, draft 2012: 0.72 WAR, -0.86 LEBRON, 761 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Carrick Felix, draft 2013: 0.05 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 38 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joe Harris, draft 2014: 0.62 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 3621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Mickey, draft 2015: 0.37 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 482 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cheick Diallo, draft 2016: 1.78 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 2155 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Wes Iwundu, draft 2017: 1.34 WAR, -1.83 LEBRON, 3745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Brunson, draft 2018: 10.53 WAR, -0.01 LEBRON, 6834 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Carsen Edwards, draft 2019: 0.34 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 706 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Oturu, draft 2020: 0.17 WAR, -1.00 LEBRON, 188 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jason Preston, draft 2021: 0.30 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 195 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Christian Koloko, draft 2022: 1.72 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 1501 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.89
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.67
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.61
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.31 to 1.77. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.18 to 4.47. Mean intervals: observed 0.71 to 3.59, fitted mean 2.35 to 2.88. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.42 four-season WAR (n=13); 11 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 2.51 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 10.53 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.25 to 2.78 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Sergio Llull, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Armon Johnson, draft 2010: 0.08 WAR, -2.00 LEBRON, 401 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jae Crowder, draft 2012: 14.79 WAR, 1.06 LEBRON, 6562 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Canaan, draft 2013: 0.12 WAR, -2.24 LEBRON, 3748 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cleanthony Early, draft 2014: 0.15 WAR, -1.99 LEBRON, 801 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Anthony Brown, draft 2015: 0.42 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 762 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Ulis, draft 2016: 1.43 WAR, -1.54 LEBRON, 2782 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Frank Mason III, draft 2017: 1.46 WAR, -0.96 LEBRON, 1616 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devonte' Graham, draft 2018: 11.30 WAR, 0.22 LEBRON, 6708 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruno Fernando, draft 2019: 1.37 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 1496 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Théo Maledon, draft 2020: -0.48 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 3753 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rokas Jokubaitis, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jaylin Williams, draft 2022: 7.45 WAR, 0.61 LEBRON, 3872 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
2.93
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.42
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.51
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.08 to 1.46. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 10.53. Mean intervals: observed 0.66 to 5.85, fitted mean 2.25 to 2.78. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.16 four-season WAR; 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.41 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.03 to 12.18 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.15 to 2.68 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
DaJuan Summers, draft 2009: 0.11 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 820 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nemanja Bjelica, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tyler Honeycutt, draft 2011: 0.15 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 120 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Draymond Green, draft 2012: 30.39 WAR, 3.30 LEBRON, 8156 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Glen Rice Jr., draft 2013: 0.15 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 152 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarnell Stokes, draft 2014: 0.17 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 151 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Willy Hernangómez, draft 2015: 3.34 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 2631 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Rade Zagorac, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Ivan Rabb, draft 2017: 0.86 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1237 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Melvin Frazier, draft 2018: 0.16 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 290 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Didi Louzada, draft 2019: 0.10 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 185 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Xavier Tillman Sr., draft 2020: 6.77 WAR, 0.28 LEBRON, 3940 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Herbert Jones, draft 2021: 14.49 WAR, 0.73 LEBRON, 7255 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Max Christie, draft 2022: 1.43 WAR, -2.07 LEBRON, 5827 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
4.15
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.16
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.41
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.12 to 2.86. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.03 to 12.18. Mean intervals: observed 0.70 to 9.26, fitted mean 2.15 to 2.68. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.60 four-season WAR; 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.31 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 10.44 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 2.05 to 2.58 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Sam Young, draft 2009: 0.46 WAR, -2.13 LEBRON, 3966 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terrico White, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jordan Williams, draft 2011: 0.87 WAR, -0.25 LEBRON, 635 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Orlando Johnson, draft 2012: 0.61 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 1112 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ray McCallum, draft 2013: 1.89 WAR, -1.27 LEBRON, 2808 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Johnny O'Bryant, draft 2014: -1.09 WAR, -3.25 LEBRON, 1684 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rakeem Christmas, draft 2015: 0.02 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 225 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malcolm Brogdon, draft 2016: 12.38 WAR, 0.41 LEBRON, 6916 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jonah Bolden, draft 2017: 0.59 WAR, -1.04 LEBRON, 686 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Mitchell Robinson, draft 2018: 13.01 WAR, 1.29 LEBRON, 5473 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cody Martin, draft 2019: 5.85 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 3752 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Bey, draft 2020: 0.07 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 71 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miles McBride, draft 2021: 5.91 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 4053 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gabriele Procida, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
2.90
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.60
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.31
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.03 to 4.86. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 10.44. Mean intervals: observed 0.77 to 5.58, fitted mean 2.05 to 2.58. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.09 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.22 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.37 to 5.52 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.95 to 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
DeJuan Blair, draft 2009: 7.39 WAR, -0.27 LEBRON, 5442 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darington Hobson, draft 2010: 0.05 WAR, -0.39 LEBRON, 39 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Trey Thompkins, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, -2.23 LEBRON, 119 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Acy, draft 2012: 1.94 WAR, -1.40 LEBRON, 3352 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Mitchell, draft 2013: 0.12 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 79 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
DeAndre Daniels, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Richaun Holmes, draft 2015: 4.63 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 3825 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chinanu Onuaku, draft 2016: 0.04 WAR, -1.51 LEBRON, 74 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Semi Ojeleye, draft 2017: -1.21 WAR, -2.87 LEBRON, 3705 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gary Trent Jr., draft 2018: 5.91 WAR, -0.80 LEBRON, 5693 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Deividas Sirvydis, draft 2019: 0.13 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 160 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Vít Krejčí, draft 2020: -0.01 WAR, -2.44 LEBRON, 1396 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
JT Thor, draft 2021: -0.52 WAR, -2.84 LEBRON, 2261 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaden Hardy, draft 2022: 0.80 WAR, -2.10 LEBRON, 3502 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.38
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.09
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.22
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 1.65. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.37 to 5.52. Mean intervals: observed 0.19 to 2.87, fitted mean 1.95 to 2.49. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.50 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 2.12 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.14 to 9.33 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.86 to 2.40 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jon Brockman, draft 2009: 1.04 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1570 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andy Rautins, draft 2010: 0.02 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 24 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chandler Parsons, draft 2011: 20.15 WAR, 0.83 LEBRON, 9531 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quincy Miller, draft 2012: 0.60 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 934 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nate Wolters, draft 2013: 2.37 WAR, -0.02 LEBRON, 1556 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Spencer Dinwiddie, draft 2014: 10.16 WAR, 1.28 LEBRON, 4254 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darrun Hilliard, draft 2015: 0.48 WAR, -1.47 LEBRON, 859 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Patrick McCaw, draft 2016: -1.02 WAR, -2.82 LEBRON, 3340 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Bell, draft 2017: 3.06 WAR, 0.05 LEBRON, 1935 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Khyri Thomas, draft 2018: 0.43 WAR, -0.73 LEBRON, 409 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Gafford, draft 2019: 7.38 WAR, 0.19 LEBRON, 4448 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Saben Lee, draft 2020: 1.96 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 1943 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ayo Dosunmu, draft 2021: 2.41 WAR, -1.96 LEBRON, 7814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kennedy Chandler, draft 2022: 0.43 WAR, -1.37 LEBRON, 636 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.53
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.50
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.12
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.44 to 2.90. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.14 to 9.33. Mean intervals: observed 1.05 to 6.77, fitted mean 1.86 to 2.40. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.37 four-season WAR; 11 of 14 rated, 3 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 2.03 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.04 to 8.41 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.77 to 2.32 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jonas Jerebko, draft 2009: 8.05 WAR, 0.31 LEBRON, 4592 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Landry Fields, draft 2010: 8.57 WAR, -0.09 LEBRON, 5794 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Tyler, draft 2011: -0.05 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 1034 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Khris Middleton, draft 2012: 16.64 WAR, 0.74 LEBRON, 8165 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeff Withey, draft 2013: 3.64 WAR, 0.36 LEBRON, 2033 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerami Grant, draft 2014: 3.91 WAR, -1.41 LEBRON, 6621 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Juan Pablo Vaulet, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
David Michineau, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jawun Evans, draft 2017: 0.39 WAR, -1.62 LEBRON, 843 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaac Bonga, draft 2018: 2.48 WAR, -0.36 LEBRON, 1871 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alen Smailagić, draft 2019: 0.20 WAR, -1.00 LEBRON, 223 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Elijah Hughes, draft 2020: -0.14 WAR, -2.85 LEBRON, 498 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Neemias Queta, draft 2021: 2.34 WAR, 0.31 LEBRON, 1345 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Khalifa Diop, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.29
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.37
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
2.03
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 3.84. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.04 to 8.41. Mean intervals: observed 1.04 to 5.95, fitted mean 1.77 to 2.32. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.33 four-season WAR (n=13); 13 of 14 rated, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 1.95 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.40 to 7.83 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.68 to 2.23 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Derrick Brown, draft 2009: -0.47 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2554 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lance Stephenson, draft 2010: 9.11 WAR, 0.12 LEBRON, 5587 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Will Barton, draft 2012: 2.73 WAR, -1.40 LEBRON, 4617 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Grant Jerrett, draft 2013: 0.06 WAR, -0.62 LEBRON, 51 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Glenn Robinson III, draft 2014: 1.09 WAR, -1.67 LEBRON, 2534 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Josh Richardson, draft 2015: 11.58 WAR, -0.11 LEBRON, 7949 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Diamond Stone, draft 2016: 0.02 WAR, -1.18 LEBRON, 24 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dwayne Bacon, draft 2017: -1.66 WAR, -3.05 LEBRON, 4012 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Rodions Kurucs, draft 2018: 1.46 WAR, -1.30 LEBRON, 2103 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin James, draft 2019: 0.33 WAR, -1.45 LEBRON, 542 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Woodard II, draft 2020: 0.11 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 87 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jared Butler, draft 2021: 2.37 WAR, -0.60 LEBRON, 2047 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bryce McGowens, draft 2022: -0.10 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 2581 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
2.05
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.33
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.95
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.02 to 2.37. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.40 to 7.83. Mean intervals: observed 0.25 to 4.37, fitted mean 1.68 to 2.23. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.47 four-season WAR; 14 of 14 rated in this window.
The 1.86 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.08 to 8.24 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Jokić supplied 49% of this slot’s total observed four-season WAR. Exceptional outcomes pull the mean above its 0.47 WAR median over four seasons.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.59 to 2.15 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jodie Meeks, draft 2009: 7.89 WAR, -0.36 LEBRON, 6088 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarvis Varnado, draft 2010: 0.43 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 397 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Darius Morris, draft 2011: 0.09 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 1464 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyshawn Taylor, draft 2012: -0.10 WAR, -2.58 LEBRON, 491 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jamaal Franklin, draft 2013: 0.07 WAR, -1.65 LEBRON, 174 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nikola Jokić, draft 2014: 26.09 WAR, 4.06 LEBRON, 6214 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Pat Connaughton, draft 2015: 2.78 WAR, -0.99 LEBRON, 3208 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Stephen Zimmerman, draft 2016: 0.11 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 108 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyler Dorsey, draft 2017: 0.50 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 1672 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarred Vanderbilt, draft 2018: 5.93 WAR, 0.54 LEBRON, 3134 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Eric Paschall, draft 2019: 0.74 WAR, -2.01 LEBRON, 3086 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tre Jones, draft 2020: 8.39 WAR, -0.04 LEBRON, 5539 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joe Wieskamp, draft 2021: 0.16 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 255 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
E.J. Liddell, draft 2022: 0.30 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 425 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
3.81
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.47
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.86
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.12 to 5.14. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.08 to 8.24. Mean intervals: observed 0.88 to 7.85, fitted mean 1.59 to 2.15. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.01 four-season WAR; 11 of 14 rated, 3 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.78 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.23 to 4.08 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.50 to 2.07 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Patrick Beverley, draft 2009: 1.75 WAR, 1.32 LEBRON, 713 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Da'Sean Butler, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Dāvis Bertāns, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Doron Lamb, draft 2012: -0.13 WAR, -2.42 LEBRON, 1272 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Pierre Jackson, draft 2013: 0.16 WAR, 0.57 LEBRON, 84 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Nick Johnson, draft 2014: -0.12 WAR, -2.93 LEBRON, 262 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Olivier Hanlan, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Isaiah Whitehead, draft 2016: -0.28 WAR, -2.56 LEBRON, 1823 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Thomas Bryant, draft 2017: 5.08 WAR, 0.24 LEBRON, 2986 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Bruce Brown, draft 2018: 7.27 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 6308 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Admiral Schofield, draft 2019: 0.02 WAR, -2.39 LEBRON, 1288 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nick Richards, draft 2020: 1.23 WAR, -1.87 LEBRON, 3406 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Livers, draft 2021: -0.37 WAR, -2.75 LEBRON, 2051 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Trevor Keels, draft 2022: 0.02 WAR, -0.78 LEBRON, 23 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.04
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.01
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.78
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: -0.09 to 0.96. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.23 to 4.08. Mean intervals: observed 0.07 to 2.37, fitted mean 1.50 to 2.07. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.24 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.70 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 5.62 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.41 to 2.00 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Marcus Thornton, draft 2009: 6.47 WAR, -0.93 LEBRON, 7153 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devin Ebanks, draft 2010: 0.18 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 711 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Malcolm Lee, draft 2011: 0.46 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 534 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mike Scott, draft 2012: 3.64 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 4127 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ricky Ledo, draft 2013: -0.01 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 277 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Edy Tavares, draft 2014: 0.08 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 101 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Joe Young, draft 2015: -0.23 WAR, -2.64 LEBRON, 1077 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Zhou Qi, draft 2016: 0.03 WAR, -1.93 LEBRON, 125 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Isaiah Hartenstein, draft 2017: 1.75 WAR, 0.18 LEBRON, 1046 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Justin Jackson, draft 2018: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jaylen Nowell, draft 2019: 2.90 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 3137 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jahmi'us Ramsey, draft 2020: 0.29 WAR, -1.09 LEBRON, 349 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Greg Brown III, draft 2021: 0.11 WAR, -2.16 LEBRON, 773 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Moussa Diabaté, draft 2022: 7.90 WAR, 1.24 LEBRON, 3399 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.68
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.24
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.70
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.04 to 2.61. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 5.62. Mean intervals: observed 0.52 to 3.07, fitted mean 1.41 to 2.00. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.11 four-season WAR (n=13); 11 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances, 1 unresolved in this window.
The 1.62 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 3.42 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.33 to 1.92 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Chase Budinger, draft 2009: 7.28 WAR, -0.13 LEBRON, 5032 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jerome Jordan, draft 2010: 0.12 WAR, -0.58 LEBRON, 108 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kim English, draft 2012: 0.27 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 407 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mike Muscala, draft 2013: 3.03 WAR, -0.49 LEBRON, 2519 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Markel Brown, draft 2014: 1.28 WAR, -1.22 LEBRON, 1794 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Harrison, draft 2015: 2.95 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 2987 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Isaïa Cordinier, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Damyean Dotson, draft 2017: -1.47 WAR, -2.92 LEBRON, 4221 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Issuf Sanon, draft 2018: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Bol Bol, draft 2019: 1.65 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 1833 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marko Simonovic, draft 2020: 0.07 WAR, -0.30 LEBRON, 55 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Kessler Edwards, draft 2021: 1.11 WAR, -1.64 LEBRON, 2255 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ryan Rollins, draft 2022: 3.52 WAR, -0.77 LEBRON, 3336 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.52
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.11
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.62
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.07 to 2.95. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 3.42. Mean intervals: observed 0.45 to 2.76, fitted mean 1.33 to 1.92. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.65 four-season WAR; 9 of 14 rated, 5 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.54 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 2.66 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.25 to 1.85 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Nick Calathes, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Paulão Prestes, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Josh Harrellson, draft 2011: 1.47 WAR, 0.16 LEBRON, 888 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justin Hamilton, draft 2012: 0.76 WAR, -0.85 LEBRON, 784 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Marko Todorović, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Dwight Powell, draft 2014: 8.41 WAR, 0.67 LEBRON, 4233 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marcus Thornton, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Demetrius Jackson, draft 2016: 0.10 WAR, -1.20 LEBRON, 136 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dillon Brooks, draft 2017: 3.14 WAR, -1.61 LEBRON, 6789 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Hamidou Diallo, draft 2018: 0.71 WAR, -2.11 LEBRON, 3917 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Roby, draft 2019: 1.23 WAR, -1.74 LEBRON, 2858 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jordan Nwora, draft 2020: 0.60 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 3359 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Juhann Begarin, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Josh Minott, draft 2022: 1.52 WAR, -0.59 LEBRON, 1297 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.28
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.65
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.54
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 1.41. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 2.66. Mean intervals: observed 0.40 to 2.58, fitted mean 1.25 to 1.85. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 1.17 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.46 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.06 to 7.53 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.17 to 1.77 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Danny Green, draft 2009: 9.62 WAR, 1.31 LEBRON, 3930 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gani Lawal, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, -0.43 LEBRON, 2 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Andrew Goudelock, draft 2011: -0.45 WAR, -3.84 LEBRON, 425 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Miller, draft 2012: 0.96 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 1460 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Erick Green, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, -2.28 LEBRON, 452 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jordan Clarkson, draft 2014: 3.19 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 8313 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Norman Powell, draft 2015: 2.86 WAR, -1.32 LEBRON, 4281 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
A.J. Hammons, draft 2016: 0.12 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 163 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sterling Brown, draft 2017: 1.39 WAR, -1.80 LEBRON, 3806 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
De'Anthony Melton, draft 2018: 9.03 WAR, 0.50 LEBRON, 4853 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Talen Horton-Tucker, draft 2019: 4.05 WAR, -0.91 LEBRON, 4209 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
CJ Elleby, draft 2020: -0.08 WAR, -2.49 LEBRON, 1366 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dalano Banton, draft 2021: 2.35 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 3142 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ismael Kamagate, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
2.36
Observed four-season median (WAR)
1.17
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.46
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 3.11. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.06 to 7.53. Mean intervals: observed 0.89 to 4.17, fitted mean 1.17 to 1.77. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.03 four-season WAR; 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.39 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 2.22 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.09 to 1.70 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Henk Norel, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tiny Gallon, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Travis Leslie, draft 2011: 0.03 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 45 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kevin Murphy, draft 2012: 0.03 WAR, -1.35 LEBRON, 52 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Raul Neto, draft 2013: 1.58 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 1845 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Russ Smith, draft 2014: 0.14 WAR, -0.67 LEBRON, 131 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Artūras Gudaitis, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jake Layman, draft 2016: 1.45 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 2241 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ike Anigbogu, draft 2017: 0.03 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Svi Mykhailiuk, draft 2018: 2.49 WAR, -1.36 LEBRON, 3745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ignas Brazdeikis, draft 2019: 0.47 WAR, -1.53 LEBRON, 838 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Yam Madar, draft 2020: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
David Johnson, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 2 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vince Williams Jr., draft 2022: 2.76 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 2860 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.64
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.03
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.39
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 1.20. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 2.22. Mean intervals: observed 0.19 to 1.19, fitted mean 1.09 to 1.70. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.11 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.32 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 2.73 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 1.02 to 1.63 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Taylor Griffin, draft 2009: 0.02 WAR, -1.29 LEBRON, 32 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Latavious Williams, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Keith Benson, draft 2011: 0.01 WAR, -0.57 LEBRON, 9 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kostas Papanikolaou, draft 2012: 0.17 WAR, -2.03 LEBRON, 1089 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Ryan Kelly, draft 2013: 3.35 WAR, -0.68 LEBRON, 3125 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lamar Patterson, draft 2014: 0.09 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 435 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Dakari Johnson, draft 2015: 0.15 WAR, -0.92 LEBRON, 161 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Paul Zipser, draft 2016: -0.20 WAR, -2.51 LEBRON, 1667 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sindarius Thornwell, draft 2017: 1.28 WAR, -1.21 LEBRON, 1721 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Keita Bates-Diop, draft 2018: 1.00 WAR, -1.75 LEBRON, 2449 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Terance Mann, draft 2019: 6.88 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 5814 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Nico Mannion, draft 2020: 0.13 WAR, -1.84 LEBRON, 364 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sharife Cooper, draft 2021: 0.04 WAR, -0.89 LEBRON, 39 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kendall Brown, draft 2022: 0.08 WAR, -1.14 LEBRON, 103 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.93
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.11
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.32
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.02 to 0.79. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 2.73. Mean intervals: observed 0.13 to 2.02, fitted mean 1.02 to 1.63. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.05 four-season WAR; 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.25 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.02 to 3.66 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.95 to 1.56 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Sergiy Gladyr, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Ryan Richards, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Josh Selby, draft 2011: -0.08 WAR, -2.62 LEBRON, 296 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Kyle O'Quinn, draft 2012: 4.28 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 3414 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Erik Murphy, draft 2013: 0.04 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 62 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cameron Bairstow, draft 2014: 0.14 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 167 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron White, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Michael Gbinije, draft 2016: 0.05 WAR, 0.05 LEBRON, 32 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vlatko Čančar, draft 2017: -0.02 WAR, -2.52 LEBRON, 326 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Chimezie Metu, draft 2018: 2.20 WAR, -0.71 LEBRON, 2017 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Quinndary Weatherspoon, draft 2019: 0.21 WAR, -1.17 LEBRON, 272 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Isaiah Joe, draft 2020: 4.86 WAR, -0.41 LEBRON, 3832 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marcus Zegarowski, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Isaiah Mobley, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -0.75 LEBRON, 173 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.85
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.05
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.25
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.21. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.02 to 3.66. Mean intervals: observed 0.06 to 1.74, fitted mean 0.95 to 1.56. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.11 four-season WAR; 8 of 14 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.18 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 1.81 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.87 to 1.50 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Goran Suton, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Solomon Alabi, draft 2010: 0.20 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 181 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Lavoy Allen, draft 2011: 3.72 WAR, -1.02 LEBRON, 4435 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
İzzet Türkyılmaz, draft 2012: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
James Ennis III, draft 2013: 2.01 WAR, -1.25 LEBRON, 2881 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Alec Brown, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Marcus Eriksson, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Georges Niang, draft 2016: 1.33 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 1564 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Mathias Lessort, draft 2017: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Alize Johnson, draft 2018: 0.64 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 538 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jarrell Brantley, draft 2019: 0.25 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 273 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Skylar Mays, draft 2020: 1.25 WAR, -0.63 LEBRON, 1111 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Filip Petrušev, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -0.45 LEBRON, 10 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Matteo Spagnolo, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.67
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.11
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.18
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 1.10. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 1.81. Mean intervals: observed 0.20 to 1.29, fitted mean 0.87 to 1.50. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.00 four-season WAR; 7 of 14 rated, 7 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.11 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 1.27 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.80 to 1.44 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Jack McClinton, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Magnum Rolle, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jon Diebler, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Kris Joseph, draft 2012: 0.05 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 54 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Romero Osby, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Thanasis Antetokounmpo, draft 2014: 0.01 WAR, -0.33 LEBRON, 6 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Tyler Harvey, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Ben Bentil, draft 2016: 0.01 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 10 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Monte Morris, draft 2017: 7.02 WAR, -0.14 LEBRON, 4827 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tony Carr, draft 2018: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tremont Waters, draft 2019: 0.28 WAR, -1.31 LEBRON, 407 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Justinian Jessup, draft 2020: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Brandon Boston Jr., draft 2021: 0.86 WAR, -1.86 LEBRON, 2346 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Tyrese Martin, draft 2022: 1.44 WAR, -1.38 LEBRON, 2158 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.69
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.00
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.11
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.22. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 1.27. Mean intervals: observed 0.05 to 1.71, fitted mean 0.80 to 1.44. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.42 four-season WAR; 12 of 14 rated, 2 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 1.04 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 2.74 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.73 to 1.37 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
A.J. Price, draft 2009: 5.18 WAR, -0.09 LEBRON, 3506 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Harangody, draft 2010: 0.66 WAR, -1.15 LEBRON, 871 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vernon Macklin, draft 2011: 0.19 WAR, -0.22 LEBRON, 135 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ognjen Kuzmić, draft 2012: -0.01 WAR, -2.32 LEBRON, 164 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Lorenzo Brown, draft 2013: 1.11 WAR, -0.29 LEBRON, 834 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vasilije Micić, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Satnam Singh, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Joel Bolomboy, draft 2016: 0.10 WAR, -0.66 LEBRON, 91 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Edmond Sumner, draft 2017: -0.13 WAR, -2.53 LEBRON, 1520 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vince Edwards, draft 2018: 0.01 WAR, -1.06 LEBRON, 16 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen McDaniels, draft 2019: 3.18 WAR, -1.16 LEBRON, 4005 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
KJ Martin, draft 2020: 1.70 WAR, -1.97 LEBRON, 5762 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Garza, draft 2021: 0.89 WAR, -0.98 LEBRON, 973 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Karlo Matković, draft 2022: 1.49 WAR, -1.05 LEBRON, 1703 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.03
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.42
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
1.04
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 1.40. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 2.74. Mean intervals: observed 0.36 to 1.81, fitted mean 0.73 to 1.37. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.07 four-season WAR; 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.97 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 0.69 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.66 to 1.31 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Nando De Colo, draft 2009: 0.08 WAR, -2.13 LEBRON, 920 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Pape Sy, draft 2010: 0.02 WAR, -0.56 LEBRON, 21 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
DeAndre Liggins, draft 2011: 0.01 WAR, -2.21 LEBRON, 406 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Furkan Aldemir, draft 2012: 0.48 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 540 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Colton Iverson, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Alessandro Gentile, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Sir'Dominic Pointer, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Petr Cornelie, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Kadeem Allen, draft 2017: 0.77 WAR, -0.50 LEBRON, 640 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devon Hall, draft 2018: 0.09 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 81 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Justin Wright-Foreman, draft 2019: 0.06 WAR, -0.40 LEBRON, 45 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cassius Winston, draft 2020: 0.15 WAR, -0.71 LEBRON, 137 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Charles Bassey, draft 2021: 1.94 WAR, 0.02 LEBRON, 1257 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
JD Davison, draft 2022: 0.25 WAR, -1.49 LEBRON, 416 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.28
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.97
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.23. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 0.69. Mean intervals: observed 0.07 to 0.59, fitted mean 0.66 to 1.31. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.07 four-season WAR; 8 of 14 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.91 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 2.40 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.59 to 1.25 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Robert Vaden, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Willie Warren, draft 2010: 0.21 WAR, 0.01 LEBRON, 134 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Milan Mačvan, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tornike Shengelia, draft 2012: 0.12 WAR, -1.55 LEBRON, 247 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Arsalan Kazemi, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Nemanja Dangubić, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Dani Díez, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Kay Felder, draft 2016: 0.20 WAR, -1.73 LEBRON, 526 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Alec Peters, draft 2017: 0.28 WAR, -0.42 LEBRON, 225 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Shake Milton, draft 2018: 3.31 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 3713 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Marial Shayok, draft 2019: 0.02 WAR, -1.03 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Cassius Stanley, draft 2020: 0.13 WAR, -1.56 LEBRON, 248 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Sandro Mamukelashvili, draft 2021: 3.49 WAR, 0.08 LEBRON, 2199 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Yannick Nzosa, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.56
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.91
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.21. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 2.40. Mean intervals: observed 0.06 to 1.27, fitted mean 0.59 to 1.25. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.22 four-season WAR; 13 of 14 rated, 1 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.85 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.01 to 3.36 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.52 to 1.19 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Patty Mills, draft 2009: 1.26 WAR, -1.19 LEBRON, 1738 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jeremy Evans, draft 2010: 2.85 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 2104 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
E'Twaun Moore, draft 2011: 0.49 WAR, -2.09 LEBRON, 4023 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Darius Johnson-Odom, draft 2012: 0.04 WAR, -0.15 LEBRON, 21 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Joffrey Lauvergne, draft 2013: 0.22 WAR, -2.15 LEBRON, 2289 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Semaj Christon, draft 2014: 0.08 WAR, -2.20 LEBRON, 973 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Cady Lalanne, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Marcus Paige, draft 2016: 0.04 WAR, -0.26 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Nigel Williams-Goss, draft 2017: 0.06 WAR, -0.45 LEBRON, 50 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Arnoldas Kulboka, draft 2018: 0.00 WAR, -1.13 LEBRON, 5 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 4.
Kyle Guy, draft 2019: 0.29 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 431 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jay Scrubb, draft 2020: 0.22 WAR, -0.94 LEBRON, 235 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Aaron Wiggins, draft 2021: 5.53 WAR, -0.83 LEBRON, 5478 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Gui Santos, draft 2022: 3.58 WAR, -0.03 LEBRON, 2349 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.05
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.22
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.85
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.04 to 1.07. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.01 to 3.36. Mean intervals: observed 0.29 to 2.01, fitted mean 0.52 to 1.19. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.07 four-season WAR; 10 of 14 rated, 4 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.78 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 0.20 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.45 to 1.13 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Ahmad Nivins, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Hamady N'Diaye, draft 2010: 0.17 WAR, -0.64 LEBRON, 157 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Chukwudiebere Maduabum, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tomislav Zubčić, draft 2012: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Peyton Siva, draft 2013: 0.21 WAR, -0.87 LEBRON, 224 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Devyn Marble, draft 2014: 0.45 WAR, -0.81 LEBRON, 457 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Branden Dawson, draft 2015: 0.01 WAR, -1.72 LEBRON, 29 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Daniel Hamilton, draft 2016: 0.17 WAR, -1.24 LEBRON, 232 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jabari Bird, draft 2017: 0.11 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 115 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ray Spalding, draft 2018: 0.19 WAR, -0.65 LEBRON, 167 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jaylen Hands, draft 2019: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Grant Riller, draft 2020: 0.03 WAR, -0.76 LEBRON, 27 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Scottie Lewis, draft 2021: 0.01 WAR, -1.01 LEBRON, 7 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luke Travers, draft 2022: 0.18 WAR, -0.95 LEBRON, 191 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 3.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.11
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.78
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.18. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 0.20. Mean intervals: observed 0.05 to 0.18, fitted mean 0.45 to 1.13. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.00 four-season WAR; 5 of 14 rated, 9 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.72 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 0.21 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.39 to 1.08 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Emir Preldžić, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Ryan Reid, draft 2010: 0.01 WAR, -1.08 LEBRON, 17 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Tanguy Ngombo, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
İlkan Karaman, draft 2012: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Alex Oriakhi, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Louis Labeyrie, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Nikola Radičević, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Wang Zhelin, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Sasha Vezenkov, draft 2017: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Kevin Hervey, draft 2018: 0.07 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 52 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Jordan Bone, draft 2019: 0.08 WAR, -1.89 LEBRON, 249 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Reggie Perry, draft 2020: 0.27 WAR, -1.33 LEBRON, 398 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Balša Koprivica, draft 2021: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jabari Walker, draft 2022: 2.02 WAR, -1.61 LEBRON, 3830 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.18
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.00
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.72
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.05. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 0.21. Mean intervals: observed 0.01 to 0.48, fitted mean 0.39 to 1.08. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.01 four-season WAR; 9 of 14 rated, 5 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.66 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span -0.07 to 0.74 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.32 to 1.02 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 14 actual outcomes
Lester Hudson, draft 2009: 0.66 WAR, -0.47 LEBRON, 538 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Derrick Caracter, draft 2010: -0.10 WAR, -3.03 LEBRON, 215 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Ater Majok, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Robbie Hummel, draft 2012: 0.77 WAR, -1.44 LEBRON, 1397 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Deshaun Thomas, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jordan McRae, draft 2014: 0.32 WAR, -1.51 LEBRON, 579 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
J.P. Tokoto, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Abdel Nader, draft 2016: -0.67 WAR, -2.87 LEBRON, 2083 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Ognjen Jaramaz, draft 2017: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Thomas Welsh, draft 2018: 0.04 WAR, -0.79 LEBRON, 36 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Miye Oni, draft 2019: 0.03 WAR, -2.34 LEBRON, 672 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Paul Reed, draft 2020: 5.76 WAR, 0.78 LEBRON, 2824 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jericho Sims, draft 2021: 0.64 WAR, -2.05 LEBRON, 2584 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Hugo Besson, draft 2022: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.53
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.01
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.66
Complete selections
14
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.56. 10th–90th percentiles: -0.07 to 0.74. Mean intervals: observed -0.02 to 1.39, fitted mean 0.32 to 1.02. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.00 four-season WAR; 5 of 13 rated, 8 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.60 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 0.10 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.26 to 0.97 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Chinemelu Elonu, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Stanley Robinson, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Ádám Hanga, draft 2011: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Marcus Denmon, draft 2012: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Bojan Dubljević, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Xavier Thames, draft 2014: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Dimitrios Agravanis, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Isaiah Cousins, draft 2016: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Jaron Blossomgame, draft 2017: 0.44 WAR, -0.82 LEBRON, 439 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
George King, draft 2018: 0.03 WAR, -0.74 LEBRON, 25 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Dewan Hernandez, draft 2019: 0.03 WAR, -0.97 LEBRON, 28 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jalen Harris, draft 2020: 0.11 WAR, -1.42 LEBRON, 172 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
RaiQuan Gray, draft 2021: 0.09 WAR, -0.53 LEBRON, 74 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
0.05
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.00
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.60
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.03. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 0.10. Mean intervals: observed 0.01 to 0.12, fitted mean 0.26 to 0.97. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Median 0.07 four-season WAR; 7 of 13 rated, 6 had no NBA appearances in this window.
The 0.55 four-season WAR fit is a mean. The observed 10th–90th percentiles span 0.00 to 1.69 four-season WAR, not a future-player prediction interval.
Individual prediction error vs uncertainty in the mean
For picks 31–60, the held-out individual RMSE was 2.49 wins above replacement over four seasons (n=88, 2020–2022 test classes). This measures typical prediction error with extra weight on large misses; it is not a prediction interval.
The selected pick’s final fitted-mean 95% interval is 0.20 to 0.91 wins above replacement over four seasons. It describes uncertainty in the average, not the range of individual careers. The test model was trained on 2009–2019; the chart is the final all-class refit.
Detailed record and distribution · 13 actual outcomes
Robert Dozier, draft 2009: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Dwayne Collins, draft 2010: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Isaiah Thomas, draft 2011: 18.69 WAR, 1.16 LEBRON, 8001 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Robert Sacre, draft 2012: 1.24 WAR, -1.59 LEBRON, 2745 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Jānis Timma, draft 2013: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Cory Jefferson, draft 2014: 0.85 WAR, -0.10 LEBRON, 581 NBA minutes. 2 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Luka Mitrović, draft 2015: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Tyrone Wallace, draft 2016: 0.28 WAR, -2.09 LEBRON, 1639 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 2.
Alpha Kaba, draft 2017: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Kostas Antetokounmpo, draft 2018: 0.09 WAR, -0.70 LEBRON, 87 NBA minutes. 3 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Vanja Marinković, draft 2019: 0.00 WAR, Unavailable LEBRON, 0 NBA minutes. 0 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; no NBA appearance in the window.
Sam Merrill, draft 2020: 1.80 WAR, -0.44 LEBRON, 1419 NBA minutes. 4 NBA seasons in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Georgios Kalaitzakis, draft 2021: 0.07 WAR, -1.88 LEBRON, 214 NBA minutes. 1 NBA season in four elapsed seasons; debut in year 1.
Observed four-season mean (WAR)
1.77
Observed four-season median (WAR)
0.07
Fitted four-season mean (WAR)
0.55
Complete selections
13
Middle 50%: 0.00 to 0.85. 10th–90th percentiles: 0.00 to 1.69. Mean intervals: observed 0.14 to 4.90, fitted mean 0.20 to 0.91. Small samples and mean intervals do not describe a future player's prediction range.
Evidence for the overall finding
Same-population check: among the same 735 complete rated participants, pick–WAR rank correlation is -0.45, compared with -0.13 for pick–LEBRON. All 828 complete WAR outcomes give -0.52. On the same 735 players, the signed correlation difference (WAR minus LEBRON) is -0.325, with a paired class-bootstrap 95% interval -0.36 to -0.29. This is a retrospective association contrast, not a causal effect.
Player-level rank correlation: -0.52 (95% interval -0.56 to -0.47; n=828). Selected model: Line on log pick.
Validation and model detailsHeld-out prediction errors by pick band — Accumulated WAR
Selected model fitted only on 2009-2019; evaluate all 2020-2022 draft classes together by pick band. These test classes were excluded from model selection and fitting. Prediction minus observed outcome; positive means overprediction, negative means underprediction. The chart above instead uses the final refit on all complete classes.
Wins above replacement over four seasons; test classes 2020–2022 only. Swipe or use arrow keys to see every column.
Picks
n
Observed mean
Predicted mean
Signed error
RMSE
1–5
15
11.51
11.39
-0.12
7.58
6–14
27
6.65
6.87
0.22
7.02
15–30
48
4.24
4.02
-0.22
4.65
31–60
88
1.43
1.60
0.17
2.49
Three test classes give small subgroup samples; these are not precise estimates of lasting tier bias.
Error by held-out draft class — Accumulated WAR
One selected model trained on 2009–2019; each displayed class is excluded from fitting. Positive signed error means overprediction.
Wins above replacement over four seasons; retrospective held-out classes.
Draft
n
Observed mean
Predicted mean
Signed error
RMSE
2020
60
3.77
3.84
0.07
4.49
2021
60
3.95
3.84
-0.11
4.90
2022
58
3.77
3.95
0.18
4.40
The 2019 class's four-season outcome matures after 2022-23. These are retrospective held-out-class diagnostics, not forecasts available before the 2020 draft.
Model comparison — Accumulated WAR
Root mean squared error (RMSE): square each prediction error, average those squares, then take the square root. It uses the outcome units and gives larger errors more weight. Lower is better. measures prediction error in the outcome units; lower is better. The best CV error is 5.301. Adding its class-error standard error gives a cutoff of 5.621. The simplest candidate within that cutoff is retained.
Leave-one-draft-class-out CV on 2009-2019; simplest model within one SE of the lowest mean fold RMSE. 2020-2022 reserved for final testing. Final displayed curve refit on all eligible complete classes.
Error uses wins above replacement over four seasons. Lower error is better. Test set: 2020–2022, n=178.
Candidate models; selection uses development classes only.
Model
Class CV RMSE
Test RMSE
Training mean
6.13
5.55
Line on log pick (selected)
5.30
4.60
Straight line
5.45
4.80
Quadratic
5.38
4.66
Cubic
5.36
4.65
Natural spline (3 df)
5.37
4.66
Natural spline (4 df)
5.36
4.64
Selected model test R²: 0.31. Final displayed fit R²: 0.26. Final-fit performance includes the test classes after evaluation.
Actual draftees at pick 41
Choose an actual draftee above to open their four-year record.
Blake Griffin · 2009 draft, pick 1
29.14 four-season WAR · 3.02 LEBRON · 8102 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
311238.0 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
239236.2 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
259832.5 MPG
80
Rated
John Wall · 2010 draft, pick 1
19.83 four-season WAR · 0.76 LEBRON · 9574 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
260637.8 MPG
69
Rated
2011–12
238636.2 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
160232.7 MPG
49
Rated
2013–14
298036.3 MPG
82
Rated
Kyrie Irving · 2011 draft, pick 1
21.14 four-season WAR · 1.24 LEBRON · 8832 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
155830.5 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
204834.7 MPG
59
Rated
2013–14
249635.2 MPG
71
Rated
2014–15
273036.4 MPG
75
Rated
Anthony Davis · 2012 draft, pick 1
33.46 four-season WAR · 3.37 LEBRON · 8823 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
184628.8 MPG
64
Rated
2013–14
235835.2 MPG
67
Rated
2014–15
245536.1 MPG
68
Rated
2015–16
216435.5 MPG
61
Rated
Anthony Bennett · 2013 draft, pick 1
0.67 four-season WAR · -1.73 LEBRON · 1905 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
66312.8 MPG
52
Rated
2014–15
89415.7 MPG
57
Rated
2015–16
844.4 MPG
19
Rated
2016–17
26411.5 MPG
23
Rated
Andrew Wiggins · 2014 draft, pick 1
11.59 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 11841 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
296936.2 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
284535.1 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
304837.2 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
297936.3 MPG
82
Rated
Karl-Anthony Towns · 2015 draft, pick 1
36.56 four-season WAR · 2.68 LEBRON · 11120 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
262732.0 MPG
82
Rated
2016–17
303037.0 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
291835.6 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
254533.1 MPG
77
Rated
Ben Simmons · 2016 draft, pick 1
20.84 four-season WAR · 1.91 LEBRON · 7449 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
273233.7 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
270034.2 MPG
79
Rated
2019–20
201735.4 MPG
57
Rated
Markelle Fultz · 2017 draft, pick 1
2.85 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 2891 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
25318.1 MPG
14
Rated
2018–19
42722.5 MPG
19
Rated
2019–20
199627.7 MPG
72
Rated
2020–21
21526.9 MPG
8
Rated
Deandre Ayton · 2018 draft, pick 1
12.54 four-season WAR · 0.29 LEBRON · 7247 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
218330.7 MPG
71
Rated
2019–20
123632.5 MPG
38
Rated
2020–21
211530.7 MPG
69
Rated
2021–22
171329.5 MPG
58
Rated
Zion Williamson · 2019 draft, pick 1
10.81 four-season WAR · 2.22 LEBRON · 3650 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
66827.8 MPG
24
Rated
2020–21
202633.2 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
95633.0 MPG
29
Rated
Anthony Edwards · 2020 draft, pick 1
19.27 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 10392 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
231432.1 MPG
72
Rated
2021–22
246634.3 MPG
72
Rated
2022–23
284236.0 MPG
79
Rated
2023–24
277035.1 MPG
79
Rated
Cade Cunningham · 2021 draft, pick 1
10.06 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 7014 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
208832.6 MPG
64
Rated
2022–23
40033.3 MPG
12
Rated
2023–24
207433.5 MPG
62
Rated
2024–25
245235.0 MPG
70
Rated
Paolo Banchero · 2022 draft, pick 1
17.70 four-season WAR · 0.57 LEBRON · 9313 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
243033.8 MPG
72
Rated
2023–24
279935.0 MPG
80
Rated
2024–25
158234.4 MPG
46
Rated
2025–26
250234.8 MPG
72
Rated
Hasheem Thabeet · 2009 draft, pick 2
2.61 four-season WAR · -0.49 LEBRON · 2165 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
88313.0 MPG
68
Rated
2010–11
3737.9 MPG
47
Rated
2011–12
1397.0 MPG
20
Rated
2012–13
77011.7 MPG
66
Rated
Evan Turner · 2010 draft, pick 2
3.45 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 8859 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
179723.0 MPG
78
Rated
2011–12
171326.4 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
289235.3 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
245730.3 MPG
81
Rated
Derrick Williams · 2011 draft, pick 2
2.07 four-season WAR · -1.80 LEBRON · 6616 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
141821.5 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
191624.6 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
182023.3 MPG
78
Rated
2014–15
146219.8 MPG
74
Rated
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist · 2012 draft, pick 2
10.01 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 5319 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
202526.0 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
150224.2 MPG
62
Rated
2014–15
158728.9 MPG
55
Rated
2015–16
20529.3 MPG
7
Rated
Victor Oladipo · 2013 draft, pick 2
12.51 four-season WAR · -0.37 LEBRON · 9661 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
248731.1 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
257335.7 MPG
72
Rated
2015–16
237933.0 MPG
72
Rated
2016–17
222233.2 MPG
67
Rated
Jabari Parker · 2014 draft, pick 2
3.75 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 5617 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
73829.5 MPG
25
Rated
2015–16
240831.7 MPG
76
Rated
2016–17
172833.9 MPG
51
Rated
2017–18
74324.0 MPG
31
Rated
D'Angelo Russell · 2015 draft, pick 2
7.28 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 7752 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
225928.2 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
181128.7 MPG
63
Rated
2017–18
123425.7 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
244830.2 MPG
81
Rated
Brandon Ingram · 2016 draft, pick 2
5.49 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 8118 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
227928.8 MPG
79
Rated
2017–18
197533.5 MPG
59
Rated
2018–19
176033.8 MPG
52
Rated
2019–20
210433.9 MPG
62
Rated
Lonzo Ball · 2017 draft, pick 2
12.45 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 6975 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
178034.2 MPG
52
Rated
2018–19
142330.3 MPG
47
Rated
2019–20
202532.1 MPG
63
Rated
2020–21
174731.8 MPG
55
Rated
Marvin Bagley III · 2018 draft, pick 2
3.93 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 4166 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
156725.3 MPG
62
Rated
2019–20
33425.7 MPG
13
Rated
2020–21
111225.9 MPG
43
Rated
2021–22
115324.0 MPG
48
Rated
Ja Morant · 2019 draft, pick 2
20.38 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 7964 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
207431.0 MPG
67
Rated
2020–21
205332.6 MPG
63
Rated
2021–22
188933.1 MPG
57
Rated
2022–23
194831.9 MPG
61
Rated
James Wiseman · 2020 draft, pick 2
-0.19 four-season WAR · -2.56 LEBRON · 2794 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
83621.4 MPG
39
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
86719.3 MPG
45
Rated
2023–24
109117.3 MPG
63
Rated
Jalen Green · 2021 draft, pick 2
4.64 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 10038 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
213831.9 MPG
67
Rated
2022–23
260234.2 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
260131.7 MPG
82
Rated
2024–25
269732.9 MPG
82
Rated
Chet Holmgren · 2022 draft, pick 2
19.42 four-season WAR · 3.45 LEBRON · 5287 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
241329.4 MPG
82
Rated
2024–25
87727.4 MPG
32
Rated
2025–26
199728.9 MPG
69
Rated
James Harden · 2009 draft, pick 3
27.45 four-season WAR · 2.30 LEBRON · 8858 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
173822.9 MPG
76
Rated
2010–11
218926.7 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
194631.4 MPG
62
Rated
2012–13
298538.3 MPG
78
Rated
Derrick Favors · 2010 draft, pick 3
11.26 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 6899 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
153519.7 MPG
78
Rated
2011–12
137621.2 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
178723.2 MPG
77
Rated
2013–14
220130.2 MPG
73
Rated
Enes Freedom · 2011 draft, pick 3
2.28 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 6225 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
87413.2 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
107815.4 MPG
70
Rated
2013–14
213826.7 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
213528.5 MPG
75
Rated
Bradley Beal · 2012 draft, pick 3
9.49 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 8090 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
174531.2 MPG
56
Rated
2013–14
253034.7 MPG
73
Rated
2014–15
210733.4 MPG
63
Rated
2015–16
170831.1 MPG
55
Rated
Otto Porter Jr. · 2013 draft, pick 3
14.80 four-season WAR · 1.07 LEBRON · 6632 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
3198.6 MPG
37
Rated
2014–15
143219.4 MPG
74
Rated
2015–16
227630.3 MPG
75
Rated
2016–17
260532.6 MPG
80
Rated
Joel Embiid · 2014 draft, pick 3
9.63 four-season WAR · 3.08 LEBRON · 2698 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
78625.4 MPG
31
Rated
2017–18
191230.3 MPG
63
Rated
Jahlil Okafor · 2015 draft, pick 3
0.83 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 4013 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
159130.0 MPG
53
Rated
2016–17
113422.7 MPG
50
Rated
2017–18
35312.6 MPG
28
Rated
2018–19
93515.8 MPG
59
Rated
Jaylen Brown · 2016 draft, pick 3
11.78 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 7340 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
134117.2 MPG
78
Rated
2017–18
215230.7 MPG
70
Rated
2018–19
191325.9 MPG
74
Rated
2019–20
193433.9 MPG
57
Rated
Jayson Tatum · 2017 draft, pick 3
27.70 four-season WAR · 2.16 LEBRON · 9453 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
244330.5 MPG
80
Rated
2018–19
245531.1 MPG
79
Rated
2019–20
226534.3 MPG
66
Rated
2020–21
229035.8 MPG
64
Rated
Luka Dončić · 2018 draft, pick 3
33.55 four-season WAR · 3.48 LEBRON · 8928 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
231832.2 MPG
72
Rated
2019–20
204733.6 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
226234.3 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
230135.4 MPG
65
Rated
RJ Barrett · 2019 draft, pick 3
5.25 four-season WAR · -1.50 LEBRON · 9107 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
170430.4 MPG
56
Rated
2020–21
251134.9 MPG
72
Rated
2021–22
241734.5 MPG
70
Rated
2022–23
247533.9 MPG
73
Rated
LaMelo Ball · 2020 draft, pick 3
12.20 four-season WAR · 0.85 LEBRON · 5870 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
146928.8 MPG
51
Rated
2021–22
242232.3 MPG
75
Rated
2022–23
126835.2 MPG
36
Rated
2023–24
71132.3 MPG
22
Rated
Evan Mobley · 2021 draft, pick 3
24.66 four-season WAR · 2.05 LEBRON · 8745 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
233133.8 MPG
69
Rated
2022–23
271534.4 MPG
79
Rated
2023–24
153230.6 MPG
50
Rated
2024–25
216730.5 MPG
71
Rated
Jabari Smith Jr. · 2022 draft, pick 3
10.84 four-season WAR · -0.61 LEBRON · 9296 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
245131.0 MPG
79
Rated
2023–24
242431.9 MPG
76
Rated
2024–25
171630.1 MPG
57
Rated
2025–26
270535.1 MPG
77
Rated
Tyreke Evans · 2009 draft, pick 4
10.47 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 8962 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
267737.2 MPG
72
Rated
2010–11
210737.0 MPG
57
Rated
2011–12
216234.3 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
201631.0 MPG
65
Rated
Wesley Johnson · 2010 draft, pick 4
1.68 four-season WAR · -1.90 LEBRON · 6731 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
206926.2 MPG
79
Rated
2011–12
146922.6 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
95319.1 MPG
50
Rated
2013–14
224028.4 MPG
79
Rated
Tristan Thompson · 2011 draft, pick 4
8.55 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 8776 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
142423.7 MPG
60
Rated
2012–13
256431.3 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
259431.6 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
219426.8 MPG
82
Rated
Dion Waiters · 2012 draft, pick 4
5.39 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 8188 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
175628.8 MPG
61
Rated
2013–14
207229.6 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
220827.6 MPG
80
Rated
2015–16
215227.6 MPG
78
Rated
Cody Zeller · 2013 draft, pick 4
13.47 four-season WAR · 0.84 LEBRON · 6402 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
141617.3 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
148724.0 MPG
62
Rated
2015–16
177424.3 MPG
73
Rated
2016–17
172527.8 MPG
62
Rated
Aaron Gordon · 2014 draft, pick 4
11.11 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 6867 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
79717.0 MPG
47
Rated
2015–16
186323.9 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
229828.7 MPG
80
Rated
2017–18
190932.9 MPG
58
Rated
Kristaps Porziņģis · 2015 draft, pick 4
12.25 four-season WAR · 0.86 LEBRON · 5764 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
204728.4 MPG
72
Rated
2016–17
216432.8 MPG
66
Rated
2017–18
155332.4 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dragan Bender · 2016 draft, pick 4
-0.42 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 3755 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
57413.3 MPG
43
Rated
2017–18
206925.2 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
82618.0 MPG
46
Rated
2019–20
28617.9 MPG
16
Rated
Josh Jackson · 2017 draft, pick 4
-0.19 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 5888 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
195925.4 MPG
77
Rated
2018–19
198825.2 MPG
79
Rated
2019–20
38117.3 MPG
22
Rated
2020–21
156025.2 MPG
62
Rated
Jaren Jackson Jr. · 2018 draft, pick 4
10.72 four-season WAR · 0.64 LEBRON · 5521 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
151526.1 MPG
58
Rated
2019–20
162228.5 MPG
57
Rated
2020–21
25823.5 MPG
11
Rated
2021–22
212627.3 MPG
78
Rated
De'Andre Hunter · 2019 draft, pick 4
3.08 four-season WAR · -1.66 LEBRON · 6399 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
201832.0 MPG
63
Rated
2020–21
67829.5 MPG
23
Rated
2021–22
157729.8 MPG
53
Rated
2022–23
212631.7 MPG
67
Rated
Patrick Williams · 2020 draft, pick 4
1.22 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 5902 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
198327.9 MPG
71
Rated
2021–22
42224.8 MPG
17
Rated
2022–23
232328.3 MPG
82
Rated
2023–24
117427.3 MPG
43
Rated
Scottie Barnes · 2021 draft, pick 4
22.76 four-season WAR · 1.35 LEBRON · 9523 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
261735.4 MPG
74
Rated
2022–23
267834.8 MPG
77
Rated
2023–24
209434.9 MPG
60
Rated
2024–25
213432.8 MPG
65
Rated
Keegan Murray · 2022 draft, pick 4
14.99 four-season WAR · 0.39 LEBRON · 8373 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
238229.8 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
258833.6 MPG
77
Rated
2024–25
261034.3 MPG
76
Rated
2025–26
79334.5 MPG
23
Rated
Ricky Rubio · 2009 draft, pick 5
9.19 four-season WAR · 2.08 LEBRON · 3095 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
140434.2 MPG
41
Rated
2012–13
169129.7 MPG
57
Rated
DeMarcus Cousins · 2010 draft, pick 5
16.14 four-season WAR · 0.40 LEBRON · 8846 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
230928.5 MPG
81
Rated
2011–12
195030.5 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
228930.5 MPG
75
Rated
2013–14
229832.4 MPG
71
Rated
Jonas Valančiūnas · 2011 draft, pick 5
6.24 four-season WAR · -0.70 LEBRON · 5860 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
148223.9 MPG
62
Rated
2013–14
228228.2 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
209626.2 MPG
80
Rated
Thomas Robinson · 2012 draft, pick 5
2.14 four-season WAR · -1.39 LEBRON · 3644 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
105615.1 MPG
70
Rated
2013–14
87312.5 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
79814.8 MPG
54
Rated
2015–16
91712.9 MPG
71
Rated
Alex Len · 2013 draft, pick 5
2.31 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 5261 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
3628.6 MPG
42
Rated
2014–15
151822.0 MPG
69
Rated
2015–16
182123.3 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
156020.3 MPG
77
Rated
Danté Exum · 2014 draft, pick 5
0.29 four-season WAR · -2.14 LEBRON · 3280 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
181722.2 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
122818.6 MPG
66
Rated
2017–18
23516.8 MPG
14
Rated
Mario Hezonja · 2015 draft, pick 5
1.70 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 5236 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
141317.9 MPG
79
Rated
2016–17
96014.8 MPG
65
Rated
2017–18
165722.1 MPG
75
Rated
2018–19
120620.8 MPG
58
Rated
Kris Dunn · 2016 draft, pick 5
6.08 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 5516 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
133317.1 MPG
78
Rated
2017–18
152529.3 MPG
52
Rated
2018–19
138930.2 MPG
46
Rated
2019–20
126924.9 MPG
51
Rated
De'Aaron Fox · 2017 draft, pick 5
13.17 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 8242 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
202627.8 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
254631.4 MPG
81
Rated
2019–20
163432.0 MPG
51
Rated
2020–21
203635.1 MPG
58
Rated
Trae Young · 2018 draft, pick 5
21.33 four-season WAR · 1.11 LEBRON · 9400 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
250330.9 MPG
81
Rated
2019–20
212035.3 MPG
60
Rated
2020–21
212533.7 MPG
63
Rated
2021–22
265234.9 MPG
76
Rated
Darius Garland · 2019 draft, pick 5
12.50 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 8491 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
182430.9 MPG
59
Rated
2020–21
179033.1 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
243035.7 MPG
68
Rated
2022–23
244735.5 MPG
69
Rated
Isaac Okoro · 2020 draft, pick 5
7.18 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 7693 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
217332.4 MPG
67
Rated
2021–22
198129.6 MPG
67
Rated
2022–23
165221.7 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
188727.3 MPG
69
Rated
Jalen Suggs · 2021 draft, pick 5
7.79 four-season WAR · -0.24 LEBRON · 5580 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
130727.2 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
124623.5 MPG
53
Rated
2023–24
202527.0 MPG
75
Rated
2024–25
100228.6 MPG
35
Rated
Jaden Ivey · 2022 draft, pick 5
0.13 four-season WAR · -2.44 LEBRON · 6089 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
230431.1 MPG
74
Rated
2023–24
221728.8 MPG
77
Rated
2024–25
89829.9 MPG
30
Rated
2025–26
67018.1 MPG
37
Rated
Jonny Flynn · 2009 draft, pick 6
-2.61 four-season WAR · -3.37 LEBRON · 3738 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
233928.9 MPG
81
Rated
2010–11
98318.5 MPG
53
Rated
2011–12
41614.3 MPG
29
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ekpe Udoh · 2010 draft, pick 6
5.21 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 4436 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
103017.8 MPG
58
Rated
2011–12
129021.1 MPG
61
Rated
2012–13
131217.3 MPG
76
Rated
2013–14
80419.1 MPG
42
Rated
Jan Veselý · 2011 draft, pick 6
1.80 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 2455 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
107818.9 MPG
57
Rated
2012–13
60111.8 MPG
51
Rated
2013–14
77614.4 MPG
54
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Damian Lillard · 2012 draft, pick 6
30.85 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 11705 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
316738.6 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
293735.8 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
292535.7 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
267635.7 MPG
75
Rated
Nerlens Noel · 2013 draft, pick 6
5.75 four-season WAR · -0.66 LEBRON · 5323 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
231130.8 MPG
75
Rated
2015–16
196529.3 MPG
67
Rated
2016–17
104720.5 MPG
51
Rated
Marcus Smart · 2014 draft, pick 6
15.03 four-season WAR · 0.69 LEBRON · 7488 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
180827.0 MPG
67
Rated
2015–16
166727.3 MPG
61
Rated
2016–17
239930.4 MPG
79
Rated
2017–18
161429.9 MPG
54
Rated
Willie Cauley-Stein · 2015 draft, pick 6
14.31 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 7090 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
141221.4 MPG
66
Rated
2016–17
142118.9 MPG
75
Rated
2017–18
204428.0 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
221327.3 MPG
81
Rated
Buddy Hield · 2016 draft, pick 6
7.32 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 8743 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
188823.0 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
202425.3 MPG
80
Rated
2018–19
261531.9 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
221630.8 MPG
72
Rated
Jonathan Isaac · 2017 draft, pick 6
7.16 four-season WAR · 0.77 LEBRON · 3512 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
53619.9 MPG
27
Rated
2018–19
199626.6 MPG
75
Rated
2019–20
98028.8 MPG
34
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Mo Bamba · 2018 draft, pick 6
5.45 four-season WAR · -0.38 LEBRON · 4193 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
76616.3 MPG
47
Rated
2019–20
87814.2 MPG
62
Rated
2020–21
72515.8 MPG
46
Rated
2021–22
182425.7 MPG
71
Rated
Jarrett Culver · 2019 draft, pick 6
1.45 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 2480 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
150623.9 MPG
63
Rated
2020–21
49914.7 MPG
34
Rated
2021–22
3389.1 MPG
37
Rated
2022–23
13713.7 MPG
10
Rated
Onyeka Okongwu · 2020 draft, pick 6
7.93 four-season WAR · 0.14 LEBRON · 4847 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
60112.0 MPG
50
Rated
2021–22
99220.7 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
184923.1 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
140525.5 MPG
55
Rated
Josh Giddey · 2021 draft, pick 6
11.29 four-season WAR · -0.24 LEBRON · 8195 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
170031.5 MPG
54
Rated
2022–23
236731.1 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
201125.1 MPG
80
Rated
2024–25
211730.2 MPG
70
Rated
Bennedict Mathurin · 2022 draft, pick 6
3.29 four-season WAR · -1.77 LEBRON · 7529 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
222228.5 MPG
78
Rated
2023–24
153826.1 MPG
59
Rated
2024–25
214929.8 MPG
72
Rated
2025–26
162030.0 MPG
54
Rated
Stephen Curry · 2009 draft, pick 7
24.40 four-season WAR · 1.65 LEBRON · 9100 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
289636.2 MPG
80
Rated
2010–11
248933.6 MPG
74
Rated
2011–12
73228.2 MPG
26
Rated
2012–13
298338.2 MPG
78
Rated
Greg Monroe · 2010 draft, pick 7
16.49 four-season WAR · 0.24 LEBRON · 9681 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
222227.8 MPG
80
Rated
2011–12
208231.5 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
268733.2 MPG
81
Rated
2013–14
269032.8 MPG
82
Rated
Bismack Biyombo · 2011 draft, pick 7
3.48 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 5956 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
145523.1 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
218627.3 MPG
80
Rated
2013–14
107213.9 MPG
77
Rated
2014–15
124319.4 MPG
64
Rated
Harrison Barnes · 2012 draft, pick 7
10.75 four-season WAR · -0.43 LEBRON · 8622 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
205825.4 MPG
81
Rated
2013–14
220428.3 MPG
78
Rated
2014–15
231828.3 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
204230.9 MPG
66
Rated
Ben McLemore · 2013 draft, pick 7
0.67 four-season WAR · -2.14 LEBRON · 7476 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
218726.7 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
267032.6 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
144321.2 MPG
68
Rated
2016–17
117619.3 MPG
61
Rated
Julius Randle · 2014 draft, pick 7
2.58 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 6622 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
1414.0 MPG
1
Rated
2015–16
228628.2 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
213228.8 MPG
74
Rated
2017–18
219026.7 MPG
82
Rated
Emmanuel Mudiay · 2015 draft, pick 7
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.45 LEBRON · 6326 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
206830.4 MPG
68
Rated
2016–17
140625.6 MPG
55
Rated
2017–18
124519.5 MPG
64
Rated
2018–19
160727.2 MPG
59
Rated
Jamal Murray · 2016 draft, pick 7
15.45 four-season WAR · 0.35 LEBRON · 8680 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
176421.5 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
256531.7 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
244732.6 MPG
75
Rated
2019–20
190432.3 MPG
59
Rated
Lauri Markkanen · 2017 draft, pick 7
9.24 four-season WAR · -0.19 LEBRON · 6511 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
202029.7 MPG
68
Rated
2018–19
168232.3 MPG
52
Rated
2019–20
149229.8 MPG
50
Rated
2020–21
131725.8 MPG
51
Rated
Wendell Carter Jr. · 2018 draft, pick 7
9.65 four-season WAR · 0.29 LEBRON · 5593 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
111025.2 MPG
44
Rated
2019–20
125629.2 MPG
43
Rated
2020–21
137525.5 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
185229.9 MPG
62
Rated
Coby White · 2019 draft, pick 7
5.09 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 7235 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
167425.8 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
215631.2 MPG
69
Rated
2021–22
167527.5 MPG
61
Rated
2022–23
173023.4 MPG
74
Rated
Killian Hayes · 2020 draft, pick 7
0.44 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 5479 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
67025.8 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
164725.0 MPG
66
Rated
2022–23
215428.3 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
100824.0 MPG
42
Rated
Jonathan Kuminga · 2021 draft, pick 7
6.05 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 5672 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
118516.9 MPG
70
Rated
2022–23
139420.8 MPG
67
Rated
2023–24
194926.3 MPG
74
Rated
2024–25
114424.3 MPG
47
Rated
Shaedon Sharpe · 2022 draft, pick 7
1.76 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 6561 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
177922.2 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
105933.1 MPG
32
Rated
2024–25
225231.3 MPG
72
Rated
2025–26
147129.4 MPG
50
Rated
Jordan Hill · 2009 draft, pick 8
0.66 four-season WAR · -1.95 LEBRON · 2758 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
62413.3 MPG
47
Rated
2010–11
112515.6 MPG
72
Rated
2011–12
55114.1 MPG
39
Rated
2012–13
45815.8 MPG
29
Rated
Al-Farouq Aminu · 2010 draft, pick 8
9.13 four-season WAR · -0.38 LEBRON · 7040 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
145217.9 MPG
81
Rated
2011–12
147722.4 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
206627.2 MPG
76
Rated
2013–14
204525.6 MPG
80
Rated
Brandon Knight · 2011 draft, pick 8
6.63 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 8929 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
212932.3 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
236531.5 MPG
75
Rated
2013–14
240033.3 MPG
72
Rated
2014–15
203532.3 MPG
63
Rated
Terrence Ross · 2012 draft, pick 8
4.00 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 7237 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
123917.0 MPG
73
Rated
2013–14
215926.7 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
209225.5 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
174723.9 MPG
73
Rated
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · 2013 draft, pick 8
15.99 four-season WAR · 0.21 LEBRON · 9488 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
158319.8 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
258731.5 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
278936.7 MPG
76
Rated
2016–17
252933.3 MPG
76
Rated
Nik Stauskas · 2014 draft, pick 8
-2.22 four-season WAR · -2.90 LEBRON · 5647 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
112715.4 MPG
73
Rated
2015–16
180924.8 MPG
73
Rated
2016–17
218827.4 MPG
80
Rated
2017–18
52312.8 MPG
41
Rated
Stanley Johnson · 2015 draft, pick 8
2.49 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 6160 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
168723.1 MPG
73
Rated
2016–17
137117.8 MPG
77
Rated
2017–18
189427.4 MPG
69
Rated
2018–19
120818.3 MPG
66
Rated
Marquese Chriss · 2016 draft, pick 8
6.34 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 4965 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
174321.3 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
152721.2 MPG
72
Rated
2018–19
49911.6 MPG
43
Rated
2019–20
119620.3 MPG
59
Rated
Frank Ntilikina · 2017 draft, pick 8
0.78 four-season WAR · -2.06 LEBRON · 4119 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
170621.9 MPG
78
Rated
2018–19
90421.0 MPG
43
Rated
2019–20
118720.8 MPG
57
Rated
2020–21
3229.8 MPG
33
Rated
Collin Sexton · 2018 draft, pick 8
-0.34 four-season WAR · -2.46 LEBRON · 7179 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
260531.8 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
214333.0 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
211535.3 MPG
60
Rated
2021–22
31628.7 MPG
11
Rated
Jaxson Hayes · 2019 draft, pick 8
6.15 four-season WAR · -0.04 LEBRON · 4052 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
108016.9 MPG
64
Rated
2020–21
96416.1 MPG
60
Rated
2021–22
139820.0 MPG
70
Rated
2022–23
61013.0 MPG
47
Rated
Obi Toppin · 2020 draft, pick 8
6.64 four-season WAR · -0.22 LEBRON · 4693 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
68311.0 MPG
62
Rated
2021–22
123017.1 MPG
72
Rated
2022–23
105015.7 MPG
67
Rated
2023–24
173021.1 MPG
82
Rated
Franz Wagner · 2021 draft, pick 8
23.70 four-season WAR · 1.55 LEBRON · 9398 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
242930.7 MPG
79
Rated
2022–23
260932.6 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
233732.5 MPG
72
Rated
2024–25
202333.7 MPG
60
Rated
Dyson Daniels · 2022 draft, pick 8
17.75 four-season WAR · 1.34 LEBRON · 7491 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
104217.7 MPG
59
Rated
2023–24
135822.3 MPG
61
Rated
2024–25
257133.8 MPG
76
Rated
2025–26
252033.2 MPG
76
Rated
DeMar DeRozan · 2009 draft, pick 9
4.16 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 9734 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
166421.6 MPG
77
Rated
2010–11
285134.8 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
220635.0 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
301336.7 MPG
82
Rated
Gordon Hayward · 2010 draft, pick 9
9.85 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 8137 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
121816.9 MPG
72
Rated
2011–12
201530.5 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
210429.2 MPG
72
Rated
2013–14
280036.4 MPG
77
Rated
Kemba Walker · 2011 draft, pick 9
18.98 four-season WAR · 0.71 LEBRON · 9384 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
179227.2 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
285934.9 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
261435.8 MPG
73
Rated
2014–15
211934.2 MPG
62
Rated
Andre Drummond · 2012 draft, pick 9
27.46 four-season WAR · 2.21 LEBRON · 9030 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
124320.7 MPG
60
Rated
2013–14
261932.3 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
250230.5 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
266632.9 MPG
81
Rated
Trey Burke · 2013 draft, pick 9
2.16 four-season WAR · -1.81 LEBRON · 6619 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
226232.3 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
228830.1 MPG
76
Rated
2015–16
136621.3 MPG
64
Rated
2016–17
70312.3 MPG
57
Rated
Noah Vonleh · 2014 draft, pick 9
2.69 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 3573 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
25910.4 MPG
25
Rated
2015–16
117415.1 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
126517.1 MPG
74
Rated
2017–18
87516.2 MPG
54
Rated
Frank Kaminsky · 2015 draft, pick 9
7.90 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 6252 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
170821.1 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
195426.1 MPG
75
Rated
2017–18
183523.2 MPG
79
Rated
2018–19
75516.1 MPG
47
Rated
Jakob Poeltl · 2016 draft, pick 9
10.40 four-season WAR · 1.13 LEBRON · 4594 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
62611.6 MPG
54
Rated
2017–18
152418.6 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
127316.5 MPG
77
Rated
2019–20
117117.7 MPG
66
Rated
Dennis Smith Jr. · 2017 draft, pick 9
2.15 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 4514 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
204929.7 MPG
69
Rated
2018–19
150828.5 MPG
53
Rated
2019–20
53715.8 MPG
34
Rated
2020–21
42018.3 MPG
23
Rated
Kevin Knox · 2018 draft, pick 9
-4.07 four-season WAR · -4.02 LEBRON · 4010 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
215828.8 MPG
75
Rated
2019–20
116617.9 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
46411.0 MPG
42
Rated
2021–22
2227.4 MPG
30
Rated
Rui Hachimura · 2019 draft, pick 9
3.28 four-season WAR · -1.50 LEBRON · 5650 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
144430.1 MPG
48
Rated
2020–21
179731.5 MPG
57
Rated
2021–22
94322.5 MPG
42
Rated
2022–23
146623.3 MPG
63
Rated
Deni Avdija · 2020 draft, pick 9
9.15 four-season WAR · -0.52 LEBRON · 7518 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
125723.3 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
198424.2 MPG
82
Rated
2022–23
202026.6 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
225730.1 MPG
75
Rated
Davion Mitchell · 2021 draft, pick 9
3.27 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 6651 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
207627.7 MPG
75
Rated
2022–23
144718.1 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
110115.3 MPG
72
Rated
2024–25
202727.4 MPG
74
Rated
Jeremy Sochan · 2022 draft, pick 9
2.70 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 5484 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
145826.0 MPG
56
Rated
2023–24
219329.6 MPG
74
Rated
2024–25
136425.3 MPG
54
Rated
2025–26
46910.7 MPG
44
Rated
Brandon Jennings · 2009 draft, pick 10
14.54 four-season WAR · -0.16 LEBRON · 10068 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
267132.6 MPG
82
Rated
2010–11
216934.4 MPG
63
Rated
2011–12
233135.3 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
289736.2 MPG
80
Rated
Paul George · 2010 draft, pick 10
31.50 four-season WAR · 2.82 LEBRON · 9093 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
126520.7 MPG
61
Rated
2011–12
195829.7 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
297237.6 MPG
79
Rated
2013–14
289836.2 MPG
80
Rated
Jimmer Fredette · 2011 draft, pick 10
1.14 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 3130 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
113518.6 MPG
61
Rated
2012–13
96714.0 MPG
69
Rated
2013–14
51910.6 MPG
49
Rated
2014–15
50910.2 MPG
50
Rated
Austin Rivers · 2012 draft, pick 10
-1.39 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 5784 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
141823.2 MPG
61
Rated
2013–14
133919.4 MPG
69
Rated
2014–15
156320.6 MPG
76
Rated
2015–16
146421.9 MPG
67
Rated
CJ McCollum · 2013 draft, pick 10
13.92 four-season WAR · 0.66 LEBRON · 7025 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
47612.5 MPG
38
Rated
2014–15
97315.7 MPG
62
Rated
2015–16
278034.8 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
279635.0 MPG
80
Rated
Elfrid Payton · 2014 draft, pick 10
14.03 four-season WAR · 0.06 LEBRON · 8854 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
248930.4 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
214529.4 MPG
73
Rated
2016–17
241229.4 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
180828.7 MPG
63
Rated
Justise Winslow · 2015 draft, pick 10
9.34 four-season WAR · -0.15 LEBRON · 6496 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
223228.6 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
62534.7 MPG
18
Rated
2017–18
168024.7 MPG
68
Rated
2018–19
195929.7 MPG
66
Rated
Thon Maker · 2016 draft, pick 10
3.28 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 3548 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
5629.9 MPG
57
Rated
2017–18
123816.7 MPG
74
Rated
2018–19
97215.2 MPG
64
Rated
2019–20
77612.9 MPG
60
Rated
Zach Collins · 2017 draft, pick 10
1.54 four-season WAR · -1.46 LEBRON · 2691 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
104515.8 MPG
66
Rated
2018–19
135617.6 MPG
77
Rated
2019–20
29026.4 MPG
11
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Mikal Bridges · 2018 draft, pick 10
17.43 four-season WAR · 0.40 LEBRON · 9661 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
241729.5 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
204228.0 MPG
73
Rated
2020–21
234832.6 MPG
72
Rated
2021–22
285434.8 MPG
82
Rated
Cam Reddish · 2019 draft, pick 10
0.19 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 4303 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
155126.7 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
75028.8 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
101220.7 MPG
49
Rated
2022–23
99024.8 MPG
40
Rated
Jalen Smith · 2020 draft, pick 10
4.97 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 3407 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
1565.8 MPG
27
Rated
2021–22
92518.1 MPG
51
Rated
2022–23
127918.8 MPG
68
Rated
2023–24
104717.2 MPG
61
Rated
Ziaire Williams · 2021 draft, pick 10
1.43 four-season WAR · -1.95 LEBRON · 4486 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
134621.7 MPG
62
Rated
2022–23
56115.2 MPG
37
Rated
2023–24
103820.4 MPG
51
Rated
2024–25
154124.5 MPG
63
Rated
Johnny Davis · 2022 draft, pick 10
0.18 four-season WAR · -2.25 LEBRON · 1278 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
42315.1 MPG
28
Rated
2023–24
61312.3 MPG
50
Rated
2024–25
2427.1 MPG
34
Rated
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Terrence Williams · 2009 draft, pick 11
0.51 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 2922 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
176422.6 MPG
78
Rated
2010–11
29013.8 MPG
21
Rated
2011–12
55018.3 MPG
30
Rated
2012–13
31813.3 MPG
24
Rated
Cole Aldrich · 2010 draft, pick 11
1.20 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 1033 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1427.9 MPG
18
Rated
2011–12
1736.7 MPG
26
Rated
2012–13
3888.6 MPG
45
Rated
2013–14
3307.2 MPG
46
Rated
Klay Thompson · 2011 draft, pick 11
19.16 four-season WAR · 0.61 LEBRON · 9867 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
160824.4 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
293635.8 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
286835.4 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
245531.9 MPG
77
Rated
Meyers Leonard · 2012 draft, pick 11
0.18 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 3741 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
120617.5 MPG
69
Rated
2013–14
3558.9 MPG
40
Rated
2014–15
84715.4 MPG
55
Rated
2015–16
133321.9 MPG
61
Rated
Michael Carter-Williams · 2013 draft, pick 11
8.73 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 7058 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
241434.5 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
214932.6 MPG
66
Rated
2015–16
164930.5 MPG
54
Rated
2016–17
84618.8 MPG
45
Rated
Doug McDermott · 2014 draft, pick 11
-1.29 four-season WAR · -2.66 LEBRON · 5458 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
3218.9 MPG
36
Rated
2015–16
186123.0 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
150822.8 MPG
66
Rated
2017–18
176821.8 MPG
81
Rated
Myles Turner · 2015 draft, pick 11
17.31 four-season WAR · 1.01 LEBRON · 7863 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
136722.8 MPG
60
Rated
2016–17
254131.4 MPG
81
Rated
2017–18
183628.2 MPG
65
Rated
2018–19
211928.6 MPG
74
Rated
Domantas Sabonis · 2016 draft, pick 11
13.89 four-season WAR · 0.52 LEBRON · 7439 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
163220.1 MPG
81
Rated
2017–18
181024.5 MPG
74
Rated
2018–19
183824.8 MPG
74
Rated
2019–20
215934.8 MPG
62
Rated
Malik Monk · 2017 draft, pick 11
1.13 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 4159 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
85413.6 MPG
63
Rated
2018–19
125817.2 MPG
73
Rated
2019–20
116921.3 MPG
55
Rated
2020–21
87820.9 MPG
42
Rated
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 2018 draft, pick 11
14.27 four-season WAR · 0.47 LEBRON · 7724 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
217426.5 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
242834.7 MPG
70
Rated
2020–21
118033.7 MPG
35
Rated
2021–22
194234.7 MPG
56
Rated
Cameron Johnson · 2019 draft, pick 11
11.33 four-season WAR · 0.73 LEBRON · 5621 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
125522.0 MPG
57
Rated
2020–21
143723.9 MPG
60
Rated
2021–22
173026.2 MPG
66
Rated
2022–23
119928.5 MPG
42
Rated
Devin Vassell · 2020 draft, pick 11
6.97 four-season WAR · -0.72 LEBRON · 6419 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
105617.0 MPG
62
Rated
2021–22
193727.3 MPG
71
Rated
2022–23
117831.0 MPG
38
Rated
2023–24
224833.1 MPG
68
Rated
James Bouknight · 2021 draft, pick 11
-0.17 four-season WAR · -2.76 LEBRON · 900 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
3049.8 MPG
31
Rated
2022–23
51515.1 MPG
34
Rated
2023–24
815.8 MPG
14
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ousmane Dieng · 2022 draft, pick 11
1.48 four-season WAR · -1.49 LEBRON · 2438 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
56914.6 MPG
39
Rated
2023–24
36511.1 MPG
33
Rated
2024–25
40510.9 MPG
37
Rated
2025–26
109919.3 MPG
57
Rated
Gerald Henderson · 2009 draft, pick 12
2.94 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 5980 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
3558.3 MPG
43
Rated
2010–11
166124.4 MPG
68
Rated
2011–12
183133.3 MPG
55
Rated
2012–13
213331.4 MPG
68
Rated
Xavier Henry · 2010 draft, pick 12
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.27 LEBRON · 2819 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
52713.9 MPG
38
Rated
2011–12
75916.9 MPG
45
Rated
2012–13
62512.5 MPG
50
Rated
2013–14
90821.1 MPG
43
Rated
Alec Burks · 2011 draft, pick 12
3.28 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 5168 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
93915.9 MPG
59
Rated
2012–13
113717.8 MPG
64
Rated
2013–14
219328.1 MPG
78
Rated
2014–15
89933.3 MPG
27
Rated
Jeremy Lamb · 2012 draft, pick 12
5.51 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 3545 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
1476.4 MPG
23
Rated
2013–14
153819.7 MPG
78
Rated
2014–15
63313.5 MPG
47
Rated
2015–16
122718.6 MPG
66
Rated
Steven Adams · 2013 draft, pick 12
13.17 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 7371 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
119714.8 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
177125.3 MPG
70
Rated
2015–16
201425.2 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
238929.9 MPG
80
Rated
Dario Šarić · 2014 draft, pick 12
3.22 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 4439 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
212926.3 MPG
81
Rated
2017–18
231029.6 MPG
78
Rated
Trey Lyles · 2015 draft, pick 12
5.08 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 5051 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
138217.3 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
115816.3 MPG
71
Rated
2017–18
139119.1 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
112017.5 MPG
64
Rated
Taurean Prince · 2016 draft, pick 12
5.15 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 6854 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
98116.6 MPG
59
Rated
2017–18
246430.0 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
155228.2 MPG
55
Rated
2019–20
185729.0 MPG
64
Rated
Luke Kennard · 2017 draft, pick 12
2.09 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 5054 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
146320.0 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
143722.8 MPG
63
Rated
2019–20
92232.9 MPG
28
Rated
2020–21
123219.6 MPG
63
Rated
Miles Bridges · 2018 draft, pick 12
8.93 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 8460 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
169621.2 MPG
80
Rated
2019–20
199530.7 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
193229.3 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
283735.5 MPG
80
Rated
P.J. Washington · 2019 draft, pick 12
6.80 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 7861 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
175930.3 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
195430.5 MPG
64
Rated
2021–22
176827.2 MPG
65
Rated
2022–23
238032.6 MPG
73
Rated
Tyrese Haliburton · 2020 draft, pick 12
21.54 four-season WAR · 1.59 LEBRON · 8548 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
174630.1 MPG
58
Rated
2021–22
269535.0 MPG
77
Rated
2022–23
188333.6 MPG
56
Rated
2023–24
222432.2 MPG
69
Rated
Joshua Primo · 2021 draft, pick 12
-0.23 four-season WAR · -2.74 LEBRON · 1068 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
96519.3 MPG
50
Rated
2022–23
9323.3 MPG
4
Rated
2023–24
105.0 MPG
2
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jalen Williams · 2022 draft, pick 12
18.60 four-season WAR · 1.41 LEBRON · 7672 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
227630.3 MPG
75
Rated
2023–24
222331.3 MPG
71
Rated
2024–25
223732.4 MPG
69
Rated
2025–26
93628.4 MPG
33
Rated
Tyler Hansbrough · 2009 draft, pick 13
3.63 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 4854 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
51117.6 MPG
29
Rated
2010–11
153521.9 MPG
70
Rated
2011–12
144221.8 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
136616.9 MPG
81
Rated
Ed Davis · 2010 draft, pick 13
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5723 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
160224.6 MPG
65
Rated
2011–12
153423.2 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
163120.1 MPG
81
Unresolved
2013–14
95615.2 MPG
63
Rated
Markieff Morris · 2011 draft, pick 13
8.63 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 7798 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
122719.5 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
183722.4 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
215326.6 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
258131.5 MPG
82
Rated
Kendall Marshall · 2012 draft, pick 13
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 3083 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
70214.6 MPG
48
Rated
2013–14
156429.0 MPG
54
Rated
2014–15
41714.9 MPG
28
Rated
2015–16
40013.3 MPG
30
Rated
Kelly Olynyk · 2013 draft, pick 13
6.76 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 5756 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
140020.0 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
142322.2 MPG
64
Rated
2015–16
139520.2 MPG
69
Rated
2016–17
153820.5 MPG
75
Rated
Zach LaVine · 2014 draft, pick 13
0.41 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 6601 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
190224.7 MPG
77
Rated
2015–16
229428.0 MPG
82
Rated
2016–17
174937.2 MPG
47
Rated
2017–18
65627.3 MPG
24
Rated
Devin Booker · 2015 draft, pick 13
2.57 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 8945 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
210827.7 MPG
76
Rated
2016–17
273035.0 MPG
78
Rated
2017–18
186534.5 MPG
54
Rated
2018–19
224235.0 MPG
64
Rated
Georgios Papagiannis · 2016 draft, pick 13
-0.03 four-season WAR · -2.41 LEBRON · 477 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
35516.1 MPG
22
Rated
2017–18
1227.2 MPG
17
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Donovan Mitchell · 2017 draft, pick 13
21.96 four-season WAR · 1.22 LEBRON · 9371 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
263833.4 MPG
79
Rated
2018–19
259833.7 MPG
77
Rated
2019–20
236434.3 MPG
69
Rated
2020–21
177133.4 MPG
53
Rated
Jerome Robinson · 2018 draft, pick 13
0.33 four-season WAR · -2.05 LEBRON · 1604 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
3209.7 MPG
33
Rated
2019–20
97915.5 MPG
63
Rated
2020–21
30517.9 MPG
17
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Herro · 2019 draft, pick 13
6.65 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 7631 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
150827.4 MPG
55
Rated
2020–21
163530.3 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
215132.6 MPG
66
Rated
2022–23
233734.9 MPG
67
Rated
Kira Lewis Jr. · 2020 draft, pick 13
1.33 four-season WAR · -1.22 LEBRON · 1745 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
90416.7 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
34114.2 MPG
24
Rated
2022–23
2359.4 MPG
25
Rated
2023–24
2659.5 MPG
28
Rated
Chris Duarte · 2021 draft, pick 13
1.42 four-season WAR · -1.74 LEBRON · 3231 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
154128.0 MPG
55
Rated
2022–23
89719.5 MPG
46
Rated
2023–24
71912.2 MPG
59
Rated
2024–25
744.4 MPG
17
Rated
Jalen Duren · 2022 draft, pick 13
17.94 four-season WAR · 1.40 LEBRON · 7457 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
167024.9 MPG
67
Rated
2023–24
177729.1 MPG
61
Rated
2024–25
203426.1 MPG
78
Rated
2025–26
197628.2 MPG
70
Rated
Earl Clark · 2009 draft, pick 14
0.21 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 2769 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
3837.5 MPG
51
Rated
2010–11
46411.0 MPG
42
Rated
2011–12
55912.4 MPG
45
Rated
2012–13
136323.1 MPG
59
Rated
Patrick Patterson · 2010 draft, pick 14
5.31 four-season WAR · -0.88 LEBRON · 5659 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
86816.7 MPG
52
Rated
2011–12
148323.2 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
177525.0 MPG
71
Rated
2013–14
153323.6 MPG
65
Rated
Marcus Morris · 2011 draft, pick 14
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5495 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
1267.4 MPG
17
Rated
2012–13
152419.8 MPG
77
Unresolved
2013–14
180022.0 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
204525.2 MPG
81
Rated
John Henson · 2012 draft, pick 14
4.13 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 4871 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
82713.1 MPG
63
Rated
2013–14
185626.5 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
122818.3 MPG
67
Rated
2015–16
96016.8 MPG
57
Rated
Shabazz Muhammad · 2013 draft, pick 14
2.01 four-season WAR · -1.60 LEBRON · 4354 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
2907.8 MPG
37
Rated
2014–15
86622.8 MPG
38
Rated
2015–16
168220.5 MPG
82
Rated
2016–17
151619.4 MPG
78
Rated
T.J. Warren · 2014 draft, pick 14
4.55 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 5874 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
61415.3 MPG
40
Rated
2015–16
107022.8 MPG
47
Rated
2016–17
204831.0 MPG
66
Rated
2017–18
214233.0 MPG
65
Rated
Cameron Payne · 2015 draft, pick 14
2.06 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 2454 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
69812.2 MPG
57
Rated
2016–17
46214.9 MPG
31
Rated
2017–18
58223.3 MPG
25
Rated
2018–19
71217.8 MPG
40
Rated
Denzel Valentine · 2016 draft, pick 14
2.00 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 3559 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
97617.1 MPG
57
Rated
2017–18
209527.2 MPG
77
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
48813.6 MPG
36
Rated
Bam Adebayo · 2017 draft, pick 14
20.22 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 7841 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
136819.8 MPG
69
Rated
2018–19
191323.3 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
241733.6 MPG
72
Rated
2020–21
214333.5 MPG
64
Rated
Michael Porter Jr. · 2018 draft, pick 14
6.42 four-season WAR · 0.84 LEBRON · 3080 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
90316.4 MPG
55
Rated
2020–21
191231.3 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
26529.4 MPG
9
Rated
Romeo Langford · 2019 draft, pick 14
0.64 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 2268 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
37011.6 MPG
32
Rated
2020–21
28315.7 MPG
18
Rated
2021–22
77116.1 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
84419.6 MPG
43
Rated
Aaron Nesmith · 2020 draft, pick 14
4.67 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 5054 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
66914.5 MPG
46
Rated
2021–22
57411.0 MPG
52
Rated
2022–23
181624.9 MPG
73
Rated
2023–24
199527.7 MPG
72
Rated
Moses Moody · 2021 draft, pick 14
5.09 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 4229 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
60711.7 MPG
52
Rated
2022–23
81713.0 MPG
63
Rated
2023–24
115617.5 MPG
66
Rated
2024–25
164922.3 MPG
74
Rated
Ochai Agbaji · 2022 draft, pick 14
0.37 four-season WAR · -2.35 LEBRON · 5562 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
120920.5 MPG
59
Rated
2023–24
164121.0 MPG
78
Rated
2024–25
173927.2 MPG
64
Rated
2025–26
97315.7 MPG
62
Rated
Austin Daye · 2009 draft, pick 15
2.09 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 3640 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
91513.3 MPG
69
Rated
2010–11
144620.1 MPG
72
Rated
2011–12
60314.7 MPG
41
Rated
2012–13
67612.3 MPG
55
Rated
Larry Sanders · 2010 draft, pick 15
9.39 four-season WAR · 1.16 LEBRON · 4036 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
87214.5 MPG
60
Rated
2011–12
64312.4 MPG
52
Rated
2012–13
193727.3 MPG
71
Rated
2013–14
58425.4 MPG
23
Rated
Kawhi Leonard · 2011 draft, pick 15
25.62 four-season WAR · 2.93 LEBRON · 7300 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
153424.0 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
181031.2 MPG
58
Rated
2013–14
192329.1 MPG
66
Rated
2014–15
203331.8 MPG
64
Rated
Maurice Harkless · 2012 draft, pick 15
3.46 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 6055 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
197426.0 MPG
76
Rated
2013–14
195024.4 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
67415.0 MPG
45
Rated
2015–16
145718.7 MPG
78
Rated
Giannis Antetokounmpo · 2013 draft, pick 15
28.05 four-season WAR · 1.90 LEBRON · 10106 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
189724.6 MPG
77
Rated
2014–15
254131.4 MPG
81
Rated
2015–16
282335.3 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
284535.6 MPG
80
Rated
Adreian Payne · 2014 draft, pick 15
-0.59 four-season WAR · -2.90 LEBRON · 1403 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
73923.1 MPG
32
Rated
2015–16
4869.3 MPG
52
Rated
2016–17
1357.5 MPG
18
Rated
2017–18
438.6 MPG
5
Rated
Kelly Oubre Jr. · 2015 draft, pick 15
4.82 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 6442 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
67110.7 MPG
63
Rated
2016–17
160520.3 MPG
79
Rated
2017–18
223127.5 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
193528.0 MPG
69
Rated
Juancho Hernangómez · 2016 draft, pick 15
3.41 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 3310 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
84213.6 MPG
62
Rated
2017–18
27711.1 MPG
25
Rated
2018–19
135819.4 MPG
70
Rated
2019–20
83317.4 MPG
48
Rated
Justin Jackson · 2017 draft, pick 15
0.86 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 4742 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
150622.1 MPG
68
Rated
2018–19
161419.9 MPG
81
Rated
2019–20
104516.1 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
57717.0 MPG
34
Rated
Troy Brown Jr. · 2018 draft, pick 15
3.20 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 4091 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
73014.0 MPG
52
Rated
2019–20
178225.8 MPG
69
Rated
2020–21
52415.4 MPG
34
Rated
2021–22
105516.0 MPG
66
Rated
Sekou Doumbouya · 2019 draft, pick 15
-1.21 four-season WAR · -3.57 LEBRON · 1639 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
75419.8 MPG
38
Rated
2020–21
86915.5 MPG
56
Rated
2021–22
168.0 MPG
2
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cole Anthony · 2020 draft, pick 15
7.60 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 6701 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
127327.1 MPG
47
Rated
2021–22
205931.7 MPG
65
Rated
2022–23
155225.9 MPG
60
Rated
2023–24
181722.4 MPG
81
Rated
Corey Kispert · 2021 draft, pick 15
-0.83 four-season WAR · -2.65 LEBRON · 7563 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
180123.4 MPG
77
Rated
2022–23
209328.3 MPG
74
Rated
2023–24
206725.8 MPG
80
Rated
2024–25
160226.3 MPG
61
Rated
Mark Williams · 2022 draft, pick 15
7.99 four-season WAR · 0.78 LEBRON · 3923 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
82819.3 MPG
43
Rated
2023–24
50826.7 MPG
19
Rated
2024–25
117126.6 MPG
44
Rated
2025–26
141623.6 MPG
60
Rated
James Johnson · 2009 draft, pick 16
2.80 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 4018 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
75711.6 MPG
65
Rated
2010–11
82221.6 MPG
38
Rated
2011–12
156125.2 MPG
62
Rated
2012–13
87816.3 MPG
54
Rated
Luke Babbitt · 2010 draft, pick 16
1.72 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 1877 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1375.7 MPG
24
Rated
2011–12
53713.4 MPG
40
Rated
2012–13
73011.8 MPG
62
Rated
2013–14
47317.5 MPG
27
Rated
Nikola Vučević · 2011 draft, pick 16
11.54 four-season WAR · -0.06 LEBRON · 7712 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
81215.9 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
255933.2 MPG
77
Rated
2013–14
181231.8 MPG
57
Rated
2014–15
252934.2 MPG
74
Rated
Royce White · 2012 draft, pick 16
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.03 LEBRON · 9 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
93.0 MPG
3
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Lucas Nogueira · 2013 draft, pick 16
2.15 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 1336 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
233.8 MPG
6
Rated
2015–16
2257.8 MPG
29
Rated
2016–17
108819.1 MPG
57
Rated
Jusuf Nurkić · 2014 draft, pick 16
9.91 four-season WAR · 0.58 LEBRON · 5129 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
110317.8 MPG
62
Rated
2015–16
54717.1 MPG
32
Rated
2016–17
139121.4 MPG
65
Rated
2017–18
208826.4 MPG
79
Rated
Terry Rozier · 2015 draft, pick 16
6.16 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 5433 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
3118.0 MPG
39
Rated
2016–17
126317.1 MPG
74
Rated
2017–18
206825.9 MPG
80
Rated
2018–19
179122.7 MPG
79
Rated
Guerschon Yabusele · 2016 draft, pick 16
0.28 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 486 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
2357.1 MPG
33
Rated
2018–19
2516.1 MPG
41
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justin Patton · 2017 draft, pick 16
0.35 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 296 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
44.0 MPG
1
Rated
2018–19
217.0 MPG
3
Rated
2019–20
244.8 MPG
5
Rated
2020–21
24719.0 MPG
13
Rated
Zhaire Smith · 2018 draft, pick 16
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.12 LEBRON · 143 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
11118.5 MPG
6
Rated
2019–20
324.6 MPG
7
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Chuma Okeke · 2019 draft, pick 16
2.51 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 3400 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
113325.2 MPG
45
Rated
2021–22
174925.0 MPG
70
Rated
2022–23
51819.2 MPG
27
Rated
Isaiah Stewart · 2020 draft, pick 16
5.99 four-season WAR · -0.89 LEBRON · 6108 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
145521.4 MPG
68
Rated
2021–22
181625.6 MPG
71
Rated
2022–23
141428.3 MPG
50
Rated
2023–24
142330.9 MPG
46
Rated
Alperen Şengün · 2021 draft, pick 16
16.58 four-season WAR · 0.80 LEBRON · 8101 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
148920.7 MPG
72
Rated
2022–23
217128.9 MPG
75
Rated
2023–24
204632.5 MPG
63
Rated
2024–25
239531.5 MPG
76
Rated
AJ Griffin · 2022 draft, pick 16
0.79 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 1572 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
140119.5 MPG
72
Rated
2023–24
1718.6 MPG
20
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jrue Holiday · 2009 draft, pick 17
16.27 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 9790 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
176724.2 MPG
73
Rated
2010–11
290135.4 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
219633.8 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
292637.5 MPG
78
Rated
Kevin Séraphin · 2010 draft, pick 17
-1.77 four-season WAR · -2.98 LEBRON · 4110 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
63510.9 MPG
58
Rated
2011–12
117620.6 MPG
57
Rated
2012–13
172121.8 MPG
79
Rated
2013–14
57810.9 MPG
53
Rated
Iman Shumpert · 2011 draft, pick 17
9.47 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 6208 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
170528.9 MPG
59
Rated
2012–13
99622.1 MPG
45
Rated
2013–14
196226.5 MPG
74
Rated
2014–15
154524.9 MPG
62
Rated
Tyler Zeller · 2012 draft, pick 17
2.55 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 5523 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
203326.4 MPG
77
Rated
2013–14
104915.0 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
173121.1 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
71011.8 MPG
60
Rated
Dennis Schröder · 2013 draft, pick 17
7.37 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 6263 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
64113.1 MPG
49
Rated
2014–15
151619.7 MPG
77
Rated
2015–16
162120.3 MPG
80
Rated
2016–17
248531.5 MPG
79
Rated
James Young · 2014 draft, pick 17
0.38 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 812 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
33210.7 MPG
31
Rated
2015–16
1996.9 MPG
29
Rated
2016–17
2207.6 MPG
29
Rated
2017–18
6110.2 MPG
6
Rated
Rashad Vaughn · 2015 draft, pick 17
-0.94 four-season WAR · -3.15 LEBRON · 1671 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
100114.3 MPG
70
Rated
2016–17
45811.2 MPG
41
Rated
2017–18
2127.6 MPG
28
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Wade Baldwin · 2016 draft, pick 17
-0.06 four-season WAR · -2.49 LEBRON · 579 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
40512.3 MPG
33
Rated
2017–18
8011.4 MPG
7
Rated
2018–19
945.9 MPG
16
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
D.J. Wilson · 2017 draft, pick 17
1.67 four-season WAR · -0.91 LEBRON · 1749 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
713.2 MPG
22
Rated
2018–19
88218.4 MPG
48
Rated
2019–20
3639.8 MPG
37
Rated
2020–21
43312.4 MPG
35
Rated
Donte DiVincenzo · 2018 draft, pick 17
9.77 four-season WAR · 0.81 LEBRON · 4751 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
41115.2 MPG
27
Rated
2019–20
152023.0 MPG
66
Rated
2020–21
181427.5 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
100624.0 MPG
42
Rated
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · 2019 draft, pick 17
2.52 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 3948 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
59112.6 MPG
47
Rated
2020–21
100721.9 MPG
46
Rated
2021–22
146622.6 MPG
65
Rated
2022–23
88415.0 MPG
59
Rated
Aleksej Pokusevski · 2020 draft, pick 17
1.71 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 3429 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
109024.2 MPG
45
Rated
2021–22
123320.2 MPG
61
Rated
2022–23
70120.6 MPG
34
Rated
2023–24
40514.5 MPG
28
Rated
Trey Murphy III · 2021 draft, pick 17
10.93 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 6856 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
86413.9 MPG
62
Rated
2022–23
244831.0 MPG
79
Rated
2023–24
169029.6 MPG
57
Rated
2024–25
185435.0 MPG
53
Rated
Tari Eason · 2022 draft, pick 17
9.09 four-season WAR · 0.32 LEBRON · 5216 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
176721.5 MPG
82
Rated
2023–24
48021.8 MPG
22
Rated
2024–25
142024.9 MPG
57
Rated
2025–26
154925.8 MPG
60
Rated
Ty Lawson · 2009 draft, pick 18
18.51 four-season WAR · 1.09 LEBRON · 8058 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
131820.3 MPG
65
Rated
2010–11
210326.3 MPG
80
Rated
2011–12
212434.8 MPG
61
Rated
2012–13
251334.4 MPG
73
Rated
Eric Bledsoe · 2010 draft, pick 18
8.22 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 5274 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
184122.7 MPG
81
Rated
2011–12
46411.6 MPG
40
Rated
2012–13
155320.4 MPG
76
Rated
2013–14
141632.9 MPG
43
Rated
Chris Singleton · 2011 draft, pick 18
2.06 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 2605 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
143121.7 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
92416.2 MPG
57
Rated
2013–14
25010.0 MPG
25
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Terrence Jones · 2012 draft, pick 18
5.47 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 4287 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
27614.5 MPG
19
Rated
2013–14
207827.3 MPG
76
Rated
2014–15
88926.9 MPG
33
Rated
2015–16
104420.9 MPG
50
Rated
Shane Larkin · 2013 draft, pick 18
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.78 LEBRON · 4105 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
48910.2 MPG
48
Rated
2014–15
186524.5 MPG
76
Rated
2015–16
175122.4 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Ennis · 2014 draft, pick 18
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.46 LEBRON · 2336 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
41112.5 MPG
33
Rated
2015–16
65414.2 MPG
46
Rated
2016–17
58811.1 MPG
53
Rated
2017–18
68312.6 MPG
54
Rated
Sam Dekker · 2015 draft, pick 18
3.16 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 3096 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
62.0 MPG
3
Rated
2016–17
141918.4 MPG
77
Rated
2017–18
88312.1 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
78816.8 MPG
47
Rated
Henry Ellenson · 2016 draft, pick 18
0.88 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 749 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
1467.7 MPG
19
Rated
2017–18
3298.7 MPG
38
Rated
2018–19
25913.6 MPG
19
Rated
2019–20
153.0 MPG
5
Rated
T.J. Leaf · 2017 draft, pick 18
0.23 four-season WAR · -2.04 LEBRON · 1238 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
4598.7 MPG
53
Rated
2018–19
5229.0 MPG
58
Rated
2019–20
2227.9 MPG
28
Rated
2020–21
355.0 MPG
7
Rated
Lonnie Walker IV · 2018 draft, pick 18
-0.53 four-season WAR · -2.59 LEBRON · 4240 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1186.9 MPG
17
Rated
2019–20
98816.2 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
152225.4 MPG
60
Rated
2021–22
161223.0 MPG
70
Rated
Goga Bitadze · 2019 draft, pick 18
3.70 four-season WAR · 0.20 LEBRON · 2218 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
4718.7 MPG
54
Rated
2020–21
56112.5 MPG
45
Rated
2021–22
72914.6 MPG
50
Rated
2022–23
45712.0 MPG
38
Rated
Josh Green · 2020 draft, pick 18
3.73 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 4528 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
44511.4 MPG
39
Rated
2021–22
103915.5 MPG
67
Rated
2022–23
153925.6 MPG
60
Rated
2023–24
150526.4 MPG
57
Rated
Tre Mann · 2021 draft, pick 18
0.35 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 3856 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
136722.8 MPG
60
Rated
2022–23
118317.7 MPG
67
Rated
2023–24
98724.1 MPG
41
Rated
2024–25
31924.5 MPG
13
Rated
Dalen Terry · 2022 draft, pick 18
2.19 four-season WAR · -1.03 LEBRON · 2433 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
2145.6 MPG
38
Rated
2023–24
68111.5 MPG
59
Rated
2024–25
98713.5 MPG
73
Rated
2025–26
55111.5 MPG
48
Rated
Jeff Teague · 2009 draft, pick 19
12.97 four-season WAR · 0.63 LEBRON · 6493 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
71910.1 MPG
71
Rated
2010–11
96313.8 MPG
70
Rated
2011–12
218333.1 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
262832.9 MPG
80
Rated
Avery Bradley · 2010 draft, pick 19
3.06 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 4820 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1625.2 MPG
31
Rated
2011–12
136821.4 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
143528.7 MPG
50
Rated
2013–14
185530.9 MPG
60
Rated
Tobias Harris · 2011 draft, pick 19
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5997 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
47911.4 MPG
42
Rated
2012–13
129923.6 MPG
55
Unresolved
2013–14
185030.3 MPG
61
Rated
2014–15
236934.8 MPG
68
Rated
Andrew Nicholson · 2012 draft, pick 19
-0.18 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 3738 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
124916.7 MPG
75
Rated
2013–14
117415.4 MPG
76
Rated
2014–15
49212.3 MPG
40
Rated
2015–16
82314.7 MPG
56
Rated
Sergey Karasev · 2013 draft, pick 19
0.85 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 1110 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
1567.1 MPG
22
Rated
2014–15
55516.8 MPG
33
Rated
2015–16
39910.0 MPG
40
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Gary Harris · 2014 draft, pick 19
12.01 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 7244 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
71913.1 MPG
55
Rated
2015–16
243932.1 MPG
76
Rated
2016–17
178231.3 MPG
57
Rated
2017–18
230434.4 MPG
67
Rated
Jerian Grant · 2015 draft, pick 19
4.18 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 4918 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
126516.6 MPG
76
Rated
2016–17
102816.3 MPG
63
Rated
2017–18
168622.8 MPG
74
Rated
2018–19
93915.7 MPG
60
Rated
Malik Beasley · 2016 draft, pick 19
2.57 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 3836 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
1657.5 MPG
22
Rated
2017–18
5839.4 MPG
62
Rated
2018–19
187923.2 MPG
81
Rated
2019–20
120922.0 MPG
55
Rated
John Collins · 2017 draft, pick 19
12.86 four-season WAR · 0.53 LEBRON · 6825 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
178524.1 MPG
74
Rated
2018–19
182930.0 MPG
61
Rated
2019–20
136333.2 MPG
41
Rated
2020–21
184829.3 MPG
63
Rated
Kevin Huerter · 2018 draft, pick 19
8.51 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 8122 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
204827.3 MPG
75
Rated
2019–20
176031.4 MPG
56
Rated
2020–21
212630.8 MPG
69
Rated
2021–22
218829.6 MPG
74
Rated
Luka Šamanić · 2019 draft, pick 19
0.46 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 517 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
4816.0 MPG
3
Rated
2020–21
3089.3 MPG
33
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
16123.0 MPG
7
Rated
Saddiq Bey · 2020 draft, pick 19
6.01 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 8804 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
190927.3 MPG
70
Rated
2021–22
270433.0 MPG
82
Rated
2022–23
212927.6 MPG
77
Rated
2023–24
206232.7 MPG
63
Rated
Kai Jones · 2021 draft, pick 19
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 1081 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
633.0 MPG
21
Rated
2022–23
55012.0 MPG
46
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
46811.7 MPG
40
Rated
Jake LaRavia · 2022 draft, pick 19
3.33 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 4630 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
41411.8 MPG
35
Rated
2023–24
80623.0 MPG
35
Rated
2024–25
134920.4 MPG
66
Rated
2025–26
206125.1 MPG
82
Rated
Eric Maynor · 2009 draft, pick 20
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3569 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
126915.7 MPG
81
Rated
2010–11
120014.6 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
13715.2 MPG
9
Rated
2012–13
96315.0 MPG
64
Unresolved
James Anderson · 2010 draft, pick 20
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3599 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
28611.0 MPG
26
Rated
2011–12
60311.8 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
40110.3 MPG
39
Unresolved
2013–14
230928.9 MPG
80
Rated
Donatas Motiejūnas · 2011 draft, pick 20
3.02 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 3527 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
53812.2 MPG
44
Rated
2013–14
95215.4 MPG
62
Rated
2014–15
203728.7 MPG
71
Rated
Evan Fournier · 2012 draft, pick 20
3.69 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 6158 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
42811.3 MPG
38
Rated
2013–14
150319.8 MPG
76
Rated
2014–15
166128.6 MPG
58
Rated
2015–16
256632.5 MPG
79
Rated
Tony Snell · 2013 draft, pick 20
1.08 four-season WAR · -2.04 LEBRON · 6280 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
123116.0 MPG
77
Rated
2014–15
141219.6 MPG
72
Rated
2015–16
130120.3 MPG
64
Rated
2016–17
233629.2 MPG
80
Rated
Bruno Caboclo · 2014 draft, pick 20
0.24 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 213 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
232.9 MPG
8
Rated
2015–16
437.2 MPG
6
Rated
2016–17
404.4 MPG
9
Rated
2017–18
1078.9 MPG
12
Rated
Delon Wright · 2015 draft, pick 20
7.19 four-season WAR · 0.53 LEBRON · 3807 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
2298.5 MPG
27
Rated
2016–17
44616.5 MPG
27
Rated
2017–18
143320.8 MPG
69
Rated
2018–19
169922.7 MPG
75
Rated
Caris LeVert · 2016 draft, pick 20
7.02 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 5494 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
123721.7 MPG
57
Rated
2017–18
186426.3 MPG
71
Rated
2018–19
106326.6 MPG
40
Rated
2019–20
133029.6 MPG
45
Rated
Harry Giles · 2017 draft, pick 20
1.26 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 1835 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
82014.1 MPG
58
Rated
2019–20
66714.5 MPG
46
Rated
2020–21
3489.2 MPG
38
Rated
Josh Okogie · 2018 draft, pick 20
4.99 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 5017 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
175723.7 MPG
74
Rated
2019–20
154725.0 MPG
62
Rated
2020–21
119720.3 MPG
59
Rated
2021–22
51610.5 MPG
49
Rated
Matisse Thybulle · 2019 draft, pick 20
7.80 four-season WAR · -0.18 LEBRON · 5470 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
128719.8 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
129820.0 MPG
65
Rated
2021–22
168525.5 MPG
66
Rated
2022–23
120016.9 MPG
71
Rated
Precious Achiuwa · 2020 draft, pick 20
4.11 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 5226 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
73712.1 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
172523.6 MPG
73
Rated
2022–23
114020.7 MPG
55
Rated
2023–24
162421.9 MPG
74
Rated
Jalen Johnson · 2021 draft, pick 20
7.90 four-season WAR · 0.46 LEBRON · 4335 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
1205.5 MPG
22
Rated
2022–23
104214.9 MPG
70
Rated
2023–24
188933.7 MPG
56
Rated
2024–25
128435.7 MPG
36
Rated
Malaki Branham · 2022 draft, pick 20
-2.30 four-season WAR · -3.45 LEBRON · 3846 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
155023.5 MPG
66
Rated
2023–24
159421.3 MPG
75
Rated
2024–25
4279.1 MPG
47
Rated
2025–26
2759.8 MPG
28
Rated
Darren Collison · 2009 draft, pick 21
6.99 four-season WAR · -1.10 LEBRON · 8719 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
210927.8 MPG
76
Rated
2010–11
236029.9 MPG
79
Rated
2011–12
187831.3 MPG
60
Rated
2012–13
237229.3 MPG
81
Rated
Craig Brackins · 2010 draft, pick 21
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 121 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
3311.0 MPG
3
Rated
2011–12
886.3 MPG
14
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nolan Smith · 2011 draft, pick 21
-0.29 four-season WAR · -2.76 LEBRON · 829 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
54112.3 MPG
44
Rated
2012–13
2887.2 MPG
40
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jared Sullinger · 2012 draft, pick 21
10.10 four-season WAR · 0.06 LEBRON · 6414 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
89219.8 MPG
45
Rated
2013–14
204127.6 MPG
74
Rated
2014–15
156627.0 MPG
58
Rated
2015–16
191523.6 MPG
81
Rated
Gorgui Dieng · 2013 draft, pick 21
11.08 four-season WAR · -0.20 LEBRON · 7884 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
81813.6 MPG
60
Rated
2014–15
219330.0 MPG
73
Rated
2015–16
222027.1 MPG
82
Rated
2016–17
265332.4 MPG
82
Rated
Mitch McGary · 2014 draft, pick 21
0.58 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 557 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
48515.2 MPG
32
Rated
2015–16
723.6 MPG
20
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justin Anderson · 2015 draft, pick 21
3.06 four-season WAR · -0.72 LEBRON · 2857 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
64711.8 MPG
55
Rated
2016–17
122816.4 MPG
75
Rated
2017–18
51913.7 MPG
38
Rated
2018–19
4639.6 MPG
48
Rated
DeAndre' Bembry · 2016 draft, pick 21
1.15 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 3672 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
3719.8 MPG
38
Rated
2017–18
45517.5 MPG
26
Rated
2018–19
193123.5 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
91521.3 MPG
43
Rated
Terrance Ferguson · 2017 draft, pick 21
-0.48 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 4000 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
76312.5 MPG
61
Rated
2018–19
193126.1 MPG
74
Rated
2019–20
125722.4 MPG
56
Rated
2020–21
493.8 MPG
13
Rated
Grayson Allen · 2018 draft, pick 21
4.85 four-season WAR · -0.61 LEBRON · 4198 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
41610.9 MPG
38
Rated
2019–20
71818.9 MPG
38
Rated
2020–21
125925.2 MPG
50
Rated
2021–22
180527.3 MPG
66
Rated
Brandon Clarke · 2019 draft, pick 21
9.48 four-season WAR · 0.51 LEBRON · 5051 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
130022.4 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
141524.0 MPG
59
Rated
2021–22
124619.5 MPG
64
Rated
2022–23
109019.5 MPG
56
Rated
Tyrese Maxey · 2020 draft, pick 21
15.53 four-season WAR · 0.55 LEBRON · 8227 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
93515.3 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
265035.3 MPG
75
Rated
2022–23
201633.6 MPG
60
Rated
2023–24
262637.5 MPG
70
Rated
Keon Johnson · 2021 draft, pick 21
-0.18 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 3099 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
69718.8 MPG
37
Rated
2022–23
41610.4 MPG
40
Rated
2023–24
6112.2 MPG
5
Rated
2024–25
192524.4 MPG
79
Rated
Christian Braun · 2022 draft, pick 21
7.80 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 6910 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
118115.5 MPG
76
Rated
2023–24
165520.2 MPG
82
Rated
2024–25
267533.9 MPG
79
Rated
2025–26
139931.8 MPG
44
Rated
Víctor Claver · 2009 draft, pick 22
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 812 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
81216.6 MPG
49
Rated
Elliot Williams · 2010 draft, pick 22
-0.98 four-season WAR · -3.42 LEBRON · 1306 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
1496.2 MPG
24
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
115717.3 MPG
67
Rated
Kenneth Faried · 2011 draft, pick 22
18.71 four-season WAR · 1.37 LEBRON · 7549 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
103722.5 MPG
46
Rated
2012–13
224828.1 MPG
80
Rated
2013–14
217827.2 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
208627.8 MPG
75
Rated
Fab Melo · 2012 draft, pick 22
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 36 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
366.0 MPG
6
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Mason Plumlee · 2013 draft, pick 22
15.61 four-season WAR · 0.92 LEBRON · 7250 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
127518.2 MPG
70
Rated
2014–15
174321.3 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
208425.4 MPG
82
Rated
2016–17
214826.5 MPG
81
Rated
Jordan Adams · 2014 draft, pick 22
0.24 four-season WAR · -0.90 LEBRON · 263 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
2488.3 MPG
30
Rated
2015–16
157.5 MPG
2
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Bobby Portis · 2015 draft, pick 22
4.92 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 5044 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
110217.8 MPG
62
Rated
2016–17
100015.6 MPG
64
Rated
2017–18
164322.5 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
129926.0 MPG
50
Rated
Malachi Richardson · 2016 draft, pick 22
0.32 four-season WAR · -1.57 LEBRON · 625 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
1989.0 MPG
22
Rated
2017–18
32412.5 MPG
26
Rated
2018–19
1034.7 MPG
22
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jarrett Allen · 2017 draft, pick 22
13.52 four-season WAR · 0.52 LEBRON · 7253 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
144120.0 MPG
72
Rated
2018–19
209626.2 MPG
80
Rated
2019–20
185226.5 MPG
70
Rated
2020–21
186429.6 MPG
63
Rated
Chandler Hutchison · 2018 draft, pick 22
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.86 LEBRON · 1790 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
89520.3 MPG
44
Rated
2019–20
52718.8 MPG
28
Rated
2020–21
34613.8 MPG
25
Rated
2021–22
223.7 MPG
6
Rated
Grant Williams · 2019 draft, pick 22
6.05 four-season WAR · -0.85 LEBRON · 6101 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
104315.1 MPG
69
Rated
2020–21
113818.1 MPG
63
Rated
2021–22
187524.4 MPG
77
Rated
2022–23
204525.9 MPG
79
Rated
Zeke Nnaji · 2020 draft, pick 22
0.34 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 2399 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
3979.5 MPG
42
Rated
2021–22
69817.0 MPG
41
Rated
2022–23
72813.7 MPG
53
Rated
2023–24
5769.9 MPG
58
Rated
Isaiah Jackson · 2021 draft, pick 22
4.19 four-season WAR · 0.28 LEBRON · 2438 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
54115.0 MPG
36
Rated
2022–23
104216.5 MPG
63
Rated
2023–24
77112.8 MPG
60
Rated
2024–25
8416.8 MPG
5
Rated
Walker Kessler · 2022 draft, pick 22
11.47 four-season WAR · 1.13 LEBRON · 5090 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
170323.0 MPG
74
Rated
2023–24
149323.3 MPG
64
Rated
2024–25
174030.0 MPG
58
Rated
2025–26
15430.8 MPG
5
Rated
Omri Casspi · 2009 draft, pick 23
5.43 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 5477 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
193125.1 MPG
77
Rated
2010–11
170224.0 MPG
71
Rated
2011–12
134120.6 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
50311.7 MPG
43
Rated
Trevor Booker · 2010 draft, pick 23
3.29 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 4764 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
106316.4 MPG
65
Rated
2011–12
126125.2 MPG
50
Rated
2012–13
88718.5 MPG
48
Rated
2013–14
155321.6 MPG
72
Rated
Nikola Mirotić · 2011 draft, pick 23
4.16 four-season WAR · 1.42 LEBRON · 1654 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
165420.2 MPG
82
Rated
John Jenkins · 2012 draft, pick 23
0.26 four-season WAR · -2.06 LEBRON · 1837 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
90214.8 MPG
61
Rated
2013–14
15812.2 MPG
13
Rated
2014–15
29712.4 MPG
24
Rated
2015–16
48011.2 MPG
43
Rated
Solomon Hill · 2013 draft, pick 23
4.13 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 5847 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
2268.1 MPG
28
Rated
2014–15
238129.0 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
86614.7 MPG
59
Rated
2016–17
237429.7 MPG
80
Rated
Rodney Hood · 2014 draft, pick 23
6.81 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 6814 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
106421.3 MPG
50
Rated
2015–16
254132.2 MPG
79
Rated
2016–17
159327.0 MPG
59
Rated
2017–18
161626.9 MPG
60
Rated
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson · 2015 draft, pick 23
7.44 four-season WAR · -0.31 LEBRON · 5530 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
61521.2 MPG
29
Rated
2016–17
176122.6 MPG
78
Rated
2017–18
192028.2 MPG
68
Rated
2018–19
123420.9 MPG
59
Rated
Ante Žižić · 2016 draft, pick 23
1.29 four-season WAR · -1.05 LEBRON · 1517 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
2146.7 MPG
32
Rated
2018–19
108218.3 MPG
59
Rated
2019–20
22110.0 MPG
22
Rated
OG Anunoby · 2017 draft, pick 23
7.47 four-season WAR · -0.55 LEBRON · 6332 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
148120.0 MPG
74
Rated
2018–19
135220.2 MPG
67
Rated
2019–20
206629.9 MPG
69
Rated
2020–21
143333.3 MPG
43
Rated
Aaron Holiday · 2018 draft, pick 23
2.70 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 4460 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
64612.9 MPG
50
Rated
2019–20
161724.5 MPG
66
Rated
2020–21
117617.8 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
102116.2 MPG
63
Rated
Darius Bazley · 2019 draft, pick 23
0.29 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 5384 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
113018.5 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
171431.2 MPG
55
Rated
2021–22
192427.9 MPG
69
Rated
2022–23
61614.3 MPG
43
Rated
Leandro Bolmaro · 2020 draft, pick 23
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 309 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
2416.9 MPG
35
Rated
2022–23
684.9 MPG
14
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Usman Garuba · 2021 draft, pick 23
1.15 four-season WAR · -0.96 LEBRON · 1228 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
24010.0 MPG
24
Rated
2022–23
97012.9 MPG
75
Rated
2023–24
183.0 MPG
6
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
David Roddy · 2022 draft, pick 23
-0.42 four-season WAR · -2.69 LEBRON · 2918 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
125818.0 MPG
70
Rated
2023–24
117718.1 MPG
65
Rated
2024–25
41012.4 MPG
33
Rated
2025–26
7314.6 MPG
5
Rated
Byron Mullens · 2009 draft, pick 24
-1.77 four-season WAR · -3.11 LEBRON · 3032 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
544.2 MPG
13
Rated
2010–11
856.5 MPG
13
Rated
2011–12
146522.5 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
142826.9 MPG
53
Rated
Damion James · 2010 draft, pick 24
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 623 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
40316.1 MPG
25
Rated
2011–12
17024.3 MPG
7
Rated
2012–13
00.0 MPG
2
No NBA minutes
2013–14
5010.0 MPG
5
Rated
Reggie Jackson · 2011 draft, pick 24
11.64 four-season WAR · 0.56 LEBRON · 6039 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
50111.1 MPG
45
Rated
2012–13
99314.2 MPG
70
Rated
2013–14
227728.5 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
226829.5 MPG
77
Rated
Jared Cunningham · 2012 draft, pick 24
0.24 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 605 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
263.3 MPG
8
Rated
2013–14
806.2 MPG
13
Rated
2014–15
894.7 MPG
19
Rated
2015–16
4109.3 MPG
44
Rated
Tim Hardaway Jr. · 2013 draft, pick 24
3.17 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 6574 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
187523.1 MPG
81
Rated
2014–15
168124.0 MPG
70
Rated
2015–16
86416.9 MPG
51
Rated
2016–17
215427.3 MPG
79
Rated
Shabazz Napier · 2014 draft, pick 24
3.05 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 3659 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
101219.8 MPG
51
Rated
2015–16
60010.9 MPG
55
Rated
2016–17
5129.7 MPG
53
Rated
2017–18
153520.7 MPG
74
Rated
Tyus Jones · 2015 draft, pick 24
7.83 four-season WAR · 0.38 LEBRON · 4374 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
57315.5 MPG
37
Rated
2016–17
77412.9 MPG
60
Rated
2017–18
146717.9 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
156022.9 MPG
68
Rated
Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot · 2016 draft, pick 24
0.83 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 3519 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
119017.2 MPG
69
Rated
2017–18
80715.5 MPG
52
Rated
2018–19
66913.4 MPG
50
Rated
2019–20
85318.1 MPG
47
Rated
Tyler Lydon · 2017 draft, pick 24
0.05 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 96 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
22.0 MPG
1
Rated
2018–19
943.8 MPG
25
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Anfernee Simons · 2018 draft, pick 24
-1.05 four-season WAR · -2.80 LEBRON · 4375 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1417.0 MPG
20
Rated
2019–20
144920.7 MPG
70
Rated
2020–21
110417.3 MPG
64
Rated
2021–22
168129.5 MPG
57
Rated
Ty Jerome · 2019 draft, pick 24
1.96 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 2733 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
32810.6 MPG
31
Rated
2020–21
78823.9 MPG
33
Rated
2021–22
80116.7 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
81618.1 MPG
45
Rated
R.J. Hampton · 2020 draft, pick 24
-1.01 four-season WAR · -2.94 LEBRON · 3116 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
88817.4 MPG
51
Rated
2021–22
140221.9 MPG
64
Rated
2022–23
75016.0 MPG
47
Rated
2023–24
769.5 MPG
8
Rated
Josh Christopher · 2021 draft, pick 24
0.01 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 2189 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
133418.0 MPG
74
Rated
2022–23
78612.3 MPG
64
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
694.9 MPG
14
Rated
MarJon Beauchamp · 2022 draft, pick 24
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.47 LEBRON · 1661 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
70113.5 MPG
52
Rated
2023–24
60812.7 MPG
48
Rated
2024–25
1564.5 MPG
35
Rated
2025–26
19614.0 MPG
14
Rated
Rodrigue Beaubois · 2009 draft, pick 25
4.36 four-season WAR · -0.08 LEBRON · 2896 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
70012.5 MPG
56
Rated
2010–11
49617.7 MPG
28
Rated
2011–12
115121.7 MPG
53
Rated
2012–13
54912.2 MPG
45
Rated
Dominique Jones · 2010 draft, pick 25
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.12 LEBRON · 741 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1357.5 MPG
18
Rated
2011–12
2688.1 MPG
33
Rated
2012–13
33811.7 MPG
29
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
MarShon Brooks · 2011 draft, pick 25
-0.90 four-season WAR · -2.69 LEBRON · 2876 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
164829.4 MPG
56
Rated
2012–13
91212.5 MPG
73
Rated
2013–14
3169.0 MPG
35
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tony Wroten · 2012 draft, pick 25
-1.88 four-season WAR · -3.21 LEBRON · 3076 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
2727.8 MPG
35
Rated
2013–14
176524.5 MPG
72
Rated
2014–15
89529.8 MPG
30
Rated
2015–16
14418.0 MPG
8
Rated
Reggie Bullock · 2013 draft, pick 25
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 1629 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
3959.2 MPG
43
Rated
2014–15
3389.4 MPG
36
Rated
2015–16
42911.6 MPG
37
Rated
2016–17
46715.1 MPG
31
Rated
Clint Capela · 2014 draft, pick 25
13.91 four-season WAR · 1.73 LEBRON · 5146 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
907.5 MPG
12
Rated
2015–16
147119.1 MPG
77
Rated
2016–17
155123.9 MPG
65
Rated
2017–18
203427.5 MPG
74
Rated
Jarell Martin · 2015 draft, pick 25
0.95 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 2927 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
38014.1 MPG
27
Rated
2016–17
55813.3 MPG
42
Rated
2017–18
166122.8 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
3287.8 MPG
42
Rated
Brice Johnson · 2016 draft, pick 25
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 107 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
93.0 MPG
3
Rated
2017–18
985.4 MPG
18
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Anžejs Pasečņiks · 2017 draft, pick 25
0.45 four-season WAR · -0.80 LEBRON · 443 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
43716.2 MPG
27
Rated
2020–21
66.0 MPG
1
Rated
Moritz Wagner · 2018 draft, pick 25
3.64 four-season WAR · -0.48 LEBRON · 2963 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
44610.4 MPG
43
Rated
2019–20
83518.6 MPG
45
Rated
2020–21
72216.0 MPG
45
Rated
2021–22
96015.2 MPG
63
Rated
Nassir Little · 2019 draft, pick 25
1.22 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 3277 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
57311.9 MPG
48
Rated
2020–21
64013.3 MPG
48
Rated
2021–22
108825.9 MPG
42
Rated
2022–23
97618.1 MPG
54
Rated
Immanuel Quickley · 2020 draft, pick 25
14.25 four-season WAR · 0.62 LEBRON · 7374 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
124319.4 MPG
64
Rated
2021–22
180223.1 MPG
78
Rated
2022–23
234428.9 MPG
81
Rated
2023–24
198529.2 MPG
68
Rated
Quentin Grimes · 2021 draft, pick 25
6.79 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 5945 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
78617.1 MPG
46
Rated
2022–23
212129.9 MPG
71
Rated
2023–24
102520.1 MPG
51
Rated
2024–25
201326.8 MPG
75
Rated
Blake Wesley · 2022 draft, pick 25
-0.06 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2589 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
66918.1 MPG
37
Rated
2023–24
87614.4 MPG
61
Rated
2024–25
68311.8 MPG
58
Rated
2025–26
36111.6 MPG
31
Rated
Taj Gibson · 2009 draft, pick 26
13.83 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 6689 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
220426.9 MPG
82
Rated
2010–11
174221.8 MPG
80
Rated
2011–12
128420.4 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
145922.4 MPG
65
Rated
Quincy Pondexter · 2010 draft, pick 26
0.69 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 3249 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
73411.1 MPG
66
Rated
2011–12
100215.7 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
124321.1 MPG
59
Rated
2013–14
27018.0 MPG
15
Rated
Jordan Hamilton · 2011 draft, pick 26
1.58 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 1796 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
2589.9 MPG
26
Rated
2012–13
3979.9 MPG
40
Rated
2013–14
101917.0 MPG
60
Rated
2014–15
1228.7 MPG
14
Rated
Miles Plumlee · 2012 draft, pick 26
5.32 four-season WAR · -0.35 LEBRON · 4083 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
553.9 MPG
14
Rated
2013–14
196424.6 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
119416.4 MPG
73
Rated
2015–16
87014.3 MPG
61
Rated
Andre Roberson · 2013 draft, pick 26
8.43 four-season WAR · -0.06 LEBRON · 5614 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
39910.0 MPG
40
Rated
2014–15
128619.2 MPG
67
Rated
2015–16
155322.2 MPG
70
Rated
2016–17
237630.1 MPG
79
Rated
P.J. Hairston · 2014 draft, pick 26
1.25 four-season WAR · -1.34 LEBRON · 2000 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
68715.3 MPG
45
Rated
2015–16
131319.9 MPG
66
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nikola Milutinov · 2015 draft, pick 26
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Furkan Korkmaz · 2016 draft, pick 26
1.08 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 2318 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
805.7 MPG
14
Rated
2018–19
67914.1 MPG
48
Rated
2019–20
155921.7 MPG
72
Rated
Caleb Swanigan · 2017 draft, pick 26
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.90 LEBRON · 655 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
1897.0 MPG
27
Rated
2018–19
1788.5 MPG
21
Rated
2019–20
28810.7 MPG
27
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Landry Shamet · 2018 draft, pick 26
3.80 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 6094 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
180222.8 MPG
79
Rated
2019–20
145227.4 MPG
53
Rated
2020–21
140323.0 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
143720.8 MPG
69
Rated
Dylan Windler · 2019 draft, pick 26
0.59 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 982 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
51316.5 MPG
31
Rated
2021–22
4599.2 MPG
50
Rated
2022–23
103.3 MPG
3
Rated
Payton Pritchard · 2020 draft, pick 26
6.92 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 4737 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
126819.2 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
100114.1 MPG
71
Rated
2022–23
64313.4 MPG
48
Rated
2023–24
182522.3 MPG
82
Rated
Bones Hyland · 2021 draft, pick 26
3.89 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 3174 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
131019.0 MPG
69
Rated
2022–23
108519.4 MPG
56
Rated
2023–24
54014.6 MPG
37
Rated
2024–25
23910.0 MPG
24
Rated
Wendell Moore Jr. · 2022 draft, pick 26
0.49 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 787 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
1535.3 MPG
29
Rated
2023–24
753.0 MPG
25
Rated
2024–25
49913.9 MPG
36
Rated
2025–26
6010.0 MPG
6
Rated
DeMarre Carroll · 2009 draft, pick 27
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 2304 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
79511.2 MPG
71
Rated
2010–11
504.2 MPG
12
Rated
2011–12
34814.5 MPG
24
Unresolved
2012–13
111116.8 MPG
66
Rated
Jordan Crawford · 2010 draft, pick 27
1.48 four-season WAR · -1.92 LEBRON · 6348 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
102724.5 MPG
42
Rated
2011–12
175327.4 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
170924.4 MPG
70
Rated
2013–14
185923.0 MPG
81
Rated
JaJuan Johnson · 2011 draft, pick 27
0.06 four-season WAR · -1.92 LEBRON · 298 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
2988.3 MPG
36
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Arnett Moultrie · 2012 draft, pick 27
0.44 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 729 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
54211.5 MPG
47
Rated
2013–14
18715.6 MPG
12
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Rudy Gobert · 2013 draft, pick 27
25.62 four-season WAR · 2.99 LEBRON · 7268 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
4349.6 MPG
45
Rated
2014–15
215826.3 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
193231.7 MPG
61
Rated
2016–17
274433.9 MPG
81
Rated
Bogdan Bogdanović · 2014 draft, pick 27
1.21 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 2175 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
217527.9 MPG
78
Rated
Larry Nance Jr. · 2015 draft, pick 27
11.62 four-season WAR · 0.65 LEBRON · 5924 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
126620.1 MPG
63
Rated
2016–17
144222.9 MPG
63
Rated
2017–18
142121.5 MPG
66
Rated
2018–19
179526.8 MPG
67
Rated
Pascal Siakam · 2016 draft, pick 27
16.94 four-season WAR · 1.26 LEBRON · 7196 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
85915.6 MPG
55
Rated
2017–18
167920.7 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
254831.9 MPG
80
Rated
2019–20
211035.2 MPG
60
Rated
Kyle Kuzma · 2017 draft, pick 27
8.24 four-season WAR · -0.81 LEBRON · 8195 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
240131.2 MPG
77
Rated
2018–19
231433.1 MPG
70
Rated
2019–20
152625.0 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
195428.7 MPG
68
Rated
Robert Williams · 2018 draft, pick 27
9.37 four-season WAR · 1.80 LEBRON · 3460 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
2838.8 MPG
32
Rated
2019–20
38813.4 MPG
29
Rated
2020–21
98518.9 MPG
52
Rated
2021–22
180429.6 MPG
61
Rated
Mfiondu Kabengele · 2019 draft, pick 27
0.30 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 380 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
645.3 MPG
12
Rated
2020–21
2807.2 MPG
39
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
369.0 MPG
4
Rated
Udoka Azubuike · 2020 draft, pick 27
0.52 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 724 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
573.8 MPG
15
Rated
2021–22
19511.5 MPG
17
Rated
2022–23
35910.0 MPG
36
Rated
2023–24
1137.1 MPG
16
Rated
Cam Thomas · 2021 draft, pick 27
3.18 four-season WAR · -1.43 LEBRON · 4980 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
117617.6 MPG
67
Rated
2022–23
94816.6 MPG
57
Rated
2023–24
207531.4 MPG
66
Rated
2024–25
78131.2 MPG
25
Rated
Nikola Jović · 2022 draft, pick 27
3.52 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 3064 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
20413.6 MPG
15
Rated
2023–24
89619.5 MPG
46
Rated
2024–25
115625.1 MPG
46
Rated
2025–26
80817.2 MPG
47
Rated
Wayne Ellington · 2009 draft, pick 28
0.78 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 5199 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
138418.2 MPG
76
Rated
2010–11
118119.0 MPG
62
Rated
2011–12
97319.1 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
166121.3 MPG
78
Rated
Greivis Vásquez · 2010 draft, pick 28
7.85 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 7030 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
86012.3 MPG
70
Rated
2011–12
170625.8 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
268534.4 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
177922.5 MPG
79
Rated
Norris Cole · 2011 draft, pick 28
-1.41 four-season WAR · -2.58 LEBRON · 6695 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
126019.4 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
159019.9 MPG
80
Rated
2013–14
201424.6 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
183124.4 MPG
75
Rated
Perry Jones · 2012 draft, pick 28
-0.41 four-season WAR · -2.63 LEBRON · 1675 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
2807.4 MPG
38
Rated
2013–14
76412.3 MPG
62
Rated
2014–15
63114.7 MPG
43
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Livio Jean-Charles · 2013 draft, pick 28
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
C.J. Wilcox · 2014 draft, pick 28
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 376 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
1014.8 MPG
21
Rated
2015–16
1677.3 MPG
23
Rated
2016–17
1084.9 MPG
22
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
R.J. Hunter · 2015 draft, pick 28
0.21 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 395 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
3158.8 MPG
36
Rated
2016–17
93.0 MPG
3
Rated
2017–18
459.0 MPG
5
Rated
2018–19
2626.0 MPG
1
Rated
Skal Labissière · 2016 draft, pick 28
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.57 LEBRON · 2595 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
61218.5 MPG
33
Rated
2017–18
124020.7 MPG
60
Rated
2018–19
1768.0 MPG
22
Rated
2019–20
56717.2 MPG
33
Rated
Tony Bradley · 2017 draft, pick 28
2.20 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 1412 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
293.2 MPG
9
Rated
2018–19
3612.0 MPG
3
Rated
2019–20
66311.4 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
68416.3 MPG
42
Rated
Jacob Evans · 2018 draft, pick 28
-0.09 four-season WAR · -2.61 LEBRON · 622 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
2046.8 MPG
30
Rated
2019–20
41814.4 MPG
29
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jordan Poole · 2019 draft, pick 28
5.78 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 7003 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
127422.4 MPG
57
Rated
2020–21
98819.4 MPG
51
Rated
2021–22
228330.0 MPG
76
Rated
2022–23
245830.0 MPG
82
Rated
Jaden McDaniels · 2020 draft, pick 28
5.49 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 7835 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
151124.0 MPG
63
Rated
2021–22
180325.8 MPG
70
Rated
2022–23
241630.6 MPG
79
Rated
2023–24
210529.2 MPG
72
Rated
Jaden Springer · 2021 draft, pick 28
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.07 LEBRON · 967 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
63.0 MPG
2
Rated
2022–23
895.6 MPG
16
Rated
2023–24
50710.3 MPG
49
Rated
2024–25
3658.5 MPG
43
Rated
Patrick Baldwin Jr. · 2022 draft, pick 28
1.19 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 928 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
2267.3 MPG
31
Rated
2023–24
49313.0 MPG
38
Rated
2024–25
1074.5 MPG
24
Rated
2025–26
10211.3 MPG
9
Rated
Toney Douglas · 2009 draft, pick 29
5.54 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 5003 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
108719.4 MPG
56
Rated
2010–11
197124.3 MPG
81
Rated
2011–12
65617.3 MPG
38
Rated
2012–13
128918.2 MPG
71
Rated
Daniel Orton · 2010 draft, pick 29
0.48 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 542 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
18711.7 MPG
16
Rated
2012–13
1048.0 MPG
13
Rated
2013–14
25111.4 MPG
22
Rated
Cory Joseph · 2011 draft, pick 29
5.15 four-season WAR · 0.21 LEBRON · 3034 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
2669.2 MPG
29
Rated
2012–13
38813.9 MPG
28
Rated
2013–14
93613.8 MPG
68
Rated
2014–15
144418.3 MPG
79
Rated
Marquis Teague · 2012 draft, pick 29
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 835 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
3928.2 MPG
48
Rated
2013–14
44311.1 MPG
40
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Archie Goodwin · 2013 draft, pick 29
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.57 LEBRON · 2396 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
53310.3 MPG
52
Rated
2014–15
53513.0 MPG
41
Rated
2015–16
111419.5 MPG
57
Rated
2016–17
21414.3 MPG
15
Rated
Josh Huestis · 2014 draft, pick 29
-0.09 four-season WAR · -2.45 LEBRON · 1068 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
5511.0 MPG
5
Rated
2016–17
3115.5 MPG
2
Rated
2017–18
98214.2 MPG
69
Rated
Chris McCullough · 2015 draft, pick 29
0.55 four-season WAR · -0.75 LEBRON · 532 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
36215.1 MPG
24
Rated
2016–17
805.0 MPG
16
Rated
2017–18
904.7 MPG
19
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dejounte Murray · 2016 draft, pick 29
6.33 four-season WAR · 0.20 LEBRON · 3752 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
3228.5 MPG
38
Rated
2017–18
174321.5 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
168725.6 MPG
66
Rated
Derrick White · 2017 draft, pick 29
9.76 four-season WAR · 0.88 LEBRON · 4608 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
1398.2 MPG
17
Rated
2018–19
172825.8 MPG
67
Rated
2019–20
167724.7 MPG
68
Rated
2020–21
106429.6 MPG
36
Rated
Džanan Musa · 2018 draft, pick 29
0.40 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 526 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
394.3 MPG
9
Rated
2019–20
48712.2 MPG
40
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Keldon Johnson · 2019 draft, pick 29
8.20 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 6724 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
30117.7 MPG
17
Rated
2020–21
196828.5 MPG
69
Rated
2021–22
239231.9 MPG
75
Rated
2022–23
206332.7 MPG
63
Rated
Malachi Flynn · 2020 draft, pick 29
1.89 four-season WAR · -1.44 LEBRON · 3032 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
92819.7 MPG
47
Rated
2021–22
53712.2 MPG
44
Rated
2022–23
69113.0 MPG
53
Rated
2023–24
87612.7 MPG
69
Rated
Day'Ron Sharpe · 2021 draft, pick 29
5.15 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 2772 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
39112.2 MPG
32
Rated
2022–23
55211.5 MPG
48
Rated
2023–24
92115.1 MPG
61
Rated
2024–25
90818.2 MPG
50
Rated
TyTy Washington Jr. · 2022 draft, pick 29
0.78 four-season WAR · -0.67 LEBRON · 695 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
43314.0 MPG
31
Rated
2023–24
565.1 MPG
11
Rated
2024–25
1187.4 MPG
16
Rated
2025–26
885.5 MPG
16
Rated
Christian Eyenga · 2009 draft, pick 30
0.41 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 1049 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
94721.5 MPG
44
Rated
2011–12
10214.6 MPG
7
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Lazar Hayward · 2010 draft, pick 30
0.41 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 591 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
41910.0 MPG
42
Rated
2011–12
1415.4 MPG
26
Rated
2012–13
317.8 MPG
4
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jimmy Butler · 2011 draft, pick 30
19.70 four-season WAR · 1.55 LEBRON · 7597 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
3598.5 MPG
42
Rated
2012–13
213426.0 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
259138.7 MPG
67
Rated
2014–15
251338.7 MPG
65
Rated
Festus Ezeli · 2012 draft, pick 30
2.27 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 2394 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
112014.4 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
50411.0 MPG
46
Rated
2015–16
77016.7 MPG
46
Rated
Nemanja Nedović · 2013 draft, pick 30
-0.04 four-season WAR · -2.72 LEBRON · 142 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
1425.9 MPG
24
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kyle Anderson · 2014 draft, pick 30
9.99 four-season WAR · 0.95 LEBRON · 4601 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
35810.8 MPG
33
Rated
2015–16
124516.0 MPG
78
Rated
2016–17
102014.2 MPG
72
Rated
2017–18
197826.7 MPG
74
Rated
Kevon Looney · 2015 draft, pick 30
5.02 four-season WAR · 0.34 LEBRON · 2859 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
214.2 MPG
5
Rated
2016–17
4478.4 MPG
53
Rated
2017–18
91013.8 MPG
66
Rated
2018–19
148118.5 MPG
80
Rated
Damian Jones · 2016 draft, pick 30
1.43 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 1471 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
858.5 MPG
10
Rated
2017–18
895.9 MPG
15
Rated
2018–19
41017.1 MPG
24
Rated
2019–20
88716.1 MPG
55
Rated
Josh Hart · 2017 draft, pick 30
5.18 four-season WAR · -1.10 LEBRON · 6280 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
146123.2 MPG
63
Rated
2018–19
171525.6 MPG
67
Rated
2019–20
175527.0 MPG
65
Rated
2020–21
134928.7 MPG
47
Rated
Omari Spellman · 2018 draft, pick 30
0.80 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 1691 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
80517.5 MPG
46
Rated
2019–20
88618.1 MPG
49
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kevin Porter Jr. · 2019 draft, pick 30
1.88 four-season WAR · -1.91 LEBRON · 5928 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
116223.2 MPG
50
Rated
2020–21
83532.1 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
190731.3 MPG
61
Rated
2022–23
202434.3 MPG
59
Rated
Desmond Bane · 2020 draft, pick 30
14.09 four-season WAR · 0.72 LEBRON · 7069 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
151922.3 MPG
68
Rated
2021–22
226629.8 MPG
76
Rated
2022–23
184131.7 MPG
58
Rated
2023–24
144334.4 MPG
42
Rated
Santi Aldama · 2021 draft, pick 30
8.46 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 5320 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
36011.3 MPG
32
Rated
2022–23
168221.8 MPG
77
Rated
2023–24
161826.5 MPG
61
Rated
2024–25
166025.5 MPG
65
Rated
Peyton Watson · 2022 draft, pick 30
1.71 four-season WAR · -1.91 LEBRON · 4928 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
1868.1 MPG
23
Rated
2023–24
148818.6 MPG
80
Rated
2024–25
165624.4 MPG
68
Rated
2025–26
159829.6 MPG
54
Rated
Jeff Ayres · 2009 draft, pick 31
0.61 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 880 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
40510.4 MPG
39
Rated
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
1065.3 MPG
20
Rated
2012–13
36910.0 MPG
37
Rated
Tibor Pleiß · 2010 draft, pick 31
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Bojan Bogdanović · 2011 draft, pick 31
-0.94 four-season WAR · -3.02 LEBRON · 1854 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
185423.8 MPG
78
Rated
Jeff Taylor · 2012 draft, pick 31
-1.39 four-season WAR · -3.08 LEBRON · 2566 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
150719.6 MPG
77
Rated
2013–14
62924.2 MPG
26
Rated
2014–15
43014.8 MPG
29
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Allen Crabbe · 2013 draft, pick 31
1.66 four-season WAR · -1.81 LEBRON · 5142 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
1006.7 MPG
15
Rated
2014–15
68313.4 MPG
51
Rated
2015–16
210526.0 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
225428.5 MPG
79
Rated
Damien Inglis · 2014 draft, pick 31
0.11 four-season WAR · -1.28 LEBRON · 156 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
1567.8 MPG
20
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cedi Osman · 2015 draft, pick 31
0.41 four-season WAR · -2.16 LEBRON · 3116 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
67211.0 MPG
61
Rated
2018–19
244432.2 MPG
76
Rated
Deyonta Davis · 2016 draft, pick 31
0.13 four-season WAR · -2.17 LEBRON · 1299 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
2386.6 MPG
36
Rated
2017–18
94315.2 MPG
62
Rated
2018–19
11813.1 MPG
9
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Frank Jackson · 2017 draft, pick 31
-1.08 four-season WAR · -3.01 LEBRON · 2704 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
116919.2 MPG
61
Rated
2019–20
79713.5 MPG
59
Rated
2020–21
73818.4 MPG
40
Rated
Elie Okobo · 2018 draft, pick 31
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 1677 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
95818.1 MPG
53
Rated
2019–20
71913.1 MPG
55
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nic Claxton · 2019 draft, pick 31
10.55 four-season WAR · 1.71 LEBRON · 4026 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
18712.5 MPG
15
Rated
2020–21
59418.6 MPG
32
Rated
2021–22
97420.7 MPG
47
Rated
2022–23
227129.9 MPG
76
Rated
Tyrell Terry · 2020 draft, pick 31
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.12 LEBRON · 59 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
565.1 MPG
11
Rated
2021–22
31.5 MPG
2
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Todd · 2021 draft, pick 31
0.16 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 135 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
746.2 MPG
12
Rated
2022–23
6110.2 MPG
6
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Andrew Nembhard · 2022 draft, pick 31
7.45 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 7437 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
207327.6 MPG
75
Rated
2023–24
169725.0 MPG
68
Rated
2024–25
188128.9 MPG
65
Rated
2025–26
178631.3 MPG
57
Rated
Jermaine Taylor · 2009 draft, pick 32
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.41 LEBRON · 786 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
3039.8 MPG
31
Rated
2010–11
48314.2 MPG
34
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dexter Pittman · 2010 draft, pick 32
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 347 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
115.5 MPG
2
Rated
2011–12
3018.6 MPG
35
Rated
2012–13
322.9 MPG
11
Rated
2013–14
31.5 MPG
2
Rated
Justin Harper · 2011 draft, pick 32
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 84 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
846.0 MPG
14
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tomáš Satoranský · 2012 draft, pick 32
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Álex Abrines · 2013 draft, pick 32
0.75 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 1055 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
105515.5 MPG
68
Rated
K.J. McDaniels · 2014 draft, pick 32
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.46 LEBRON · 2092 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
135221.8 MPG
62
Rated
2015–16
2356.4 MPG
37
Rated
2016–17
50510.3 MPG
49
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Montrezl Harrell · 2015 draft, pick 32
9.39 four-season WAR · 0.58 LEBRON · 4894 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
3799.7 MPG
39
Rated
2016–17
106418.3 MPG
58
Rated
2017–18
129317.0 MPG
76
Rated
2018–19
215826.3 MPG
82
Rated
Ivica Zubac · 2016 draft, pick 32
6.91 four-season WAR · 0.77 LEBRON · 3385 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
60916.0 MPG
38
Rated
2017–18
4109.5 MPG
43
Rated
2018–19
104017.6 MPG
59
Rated
2019–20
132618.4 MPG
72
Rated
Davon Reed · 2017 draft, pick 32
0.24 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 289 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
24211.5 MPG
21
Rated
2018–19
474.7 MPG
10
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jevon Carter · 2018 draft, pick 32
3.11 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 3144 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
57714.8 MPG
39
Rated
2019–20
94516.3 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
71711.9 MPG
60
Rated
2021–22
90513.7 MPG
66
Rated
KZ Okpala · 2019 draft, pick 32
0.47 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 965 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
265.2 MPG
5
Rated
2020–21
44712.1 MPG
37
Rated
2021–22
24411.6 MPG
21
Rated
2022–23
2487.1 MPG
35
Rated
Vernon Carey Jr. · 2020 draft, pick 32
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 187 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
1156.1 MPG
19
Rated
2021–22
446.3 MPG
7
Rated
2022–23
282.5 MPG
11
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl · 2021 draft, pick 32
1.77 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 3474 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
108722.2 MPG
49
Rated
2022–23
81418.9 MPG
43
Rated
2023–24
3348.6 MPG
39
Rated
2024–25
123918.8 MPG
66
Rated
Caleb Houstan · 2022 draft, pick 32
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 2490 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
81215.9 MPG
51
Rated
2023–24
81513.8 MPG
59
Rated
2024–25
78813.6 MPG
58
Rated
2025–26
754.2 MPG
18
Rated
Dante Cunningham · 2009 draft, pick 33
5.00 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 5478 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
70711.2 MPG
63
Rated
2010–11
163721.0 MPG
78
Rated
2011–12
112417.6 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
201025.1 MPG
80
Rated
Hassan Whiteside · 2010 draft, pick 33
0.21 four-season WAR · 0.59 LEBRON · 111 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
22.0 MPG
1
Rated
2011–12
1096.1 MPG
18
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kyle Singler · 2011 draft, pick 33
3.23 four-season WAR · -1.52 LEBRON · 6373 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
229328.0 MPG
82
Rated
2013–14
233728.5 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
174321.8 MPG
80
Rated
Bernard James · 2012 draft, pick 33
0.72 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 761 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
4579.9 MPG
46
Rated
2013–14
1464.9 MPG
30
Rated
2014–15
1589.9 MPG
16
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Carrick Felix · 2013 draft, pick 33
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 38 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
385.4 MPG
7
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Joe Harris · 2014 draft, pick 33
0.62 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 3621 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
4939.7 MPG
51
Rated
2015–16
153.0 MPG
5
Rated
2016–17
113821.9 MPG
52
Rated
2017–18
197525.3 MPG
78
Rated
Jordan Mickey · 2015 draft, pick 33
0.37 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 482 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
573.6 MPG
16
Rated
2016–17
1415.6 MPG
25
Rated
2017–18
28412.3 MPG
23
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cheick Diallo · 2016 draft, pick 33
1.78 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 2155 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
19911.7 MPG
17
Rated
2017–18
58111.2 MPG
52
Rated
2018–19
89614.0 MPG
64
Rated
2019–20
47910.2 MPG
47
Rated
Wes Iwundu · 2017 draft, pick 33
1.34 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 3745 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
102016.5 MPG
62
Rated
2018–19
123318.1 MPG
68
Rated
2019–20
95318.3 MPG
52
Rated
2020–21
53913.1 MPG
41
Rated
Jalen Brunson · 2018 draft, pick 33
10.53 four-season WAR · -0.01 LEBRON · 6834 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
159121.8 MPG
73
Rated
2019–20
102217.9 MPG
57
Rated
2020–21
169725.0 MPG
68
Rated
2021–22
252431.9 MPG
79
Rated
Carsen Edwards · 2019 draft, pick 33
0.34 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 706 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
3519.5 MPG
37
Rated
2020–21
2768.9 MPG
31
Rated
2021–22
7919.8 MPG
4
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Daniel Oturu · 2020 draft, pick 33
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.00 LEBRON · 188 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
1615.4 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
279.0 MPG
3
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jason Preston · 2021 draft, pick 33
0.30 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 195 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
1248.9 MPG
14
Rated
2023–24
7110.1 MPG
7
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Christian Koloko · 2022 draft, pick 33
1.72 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 1501 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
80213.8 MPG
58
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
3429.2 MPG
37
Rated
2025–26
35713.2 MPG
27
Rated
Sergio Llull · 2009 draft, pick 34
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Armon Johnson · 2010 draft, pick 34
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.00 LEBRON · 401 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
2777.3 MPG
38
Rated
2011–12
12413.8 MPG
9
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Shelvin Mack · 2011 draft, pick 34
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3518 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
77912.2 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
41613.4 MPG
31
Unresolved
2013–14
149020.4 MPG
73
Rated
2014–15
83315.1 MPG
55
Rated
Jae Crowder · 2012 draft, pick 34
14.79 four-season WAR · 1.06 LEBRON · 6562 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
135317.3 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
125416.1 MPG
78
Rated
2014–15
164720.1 MPG
82
Rated
2015–16
230831.6 MPG
73
Rated
Isaiah Canaan · 2013 draft, pick 34
0.12 four-season WAR · -2.24 LEBRON · 3748 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
25211.5 MPG
22
Rated
2014–15
93820.0 MPG
47
Rated
2015–16
196625.5 MPG
77
Rated
2016–17
59215.2 MPG
39
Rated
Cleanthony Early · 2014 draft, pick 34
0.15 four-season WAR · -1.99 LEBRON · 801 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
64716.6 MPG
39
Rated
2015–16
1549.1 MPG
17
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Anthony Brown · 2015 draft, pick 34
0.42 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 762 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
59920.7 MPG
29
Rated
2016–17
15914.5 MPG
11
Rated
2017–18
44.0 MPG
1
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Ulis · 2016 draft, pick 34
1.43 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 2782 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
112318.4 MPG
61
Rated
2017–18
165823.4 MPG
71
Rated
2018–19
11.0 MPG
1
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Frank Mason III · 2017 draft, pick 34
1.46 four-season WAR · -0.96 LEBRON · 1616 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
98418.9 MPG
52
Rated
2018–19
43511.4 MPG
38
Rated
2019–20
11813.1 MPG
9
Rated
2020–21
7919.8 MPG
4
Rated
Devonte' Graham · 2018 draft, pick 34
11.30 four-season WAR · 0.22 LEBRON · 6708 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
67614.7 MPG
46
Rated
2019–20
221135.1 MPG
63
Rated
2020–21
165930.2 MPG
55
Rated
2021–22
216228.4 MPG
76
Rated
Bruno Fernando · 2019 draft, pick 34
1.37 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 1496 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
71312.7 MPG
56
Rated
2020–21
2266.8 MPG
33
Rated
2021–22
1525.1 MPG
30
Rated
2022–23
40510.4 MPG
39
Rated
Théo Maledon · 2020 draft, pick 34
-0.48 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 3753 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
177827.4 MPG
65
Rated
2021–22
90817.8 MPG
51
Rated
2022–23
85419.4 MPG
44
Rated
2023–24
21312.5 MPG
17
Rated
Rokas Jokubaitis · 2021 draft, pick 34
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jaylin Williams · 2022 draft, pick 34
7.45 four-season WAR · 0.61 LEBRON · 3872 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
91418.7 MPG
49
Rated
2023–24
89713.0 MPG
69
Rated
2024–25
78416.7 MPG
47
Rated
2025–26
127719.6 MPG
65
Rated
DaJuan Summers · 2009 draft, pick 35
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 820 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
4059.2 MPG
44
Rated
2010–11
1999.0 MPG
22
Rated
2011–12
20913.9 MPG
15
Rated
2012–13
73.5 MPG
2
Rated
Nemanja Bjelica · 2010 draft, pick 35
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Honeycutt · 2011 draft, pick 35
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 120 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
885.9 MPG
15
Rated
2012–13
323.6 MPG
9
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Draymond Green · 2012 draft, pick 35
30.39 four-season WAR · 3.30 LEBRON · 8156 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
106113.4 MPG
79
Rated
2013–14
179721.9 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
249031.5 MPG
79
Rated
2015–16
280834.7 MPG
81
Rated
Glen Rice Jr. · 2013 draft, pick 35
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 152 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
1099.9 MPG
11
Rated
2014–15
438.6 MPG
5
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jarnell Stokes · 2014 draft, pick 35
0.17 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 151 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
1266.6 MPG
19
Rated
2015–16
182.6 MPG
7
Rated
2016–17
73.5 MPG
2
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Willy Hernangómez · 2015 draft, pick 35
3.34 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 2631 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
132418.4 MPG
72
Rated
2017–18
49510.3 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
81214.0 MPG
58
Rated
Rade Zagorac · 2016 draft, pick 35
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ivan Rabb · 2017 draft, pick 35
0.86 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1237 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
51614.3 MPG
36
Rated
2018–19
72114.7 MPG
49
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Melvin Frazier · 2018 draft, pick 35
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 290 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
444.4 MPG
10
Rated
2019–20
1266.6 MPG
19
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
12040.0 MPG
3
Rated
Didi Louzada · 2019 draft, pick 35
0.10 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 185 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
5618.7 MPG
3
Rated
2021–22
12914.3 MPG
9
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Xavier Tillman Sr. · 2020 draft, pick 35
6.77 four-season WAR · 0.28 LEBRON · 3940 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
108518.4 MPG
59
Rated
2021–22
70113.2 MPG
53
Rated
2022–23
118019.3 MPG
61
Rated
2023–24
97418.0 MPG
54
Rated
Herbert Jones · 2021 draft, pick 35
14.49 four-season WAR · 0.73 LEBRON · 7255 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
233529.9 MPG
78
Rated
2022–23
195129.6 MPG
66
Rated
2023–24
232130.5 MPG
76
Rated
2024–25
64832.4 MPG
20
Rated
Max Christie · 2022 draft, pick 35
1.43 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 5827 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
51212.5 MPG
41
Rated
2023–24
94414.1 MPG
67
Rated
2024–25
212727.3 MPG
78
Rated
2025–26
224429.1 MPG
77
Rated
Sam Young · 2009 draft, pick 36
0.46 four-season WAR · -2.13 LEBRON · 3966 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
132116.5 MPG
80
Rated
2010–11
157720.2 MPG
78
Rated
2011–12
37510.7 MPG
35
Rated
2012–13
69312.4 MPG
56
Rated
Terrico White · 2010 draft, pick 36
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jordan Williams · 2011 draft, pick 36
0.87 four-season WAR · -0.25 LEBRON · 635 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
63514.8 MPG
43
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Orlando Johnson · 2012 draft, pick 36
0.61 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 1112 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
61912.1 MPG
51
Rated
2013–14
3928.7 MPG
45
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
10114.4 MPG
7
Rated
Ray McCallum · 2013 draft, pick 36
1.89 four-season WAR · -1.27 LEBRON · 2808 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
89719.9 MPG
45
Rated
2014–15
143621.1 MPG
68
Rated
2015–16
47511.6 MPG
41
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Johnny O'Bryant · 2014 draft, pick 36
-1.09 four-season WAR · -3.25 LEBRON · 1684 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
36810.8 MPG
34
Rated
2015–16
85713.0 MPG
66
Rated
2016–17
807.3 MPG
11
Rated
2017–18
37910.5 MPG
36
Rated
Rakeem Christmas · 2015 draft, pick 36
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 225 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
66.0 MPG
1
Rated
2016–17
2197.6 MPG
29
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Malcolm Brogdon · 2016 draft, pick 36
12.38 four-season WAR · 0.41 LEBRON · 6916 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
198226.4 MPG
75
Rated
2017–18
143629.9 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
183228.6 MPG
64
Rated
2019–20
166630.9 MPG
54
Rated
Jonah Bolden · 2017 draft, pick 36
0.59 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 686 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
63914.5 MPG
44
Rated
2019–20
476.7 MPG
7
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Mitchell Robinson · 2018 draft, pick 36
13.01 four-season WAR · 1.29 LEBRON · 5473 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
136020.6 MPG
66
Rated
2019–20
141223.1 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
85327.5 MPG
31
Rated
2021–22
184825.7 MPG
72
Rated
Cody Martin · 2019 draft, pick 36
5.85 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 3752 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
90318.8 MPG
48
Rated
2020–21
84916.3 MPG
52
Rated
2021–22
186626.3 MPG
71
Rated
2022–23
13419.1 MPG
7
Rated
Tyler Bey · 2020 draft, pick 36
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 71 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
713.9 MPG
18
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Miles McBride · 2021 draft, pick 36
5.91 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 4053 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
3729.3 MPG
40
Rated
2022–23
76011.9 MPG
64
Rated
2023–24
132819.5 MPG
68
Rated
2024–25
159324.9 MPG
64
Rated
Gabriele Procida · 2022 draft, pick 36
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
DeJuan Blair · 2009 draft, pick 37
7.39 four-season WAR · -0.27 LEBRON · 5442 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
149418.2 MPG
82
Rated
2010–11
173421.4 MPG
81
Rated
2011–12
136321.3 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
85114.0 MPG
61
Rated
Darington Hobson · 2010 draft, pick 37
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 39 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
397.8 MPG
5
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Trey Thompkins · 2011 draft, pick 37
0.00 four-season WAR · -2.23 LEBRON · 119 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
1195.0 MPG
24
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Quincy Acy · 2012 draft, pick 37
1.94 four-season WAR · -1.40 LEBRON · 3352 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
34211.8 MPG
29
Rated
2013–14
84713.4 MPG
63
Rated
2014–15
128718.9 MPG
68
Rated
2015–16
87614.8 MPG
59
Rated
Tony Mitchell · 2013 draft, pick 37
0.12 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 79 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
793.8 MPG
21
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
DeAndre Daniels · 2014 draft, pick 37
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Richaun Holmes · 2015 draft, pick 37
4.63 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 3825 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
70213.8 MPG
51
Rated
2016–17
119320.9 MPG
57
Rated
2017–18
74615.5 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
118416.9 MPG
70
Rated
Chinanu Onuaku · 2016 draft, pick 37
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.51 LEBRON · 74 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
5210.4 MPG
5
Rated
2017–18
2222.0 MPG
1
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Semi Ojeleye · 2017 draft, pick 37
-1.21 four-season WAR · -2.87 LEBRON · 3705 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
115015.8 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
59410.6 MPG
56
Rated
2019–20
101114.7 MPG
69
Rated
2020–21
95017.0 MPG
56
Rated
Gary Trent Jr. · 2018 draft, pick 37
5.91 four-season WAR · -0.80 LEBRON · 5693 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1117.4 MPG
15
Rated
2019–20
133221.8 MPG
61
Rated
2020–21
180231.1 MPG
58
Rated
2021–22
244835.0 MPG
70
Rated
Deividas Sirvydis · 2019 draft, pick 37
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 160 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
1336.7 MPG
20
Rated
2021–22
279.0 MPG
3
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vít Krejčí · 2020 draft, pick 37
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.44 LEBRON · 1396 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
69023.0 MPG
30
Rated
2022–23
1655.7 MPG
29
Rated
2023–24
54124.6 MPG
22
Rated
JT Thor · 2021 draft, pick 37
-0.52 four-season WAR · -2.84 LEBRON · 2261 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
2627.9 MPG
33
Rated
2022–23
96914.0 MPG
69
Rated
2023–24
78112.4 MPG
63
Rated
2024–25
24912.4 MPG
20
Rated
Jaden Hardy · 2022 draft, pick 37
0.80 four-season WAR · -2.10 LEBRON · 3502 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
70814.8 MPG
48
Rated
2023–24
98913.5 MPG
73
Rated
2024–25
90715.9 MPG
57
Rated
2025–26
89815.8 MPG
57
Rated
Jon Brockman · 2009 draft, pick 38
1.04 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1570 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
65412.6 MPG
52
Rated
2010–11
67710.7 MPG
63
Rated
2011–12
2396.8 MPG
35
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Andy Rautins · 2010 draft, pick 38
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 24 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
244.8 MPG
5
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Chandler Parsons · 2011 draft, pick 38
20.15 four-season WAR · 0.83 LEBRON · 9531 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
180428.6 MPG
63
Rated
2012–13
275836.3 MPG
76
Rated
2013–14
278337.6 MPG
74
Rated
2014–15
218633.1 MPG
66
Rated
Quincy Miller · 2012 draft, pick 38
0.60 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 934 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
263.7 MPG
7
Rated
2013–14
78915.2 MPG
52
Rated
2014–15
11911.9 MPG
10
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nate Wolters · 2013 draft, pick 38
2.37 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 1556 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
130922.6 MPG
58
Rated
2014–15
24711.8 MPG
21
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Spencer Dinwiddie · 2014 draft, pick 38
10.16 four-season WAR · 1.28 LEBRON · 4254 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
45513.4 MPG
34
Rated
2015–16
15913.3 MPG
12
Rated
2016–17
133422.6 MPG
59
Rated
2017–18
230628.8 MPG
80
Rated
Darrun Hilliard · 2015 draft, pick 38
0.48 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 859 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
38310.1 MPG
38
Rated
2016–17
3819.8 MPG
39
Rated
2017–18
956.8 MPG
14
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Patrick McCaw · 2016 draft, pick 38
-1.02 four-season WAR · -2.82 LEBRON · 3340 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
107415.1 MPG
71
Rated
2017–18
96116.9 MPG
57
Rated
2018–19
39713.7 MPG
29
Rated
2019–20
90824.5 MPG
37
Rated
Jordan Bell · 2017 draft, pick 38
3.06 four-season WAR · 0.05 LEBRON · 1935 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
80914.2 MPG
57
Rated
2018–19
78811.6 MPG
68
Rated
2019–20
2568.8 MPG
29
Rated
2020–21
8213.7 MPG
6
Rated
Khyri Thomas · 2018 draft, pick 38
0.43 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 409 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1957.5 MPG
26
Rated
2019–20
617.6 MPG
8
Rated
2020–21
15330.6 MPG
5
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Daniel Gafford · 2019 draft, pick 38
7.38 four-season WAR · 0.19 LEBRON · 4448 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
60914.2 MPG
43
Rated
2020–21
79114.6 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
144420.1 MPG
72
Rated
2022–23
160420.6 MPG
78
Rated
Saben Lee · 2020 draft, pick 38
1.96 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 1943 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
78116.3 MPG
48
Rated
2021–22
60416.3 MPG
37
Rated
2022–23
37314.9 MPG
25
Rated
2023–24
1857.7 MPG
24
Rated
Ayo Dosunmu · 2021 draft, pick 38
2.41 four-season WAR · -1.96 LEBRON · 7814 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
211027.4 MPG
77
Rated
2022–23
209826.2 MPG
80
Rated
2023–24
221229.1 MPG
76
Rated
2024–25
139430.3 MPG
46
Rated
Kennedy Chandler · 2022 draft, pick 38
0.43 four-season WAR · -1.37 LEBRON · 636 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
2817.8 MPG
36
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
35532.3 MPG
11
Rated
Jonas Jerebko · 2009 draft, pick 39
8.05 four-season WAR · 0.31 LEBRON · 4592 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
223227.9 MPG
80
Rated
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
146822.9 MPG
64
Rated
2012–13
89218.2 MPG
49
Rated
Landry Fields · 2010 draft, pick 39
8.57 four-season WAR · -0.09 LEBRON · 5794 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
254131.0 MPG
82
Rated
2011–12
189428.7 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
103720.3 MPG
51
Rated
2013–14
32210.7 MPG
30
Rated
Jeremy Tyler · 2011 draft, pick 39
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 1034 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
56813.5 MPG
42
Rated
2012–13
683.2 MPG
21
Rated
2013–14
3989.7 MPG
41
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Khris Middleton · 2012 draft, pick 39
16.64 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 8165 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
47517.6 MPG
27
Rated
2013–14
246030.0 MPG
82
Rated
2014–15
237830.1 MPG
79
Rated
2015–16
285236.1 MPG
79
Rated
Jeff Withey · 2013 draft, pick 39
3.64 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 2033 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
68411.8 MPG
58
Rated
2014–15
2597.0 MPG
37
Rated
2015–16
65812.9 MPG
51
Rated
2016–17
4328.5 MPG
51
Rated
Jerami Grant · 2014 draft, pick 39
3.91 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 6621 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
137721.2 MPG
65
Rated
2015–16
206626.8 MPG
77
Rated
2016–17
153119.1 MPG
80
Rated
2017–18
164720.3 MPG
81
Rated
Juan Pablo Vaulet · 2015 draft, pick 39
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
David Michineau · 2016 draft, pick 39
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jawun Evans · 2017 draft, pick 39
0.39 four-season WAR · -1.62 LEBRON · 843 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
77816.2 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
658.1 MPG
8
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaac Bonga · 2018 draft, pick 39
2.48 four-season WAR · -0.36 LEBRON · 1871 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1205.5 MPG
22
Rated
2019–20
125018.9 MPG
66
Rated
2020–21
43210.8 MPG
40
Rated
2021–22
694.6 MPG
15
Rated
Alen Smailagić · 2019 draft, pick 39
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.00 LEBRON · 223 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
1399.9 MPG
14
Rated
2020–21
845.6 MPG
15
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Elijah Hughes · 2020 draft, pick 39
-0.14 four-season WAR · -2.85 LEBRON · 498 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
643.6 MPG
18
Rated
2021–22
43412.1 MPG
36
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Neemias Queta · 2021 draft, pick 39
2.34 four-season WAR · 0.31 LEBRON · 1345 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
1208.0 MPG
15
Rated
2022–23
295.8 MPG
5
Rated
2023–24
33311.9 MPG
28
Rated
2024–25
86313.9 MPG
62
Rated
Khalifa Diop · 2022 draft, pick 39
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Derrick Brown · 2009 draft, pick 40
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2554 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
5359.4 MPG
57
Rated
2010–11
57611.8 MPG
49
Rated
2011–12
144322.2 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Lance Stephenson · 2010 draft, pick 40
9.11 four-season WAR · 0.12 LEBRON · 5587 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1159.6 MPG
12
Rated
2011–12
44210.5 MPG
42
Rated
2012–13
227829.2 MPG
78
Rated
2013–14
275235.3 MPG
78
Rated
Jon Leuer · 2011 draft, pick 40
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 2208 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
55512.1 MPG
46
Rated
2012–13
1876.7 MPG
28
Unresolved
2013–14
64213.1 MPG
49
Rated
2014–15
82413.1 MPG
63
Rated
Will Barton · 2012 draft, pick 40
2.73 four-season WAR · -1.40 LEBRON · 4617 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
89412.2 MPG
73
Rated
2013–14
3879.4 MPG
41
Rated
2014–15
98316.9 MPG
58
Rated
2015–16
235328.7 MPG
82
Rated
Grant Jerrett · 2013 draft, pick 40
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 51 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
516.4 MPG
8
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Glenn Robinson III · 2014 draft, pick 40
1.09 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 2534 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
2617.5 MPG
35
Rated
2015–16
50811.3 MPG
45
Rated
2016–17
142720.7 MPG
69
Rated
2017–18
33814.7 MPG
23
Rated
Josh Richardson · 2015 draft, pick 40
11.58 four-season WAR · -0.11 LEBRON · 7949 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
110721.3 MPG
52
Rated
2016–17
161430.5 MPG
53
Rated
2017–18
268933.2 MPG
81
Rated
2018–19
253934.8 MPG
73
Rated
Diamond Stone · 2016 draft, pick 40
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 24 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
243.4 MPG
7
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dwayne Bacon · 2017 draft, pick 40
-1.66 four-season WAR · -3.05 LEBRON · 4012 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
71313.5 MPG
53
Rated
2018–19
75917.7 MPG
43
Rated
2019–20
68717.6 MPG
39
Rated
2020–21
185325.7 MPG
72
Rated
Rodions Kurucs · 2018 draft, pick 40
1.46 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 2103 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
129420.5 MPG
63
Rated
2019–20
68414.6 MPG
47
Rated
2020–21
1256.0 MPG
21
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justin James · 2019 draft, pick 40
0.33 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 542 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
2326.4 MPG
36
Rated
2020–21
3108.6 MPG
36
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Robert Woodard II · 2020 draft, pick 40
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 87 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
453.5 MPG
13
Rated
2021–22
423.5 MPG
12
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jared Butler · 2021 draft, pick 40
2.37 four-season WAR · -0.60 LEBRON · 2047 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
3608.6 MPG
42
Rated
2022–23
7712.8 MPG
6
Rated
2023–24
56614.2 MPG
40
Rated
2024–25
104417.4 MPG
60
Rated
Bryce McGowens · 2022 draft, pick 40
-0.10 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2581 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
78717.1 MPG
46
Rated
2023–24
88214.9 MPG
59
Rated
2024–25
322.5 MPG
13
Rated
2025–26
88021.0 MPG
42
Rated
Jodie Meeks · 2009 draft, pick 41
7.89 four-season WAR · -0.36 LEBRON · 6088 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
71912.0 MPG
60
Rated
2010–11
206227.9 MPG
74
Rated
2011–12
164424.9 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
166321.3 MPG
78
Rated
Jarvis Varnado · 2010 draft, pick 41
0.43 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 397 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
584.5 MPG
13
Rated
2013–14
33914.1 MPG
24
Rated
Darius Morris · 2011 draft, pick 41
0.09 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 1464 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
1698.9 MPG
19
Rated
2012–13
68314.2 MPG
48
Rated
2013–14
31311.6 MPG
27
Rated
2014–15
2997.9 MPG
38
Rated
Tyshawn Taylor · 2012 draft, pick 41
-0.10 four-season WAR · -2.58 LEBRON · 491 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
2215.8 MPG
38
Rated
2013–14
27011.7 MPG
23
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jamaal Franklin · 2013 draft, pick 41
0.07 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 174 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
1617.7 MPG
21
Rated
2014–15
134.3 MPG
3
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nikola Jokić · 2014 draft, pick 41
26.09 four-season WAR · 4.06 LEBRON · 6214 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
00.00 WAR
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
173321.7 MPG6.64 WAR
80
Rated
2016–17
203827.9 MPG8.50 WAR
73
Rated
2017–18
244332.6 MPG10.95 WAR
75
Rated
One audited public season-impact worked example: Jokić
This is the only season-impact walkthrough here, using three published Jokić records. It traces his 26.09 four-season WAR and 4.06 possession-weighted LEBRON to those audited public season records, plus one waiting year. The season labels link to the three sources. Displayed values use three decimals; arithmetic uses unrounded inputs.
Jokić’s four elapsed post-draft seasons: one waiting year, then three measured NBA seasons.
Possession-weighted LEBRON: (3.408 × 3413.5 + 4.036 × 4186.0 + 4.536 × 4844.0) ÷ 12443.5 ≈ 4.06 points per 100 possessions. More possessions give a season more weight; this is not a simple average of season rates.
This is the one audited public season-impact example shown here. Other players’ season rows report minutes, games and rating availability, not annual impact values.
Pat Connaughton · 2015 draft, pick 41
2.78 four-season WAR · -0.99 LEBRON · 3208 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
1434.2 MPG
34
Rated
2016–17
3168.1 MPG
39
Rated
2017–18
148818.1 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
126120.7 MPG
61
Rated
Stephen Zimmerman · 2016 draft, pick 41
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 108 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
1085.7 MPG
19
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Dorsey · 2017 draft, pick 41
0.50 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 1672 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
97417.4 MPG
56
Rated
2018–19
69814.5 MPG
48
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jarred Vanderbilt · 2018 draft, pick 41
5.93 four-season WAR · 0.54 LEBRON · 3134 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
694.1 MPG
17
Rated
2019–20
464.2 MPG
11
Rated
2020–21
113917.8 MPG
64
Rated
2021–22
188025.4 MPG
74
Rated
Eric Paschall · 2019 draft, pick 41
0.74 four-season WAR · -2.01 LEBRON · 3086 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
165427.6 MPG
60
Rated
2020–21
69517.4 MPG
40
Rated
2021–22
73712.7 MPG
58
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tre Jones · 2020 draft, pick 41
8.39 four-season WAR · -0.04 LEBRON · 5539 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
2697.3 MPG
37
Rated
2021–22
114816.6 MPG
69
Rated
2022–23
198429.2 MPG
68
Rated
2023–24
213827.8 MPG
77
Rated
Joe Wieskamp · 2021 draft, pick 41
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 255 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
2057.1 MPG
29
Rated
2022–23
505.6 MPG
9
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
E.J. Liddell · 2022 draft, pick 41
0.30 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 425 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
232.9 MPG
8
Rated
2024–25
534.4 MPG
12
Rated
2025–26
34913.4 MPG
26
Rated
Patrick Beverley · 2009 draft, pick 42
1.75 four-season WAR · 1.32 LEBRON · 713 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
71317.4 MPG
41
Rated
Da'Sean Butler · 2010 draft, pick 42
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dāvis Bertāns · 2011 draft, pick 42
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Doron Lamb · 2012 draft, pick 42
-0.13 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 1272 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
57712.3 MPG
47
Rated
2013–14
69513.1 MPG
53
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Pierre Jackson · 2013 draft, pick 42
0.16 four-season WAR · 0.57 LEBRON · 84 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
8410.5 MPG
8
Rated
Nick Johnson · 2014 draft, pick 42
-0.12 four-season WAR · -2.93 LEBRON · 262 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
2629.4 MPG
28
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Olivier Hanlan · 2015 draft, pick 42
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Whitehead · 2016 draft, pick 42
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.56 LEBRON · 1823 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
164322.5 MPG
73
Rated
2017–18
18011.3 MPG
16
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Thomas Bryant · 2017 draft, pick 42
5.08 four-season WAR · 0.24 LEBRON · 2986 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
724.8 MPG
15
Rated
2018–19
149620.8 MPG
72
Rated
2019–20
114724.9 MPG
46
Rated
2020–21
27127.1 MPG
10
Rated
Bruce Brown · 2018 draft, pick 42
7.27 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 6308 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
144919.6 MPG
74
Rated
2019–20
163428.2 MPG
58
Rated
2020–21
145122.3 MPG
65
Rated
2021–22
177424.6 MPG
72
Rated
Admiral Schofield · 2019 draft, pick 42
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.39 LEBRON · 1288 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
36811.2 MPG
33
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
46912.3 MPG
38
Rated
2022–23
45112.2 MPG
37
Rated
Nick Richards · 2020 draft, pick 42
1.23 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 3406 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
633.5 MPG
18
Rated
2021–22
3677.3 MPG
50
Rated
2022–23
121718.7 MPG
65
Rated
2023–24
175926.3 MPG
67
Rated
Isaiah Livers · 2021 draft, pick 42
-0.37 four-season WAR · -2.75 LEBRON · 2051 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
38320.2 MPG
19
Rated
2022–23
119923.1 MPG
52
Rated
2023–24
46920.4 MPG
23
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Trevor Keels · 2022 draft, pick 42
0.02 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 23 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
82.7 MPG
3
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
151.9 MPG
8
Rated
Marcus Thornton · 2009 draft, pick 43
6.47 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 7153 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
187225.6 MPG
73
Rated
2010–11
177524.3 MPG
73
Rated
2011–12
178034.9 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
172624.0 MPG
72
Rated
Devin Ebanks · 2010 draft, pick 43
0.18 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 711 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1185.9 MPG
20
Rated
2011–12
39616.5 MPG
24
Rated
2012–13
19710.4 MPG
19
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Malcolm Lee · 2011 draft, pick 43
0.46 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 534 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
24312.8 MPG
19
Rated
2012–13
28918.1 MPG
16
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
22.0 MPG
1
Rated
Mike Scott · 2012 draft, pick 43
3.64 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 4127 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
3769.4 MPG
40
Rated
2013–14
148218.5 MPG
80
Rated
2014–15
112316.5 MPG
68
Rated
2015–16
114615.3 MPG
75
Rated
Ricky Ledo · 2013 draft, pick 43
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 277 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
333.0 MPG
11
Rated
2014–15
24414.4 MPG
17
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Edy Tavares · 2014 draft, pick 43
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 101 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
736.6 MPG
11
Rated
2016–17
2814.0 MPG
2
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Joe Young · 2015 draft, pick 43
-0.23 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 1077 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
3849.4 MPG
41
Rated
2016–17
1354.1 MPG
33
Rated
2017–18
55810.5 MPG
53
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Zhou Qi · 2016 draft, pick 43
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.93 LEBRON · 125 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
1246.9 MPG
18
Rated
2018–19
11.0 MPG
1
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Hartenstein · 2017 draft, pick 43
1.75 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 1046 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
2217.9 MPG
28
Rated
2019–20
26611.6 MPG
23
Rated
2020–21
55912.2 MPG
46
Rated
Justin Jackson · 2018 draft, pick 43
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jaylen Nowell · 2019 draft, pick 43
2.90 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 3137 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
15110.1 MPG
15
Rated
2020–21
75918.1 MPG
42
Rated
2021–22
97515.7 MPG
62
Rated
2022–23
125219.3 MPG
65
Rated
Jahmi'us Ramsey · 2020 draft, pick 43
0.29 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 349 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
947.2 MPG
13
Rated
2021–22
1347.1 MPG
19
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
12117.3 MPG
7
Rated
Greg Brown III · 2021 draft, pick 43
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.16 LEBRON · 773 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
64013.3 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
935.8 MPG
16
Rated
2023–24
406.7 MPG
6
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Moussa Diabaté · 2022 draft, pick 43
7.90 four-season WAR · 1.24 LEBRON · 3399 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
1958.9 MPG
22
Rated
2023–24
645.8 MPG
11
Rated
2024–25
124117.5 MPG
71
Rated
2025–26
189926.0 MPG
73
Rated
Chase Budinger · 2009 draft, pick 44
7.28 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 5032 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
148820.1 MPG
74
Rated
2010–11
173822.3 MPG
78
Rated
2011–12
129822.4 MPG
58
Rated
2012–13
50822.1 MPG
23
Rated
Jerome Jordan · 2010 draft, pick 44
0.12 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 108 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
1085.1 MPG
21
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Charles Jenkins · 2011 draft, pick 44
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 1334 NBA minutes. Positive-minute impact data unresolved. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
89317.5 MPG
51
Rated
2012–13
4417.5 MPG
59
Unresolved
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kim English · 2012 draft, pick 44
0.27 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 407 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
4079.9 MPG
41
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Mike Muscala · 2013 draft, pick 44
3.03 four-season WAR · -0.49 LEBRON · 2519 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
21510.8 MPG
20
Rated
2014–15
50212.6 MPG
40
Rated
2015–16
5659.4 MPG
60
Rated
2016–17
123717.7 MPG
70
Rated
Markel Brown · 2014 draft, pick 44
1.28 four-season WAR · -1.22 LEBRON · 1794 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
78116.6 MPG
47
Rated
2015–16
98215.8 MPG
62
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
317.8 MPG
4
Rated
Andrew Harrison · 2015 draft, pick 44
2.95 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 2987 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
147420.5 MPG
72
Rated
2017–18
132623.7 MPG
56
Rated
2018–19
18711.0 MPG
17
Rated
Isaïa Cordinier · 2016 draft, pick 44
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Damyean Dotson · 2017 draft, pick 44
-1.47 four-season WAR · -2.92 LEBRON · 4221 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
47410.8 MPG
44
Rated
2018–19
200427.5 MPG
73
Rated
2019–20
83617.4 MPG
48
Rated
2020–21
90719.7 MPG
46
Rated
Issuf Sanon · 2018 draft, pick 44
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Bol Bol · 2019 draft, pick 44
1.65 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 1833 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
8712.4 MPG
7
Rated
2020–21
1605.0 MPG
32
Rated
2021–22
815.8 MPG
14
Rated
2022–23
150521.5 MPG
70
Rated
Marko Simonovic · 2020 draft, pick 44
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.30 LEBRON · 55 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
353.9 MPG
9
Rated
2022–23
202.9 MPG
7
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kessler Edwards · 2021 draft, pick 44
1.11 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 2255 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
98720.6 MPG
48
Rated
2022–23
38510.7 MPG
36
Rated
2023–24
2755.1 MPG
54
Rated
2024–25
60815.2 MPG
40
Rated
Ryan Rollins · 2022 draft, pick 44
3.52 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 3336 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
625.2 MPG
12
Rated
2023–24
786.0 MPG
13
Rated
2024–25
82014.6 MPG
56
Rated
2025–26
237632.1 MPG
74
Rated
Nick Calathes · 2009 draft, pick 45
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Paulão Prestes · 2010 draft, pick 45
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Josh Harrellson · 2011 draft, pick 45
1.47 four-season WAR · 0.16 LEBRON · 888 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
54014.6 MPG
37
Rated
2012–13
315.2 MPG
6
Rated
2013–14
3179.9 MPG
32
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justin Hamilton · 2012 draft, pick 45
0.76 four-season WAR · -0.85 LEBRON · 784 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
729.0 MPG
8
Rated
2014–15
71217.4 MPG
41
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Marko Todorović · 2013 draft, pick 45
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dwight Powell · 2014 draft, pick 45
8.41 four-season WAR · 0.67 LEBRON · 4233 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
2368.1 MPG
29
Rated
2015–16
99214.4 MPG
69
Rated
2016–17
133317.3 MPG
77
Rated
2017–18
167221.2 MPG
79
Rated
Marcus Thornton · 2015 draft, pick 45
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Demetrius Jackson · 2016 draft, pick 45
0.10 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 136 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
173.4 MPG
5
Rated
2017–18
805.3 MPG
15
Rated
2018–19
396.5 MPG
6
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dillon Brooks · 2017 draft, pick 45
3.14 four-season WAR · -1.61 LEBRON · 6789 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
235028.7 MPG
82
Rated
2018–19
33018.3 MPG
18
Rated
2019–20
211228.9 MPG
73
Rated
2020–21
199729.8 MPG
67
Rated
Hamidou Diallo · 2018 draft, pick 45
0.71 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 3917 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
52610.3 MPG
51
Rated
2019–20
89619.5 MPG
46
Rated
2020–21
122623.6 MPG
52
Rated
2021–22
126921.9 MPG
58
Rated
Isaiah Roby · 2019 draft, pick 45
1.23 four-season WAR · -1.74 LEBRON · 2858 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
113.7 MPG
3
Rated
2020–21
142523.4 MPG
61
Rated
2021–22
94821.1 MPG
45
Rated
2022–23
47411.3 MPG
42
Rated
Jordan Nwora · 2020 draft, pick 45
0.60 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 3359 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
2749.1 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
118519.1 MPG
62
Rated
2022–23
118819.2 MPG
62
Rated
2023–24
71213.7 MPG
52
Rated
Juhann Begarin · 2021 draft, pick 45
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Josh Minott · 2022 draft, pick 45
1.52 four-season WAR · -0.59 LEBRON · 1297 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
966.4 MPG
15
Rated
2023–24
912.8 MPG
32
Rated
2024–25
2766.0 MPG
46
Rated
2025–26
83417.0 MPG
49
Rated
Danny Green · 2009 draft, pick 46
9.62 four-season WAR · 1.31 LEBRON · 3930 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
1155.8 MPG
20
Rated
2010–11
9211.5 MPG
8
Rated
2011–12
152223.1 MPG
66
Rated
2012–13
220127.5 MPG
80
Rated
Gani Lawal · 2010 draft, pick 46
0.00 four-season WAR · -0.43 LEBRON · 2 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
22.0 MPG
1
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Andrew Goudelock · 2011 draft, pick 46
-0.45 four-season WAR · -3.84 LEBRON · 425 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
41910.5 MPG
40
Rated
2012–13
66.0 MPG
1
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Darius Miller · 2012 draft, pick 46
0.96 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1460 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
69413.3 MPG
52
Rated
2013–14
72316.1 MPG
45
Rated
2014–15
438.6 MPG
5
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Erick Green · 2013 draft, pick 46
0.00 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 452 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
4109.5 MPG
43
Rated
2015–16
424.7 MPG
9
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jordan Clarkson · 2014 draft, pick 46
3.19 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 8313 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
147625.0 MPG
59
Rated
2015–16
255232.3 MPG
79
Rated
2016–17
239729.2 MPG
82
Rated
2017–18
188823.3 MPG
81
Rated
Norman Powell · 2015 draft, pick 46
2.86 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 4281 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
72514.8 MPG
49
Rated
2016–17
136818.0 MPG
76
Rated
2017–18
106215.2 MPG
70
Rated
2018–19
112618.8 MPG
60
Rated
A.J. Hammons · 2016 draft, pick 46
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 163 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
1637.4 MPG
22
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sterling Brown · 2017 draft, pick 46
1.39 four-season WAR · -1.80 LEBRON · 3806 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
77614.4 MPG
54
Rated
2018–19
103417.8 MPG
58
Rated
2019–20
76714.8 MPG
52
Rated
2020–21
122924.1 MPG
51
Rated
De'Anthony Melton · 2018 draft, pick 46
9.03 four-season WAR · 0.50 LEBRON · 4853 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
98419.7 MPG
50
Rated
2019–20
116719.4 MPG
60
Rated
2020–21
104520.1 MPG
52
Rated
2021–22
165722.7 MPG
73
Rated
Talen Horton-Tucker · 2019 draft, pick 46
4.05 four-season WAR · -0.91 LEBRON · 4209 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
8113.5 MPG
6
Rated
2020–21
130420.1 MPG
65
Rated
2021–22
151125.2 MPG
60
Rated
2022–23
131320.2 MPG
65
Rated
CJ Elleby · 2020 draft, pick 46
-0.08 four-season WAR · -2.49 LEBRON · 1366 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
1926.4 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
117420.2 MPG
58
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dalano Banton · 2021 draft, pick 46
2.35 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 3142 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
69610.9 MPG
64
Rated
2022–23
2799.0 MPG
31
Rated
2023–24
104719.4 MPG
54
Rated
2024–25
112016.7 MPG
67
Rated
Ismael Kamagate · 2022 draft, pick 46
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Henk Norel · 2009 draft, pick 47
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tiny Gallon · 2010 draft, pick 47
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Travis Leslie · 2011 draft, pick 47
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 45 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
454.5 MPG
10
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kevin Murphy · 2012 draft, pick 47
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.35 LEBRON · 52 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
523.1 MPG
17
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Raul Neto · 2013 draft, pick 47
1.58 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 1845 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
149918.5 MPG
81
Rated
2016–17
3468.7 MPG
40
Rated
Russ Smith · 2014 draft, pick 47
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.67 LEBRON · 131 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
655.4 MPG
12
Rated
2015–16
664.4 MPG
15
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Artūras Gudaitis · 2015 draft, pick 47
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jake Layman · 2016 draft, pick 47
1.45 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 2241 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
2497.1 MPG
35
Rated
2017–18
1604.6 MPG
35
Rated
2018–19
132718.7 MPG
71
Rated
2019–20
50522.0 MPG
23
Rated
Ike Anigbogu · 2017 draft, pick 47
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 36 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
302.7 MPG
11
Rated
2018–19
62.0 MPG
3
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Svi Mykhailiuk · 2018 draft, pick 47
2.49 four-season WAR · -1.36 LEBRON · 3745 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
44010.5 MPG
42
Rated
2019–20
126522.6 MPG
56
Rated
2020–21
132420.1 MPG
66
Rated
2021–22
71612.8 MPG
56
Rated
Ignas Brazdeikis · 2019 draft, pick 47
0.47 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 838 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
535.9 MPG
9
Rated
2020–21
24919.2 MPG
13
Rated
2021–22
53612.8 MPG
42
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Yam Madar · 2020 draft, pick 47
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
David Johnson · 2021 draft, pick 47
0.00 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 2 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
21.0 MPG
2
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vince Williams Jr. · 2022 draft, pick 47
2.76 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 2860 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
1057.0 MPG
15
Rated
2023–24
143627.6 MPG
52
Rated
2024–25
49918.5 MPG
27
Rated
2025–26
82020.5 MPG
40
Rated
Taylor Griffin · 2009 draft, pick 48
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 32 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
324.0 MPG
8
Rated
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Latavious Williams · 2010 draft, pick 48
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Keith Benson · 2011 draft, pick 48
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.57 LEBRON · 9 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
93.0 MPG
3
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kostas Papanikolaou · 2012 draft, pick 48
0.17 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 1089 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
79518.5 MPG
43
Rated
2015–16
29411.3 MPG
26
Rated
Ryan Kelly · 2013 draft, pick 48
3.35 four-season WAR · -0.68 LEBRON · 3125 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
131222.2 MPG
59
Rated
2014–15
123323.7 MPG
52
Rated
2015–16
47013.1 MPG
36
Rated
2016–17
1106.9 MPG
16
Rated
Lamar Patterson · 2014 draft, pick 48
0.09 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 435 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
39511.3 MPG
35
Rated
2016–17
408.0 MPG
5
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dakari Johnson · 2015 draft, pick 48
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 161 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
1615.2 MPG
31
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Paul Zipser · 2016 draft, pick 48
-0.20 four-season WAR · -2.51 LEBRON · 1667 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
84319.2 MPG
44
Rated
2017–18
82415.3 MPG
54
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sindarius Thornwell · 2017 draft, pick 48
1.28 four-season WAR · -1.21 LEBRON · 1721 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
115615.8 MPG
73
Rated
2018–19
3134.9 MPG
64
Rated
2019–20
3517.5 MPG
2
Rated
2020–21
21710.3 MPG
21
Rated
Keita Bates-Diop · 2018 draft, pick 48
1.00 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 2449 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
50316.8 MPG
30
Rated
2019–20
74416.9 MPG
44
Rated
2020–21
2458.2 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
95716.2 MPG
59
Rated
Terance Mann · 2019 draft, pick 48
6.88 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 5814 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
3628.8 MPG
41
Rated
2020–21
126318.9 MPG
67
Rated
2021–22
231728.6 MPG
81
Rated
2022–23
187223.1 MPG
81
Rated
Nico Mannion · 2020 draft, pick 48
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.84 LEBRON · 364 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
36412.1 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sharife Cooper · 2021 draft, pick 48
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.89 LEBRON · 39 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
393.0 MPG
13
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kendall Brown · 2022 draft, pick 48
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 103 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
406.7 MPG
6
Rated
2023–24
634.2 MPG
15
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sergiy Gladyr · 2009 draft, pick 49
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ryan Richards · 2010 draft, pick 49
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Josh Selby · 2011 draft, pick 49
-0.08 four-season WAR · -2.62 LEBRON · 296 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
2378.5 MPG
28
Rated
2012–13
595.9 MPG
10
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kyle O'Quinn · 2012 draft, pick 49
4.28 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 3414 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
63811.2 MPG
57
Rated
2013–14
118817.2 MPG
69
Rated
2014–15
82416.2 MPG
51
Rated
2015–16
76411.8 MPG
65
Rated
Erik Murphy · 2013 draft, pick 49
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 62 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
622.6 MPG
24
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cameron Bairstow · 2014 draft, pick 49
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 167 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
643.6 MPG
18
Rated
2015–16
1035.7 MPG
18
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Aaron White · 2015 draft, pick 49
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Michael Gbinije · 2016 draft, pick 49
0.05 four-season WAR · 0.05 LEBRON · 32 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
323.6 MPG
9
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vlatko Čančar · 2017 draft, pick 49
-0.02 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 326 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
453.2 MPG
14
Rated
2020–21
2816.9 MPG
41
Rated
Chimezie Metu · 2018 draft, pick 49
2.20 four-season WAR · -0.71 LEBRON · 2017 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
1455.0 MPG
29
Rated
2019–20
1055.8 MPG
18
Rated
2020–21
48813.6 MPG
36
Rated
2021–22
127921.3 MPG
60
Rated
Quinndary Weatherspoon · 2019 draft, pick 49
0.21 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 272 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
787.1 MPG
11
Rated
2020–21
1216.0 MPG
20
Rated
2021–22
736.6 MPG
11
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Joe · 2020 draft, pick 49
4.86 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 3832 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
3839.3 MPG
41
Rated
2021–22
60911.1 MPG
55
Rated
2022–23
139519.1 MPG
73
Rated
2023–24
144518.5 MPG
78
Rated
Marcus Zegarowski · 2021 draft, pick 49
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Mobley · 2022 draft, pick 49
0.18 four-season WAR · -0.75 LEBRON · 173 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
847.0 MPG
12
Rated
2023–24
727.2 MPG
10
Rated
2024–25
1717.0 MPG
1
Rated
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Goran Suton · 2009 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Solomon Alabi · 2010 draft, pick 50
0.20 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 181 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
594.9 MPG
12
Rated
2011–12
1228.7 MPG
14
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Lavoy Allen · 2011 draft, pick 50
3.72 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 4435 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
62415.2 MPG
41
Rated
2012–13
166921.1 MPG
79
Rated
2013–14
107216.5 MPG
65
Rated
2014–15
107017.0 MPG
63
Rated
İzzet Türkyılmaz · 2012 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
James Ennis III · 2013 draft, pick 50
2.01 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 2881 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
105117.0 MPG
62
Rated
2015–16
32915.0 MPG
22
Rated
2016–17
150123.5 MPG
64
Rated
Alec Brown · 2014 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Marcus Eriksson · 2015 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Georges Niang · 2016 draft, pick 50
1.33 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 1564 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
934.0 MPG
23
Rated
2017–18
323.6 MPG
9
Rated
2018–19
5168.7 MPG
59
Rated
2019–20
92314.0 MPG
66
Rated
Mathias Lessort · 2017 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Alize Johnson · 2018 draft, pick 50
0.64 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 538 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
644.6 MPG
14
Rated
2019–20
1186.9 MPG
17
Rated
2020–21
18910.5 MPG
18
Rated
2021–22
1677.3 MPG
23
Rated
Jarrell Brantley · 2019 draft, pick 50
0.25 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 273 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
9610.7 MPG
9
Rated
2020–21
1384.9 MPG
28
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
399.8 MPG
4
Rated
Skylar Mays · 2020 draft, pick 50
1.25 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 1111 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
2698.2 MPG
33
Rated
2021–22
2207.9 MPG
28
Rated
2022–23
18931.5 MPG
6
Rated
2023–24
43311.4 MPG
38
Rated
Filip Petrušev · 2021 draft, pick 50
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.45 LEBRON · 10 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
103.3 MPG
3
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Matteo Spagnolo · 2022 draft, pick 50
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jack McClinton · 2009 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Magnum Rolle · 2010 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jon Diebler · 2011 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kris Joseph · 2012 draft, pick 51
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 54 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
545.4 MPG
10
Rated
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Romero Osby · 2013 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Thanasis Antetokounmpo · 2014 draft, pick 51
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.33 LEBRON · 6 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
63.0 MPG
2
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyler Harvey · 2015 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ben Bentil · 2016 draft, pick 51
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 10 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
103.3 MPG
3
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Monte Morris · 2017 draft, pick 51
7.02 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 4827 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
258.3 MPG
3
Rated
2018–19
197024.0 MPG
82
Rated
2019–20
163622.4 MPG
73
Rated
2020–21
119625.4 MPG
47
Rated
Tony Carr · 2018 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tremont Waters · 2019 draft, pick 51
0.28 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 407 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
11910.8 MPG
11
Rated
2020–21
2389.2 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
5016.7 MPG
3
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justinian Jessup · 2020 draft, pick 51
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Brandon Boston Jr. · 2021 draft, pick 51
0.86 four-season WAR · -1.86 LEBRON · 2346 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
76014.9 MPG
51
Rated
2022–23
24811.3 MPG
22
Rated
2023–24
34510.8 MPG
32
Rated
2024–25
99323.6 MPG
42
Rated
Tyrese Martin · 2022 draft, pick 51
1.44 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 2158 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
664.1 MPG
16
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
131521.9 MPG
60
Rated
2025–26
77716.9 MPG
46
Rated
A.J. Price · 2009 draft, pick 52
5.18 four-season WAR · -0.09 LEBRON · 3506 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
86515.4 MPG
56
Rated
2010–11
79515.9 MPG
50
Rated
2011–12
56812.9 MPG
44
Rated
2012–13
127822.4 MPG
57
Rated
Luke Harangody · 2010 draft, pick 52
0.66 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 871 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
64013.1 MPG
49
Rated
2011–12
23111.0 MPG
21
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vernon Macklin · 2011 draft, pick 52
0.19 four-season WAR · -0.22 LEBRON · 135 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
1355.9 MPG
23
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ognjen Kuzmić · 2012 draft, pick 52
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 164 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
924.4 MPG
21
Rated
2014–15
724.5 MPG
16
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Lorenzo Brown · 2013 draft, pick 52
1.11 four-season WAR · -0.29 LEBRON · 834 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
2248.6 MPG
26
Rated
2014–15
54918.9 MPG
29
Rated
2015–16
617.6 MPG
8
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vasilije Micić · 2014 draft, pick 52
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Satnam Singh · 2015 draft, pick 52
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Joel Bolomboy · 2016 draft, pick 52
0.10 four-season WAR · -0.66 LEBRON · 91 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
534.4 MPG
12
Rated
2017–18
386.3 MPG
6
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Edmond Sumner · 2017 draft, pick 52
-0.13 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 1520 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
22.0 MPG
1
Rated
2018–19
2109.1 MPG
23
Rated
2019–20
44714.4 MPG
31
Rated
2020–21
86116.2 MPG
53
Rated
Vince Edwards · 2018 draft, pick 52
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 16 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
168.0 MPG
2
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jalen McDaniels · 2019 draft, pick 52
3.18 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 4005 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
29318.3 MPG
16
Rated
2020–21
90419.2 MPG
47
Rated
2021–22
89516.3 MPG
55
Rated
2022–23
191323.9 MPG
80
Rated
KJ Martin · 2020 draft, pick 52
1.70 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 5762 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
106823.7 MPG
45
Rated
2021–22
165621.0 MPG
79
Rated
2022–23
229228.0 MPG
82
Rated
2023–24
74612.4 MPG
60
Rated
Luka Garza · 2021 draft, pick 52
0.89 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 973 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
38912.2 MPG
32
Rated
2022–23
2438.7 MPG
28
Rated
2023–24
1224.9 MPG
25
Rated
2024–25
2195.6 MPG
39
Rated
Karlo Matković · 2022 draft, pick 52
1.49 four-season WAR · -1.05 LEBRON · 1703 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
79118.8 MPG
42
Rated
2025–26
91214.7 MPG
62
Rated
Nando De Colo · 2009 draft, pick 53
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.13 LEBRON · 920 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
92012.8 MPG
72
Rated
Pape Sy · 2010 draft, pick 53
0.02 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 21 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
217.0 MPG
3
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
DeAndre Liggins · 2011 draft, pick 53
0.01 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 406 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
1156.8 MPG
17
Rated
2012–13
2907.4 MPG
39
Rated
2013–14
11.0 MPG
1
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Furkan Aldemir · 2012 draft, pick 53
0.48 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 540 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
54013.2 MPG
41
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Colton Iverson · 2013 draft, pick 53
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Alessandro Gentile · 2014 draft, pick 53
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sir'Dominic Pointer · 2015 draft, pick 53
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Petr Cornelie · 2016 draft, pick 53
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kadeem Allen · 2017 draft, pick 53
0.77 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 640 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
1075.9 MPG
18
Rated
2018–19
41621.9 MPG
19
Rated
2019–20
11711.7 MPG
10
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Devon Hall · 2018 draft, pick 53
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 81 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
817.4 MPG
11
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Justin Wright-Foreman · 2019 draft, pick 53
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 45 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
4511.3 MPG
4
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cassius Winston · 2020 draft, pick 53
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.71 LEBRON · 137 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
984.5 MPG
22
Rated
2021–22
395.6 MPG
7
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Charles Bassey · 2021 draft, pick 53
1.94 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 1257 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
1687.3 MPG
23
Rated
2022–23
50814.5 MPG
35
Rated
2023–24
20510.8 MPG
19
Rated
2024–25
37610.4 MPG
36
Rated
JD Davison · 2022 draft, pick 53
0.25 four-season WAR · -1.49 LEBRON · 416 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
665.5 MPG
12
Rated
2023–24
394.9 MPG
8
Rated
2024–25
935.8 MPG
16
Rated
2025–26
2187.8 MPG
28
Rated
Robert Vaden · 2009 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Willie Warren · 2010 draft, pick 54
0.21 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 134 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
1347.1 MPG
19
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Milan Mačvan · 2011 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tornike Shengelia · 2012 draft, pick 54
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.55 LEBRON · 247 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
934.9 MPG
19
Rated
2013–14
1545.9 MPG
26
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Arsalan Kazemi · 2013 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nemanja Dangubić · 2014 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dani Díez · 2015 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kay Felder · 2016 draft, pick 54
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.73 LEBRON · 526 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
3869.2 MPG
42
Rated
2017–18
1408.8 MPG
16
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Alec Peters · 2017 draft, pick 54
0.28 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 225 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
22511.3 MPG
20
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Shake Milton · 2018 draft, pick 54
3.31 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 3713 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
26813.4 MPG
20
Rated
2019–20
80520.1 MPG
40
Rated
2020–21
146123.2 MPG
63
Rated
2021–22
117921.4 MPG
55
Rated
Marial Shayok · 2019 draft, pick 54
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.03 LEBRON · 28 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
287.0 MPG
4
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cassius Stanley · 2020 draft, pick 54
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.56 LEBRON · 248 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
933.9 MPG
24
Rated
2021–22
15517.2 MPG
9
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sandro Mamukelashvili · 2021 draft, pick 54
3.49 four-season WAR · 0.08 LEBRON · 2199 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
4079.9 MPG
41
Rated
2022–23
66015.3 MPG
43
Rated
2023–24
4519.8 MPG
46
Rated
2024–25
68111.2 MPG
61
Rated
Yannick Nzosa · 2022 draft, pick 54
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Patty Mills · 2009 draft, pick 55
1.26 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 1738 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
383.8 MPG
10
Rated
2010–11
78312.2 MPG
64
Rated
2011–12
26116.3 MPG
16
Rated
2012–13
65611.3 MPG
58
Rated
Jeremy Evans · 2010 draft, pick 55
2.85 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 2104 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
4639.4 MPG
49
Rated
2011–12
2177.5 MPG
29
Rated
2012–13
2155.8 MPG
37
Rated
2013–14
120918.3 MPG
66
Rated
E'Twaun Moore · 2011 draft, pick 55
0.49 four-season WAR · -2.09 LEBRON · 4023 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
3318.7 MPG
38
Rated
2012–13
168222.4 MPG
75
Rated
2013–14
150619.1 MPG
79
Rated
2014–15
5049.0 MPG
56
Rated
Darius Johnson-Odom · 2012 draft, pick 55
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.15 LEBRON · 21 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
61.5 MPG
4
Rated
2013–14
155.0 MPG
3
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Joffrey Lauvergne · 2013 draft, pick 55
0.22 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 2289 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
26811.2 MPG
24
Rated
2015–16
104117.6 MPG
59
Rated
2016–17
98014.0 MPG
70
Rated
Semaj Christon · 2014 draft, pick 55
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 973 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
97315.2 MPG
64
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cady Lalanne · 2015 draft, pick 55
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Marcus Paige · 2016 draft, pick 55
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 28 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
285.6 MPG
5
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nigel Williams-Goss · 2017 draft, pick 55
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.45 LEBRON · 50 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
505.0 MPG
10
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Arnoldas Kulboka · 2018 draft, pick 55
0.00 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 5 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 4.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
52.5 MPG
2
Rated
Kyle Guy · 2019 draft, pick 55
0.29 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 431 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
103.3 MPG
3
Rated
2020–21
2357.6 MPG
31
Rated
2021–22
1869.8 MPG
19
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jay Scrubb · 2020 draft, pick 55
0.22 four-season WAR · -0.94 LEBRON · 235 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
8421.0 MPG
4
Rated
2021–22
1216.7 MPG
18
Rated
2022–23
3015.0 MPG
2
Rated
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Aaron Wiggins · 2021 draft, pick 55
5.53 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 5478 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
120924.2 MPG
50
Rated
2022–23
129718.5 MPG
70
Rated
2023–24
122815.7 MPG
78
Rated
2024–25
174422.9 MPG
76
Rated
Gui Santos · 2022 draft, pick 55
3.58 four-season WAR · -0.03 LEBRON · 2349 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
1928.3 MPG
23
Rated
2024–25
76213.6 MPG
56
Rated
2025–26
139520.5 MPG
68
Rated
Ahmad Nivins · 2009 draft, pick 56
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Hamady N'Diaye · 2010 draft, pick 56
0.17 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 157 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
805.0 MPG
16
Rated
2011–12
31.0 MPG
3
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
745.3 MPG
14
Rated
Chukwudiebere Maduabum · 2011 draft, pick 56
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tomislav Zubčić · 2012 draft, pick 56
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Peyton Siva · 2013 draft, pick 56
0.21 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 224 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
2249.3 MPG
24
Rated
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Devyn Marble · 2014 draft, pick 56
0.45 four-season WAR · -0.81 LEBRON · 457 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
20813.0 MPG
16
Rated
2015–16
2498.9 MPG
28
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Branden Dawson · 2015 draft, pick 56
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 29 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
294.8 MPG
6
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Daniel Hamilton · 2016 draft, pick 56
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 232 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
284.7 MPG
6
Rated
2018–19
20410.7 MPG
19
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jabari Bird · 2017 draft, pick 56
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 115 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
1158.8 MPG
13
Rated
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ray Spalding · 2018 draft, pick 56
0.19 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 167 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
14810.6 MPG
14
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
199.5 MPG
2
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jaylen Hands · 2019 draft, pick 56
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Grant Riller · 2020 draft, pick 56
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 27 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
273.9 MPG
7
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Scottie Lewis · 2021 draft, pick 56
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 7 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
73.5 MPG
2
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Luke Travers · 2022 draft, pick 56
0.18 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 191 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 3.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
887.3 MPG
12
Rated
2025–26
1038.6 MPG
12
Rated
Emir Preldžić · 2009 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ryan Reid · 2010 draft, pick 57
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.08 LEBRON · 17 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
173.4 MPG
5
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tanguy Ngombo · 2011 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
İlkan Karaman · 2012 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Alex Oriakhi · 2013 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Louis Labeyrie · 2014 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Nikola Radičević · 2015 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Wang Zhelin · 2016 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sasha Vezenkov · 2017 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kevin Hervey · 2018 draft, pick 57
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 52 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
525.2 MPG
10
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jordan Bone · 2019 draft, pick 57
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.89 LEBRON · 249 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
535.3 MPG
10
Rated
2020–21
19614.0 MPG
14
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Reggie Perry · 2020 draft, pick 57
0.27 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 398 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
2118.1 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
18718.7 MPG
10
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
Balša Koprivica · 2021 draft, pick 57
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jabari Walker · 2022 draft, pick 57
2.02 four-season WAR · -1.61 LEBRON · 3830 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
61911.1 MPG
56
Rated
2023–24
170023.6 MPG
72
Rated
2024–25
74912.5 MPG
60
Rated
2025–26
76211.9 MPG
64
Rated
Lester Hudson · 2009 draft, pick 58
0.66 four-season WAR · -0.47 LEBRON · 538 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
1315.2 MPG
25
Rated
2010–11
736.6 MPG
11
Rated
2011–12
33420.9 MPG
16
Rated
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Derrick Caracter · 2010 draft, pick 58
-0.10 four-season WAR · -3.03 LEBRON · 215 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
2155.2 MPG
41
Rated
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ater Majok · 2011 draft, pick 58
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Robbie Hummel · 2012 draft, pick 58
0.77 four-season WAR · -1.44 LEBRON · 1397 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
65512.4 MPG
53
Rated
2014–15
74216.5 MPG
45
Rated
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Deshaun Thomas · 2013 draft, pick 58
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jordan McRae · 2014 draft, pick 58
0.32 four-season WAR · -1.51 LEBRON · 579 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
1958.9 MPG
22
Rated
2016–17
38410.4 MPG
37
Rated
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
J.P. Tokoto · 2015 draft, pick 58
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Abdel Nader · 2016 draft, pick 58
-0.67 four-season WAR · -2.87 LEBRON · 2083 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
52210.9 MPG
48
Rated
2018–19
69411.4 MPG
61
Rated
2019–20
86715.8 MPG
55
Rated
Ognjen Jaramaz · 2017 draft, pick 58
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Thomas Welsh · 2018 draft, pick 58
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 36 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
363.3 MPG
11
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Miye Oni · 2019 draft, pick 58
0.03 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 672 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
10910.9 MPG
10
Rated
2020–21
5199.6 MPG
54
Rated
2021–22
442.8 MPG
16
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Paul Reed · 2020 draft, pick 58
5.76 four-season WAR · 0.78 LEBRON · 2824 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
1776.8 MPG
26
Rated
2021–22
3027.9 MPG
38
Rated
2022–23
75510.9 MPG
69
Rated
2023–24
159019.4 MPG
82
Rated
Jericho Sims · 2021 draft, pick 58
0.64 four-season WAR · -2.05 LEBRON · 2584 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
55513.5 MPG
41
Rated
2022–23
81215.6 MPG
52
Rated
2023–24
58513.0 MPG
45
Rated
2024–25
63211.9 MPG
53
Rated
Hugo Besson · 2022 draft, pick 58
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
2025–26
0
0
No NBA minutes
Chinemelu Elonu · 2009 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Stanley Robinson · 2010 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Ádám Hanga · 2011 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
Marcus Denmon · 2012 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
Bojan Dubljević · 2013 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Xavier Thames · 2014 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dimitrios Agravanis · 2015 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Cousins · 2016 draft, pick 59
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jaron Blossomgame · 2017 draft, pick 59
0.44 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 439 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
43916.3 MPG
27
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
George King · 2018 draft, pick 59
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.74 LEBRON · 25 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
66.0 MPG
1
Rated
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
194.8 MPG
4
Rated
Dewan Hernandez · 2019 draft, pick 59
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 28 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
284.7 MPG
6
Rated
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Jalen Harris · 2020 draft, pick 59
0.11 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 172 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
17213.2 MPG
13
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
RaiQuan Gray · 2021 draft, pick 59
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 74 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
3535.0 MPG
1
Rated
2023–24
3913.0 MPG
3
Rated
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Robert Dozier · 2009 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2009–10
0
0
No NBA minutes
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
Dwayne Collins · 2010 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2010–11
0
0
No NBA minutes
2011–12
0
0
No NBA minutes
2012–13
0
0
No NBA minutes
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
Isaiah Thomas · 2011 draft, pick 60
18.69 four-season WAR · 1.16 LEBRON · 8001 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2011–12
165625.5 MPG
65
Rated
2012–13
212226.9 MPG
79
Rated
2013–14
249734.7 MPG
72
Rated
2014–15
172625.8 MPG
67
Rated
Robert Sacre · 2012 draft, pick 60
1.24 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 2745 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2012–13
2036.3 MPG
32
Rated
2013–14
108916.8 MPG
65
Rated
2014–15
113316.9 MPG
67
Rated
2015–16
32012.8 MPG
25
Rated
Jānis Timma · 2013 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2013–14
0
0
No NBA minutes
2014–15
0
0
No NBA minutes
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
Cory Jefferson · 2014 draft, pick 60
0.85 four-season WAR · -0.10 LEBRON · 581 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2014–15
53110.6 MPG
50
Rated
2015–16
506.3 MPG
8
Rated
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
Luka Mitrović · 2015 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2015–16
0
0
No NBA minutes
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
Tyrone Wallace · 2016 draft, pick 60
0.28 four-season WAR · -2.09 LEBRON · 1639 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 2.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2016–17
0
0
No NBA minutes
2017–18
85128.4 MPG
30
Rated
2018–19
62810.1 MPG
62
Rated
2019–20
16011.4 MPG
14
Rated
Alpha Kaba · 2017 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2017–18
0
0
No NBA minutes
2018–19
0
0
No NBA minutes
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
Kostas Antetokounmpo · 2018 draft, pick 60
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.70 LEBRON · 87 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2018–19
115.5 MPG
2
Rated
2019–20
204.0 MPG
5
Rated
2020–21
563.7 MPG
15
Rated
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
Vanja Marinković · 2019 draft, pick 60
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 NBA minutes. No NBA appearances in the window.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2019–20
0
0
No NBA minutes
2020–21
0
0
No NBA minutes
2021–22
0
0
No NBA minutes
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
Sam Merrill · 2020 draft, pick 60
1.80 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 1419 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2020–21
2337.8 MPG
30
Rated
2021–22
589.7 MPG
6
Rated
2022–23
5911.8 MPG
5
Rated
2023–24
106917.5 MPG
61
Rated
Georgios Kalaitzakis · 2021 draft, pick 60
0.07 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 214 NBA minutes. NBA debut in year 1.
This entry shows four-year impact above and season participation/exposure below. The rows report minutes, games, minutes per game and rating availability. “Rated” is an availability flag; annual WAR and rating values are not displayed for this player. Only Jokić has a season-impact walkthrough here, using three published records.
Four regular seasons after selection, including any waiting years. MPG = minutes per game (minutes ÷ games played).
Year
Min
Games
Rate status
2021–22
21416.5 MPG
13
Rated
2022–23
0
0
No NBA minutes
2023–24
0
0
No NBA minutes
2024–25
0
0
No NBA minutes
Pick-outcome percentiles and all selected-slot records
The default examples are actual draftees at the selected slot, nearest its observed 25th, 50th and 90th percentile WAR. Matching uses WAR only; minutes and LEBRON are shown as context, not extra matching dimensions. Ties choose the earlier draft class. A named example is not a forecast.
Pick 1: observed four-season examples
Zion Williamson · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
10.810
Actual LEBRON
2.220
NBA minutes
3650
25th-percentile target 11.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.19). Debut in year 1.
Paolo Banchero · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
17.700
Actual LEBRON
0.566
NBA minutes
9313
50th-percentile target 18.48 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.78). Debut in year 1.
Anthony Davis · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
33.462
Actual LEBRON
3.370
NBA minutes
8823
90th-percentile target 32.17 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.30). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 1
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Blake Griffin
2009
29.14
3.02
8102
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 3112 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2392 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2598 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Wall
2010
19.83
0.76
9574
Year 1
Year 1: 2606 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2386 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1602 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2980 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kyrie Irving
2011
21.14
1.24
8832
Year 1
Year 1: 1558 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2048 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2496 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Anthony Davis
2012
33.46
3.37
8823
Year 1
Year 1: 1846 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2358 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2455 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2164 min · 1,000+ · rated
Anthony Bennett
2013
0.67
-1.73
1905
Year 1
Year 1: 663 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 894 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 84 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 264 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andrew Wiggins
2014
11.59
-0.82
11841
Year 1
Year 1: 2969 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2845 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 3048 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2979 min · 1,000+ · rated
Karl-Anthony Towns
2015
36.56
2.68
11120
Year 1
Year 1: 2627 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 3030 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2918 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2545 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ben Simmons
2016
20.84
1.91
7449
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 2732 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2700 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2017 min · 1,000+ · rated
Markelle Fultz
2017
2.85
-0.86
2891
Year 1
Year 1: 253 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 427 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1996 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 215 min · below 1,000 · rated
Deandre Ayton
2018
12.54
0.29
7247
Year 1
Year 1: 2183 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1236 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2115 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1713 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zion Williamson
2019
10.81
2.22
3650
Year 1
Year 1: 668 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2026 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 956 min · below 1,000 · rated
Anthony Edwards
2020
19.27
0.49
10392
Year 1
Year 1: 2314 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2466 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2842 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2770 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cade Cunningham
2021
10.06
-0.14
7014
Year 1
Year 1: 2088 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 400 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2074 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2452 min · 1,000+ · rated
Paolo Banchero
2022
17.70
0.57
9313
Year 1
Year 1: 2430 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2799 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1582 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2502 min · 1,000+ · rated
Blake Griffin · 2009
29.14 four-season WAR · 3.02 LEBRON · 8102 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 3112 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2392 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2598 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Wall · 2010
19.83 four-season WAR · 0.76 LEBRON · 9574 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2606 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2386 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1602 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2980 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kyrie Irving · 2011
21.14 four-season WAR · 1.24 LEBRON · 8832 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1558 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2048 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2496 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Anthony Davis · 2012
33.46 four-season WAR · 3.37 LEBRON · 8823 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1846 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2358 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2164 min · 1,000+ · rated
Anthony Bennett · 2013
0.67 four-season WAR · -1.73 LEBRON · 1905 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 663 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 894 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 264 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andrew Wiggins · 2014
11.59 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 11841 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2969 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2845 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 3048 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2979 min · 1,000+ · rated
Karl-Anthony Towns · 2015
36.56 four-season WAR · 2.68 LEBRON · 11120 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2627 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 3030 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2918 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2545 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ben Simmons · 2016
20.84 four-season WAR · 1.91 LEBRON · 7449 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 2732 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2700 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2017 min · 1,000+ · rated
Markelle Fultz · 2017
2.85 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 2891 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 253 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 427 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1996 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 215 min · below 1,000 · rated
Deandre Ayton · 2018
12.54 four-season WAR · 0.29 LEBRON · 7247 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2183 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1236 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2115 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1713 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zion Williamson · 2019
10.81 four-season WAR · 2.22 LEBRON · 3650 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 668 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2026 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 956 min · below 1,000 · rated
Anthony Edwards · 2020
19.27 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 10392 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2314 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2466 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2842 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2770 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cade Cunningham · 2021
10.06 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 7014 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 400 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2074 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2452 min · 1,000+ · rated
Paolo Banchero · 2022
17.70 four-season WAR · 0.57 LEBRON · 9313 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2430 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2799 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1582 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2502 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 2: observed four-season examples
Evan Turner · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
3.448
Actual LEBRON
-1.711
NBA minutes
8859
25th-percentile target 3.52 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.08). Debut in year 1.
Brandon Ingram · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
5.490
Actual LEBRON
-1.302
NBA minutes
8118
50th-percentile target 5.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.42). Debut in year 1.
Chet Holmgren · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
19.418
Actual LEBRON
3.450
NBA minutes
5287
90th-percentile target 17.35 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 2.07). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
All 14 actual selections at pick 2
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Hasheem Thabeet
2009
2.61
-0.49
2165
Year 1
Year 1: 883 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 373 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 139 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 770 min · below 1,000 · rated
Evan Turner
2010
3.45
-1.71
8859
Year 1
Year 1: 1797 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1713 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2892 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2457 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick Williams
2011
2.07
-1.80
6616
Year 1
Year 1: 1418 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1916 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1820 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1462 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
2012
10.01
0.49
5319
Year 1
Year 1: 2025 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1502 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1587 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 205 min · below 1,000 · rated
Victor Oladipo
2013
12.51
-0.37
9661
Year 1
Year 1: 2487 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2573 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2379 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2222 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jabari Parker
2014
3.75
-1.29
5617
Year 1
Year 1: 738 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2408 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1728 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 743 min · below 1,000 · rated
D'Angelo Russell
2015
7.28
-0.86
7752
Year 1
Year 1: 2259 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1811 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1234 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2448 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Ingram
2016
5.49
-1.30
8118
Year 1
Year 1: 2279 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1975 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1760 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2104 min · 1,000+ · rated
Lonzo Ball
2017
12.45
0.36
6975
Year 1
Year 1: 1780 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1423 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2025 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1747 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marvin Bagley III
2018
3.93
-0.93
4166
Year 1
Year 1: 1567 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 334 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1112 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1153 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ja Morant
2019
20.38
1.61
7964
Year 1
Year 1: 2074 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2053 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1889 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1948 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Wiseman
2020
-0.19
-2.56
2794
Year 1
Year 1: 836 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 867 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1091 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Green
2021
4.64
-1.72
10038
Year 1
Year 1: 2138 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2602 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2601 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2697 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chet Holmgren
2022
19.42
3.45
5287
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 2413 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 877 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1997 min · 1,000+ · rated
Hasheem Thabeet · 2009
2.61 four-season WAR · -0.49 LEBRON · 2165 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 883 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 373 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 139 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 770 min · below 1,000 · rated
Evan Turner · 2010
3.45 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 8859 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1797 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1713 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2892 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2457 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick Williams · 2011
2.07 four-season WAR · -1.80 LEBRON · 6616 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1418 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1916 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1820 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1462 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist · 2012
10.01 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 5319 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2025 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1502 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1587 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 205 min · below 1,000 · rated
Victor Oladipo · 2013
12.51 four-season WAR · -0.37 LEBRON · 9661 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2487 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2573 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2379 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2222 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jabari Parker · 2014
3.75 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 5617 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 738 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2408 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1728 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 743 min · below 1,000 · rated
D'Angelo Russell · 2015
7.28 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 7752 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2259 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1811 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1234 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2448 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Ingram · 2016
5.49 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 8118 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2279 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1975 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1760 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2104 min · 1,000+ · rated
Lonzo Ball · 2017
12.45 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 6975 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1780 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1423 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2025 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1747 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marvin Bagley III · 2018
3.93 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 4166 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1567 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 334 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1112 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1153 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ja Morant · 2019
20.38 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 7964 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2074 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2053 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1889 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1948 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Wiseman · 2020
-0.19 four-season WAR · -2.56 LEBRON · 2794 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 836 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 867 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1091 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Green · 2021
4.64 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 10038 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2602 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2601 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2697 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chet Holmgren · 2022
19.42 four-season WAR · 3.45 LEBRON · 5287 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 2413 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 877 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1997 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 3: observed four-season examples
Bradley Beal · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
9.488
Actual LEBRON
-0.532
NBA minutes
8090
25th-percentile target 9.52 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.04). Debut in year 1.
Derrick Favors · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
11.260
Actual LEBRON
0.128
NBA minutes
6899
50th-percentile target 11.52 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.26). Debut in year 1.
Jayson Tatum · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
27.697
Actual LEBRON
2.161
NBA minutes
9453
90th-percentile target 27.62 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.07). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 3
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
James Harden
2009
27.45
2.30
8858
Year 1
Year 1: 1738 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2189 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1946 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2985 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick Favors
2010
11.26
0.13
6899
Year 1
Year 1: 1535 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1376 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1787 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2201 min · 1,000+ · rated
Enes Freedom
2011
2.28
-1.71
6225
Year 1
Year 1: 874 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1078 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2138 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2135 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bradley Beal
2012
9.49
-0.53
8090
Year 1
Year 1: 1745 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2530 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2107 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1708 min · 1,000+ · rated
Otto Porter Jr.
2013
14.80
1.07
6632
Year 1
Year 1: 319 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1432 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2276 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2605 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joel Embiid
2014
9.63
3.08
2698
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 786 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1912 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jahlil Okafor
2015
0.83
-1.97
4013
Year 1
Year 1: 1591 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1134 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 353 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 935 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaylen Brown
2016
11.78
0.10
7340
Year 1
Year 1: 1341 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2152 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1913 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1934 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jayson Tatum
2017
27.70
2.16
9453
Year 1
Year 1: 2443 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2455 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2265 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2290 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luka Dončić
2018
33.55
3.48
8928
Year 1
Year 1: 2318 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2047 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2262 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2301 min · 1,000+ · rated
RJ Barrett
2019
5.25
-1.50
9107
Year 1
Year 1: 1704 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2511 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2417 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2475 min · 1,000+ · rated
LaMelo Ball
2020
12.20
0.85
5870
Year 1
Year 1: 1469 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2422 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1268 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 711 min · below 1,000 · rated
Evan Mobley
2021
24.66
2.05
8745
Year 1
Year 1: 2331 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2715 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1532 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2167 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jabari Smith Jr.
2022
10.84
-0.61
9296
Year 1
Year 1: 2451 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2424 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1716 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2705 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Harden · 2009
27.45 four-season WAR · 2.30 LEBRON · 8858 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1738 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2189 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1946 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2985 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick Favors · 2010
11.26 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 6899 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1535 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1376 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1787 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2201 min · 1,000+ · rated
Enes Freedom · 2011
2.28 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 6225 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 874 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1078 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2135 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bradley Beal · 2012
9.49 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 8090 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1745 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2530 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2107 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1708 min · 1,000+ · rated
Otto Porter Jr. · 2013
14.80 four-season WAR · 1.07 LEBRON · 6632 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 319 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1432 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2276 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2605 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joel Embiid · 2014
9.63 four-season WAR · 3.08 LEBRON · 2698 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 786 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1912 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jahlil Okafor · 2015
0.83 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 4013 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1591 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1134 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 353 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 935 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaylen Brown · 2016
11.78 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 7340 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1341 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2152 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1913 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1934 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jayson Tatum · 2017
27.70 four-season WAR · 2.16 LEBRON · 9453 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2265 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2290 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luka Dončić · 2018
33.55 four-season WAR · 3.48 LEBRON · 8928 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2318 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2262 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2301 min · 1,000+ · rated
RJ Barrett · 2019
5.25 four-season WAR · -1.50 LEBRON · 9107 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1704 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2511 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2417 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2475 min · 1,000+ · rated
LaMelo Ball · 2020
12.20 four-season WAR · 0.85 LEBRON · 5870 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1469 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2422 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1268 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 711 min · below 1,000 · rated
Evan Mobley · 2021
24.66 four-season WAR · 2.05 LEBRON · 8745 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2331 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2715 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1532 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2167 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jabari Smith Jr. · 2022
10.84 four-season WAR · -0.61 LEBRON · 9296 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2451 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2424 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1716 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2705 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 4: observed four-season examples
Wesley Johnson · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
1.677
Actual LEBRON
-1.901
NBA minutes
6731
25th-percentile target 2.03 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.35). Debut in year 1.
Tristan Thompson · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
8.555
Actual LEBRON
-0.830
NBA minutes
8776
50th-percentile target 9.51 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.96). Debut in year 1.
Keegan Murray · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
14.995
Actual LEBRON
0.393
NBA minutes
8373
90th-percentile target 14.54 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.46). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 4
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Tyreke Evans
2009
10.47
-0.54
8962
Year 1
Year 1: 2677 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2107 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2162 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2016 min · 1,000+ · rated
Wesley Johnson
2010
1.68
-1.90
6731
Year 1
Year 1: 2069 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1469 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 953 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2240 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tristan Thompson
2011
8.55
-0.83
8776
Year 1
Year 1: 1424 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2564 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2594 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2194 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dion Waiters
2012
5.39
-1.30
8188
Year 1
Year 1: 1756 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2072 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2208 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2152 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cody Zeller
2013
13.47
0.84
6402
Year 1
Year 1: 1416 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1487 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1774 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1725 min · 1,000+ · rated
Aaron Gordon
2014
11.11
0.13
6867
Year 1
Year 1: 797 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1863 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2298 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1909 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kristaps Porziņģis
2015
12.25
0.86
5764
Year 1
Year 1: 2047 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2164 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dragan Bender
2016
-0.42
-2.52
3755
Year 1
Year 1: 574 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2069 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 826 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 286 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Jackson
2017
-0.19
-2.42
5888
Year 1
Year 1: 1959 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1988 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 381 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaren Jackson Jr.
2018
10.72
0.64
5521
Year 1
Year 1: 1515 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1622 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 258 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2126 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Andre Hunter
2019
3.08
-1.66
6399
Year 1
Year 1: 2018 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 678 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1577 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2126 min · 1,000+ · rated
Patrick Williams
2020
1.22
-2.11
5902
Year 1
Year 1: 1983 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 422 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2323 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Scottie Barnes
2021
22.76
1.35
9523
Year 1
Year 1: 2617 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2678 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2094 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2134 min · 1,000+ · rated
Keegan Murray
2022
14.99
0.39
8373
Year 1
Year 1: 2382 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2588 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2610 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 793 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyreke Evans · 2009
10.47 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 8962 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2677 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2107 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2162 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2016 min · 1,000+ · rated
Wesley Johnson · 2010
1.68 four-season WAR · -1.90 LEBRON · 6731 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2069 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1469 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 953 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2240 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tristan Thompson · 2011
8.55 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 8776 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1424 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2564 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2594 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2194 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dion Waiters · 2012
5.39 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 8188 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1756 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2072 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2208 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2152 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cody Zeller · 2013
13.47 four-season WAR · 0.84 LEBRON · 6402 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1487 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1774 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1725 min · 1,000+ · rated
Aaron Gordon · 2014
11.11 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 6867 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 797 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1863 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2298 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1909 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kristaps Porziņģis · 2015
12.25 four-season WAR · 0.86 LEBRON · 5764 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2164 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dragan Bender · 2016
-0.42 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 3755 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 574 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2069 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 826 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 286 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Jackson · 2017
-0.19 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 5888 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1959 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1988 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 381 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaren Jackson Jr. · 2018
10.72 four-season WAR · 0.64 LEBRON · 5521 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1515 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1622 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 258 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2126 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Andre Hunter · 2019
3.08 four-season WAR · -1.66 LEBRON · 6399 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2018 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 678 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1577 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2126 min · 1,000+ · rated
Patrick Williams · 2020
1.22 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 5902 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1983 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 422 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2323 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Scottie Barnes · 2021
22.76 four-season WAR · 1.35 LEBRON · 9523 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2617 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2678 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2094 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2134 min · 1,000+ · rated
Keegan Murray · 2022
14.99 four-season WAR · 0.39 LEBRON · 8373 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2382 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2588 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2610 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 793 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 5: observed four-season examples
Thomas Robinson · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
2.136
Actual LEBRON
-1.394
NBA minutes
3644
25th-percentile target 2.18 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.04). Debut in year 1.
Jonas Valančiūnas · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
6.239
Actual LEBRON
-0.696
NBA minutes
5860
50th-percentile target 6.71 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.47). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
DeMarcus Cousins · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
16.144
Actual LEBRON
0.403
NBA minutes
8846
90th-percentile target 15.25 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.89). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 5
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Ricky Rubio
2009
9.19
2.08
3095
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1404 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1691 min · 1,000+ · rated
DeMarcus Cousins
2010
16.14
0.40
8846
Year 1
Year 1: 2309 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1950 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2289 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2298 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonas Valančiūnas
2011
6.24
-0.70
5860
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1482 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2282 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2096 min · 1,000+ · rated
Thomas Robinson
2012
2.14
-1.39
3644
Year 1
Year 1: 1056 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 873 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 798 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 917 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alex Len
2013
2.31
-1.63
5261
Year 1
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1518 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1821 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Danté Exum
2014
0.29
-2.14
3280
Year 1
Year 1: 1817 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mario Hezonja
2015
1.70
-1.82
5236
Year 1
Year 1: 1413 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 960 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1657 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1206 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kris Dunn
2016
6.08
-0.65
5516
Year 1
Year 1: 1333 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1525 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1389 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1269 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Aaron Fox
2017
13.17
0.13
8242
Year 1
Year 1: 2026 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2546 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1634 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2036 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trae Young
2018
21.33
1.11
9400
Year 1
Year 1: 2503 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2120 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2125 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2652 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darius Garland
2019
12.50
-0.13
8491
Year 1
Year 1: 1824 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1790 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2430 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2447 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaac Okoro
2020
7.18
-0.95
7693
Year 1
Year 1: 2173 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1981 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1652 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1887 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Suggs
2021
7.79
-0.24
5580
Year 1
Year 1: 1307 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1246 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2025 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1002 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden Ivey
2022
0.13
-2.44
6089
Year 1
Year 1: 2304 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2217 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 898 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 670 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ricky Rubio · 2009
9.19 four-season WAR · 2.08 LEBRON · 3095 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1404 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1691 min · 1,000+ · rated
DeMarcus Cousins · 2010
16.14 four-season WAR · 0.40 LEBRON · 8846 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2309 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1950 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2289 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2298 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonas Valančiūnas · 2011
6.24 four-season WAR · -0.70 LEBRON · 5860 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1482 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2282 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2096 min · 1,000+ · rated
Thomas Robinson · 2012
2.14 four-season WAR · -1.39 LEBRON · 3644 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1056 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 873 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 798 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 917 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alex Len · 2013
2.31 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 5261 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1518 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1821 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Danté Exum · 2014
0.29 four-season WAR · -2.14 LEBRON · 3280 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1817 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mario Hezonja · 2015
1.70 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 5236 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1413 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 960 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1657 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1206 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kris Dunn · 2016
6.08 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 5516 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1333 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1525 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1389 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1269 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Aaron Fox · 2017
13.17 four-season WAR · 0.13 LEBRON · 8242 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2026 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2546 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1634 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2036 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trae Young · 2018
21.33 four-season WAR · 1.11 LEBRON · 9400 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2503 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2125 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2652 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darius Garland · 2019
12.50 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 8491 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1824 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1790 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2430 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2447 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaac Okoro · 2020
7.18 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 7693 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2173 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1981 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1652 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1887 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Suggs · 2021
7.79 four-season WAR · -0.24 LEBRON · 5580 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1307 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1246 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2025 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1002 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden Ivey · 2022
0.13 four-season WAR · -2.44 LEBRON · 6089 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2304 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2217 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 898 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 670 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 6: observed four-season examples
Bennedict Mathurin · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
3.288
Actual LEBRON
-1.767
NBA minutes
7529
25th-percentile target 3.77 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.48). Debut in year 1.
Jonathan Isaac · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
7.158
Actual LEBRON
0.769
NBA minutes
3512
50th-percentile target 6.45 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.71). Debut in year 1.
Marcus Smart · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
15.026
Actual LEBRON
0.688
NBA minutes
7488
90th-percentile target 14.81 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.22). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 6
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jonny Flynn
2009
-2.61
-3.37
3738
Year 1
Year 1: 2339 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 983 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 416 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ekpe Udoh
2010
5.21
-0.53
4436
Year 1
Year 1: 1030 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1290 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1312 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 804 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jan Veselý
2011
1.80
-1.17
2455
Year 1
Year 1: 1078 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 601 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 776 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Damian Lillard
2012
30.85
1.61
11705
Year 1
Year 1: 3167 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2937 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2925 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2676 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nerlens Noel
2013
5.75
-0.66
5323
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 2311 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1965 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Smart
2014
15.03
0.69
7488
Year 1
Year 1: 1808 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1667 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2399 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1614 min · 1,000+ · rated
Willie Cauley-Stein
2015
14.31
0.74
7090
Year 1
Year 1: 1412 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1421 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2044 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2213 min · 1,000+ · rated
Buddy Hield
2016
7.32
-1.04
8743
Year 1
Year 1: 1888 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2024 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2615 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2216 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonathan Isaac
2017
7.16
0.77
3512
Year 1
Year 1: 536 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1996 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 980 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mo Bamba
2018
5.45
-0.38
4193
Year 1
Year 1: 766 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 878 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 725 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1824 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarrett Culver
2019
1.45
-1.48
2480
Year 1
Year 1: 1506 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 499 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 338 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 137 min · below 1,000 · rated
Onyeka Okongwu
2020
7.93
0.14
4847
Year 1
Year 1: 601 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 992 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1849 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1405 min · 1,000+ · rated
Josh Giddey
2021
11.29
-0.24
8195
Year 1
Year 1: 1700 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2367 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2011 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2117 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bennedict Mathurin
2022
3.29
-1.77
7529
Year 1
Year 1: 2222 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1538 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2149 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1620 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonny Flynn · 2009
-2.61 four-season WAR · -3.37 LEBRON · 3738 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2339 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 983 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 416 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ekpe Udoh · 2010
5.21 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 4436 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1030 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1290 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1312 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 804 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jan Veselý · 2011
1.80 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 2455 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1078 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 601 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 776 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Damian Lillard · 2012
30.85 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 11705 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 3167 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2937 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2925 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2676 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nerlens Noel · 2013
5.75 four-season WAR · -0.66 LEBRON · 5323 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 2311 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1965 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Smart · 2014
15.03 four-season WAR · 0.69 LEBRON · 7488 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1808 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1667 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2399 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1614 min · 1,000+ · rated
Willie Cauley-Stein · 2015
14.31 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 7090 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1412 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1421 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2044 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2213 min · 1,000+ · rated
Buddy Hield · 2016
7.32 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 8743 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1888 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2024 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2615 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2216 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonathan Isaac · 2017
7.16 four-season WAR · 0.77 LEBRON · 3512 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 536 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1996 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 980 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mo Bamba · 2018
5.45 four-season WAR · -0.38 LEBRON · 4193 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 766 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 878 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 725 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1824 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarrett Culver · 2019
1.45 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 2480 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1506 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 499 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 338 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 137 min · below 1,000 · rated
Onyeka Okongwu · 2020
7.93 four-season WAR · 0.14 LEBRON · 4847 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 601 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 992 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1849 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1405 min · 1,000+ · rated
Josh Giddey · 2021
11.29 four-season WAR · -0.24 LEBRON · 8195 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1700 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2367 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2011 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2117 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bennedict Mathurin · 2022
3.29 four-season WAR · -1.77 LEBRON · 7529 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2222 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1538 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2149 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1620 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 7: observed four-season examples
Shaedon Sharpe · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
1.756
Actual LEBRON
-2.027
NBA minutes
6561
25th-percentile target 1.96 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.20). Debut in year 1.
Jonathan Kuminga · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
6.050
Actual LEBRON
-0.755
NBA minutes
5672
50th-percentile target 5.57 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.48). Debut in year 1.
Greg Monroe · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
16.492
Actual LEBRON
0.236
NBA minutes
9681
90th-percentile target 16.18 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.31). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 7
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Stephen Curry
2009
24.40
1.65
9100
Year 1
Year 1: 2896 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2489 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 732 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2983 min · 1,000+ · rated
Greg Monroe
2010
16.49
0.24
9681
Year 1
Year 1: 2222 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2082 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2687 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2690 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bismack Biyombo
2011
3.48
-1.41
5956
Year 1
Year 1: 1455 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2186 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1072 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1243 min · 1,000+ · rated
Harrison Barnes
2012
10.75
-0.43
8622
Year 1
Year 1: 2058 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2204 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2318 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ben McLemore
2013
0.67
-2.14
7476
Year 1
Year 1: 2187 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2670 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1443 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1176 min · 1,000+ · rated
Julius Randle
2014
2.58
-1.71
6622
Year 1
Year 1: 14 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2286 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2132 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2190 min · 1,000+ · rated
Emmanuel Mudiay
2015
-0.47
-2.45
6326
Year 1
Year 1: 2068 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1406 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1245 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1607 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jamal Murray
2016
15.45
0.35
8680
Year 1
Year 1: 1764 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2565 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2447 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1904 min · 1,000+ · rated
Lauri Markkanen
2017
9.24
-0.19
6511
Year 1
Year 1: 2020 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1492 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1317 min · 1,000+ · rated
Wendell Carter Jr.
2018
9.65
0.29
5593
Year 1
Year 1: 1110 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1256 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1375 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1852 min · 1,000+ · rated
Coby White
2019
5.09
-1.30
7235
Year 1
Year 1: 1674 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2156 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1675 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Killian Hayes
2020
0.44
-2.31
5479
Year 1
Year 1: 670 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1647 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2154 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1008 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonathan Kuminga
2021
6.05
-0.76
5672
Year 1
Year 1: 1185 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1394 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1949 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1144 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shaedon Sharpe
2022
1.76
-2.03
6561
Year 1
Year 1: 1779 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1059 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2252 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1471 min · 1,000+ · rated
Stephen Curry · 2009
24.40 four-season WAR · 1.65 LEBRON · 9100 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2896 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2489 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 732 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2983 min · 1,000+ · rated
Greg Monroe · 2010
16.49 four-season WAR · 0.24 LEBRON · 9681 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2222 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2082 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2687 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2690 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bismack Biyombo · 2011
3.48 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 5956 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2186 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1072 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1243 min · 1,000+ · rated
Harrison Barnes · 2012
10.75 four-season WAR · -0.43 LEBRON · 8622 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2058 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2204 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2318 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ben McLemore · 2013
0.67 four-season WAR · -2.14 LEBRON · 7476 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2187 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2670 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1176 min · 1,000+ · rated
Julius Randle · 2014
2.58 four-season WAR · -1.71 LEBRON · 6622 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 14 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2286 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2132 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2190 min · 1,000+ · rated
Emmanuel Mudiay · 2015
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.45 LEBRON · 6326 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2068 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1406 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1245 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1607 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jamal Murray · 2016
15.45 four-season WAR · 0.35 LEBRON · 8680 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1764 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2565 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2447 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1904 min · 1,000+ · rated
Lauri Markkanen · 2017
9.24 four-season WAR · -0.19 LEBRON · 6511 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2020 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1492 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1317 min · 1,000+ · rated
Wendell Carter Jr. · 2018
9.65 four-season WAR · 0.29 LEBRON · 5593 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1110 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1256 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1375 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1852 min · 1,000+ · rated
Coby White · 2019
5.09 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 7235 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1674 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2156 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1675 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Killian Hayes · 2020
0.44 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 5479 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 670 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1647 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2154 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1008 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonathan Kuminga · 2021
6.05 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 5672 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1185 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1394 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1949 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1144 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shaedon Sharpe · 2022
1.76 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 6561 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1779 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1059 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2252 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1471 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 8: observed four-season examples
Frank Ntilikina · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.782
Actual LEBRON
-2.061
NBA minutes
4119
25th-percentile target 1.21 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.43). Debut in year 1.
Marquese Chriss · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
6.339
Actual LEBRON
-0.396
NBA minutes
4965
50th-percentile target 6.25 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.09). Debut in year 1.
Dyson Daniels · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
17.754
Actual LEBRON
1.342
NBA minutes
7491
90th-percentile target 17.22 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.53). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 8
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jordan Hill
2009
0.66
-1.95
2758
Year 1
Year 1: 624 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1125 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 551 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 458 min · below 1,000 · rated
Al-Farouq Aminu
2010
9.13
-0.38
7040
Year 1
Year 1: 1452 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1477 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2066 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Knight
2011
6.63
-1.15
8929
Year 1
Year 1: 2129 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2365 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2400 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2035 min · 1,000+ · rated
Terrence Ross
2012
4.00
-1.45
7237
Year 1
Year 1: 1239 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2159 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2092 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1747 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
2013
15.99
0.21
9488
Year 1
Year 1: 1583 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2587 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2789 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2529 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nik Stauskas
2014
-2.22
-2.90
5647
Year 1
Year 1: 1127 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1809 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2188 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 523 min · below 1,000 · rated
Stanley Johnson
2015
2.49
-1.72
6160
Year 1
Year 1: 1687 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1371 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1894 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1208 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marquese Chriss
2016
6.34
-0.40
4965
Year 1
Year 1: 1743 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1527 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1196 min · 1,000+ · rated
Frank Ntilikina
2017
0.78
-2.06
4119
Year 1
Year 1: 1706 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 904 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1187 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 322 min · below 1,000 · rated
Collin Sexton
2018
-0.34
-2.46
7179
Year 1
Year 1: 2605 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2143 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2115 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 316 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaxson Hayes
2019
6.15
-0.04
4052
Year 1
Year 1: 1080 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 964 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1398 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 610 min · below 1,000 · rated
Obi Toppin
2020
6.64
-0.22
4693
Year 1
Year 1: 683 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1230 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1050 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Franz Wagner
2021
23.70
1.55
9398
Year 1
Year 1: 2429 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2609 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2337 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2023 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dyson Daniels
2022
17.75
1.34
7491
Year 1
Year 1: 1042 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1358 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2571 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2520 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Hill · 2009
0.66 four-season WAR · -1.95 LEBRON · 2758 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 624 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1125 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 551 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 458 min · below 1,000 · rated
Al-Farouq Aminu · 2010
9.13 four-season WAR · -0.38 LEBRON · 7040 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1452 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1477 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2066 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Knight · 2011
6.63 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 8929 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2129 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2365 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2400 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2035 min · 1,000+ · rated
Terrence Ross · 2012
4.00 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 7237 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1239 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2159 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2092 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1747 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope · 2013
15.99 four-season WAR · 0.21 LEBRON · 9488 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1583 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2587 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2789 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2529 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nik Stauskas · 2014
-2.22 four-season WAR · -2.90 LEBRON · 5647 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1127 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1809 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2188 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 523 min · below 1,000 · rated
Stanley Johnson · 2015
2.49 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 6160 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1687 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1371 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1894 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1208 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marquese Chriss · 2016
6.34 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 4965 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1743 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1527 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1196 min · 1,000+ · rated
Frank Ntilikina · 2017
0.78 four-season WAR · -2.06 LEBRON · 4119 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1706 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 904 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1187 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 322 min · below 1,000 · rated
Collin Sexton · 2018
-0.34 four-season WAR · -2.46 LEBRON · 7179 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2605 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2143 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2115 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 316 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaxson Hayes · 2019
6.15 four-season WAR · -0.04 LEBRON · 4052 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1080 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 964 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1398 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 610 min · below 1,000 · rated
Obi Toppin · 2020
6.64 four-season WAR · -0.22 LEBRON · 4693 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1230 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1050 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Franz Wagner · 2021
23.70 four-season WAR · 1.55 LEBRON · 9398 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2429 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2609 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2337 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2023 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dyson Daniels · 2022
17.75 four-season WAR · 1.34 LEBRON · 7491 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1358 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2571 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2520 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 9: observed four-season examples
Noah Vonleh · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
2.691
Actual LEBRON
-1.167
NBA minutes
3573
25th-percentile target 2.69 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
DeMar DeRozan · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
4.160
Actual LEBRON
-1.638
NBA minutes
9734
50th-percentile target 3.72 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.44). Debut in year 1.
Kemba Walker · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
18.979
Actual LEBRON
0.705
NBA minutes
9384
90th-percentile target 16.40 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 2.57). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 9
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
DeMar DeRozan
2009
4.16
-1.64
9734
Year 1
Year 1: 1664 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2851 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2206 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 3013 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gordon Hayward
2010
9.85
-0.50
8137
Year 1
Year 1: 1218 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2015 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2104 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2800 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kemba Walker
2011
18.98
0.71
9384
Year 1
Year 1: 1792 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2859 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2614 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2119 min · 1,000+ · rated
Andre Drummond
2012
27.46
2.21
9030
Year 1
Year 1: 1243 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2619 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2502 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2666 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trey Burke
2013
2.16
-1.81
6619
Year 1
Year 1: 2262 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2288 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1366 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 703 min · below 1,000 · rated
Noah Vonleh
2014
2.69
-1.17
3573
Year 1
Year 1: 259 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1265 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 875 min · below 1,000 · rated
Frank Kaminsky
2015
7.90
-0.42
6252
Year 1
Year 1: 1708 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1954 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1835 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 755 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jakob Poeltl
2016
10.40
1.13
4594
Year 1
Year 1: 626 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1524 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1273 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1171 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dennis Smith Jr.
2017
2.15
-1.63
4514
Year 1
Year 1: 2049 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1508 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 537 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 420 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kevin Knox
2018
-4.07
-4.02
4010
Year 1
Year 1: 2158 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1166 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 464 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 222 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rui Hachimura
2019
3.28
-1.50
5650
Year 1
Year 1: 1444 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1797 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 943 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1466 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deni Avdija
2020
9.15
-0.52
7518
Year 1
Year 1: 1257 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1984 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2020 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2257 min · 1,000+ · rated
Davion Mitchell
2021
3.27
-1.65
6651
Year 1
Year 1: 2076 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1447 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1101 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2027 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeremy Sochan
2022
2.70
-1.67
5484
Year 1
Year 1: 1458 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2193 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1364 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 469 min · below 1,000 · rated
DeMar DeRozan · 2009
4.16 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 9734 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1664 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2851 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2206 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 3013 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gordon Hayward · 2010
9.85 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 8137 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1218 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2015 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2104 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2800 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kemba Walker · 2011
18.98 four-season WAR · 0.71 LEBRON · 9384 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1792 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2859 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2614 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2119 min · 1,000+ · rated
Andre Drummond · 2012
27.46 four-season WAR · 2.21 LEBRON · 9030 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1243 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2619 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2502 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2666 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trey Burke · 2013
2.16 four-season WAR · -1.81 LEBRON · 6619 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2262 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2288 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1366 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 703 min · below 1,000 · rated
Noah Vonleh · 2014
2.69 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 3573 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 259 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1265 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 875 min · below 1,000 · rated
Frank Kaminsky · 2015
7.90 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 6252 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1708 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1954 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1835 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 755 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jakob Poeltl · 2016
10.40 four-season WAR · 1.13 LEBRON · 4594 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 626 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1524 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1273 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1171 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dennis Smith Jr. · 2017
2.15 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 4514 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2049 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1508 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 537 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 420 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kevin Knox · 2018
-4.07 four-season WAR · -4.02 LEBRON · 4010 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2158 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1166 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 464 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 222 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rui Hachimura · 2019
3.28 four-season WAR · -1.50 LEBRON · 5650 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1797 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 943 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1466 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deni Avdija · 2020
9.15 four-season WAR · -0.52 LEBRON · 7518 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1257 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1984 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2020 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2257 min · 1,000+ · rated
Davion Mitchell · 2021
3.27 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 6651 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2076 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1447 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1101 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2027 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeremy Sochan · 2022
2.70 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 5484 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1458 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2193 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1364 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 469 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 10: observed four-season examples
Jimmer Fredette · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
1.140
Actual LEBRON
-1.720
NBA minutes
3130
25th-percentile target 1.21 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.07). Debut in year 1.
Thon Maker · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
3.276
Actual LEBRON
-0.947
NBA minutes
3548
50th-percentile target 4.12 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.85). Debut in year 1.
Mikal Bridges · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
17.433
Actual LEBRON
0.397
NBA minutes
9661
90th-percentile target 16.56 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.87). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 10
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Brandon Jennings
2009
14.54
-0.16
10068
Year 1
Year 1: 2671 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2169 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2331 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2897 min · 1,000+ · rated
Paul George
2010
31.50
2.82
9093
Year 1
Year 1: 1265 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1958 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2972 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2898 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jimmer Fredette
2011
1.14
-1.72
3130
Year 1
Year 1: 1135 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 967 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 519 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 509 min · below 1,000 · rated
Austin Rivers
2012
-1.39
-2.64
5784
Year 1
Year 1: 1418 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1339 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1563 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1464 min · 1,000+ · rated
CJ McCollum
2013
13.92
0.66
7025
Year 1
Year 1: 476 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 973 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2780 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2796 min · 1,000+ · rated
Elfrid Payton
2014
14.03
0.06
8854
Year 1
Year 1: 2489 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2145 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2412 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1808 min · 1,000+ · rated
Justise Winslow
2015
9.34
-0.15
6496
Year 1
Year 1: 2232 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 625 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1680 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1959 min · 1,000+ · rated
Thon Maker
2016
3.28
-0.95
3548
Year 1
Year 1: 562 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1238 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 972 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 776 min · below 1,000 · rated
Zach Collins
2017
1.54
-1.46
2691
Year 1
Year 1: 1045 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1356 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 290 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mikal Bridges
2018
17.43
0.40
9661
Year 1
Year 1: 2417 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2042 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2348 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cam Reddish
2019
0.19
-2.34
4303
Year 1
Year 1: 1551 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 750 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1012 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 990 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Smith
2020
4.97
-0.14
3407
Year 1
Year 1: 156 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 925 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1279 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ziaire Williams
2021
1.43
-1.95
4486
Year 1
Year 1: 1346 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 561 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1038 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Johnny Davis
2022
0.18
-2.25
1278
Year 1
Year 1: 423 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 613 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 242 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Brandon Jennings · 2009
14.54 four-season WAR · -0.16 LEBRON · 10068 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2671 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2169 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2331 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2897 min · 1,000+ · rated
Paul George · 2010
31.50 four-season WAR · 2.82 LEBRON · 9093 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1265 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1958 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2972 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2898 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jimmer Fredette · 2011
1.14 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 3130 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1135 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 967 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 519 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 509 min · below 1,000 · rated
Austin Rivers · 2012
-1.39 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 5784 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1418 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1339 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1563 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1464 min · 1,000+ · rated
CJ McCollum · 2013
13.92 four-season WAR · 0.66 LEBRON · 7025 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 476 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 973 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2780 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2796 min · 1,000+ · rated
Elfrid Payton · 2014
14.03 four-season WAR · 0.06 LEBRON · 8854 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2489 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2145 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2412 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1808 min · 1,000+ · rated
Justise Winslow · 2015
9.34 four-season WAR · -0.15 LEBRON · 6496 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2232 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 625 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1680 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1959 min · 1,000+ · rated
Thon Maker · 2016
3.28 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 3548 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 562 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1238 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 972 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 776 min · below 1,000 · rated
Zach Collins · 2017
1.54 four-season WAR · -1.46 LEBRON · 2691 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1356 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 290 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mikal Bridges · 2018
17.43 four-season WAR · 0.40 LEBRON · 9661 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2417 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2348 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cam Reddish · 2019
0.19 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 4303 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1551 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 750 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1012 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 990 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Smith · 2020
4.97 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 3407 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 156 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 925 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1279 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ziaire Williams · 2021
1.43 four-season WAR · -1.95 LEBRON · 4486 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1346 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 561 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1038 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Johnny Davis · 2022
0.18 four-season WAR · -2.25 LEBRON · 1278 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 423 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 613 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 242 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 11: observed four-season examples
Terrence Williams · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.510
Actual LEBRON
-2.029
NBA minutes
2922
25th-percentile target 0.66 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.15). Debut in year 1.
Devin Vassell · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
6.971
Actual LEBRON
-0.721
NBA minutes
6419
50th-percentile target 4.22 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 2.75). Debut in year 1.
Myles Turner · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
17.313
Actual LEBRON
1.006
NBA minutes
7863
90th-percentile target 16.40 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.91). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 11
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Terrence Williams
2009
0.51
-2.03
2922
Year 1
Year 1: 1764 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 290 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 550 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 318 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cole Aldrich
2010
1.20
-0.58
1033
Year 1
Year 1: 142 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 173 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 388 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 330 min · below 1,000 · rated
Klay Thompson
2011
19.16
0.61
9867
Year 1
Year 1: 1608 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2936 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2868 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Meyers Leonard
2012
0.18
-2.21
3741
Year 1
Year 1: 1206 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 355 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 847 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1333 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Carter-Williams
2013
8.73
-0.44
7058
Year 1
Year 1: 2414 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2149 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1649 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 846 min · below 1,000 · rated
Doug McDermott
2014
-1.29
-2.66
5458
Year 1
Year 1: 321 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1861 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1508 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1768 min · 1,000+ · rated
Myles Turner
2015
17.31
1.01
7863
Year 1
Year 1: 1367 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1836 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2119 min · 1,000+ · rated
Domantas Sabonis
2016
13.89
0.52
7439
Year 1
Year 1: 1632 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1810 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1838 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2159 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malik Monk
2017
1.13
-1.94
4159
Year 1
Year 1: 854 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1258 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1169 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 878 min · below 1,000 · rated
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018
14.27
0.47
7724
Year 1
Year 1: 2174 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2428 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1180 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1942 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cameron Johnson
2019
11.33
0.73
5621
Year 1
Year 1: 1255 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1437 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1730 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1199 min · 1,000+ · rated
Devin Vassell
2020
6.97
-0.72
6419
Year 1
Year 1: 1056 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1937 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1178 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2248 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Bouknight
2021
-0.17
-2.76
900
Year 1
Year 1: 304 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 515 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 81 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ousmane Dieng
2022
1.48
-1.49
2438
Year 1
Year 1: 569 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 365 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 405 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1099 min · 1,000+ · rated
Terrence Williams · 2009
0.51 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 2922 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1764 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 290 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 550 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 318 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cole Aldrich · 2010
1.20 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 1033 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 142 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 173 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 388 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 330 min · below 1,000 · rated
Klay Thompson · 2011
19.16 four-season WAR · 0.61 LEBRON · 9867 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1608 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2936 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2868 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Meyers Leonard · 2012
0.18 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 3741 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1206 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 355 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 847 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1333 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Carter-Williams · 2013
8.73 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 7058 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2414 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2149 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1649 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 846 min · below 1,000 · rated
Doug McDermott · 2014
-1.29 four-season WAR · -2.66 LEBRON · 5458 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 321 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1861 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1508 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1768 min · 1,000+ · rated
Myles Turner · 2015
17.31 four-season WAR · 1.01 LEBRON · 7863 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1367 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1836 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2119 min · 1,000+ · rated
Domantas Sabonis · 2016
13.89 four-season WAR · 0.52 LEBRON · 7439 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1632 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1810 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1838 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2159 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malik Monk · 2017
1.13 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 4159 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 854 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1258 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1169 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 878 min · below 1,000 · rated
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 2018
14.27 four-season WAR · 0.47 LEBRON · 7724 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2428 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1180 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1942 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cameron Johnson · 2019
11.33 four-season WAR · 0.73 LEBRON · 5621 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1255 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1437 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1199 min · 1,000+ · rated
Devin Vassell · 2020
6.97 four-season WAR · -0.72 LEBRON · 6419 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1056 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1937 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1178 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2248 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Bouknight · 2021
-0.17 four-season WAR · -2.76 LEBRON · 900 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 304 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 515 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 81 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ousmane Dieng · 2022
1.48 four-season WAR · -1.49 LEBRON · 2438 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 569 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 365 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1099 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 12: observed four-season examples
Gerald Henderson · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
2.940
Actual LEBRON
-1.541
NBA minutes
5980
25th-percentile target 3.01 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.07). Debut in year 1.
Trey Lyles · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
5.077
Actual LEBRON
-0.770
NBA minutes
5051
50th-percentile target 5.11 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.04). Debut in year 1.
Jalen Williams · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
18.605
Actual LEBRON
1.408
NBA minutes
7672
90th-percentile target 16.97 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.63). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 12
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Gerald Henderson
2009
2.94
-1.54
5980
Year 1
Year 1: 355 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1661 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1831 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2133 min · 1,000+ · rated
Xavier Henry
2010
-0.05
-2.27
2819
Year 1
Year 1: 527 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 625 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alec Burks
2011
3.28
-1.32
5168
Year 1
Year 1: 939 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1137 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2193 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 899 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Lamb
2012
5.51
0.02
3545
Year 1
Year 1: 147 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1538 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 633 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1227 min · 1,000+ · rated
Steven Adams
2013
13.17
0.36
7371
Year 1
Year 1: 1197 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1771 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2014 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2389 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dario Šarić
2014
3.22
-1.24
4439
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 2129 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2310 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trey Lyles
2015
5.08
-0.77
5051
Year 1
Year 1: 1382 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1158 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1391 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Taurean Prince
2016
5.15
-1.20
6854
Year 1
Year 1: 981 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2464 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1552 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1857 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luke Kennard
2017
2.09
-1.72
5054
Year 1
Year 1: 1463 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1437 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 922 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1232 min · 1,000+ · rated
Miles Bridges
2018
8.93
-0.73
8460
Year 1
Year 1: 1696 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1995 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1932 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2837 min · 1,000+ · rated
P.J. Washington
2019
6.80
-1.04
7861
Year 1
Year 1: 1759 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1954 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1768 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2380 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrese Haliburton
2020
21.54
1.59
8548
Year 1
Year 1: 1746 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2695 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1883 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2224 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joshua Primo
2021
-0.23
-2.74
1068
Year 1
Year 1: 965 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 10 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen Williams
2022
18.60
1.41
7672
Year 1
Year 1: 2276 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2223 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2237 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 936 min · below 1,000 · rated
Gerald Henderson · 2009
2.94 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 5980 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 355 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1661 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1831 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2133 min · 1,000+ · rated
Xavier Henry · 2010
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.27 LEBRON · 2819 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 527 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 625 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alec Burks · 2011
3.28 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 5168 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 939 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1137 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2193 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 899 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Lamb · 2012
5.51 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 3545 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 147 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1538 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 633 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1227 min · 1,000+ · rated
Steven Adams · 2013
13.17 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 7371 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1197 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1771 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2014 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2389 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dario Šarić · 2014
3.22 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 4439 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 2129 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2310 min · 1,000+ · rated
Trey Lyles · 2015
5.08 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 5051 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1382 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1158 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1391 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Taurean Prince · 2016
5.15 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 6854 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 981 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2464 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1552 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1857 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luke Kennard · 2017
2.09 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 5054 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1463 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1437 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 922 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1232 min · 1,000+ · rated
Miles Bridges · 2018
8.93 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 8460 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1696 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1995 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1932 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2837 min · 1,000+ · rated
P.J. Washington · 2019
6.80 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 7861 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1759 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1954 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1768 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2380 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrese Haliburton · 2020
21.54 four-season WAR · 1.59 LEBRON · 8548 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1746 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2695 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1883 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2224 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joshua Primo · 2021
-0.23 four-season WAR · -2.74 LEBRON · 1068 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 965 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen Williams · 2022
18.60 four-season WAR · 1.41 LEBRON · 7672 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2276 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2223 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2237 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 936 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 13: observed four-season examples
Kendall Marshall · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.838
Actual LEBRON
-1.877
NBA minutes
3083
25th-percentile target 0.84 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Devin Booker · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
2.569
Actual LEBRON
-1.875
NBA minutes
8945
50th-percentile target 2.57 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Jalen Duren · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
17.936
Actual LEBRON
1.400
NBA minutes
7457
90th-percentile target 16.08 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.86). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 13
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Tyler Hansbrough
2009
3.63
-1.16
4854
Year 1
Year 1: 511 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1535 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1442 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1366 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ed Davis
2010
Unavailable
Unavailable
5723
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 1602 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1534 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1631 min · 1,000+ · unratedYear 4: 956 min · below 1,000 · rated
Markieff Morris
2011
8.63
-0.63
7798
Year 1
Year 1: 1227 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1837 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2153 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2581 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kendall Marshall
2012
0.84
-1.88
3083
Year 1
Year 1: 702 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1564 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 417 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 400 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kelly Olynyk
2013
6.76
-0.54
5756
Year 1
Year 1: 1400 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1423 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1395 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1538 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zach LaVine
2014
0.41
-2.20
6601
Year 1
Year 1: 1902 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2294 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1749 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 656 min · below 1,000 · rated
Devin Booker
2015
2.57
-1.87
8945
Year 1
Year 1: 2108 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2730 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1865 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2242 min · 1,000+ · rated
Georgios Papagiannis
2016
-0.03
-2.41
477
Year 1
Year 1: 355 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 122 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Donovan Mitchell
2017
21.96
1.22
9371
Year 1
Year 1: 2638 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2598 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2364 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1771 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jerome Robinson
2018
0.33
-2.05
1604
Year 1
Year 1: 320 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 979 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 305 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Herro
2019
6.65
-1.04
7631
Year 1
Year 1: 1508 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1635 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2151 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2337 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kira Lewis Jr.
2020
1.33
-1.22
1745
Year 1
Year 1: 904 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 341 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 235 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 265 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chris Duarte
2021
1.42
-1.74
3231
Year 1
Year 1: 1541 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 897 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 719 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 74 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Duren
2022
17.94
1.40
7457
Year 1
Year 1: 1670 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1777 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2034 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1976 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyler Hansbrough · 2009
3.63 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 4854 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 511 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1535 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1442 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1366 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ed Davis · 2010
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5723 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1602 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1534 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1631 min · 1,000+ · unrated
Year 4: 956 min · below 1,000 · rated
Markieff Morris · 2011
8.63 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 7798 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1227 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1837 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2153 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2581 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kendall Marshall · 2012
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 3083 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 702 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1564 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 417 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 400 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kelly Olynyk · 2013
6.76 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 5756 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1400 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1423 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1395 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1538 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zach LaVine · 2014
0.41 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 6601 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1902 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2294 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1749 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 656 min · below 1,000 · rated
Devin Booker · 2015
2.57 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 8945 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2108 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2730 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1865 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2242 min · 1,000+ · rated
Georgios Papagiannis · 2016
-0.03 four-season WAR · -2.41 LEBRON · 477 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 355 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 122 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Donovan Mitchell · 2017
21.96 four-season WAR · 1.22 LEBRON · 9371 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2638 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2598 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2364 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1771 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jerome Robinson · 2018
0.33 four-season WAR · -2.05 LEBRON · 1604 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 320 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 979 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 305 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Herro · 2019
6.65 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 7631 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1508 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1635 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2151 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2337 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kira Lewis Jr. · 2020
1.33 four-season WAR · -1.22 LEBRON · 1745 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 904 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 341 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 265 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chris Duarte · 2021
1.42 four-season WAR · -1.74 LEBRON · 3231 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 897 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 719 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 74 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Duren · 2022
17.94 four-season WAR · 1.40 LEBRON · 7457 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1670 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1777 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2034 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1976 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 14: observed four-season examples
Denzel Valentine · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
2.003
Actual LEBRON
-1.475
NBA minutes
3559
25th-percentile target 2.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
John Henson · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
4.131
Actual LEBRON
-1.013
NBA minutes
4871
50th-percentile target 4.13 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Michael Porter Jr. · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
6.422
Actual LEBRON
0.837
NBA minutes
3080
90th-percentile target 6.20 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.22). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
All 14 actual selections at pick 14
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Earl Clark
2009
0.21
-2.15
2769
Year 1
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 464 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 559 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1363 min · 1,000+ · rated
Patrick Patterson
2010
5.31
-0.88
5659
Year 1
Year 1: 868 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1483 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1775 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1533 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Morris
2011
Unavailable
Unavailable
5495
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 126 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1524 min · 1,000+ · unratedYear 3: 1800 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Henson
2012
4.13
-1.01
4871
Year 1
Year 1: 827 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1856 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 960 min · below 1,000 · rated
Shabazz Muhammad
2013
2.01
-1.60
4354
Year 1
Year 1: 290 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 866 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1682 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1516 min · 1,000+ · rated
T.J. Warren
2014
4.55
-1.13
5874
Year 1
Year 1: 614 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1070 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2048 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2142 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cameron Payne
2015
2.06
-1.06
2454
Year 1
Year 1: 698 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 462 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 582 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 712 min · below 1,000 · rated
Denzel Valentine
2016
2.00
-1.48
3559
Year 1
Year 1: 976 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2095 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 488 min · below 1,000 · rated
Bam Adebayo
2017
20.22
1.61
7841
Year 1
Year 1: 1368 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1913 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2417 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2143 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Porter Jr.
2018
6.42
0.84
3080
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 903 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1912 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 265 min · below 1,000 · rated
Romeo Langford
2019
0.64
-1.98
2268
Year 1
Year 1: 370 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 283 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 771 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 844 min · below 1,000 · rated
Aaron Nesmith
2020
4.67
-0.97
5054
Year 1
Year 1: 669 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 574 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1816 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1995 min · 1,000+ · rated
Moses Moody
2021
5.09
-0.54
4229
Year 1
Year 1: 607 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 817 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1156 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1649 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ochai Agbaji
2022
0.37
-2.35
5562
Year 1
Year 1: 1209 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1641 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1739 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 973 min · below 1,000 · rated
Earl Clark · 2009
0.21 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 2769 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 464 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 559 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1363 min · 1,000+ · rated
Patrick Patterson · 2010
5.31 four-season WAR · -0.88 LEBRON · 5659 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 868 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1483 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1775 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1533 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Morris · 2011
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5495 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 126 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1524 min · 1,000+ · unrated
Year 3: 1800 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Henson · 2012
4.13 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 4871 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 827 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1856 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 960 min · below 1,000 · rated
Shabazz Muhammad · 2013
2.01 four-season WAR · -1.60 LEBRON · 4354 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 290 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 866 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1682 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1516 min · 1,000+ · rated
T.J. Warren · 2014
4.55 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 5874 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 614 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1070 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2048 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2142 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cameron Payne · 2015
2.06 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 2454 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 698 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 462 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 582 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 712 min · below 1,000 · rated
Denzel Valentine · 2016
2.00 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 3559 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 976 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2095 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 488 min · below 1,000 · rated
Bam Adebayo · 2017
20.22 four-season WAR · 1.61 LEBRON · 7841 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1368 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1913 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2417 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2143 min · 1,000+ · rated
Michael Porter Jr. · 2018
6.42 four-season WAR · 0.84 LEBRON · 3080 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 903 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1912 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 265 min · below 1,000 · rated
Romeo Langford · 2019
0.64 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 2268 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 370 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 283 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 771 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 844 min · below 1,000 · rated
Aaron Nesmith · 2020
4.67 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 5054 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 669 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 574 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1816 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1995 min · 1,000+ · rated
Moses Moody · 2021
5.09 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 4229 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 607 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 817 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1156 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1649 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ochai Agbaji · 2022
0.37 four-season WAR · -2.35 LEBRON · 5562 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1641 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1739 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 973 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 15: observed four-season examples
Justin Jackson · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.856
Actual LEBRON
-2.073
NBA minutes
4742
25th-percentile target 1.16 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.31). Debut in year 1.
Maurice Harkless · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
3.465
Actual LEBRON
-1.415
NBA minutes
6055
50th-percentile target 3.44 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.03). Debut in year 1.
Kawhi Leonard · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
25.618
Actual LEBRON
2.930
NBA minutes
7300
90th-percentile target 20.75 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 4.87). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 15
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Austin Daye
2009
2.09
-1.42
3640
Year 1
Year 1: 915 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1446 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 603 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 676 min · below 1,000 · rated
Larry Sanders
2010
9.39
1.16
4036
Year 1
Year 1: 872 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 643 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1937 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 584 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kawhi Leonard
2011
25.62
2.93
7300
Year 1
Year 1: 1534 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1810 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1923 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2033 min · 1,000+ · rated
Maurice Harkless
2012
3.46
-1.42
6055
Year 1
Year 1: 1974 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1950 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 674 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1457 min · 1,000+ · rated
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013
28.05
1.90
10106
Year 1
Year 1: 1897 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2823 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2845 min · 1,000+ · rated
Adreian Payne
2014
-0.59
-2.90
1403
Year 1
Year 1: 739 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 486 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 135 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 43 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kelly Oubre Jr.
2015
4.82
-1.18
6442
Year 1
Year 1: 671 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1605 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2231 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1935 min · 1,000+ · rated
Juancho Hernangómez
2016
3.41
-0.78
3310
Year 1
Year 1: 842 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 277 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1358 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 833 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Jackson
2017
0.86
-2.07
4742
Year 1
Year 1: 1506 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1614 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1045 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 577 min · below 1,000 · rated
Troy Brown Jr.
2018
3.20
-1.17
4091
Year 1
Year 1: 730 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1782 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 524 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1055 min · 1,000+ · rated
Sekou Doumbouya
2019
-1.21
-3.57
1639
Year 1
Year 1: 754 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 869 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 16 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cole Anthony
2020
7.60
-0.64
6701
Year 1
Year 1: 1273 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2059 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1552 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1817 min · 1,000+ · rated
Corey Kispert
2021
-0.83
-2.65
7563
Year 1
Year 1: 1801 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2093 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2067 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1602 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mark Williams
2022
7.99
0.78
3923
Year 1
Year 1: 828 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1171 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Austin Daye · 2009
2.09 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 3640 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 915 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1446 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 603 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 676 min · below 1,000 · rated
Larry Sanders · 2010
9.39 four-season WAR · 1.16 LEBRON · 4036 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 872 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 643 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1937 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 584 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kawhi Leonard · 2011
25.62 four-season WAR · 2.93 LEBRON · 7300 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1534 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1810 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1923 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2033 min · 1,000+ · rated
Maurice Harkless · 2012
3.46 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 6055 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1974 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1950 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 674 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1457 min · 1,000+ · rated
Giannis Antetokounmpo · 2013
28.05 four-season WAR · 1.90 LEBRON · 10106 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1897 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2823 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2845 min · 1,000+ · rated
Adreian Payne · 2014
-0.59 four-season WAR · -2.90 LEBRON · 1403 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 739 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 486 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 135 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 43 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kelly Oubre Jr. · 2015
4.82 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 6442 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 671 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1605 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2231 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1935 min · 1,000+ · rated
Juancho Hernangómez · 2016
3.41 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 3310 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 842 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 277 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1358 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 833 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Jackson · 2017
0.86 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 4742 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1506 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1614 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 577 min · below 1,000 · rated
Troy Brown Jr. · 2018
3.20 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 4091 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 730 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1782 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 524 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1055 min · 1,000+ · rated
Sekou Doumbouya · 2019
-1.21 four-season WAR · -3.57 LEBRON · 1639 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 754 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 869 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 16 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cole Anthony · 2020
7.60 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 6701 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1273 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2059 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1552 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1817 min · 1,000+ · rated
Corey Kispert · 2021
-0.83 four-season WAR · -2.65 LEBRON · 7563 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1801 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2093 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2067 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1602 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mark Williams · 2022
7.99 four-season WAR · 0.78 LEBRON · 3923 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 828 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1171 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 16: observed four-season examples
Justin Patton · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.354
Actual LEBRON
-0.536
NBA minutes
296
25th-percentile target 0.46 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.11). Debut in year 1.
Lucas Nogueira · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
2.146
Actual LEBRON
0.102
NBA minutes
1336
50th-percentile target 2.33 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.18). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Nikola Vučević · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
11.538
Actual LEBRON
-0.059
NBA minutes
7712
90th-percentile target 11.05 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.49). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 16
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
James Johnson
2009
2.80
-1.25
4018
Year 1
Year 1: 757 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 822 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1561 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 878 min · below 1,000 · rated
Luke Babbitt
2010
1.72
-0.93
1877
Year 1
Year 1: 137 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 537 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 730 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 473 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nikola Vučević
2011
11.54
-0.06
7712
Year 1
Year 1: 812 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2559 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1812 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2529 min · 1,000+ · rated
Royce White
2012
0.01
-0.03
9
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 9 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lucas Nogueira
2013
2.15
0.10
1336
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 23 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 225 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jusuf Nurkić
2014
9.91
0.58
5129
Year 1
Year 1: 1103 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 547 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1391 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Terry Rozier
2015
6.16
-0.62
5433
Year 1
Year 1: 311 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1263 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2068 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1791 min · 1,000+ · rated
Guerschon Yabusele
2016
0.28
-1.47
486
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 251 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Patton
2017
0.35
-0.54
296
Year 1
Year 1: 4 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 21 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 24 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 247 min · below 1,000 · rated
Zhaire Smith
2018
0.12
-1.12
143
Year 1
Year 1: 111 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Chuma Okeke
2019
2.51
-1.25
3400
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1133 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1749 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 518 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaiah Stewart
2020
5.99
-0.89
6108
Year 1
Year 1: 1455 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1816 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1414 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1423 min · 1,000+ · rated
Alperen Şengün
2021
16.58
0.80
8101
Year 1
Year 1: 1489 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2171 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2046 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2395 min · 1,000+ · rated
AJ Griffin
2022
0.79
-1.65
1572
Year 1
Year 1: 1401 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 171 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
James Johnson · 2009
2.80 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 4018 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 757 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 822 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1561 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 878 min · below 1,000 · rated
Luke Babbitt · 2010
1.72 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 1877 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 137 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 537 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 730 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 473 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nikola Vučević · 2011
11.54 four-season WAR · -0.06 LEBRON · 7712 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2559 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1812 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2529 min · 1,000+ · rated
Royce White · 2012
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.03 LEBRON · 9 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 9 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lucas Nogueira · 2013
2.15 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 1336 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 23 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 225 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jusuf Nurkić · 2014
9.91 four-season WAR · 0.58 LEBRON · 5129 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1103 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 547 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1391 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Terry Rozier · 2015
6.16 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 5433 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 311 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1263 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2068 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1791 min · 1,000+ · rated
Guerschon Yabusele · 2016
0.28 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 486 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 251 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Patton · 2017
0.35 four-season WAR · -0.54 LEBRON · 296 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 4 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 21 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 24 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 247 min · below 1,000 · rated
Zhaire Smith · 2018
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.12 LEBRON · 143 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 111 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Chuma Okeke · 2019
2.51 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 3400 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1133 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1749 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 518 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaiah Stewart · 2020
5.99 four-season WAR · -0.89 LEBRON · 6108 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1455 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1816 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1414 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1423 min · 1,000+ · rated
Alperen Şengün · 2021
16.58 four-season WAR · 0.80 LEBRON · 8101 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1489 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2171 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2046 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2395 min · 1,000+ · rated
AJ Griffin · 2022
0.79 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 1572 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1401 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 171 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 17: observed four-season examples
James Young · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
0.381
Actual LEBRON
-1.592
NBA minutes
812
25th-percentile target 0.70 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.32). Debut in year 1.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
2.521
Actual LEBRON
-1.412
NBA minutes
3948
50th-percentile target 2.53 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 1.
Trey Murphy III · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
10.932
Actual LEBRON
0.100
NBA minutes
6856
90th-percentile target 10.58 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.35). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 17
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jrue Holiday
2009
16.27
0.18
9790
Year 1
Year 1: 1767 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2901 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2196 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2926 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevin Séraphin
2010
-1.77
-2.98
4110
Year 1
Year 1: 635 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1176 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1721 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 578 min · below 1,000 · rated
Iman Shumpert
2011
9.47
-0.02
6208
Year 1
Year 1: 1705 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 996 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1962 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1545 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyler Zeller
2012
2.55
-1.59
5523
Year 1
Year 1: 2033 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1049 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1731 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 710 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dennis Schröder
2013
7.37
-0.53
6263
Year 1
Year 1: 641 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1516 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1621 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2485 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Young
2014
0.38
-1.59
812
Year 1
Year 1: 332 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 199 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 220 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rashad Vaughn
2015
-0.94
-3.15
1671
Year 1
Year 1: 1001 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 458 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 212 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Wade Baldwin
2016
-0.06
-2.49
579
Year 1
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 94 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
D.J. Wilson
2017
1.67
-0.91
1749
Year 1
Year 1: 71 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 882 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 363 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 433 min · below 1,000 · rated
Donte DiVincenzo
2018
9.77
0.81
4751
Year 1
Year 1: 411 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1520 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1814 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1006 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
2019
2.52
-1.41
3948
Year 1
Year 1: 591 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1007 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1466 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 884 min · below 1,000 · rated
Aleksej Pokusevski
2020
1.71
-1.67
3429
Year 1
Year 1: 1090 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 701 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Trey Murphy III
2021
10.93
0.10
6856
Year 1
Year 1: 864 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2448 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1690 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tari Eason
2022
9.09
0.32
5216
Year 1
Year 1: 1767 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 480 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1420 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1549 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jrue Holiday · 2009
16.27 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 9790 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1767 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2901 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2196 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2926 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevin Séraphin · 2010
-1.77 four-season WAR · -2.98 LEBRON · 4110 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 635 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1176 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1721 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 578 min · below 1,000 · rated
Iman Shumpert · 2011
9.47 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 6208 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1705 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 996 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1962 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1545 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyler Zeller · 2012
2.55 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 5523 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2033 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1049 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1731 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 710 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dennis Schröder · 2013
7.37 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 6263 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 641 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1516 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1621 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2485 min · 1,000+ · rated
James Young · 2014
0.38 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 812 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 332 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 199 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 220 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rashad Vaughn · 2015
-0.94 four-season WAR · -3.15 LEBRON · 1671 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1001 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 458 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 212 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Wade Baldwin · 2016
-0.06 four-season WAR · -2.49 LEBRON · 579 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 94 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
D.J. Wilson · 2017
1.67 four-season WAR · -0.91 LEBRON · 1749 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 71 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 882 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 363 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 433 min · below 1,000 · rated
Donte DiVincenzo · 2018
9.77 four-season WAR · 0.81 LEBRON · 4751 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 411 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1520 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1814 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1006 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nickeil Alexander-Walker · 2019
2.52 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 3948 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 591 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1007 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1466 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 884 min · below 1,000 · rated
Aleksej Pokusevski · 2020
1.71 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 3429 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1090 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 701 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Trey Murphy III · 2021
10.93 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 6856 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 864 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2448 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1690 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tari Eason · 2022
9.09 four-season WAR · 0.32 LEBRON · 5216 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1767 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 480 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1420 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1549 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 18: observed four-season examples
Henry Ellenson · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.878
Actual LEBRON
-0.556
NBA minutes
749
25th-percentile target 0.98 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.10). Debut in year 1.
Chris Singleton · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
2.055
Actual LEBRON
-1.093
NBA minutes
2605
50th-percentile target 2.12 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.07). Debut in year 1.
Eric Bledsoe · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
8.219
Actual LEBRON
0.021
NBA minutes
5274
90th-percentile target 7.39 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.83). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 18
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Ty Lawson
2009
18.51
1.09
8058
Year 1
Year 1: 1318 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2103 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2124 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2513 min · 1,000+ · rated
Eric Bledsoe
2010
8.22
0.02
5274
Year 1
Year 1: 1841 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 464 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chris Singleton
2011
2.06
-1.09
2605
Year 1
Year 1: 1431 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 924 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 250 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Terrence Jones
2012
5.47
-0.41
4287
Year 1
Year 1: 276 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2078 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 889 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1044 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shane Larkin
2013
1.30
-1.78
4105
Year 1
Year 1: 489 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1865 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1751 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Ennis
2014
1.30
-1.46
2336
Year 1
Year 1: 411 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 654 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 588 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Sam Dekker
2015
3.16
-0.78
3096
Year 1
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1419 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 883 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 788 min · below 1,000 · rated
Henry Ellenson
2016
0.88
-0.56
749
Year 1
Year 1: 146 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 329 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 259 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
T.J. Leaf
2017
0.23
-2.04
1238
Year 1
Year 1: 459 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 522 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 222 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 35 min · below 1,000 · rated
Lonnie Walker IV
2018
-0.53
-2.59
4240
Year 1
Year 1: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 988 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1522 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1612 min · 1,000+ · rated
Goga Bitadze
2019
3.70
0.20
2218
Year 1
Year 1: 471 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 561 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 729 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 457 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Green
2020
3.73
-1.13
4528
Year 1
Year 1: 445 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1039 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1539 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1505 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tre Mann
2021
0.35
-2.31
3856
Year 1
Year 1: 1367 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1183 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 987 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 319 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dalen Terry
2022
2.19
-1.03
2433
Year 1
Year 1: 214 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 681 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 987 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 551 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ty Lawson · 2009
18.51 four-season WAR · 1.09 LEBRON · 8058 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1318 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2103 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2124 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2513 min · 1,000+ · rated
Eric Bledsoe · 2010
8.22 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 5274 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1841 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 464 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chris Singleton · 2011
2.06 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 2605 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1431 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 924 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 250 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Terrence Jones · 2012
5.47 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 4287 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 276 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2078 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 889 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1044 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shane Larkin · 2013
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.78 LEBRON · 4105 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 489 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1865 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1751 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Ennis · 2014
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.46 LEBRON · 2336 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 411 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 654 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 588 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Sam Dekker · 2015
3.16 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 3096 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1419 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 883 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 788 min · below 1,000 · rated
Henry Ellenson · 2016
0.88 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 749 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 146 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 329 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 259 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
T.J. Leaf · 2017
0.23 four-season WAR · -2.04 LEBRON · 1238 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 459 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 522 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 222 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 35 min · below 1,000 · rated
Lonnie Walker IV · 2018
-0.53 four-season WAR · -2.59 LEBRON · 4240 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 988 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1522 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1612 min · 1,000+ · rated
Goga Bitadze · 2019
3.70 four-season WAR · 0.20 LEBRON · 2218 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 471 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 561 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 729 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 457 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Green · 2020
3.73 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 4528 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 445 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1039 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1539 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1505 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tre Mann · 2021
0.35 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 3856 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1367 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1183 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 987 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 319 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dalen Terry · 2022
2.19 four-season WAR · -1.03 LEBRON · 2433 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 214 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 681 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 987 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 551 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 19: observed four-season examples
Sergey Karasev · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
0.845
Actual LEBRON
-1.149
NBA minutes
1110
25th-percentile target 0.85 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Jake LaRavia · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
3.329
Actual LEBRON
-1.313
NBA minutes
4630
50th-percentile target 3.33 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
John Collins · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
12.857
Actual LEBRON
0.531
NBA minutes
6825
90th-percentile target 12.69 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.17). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 19
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jeff Teague
2009
12.97
0.63
6493
Year 1
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 963 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2183 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2628 min · 1,000+ · rated
Avery Bradley
2010
3.06
-1.33
4820
Year 1
Year 1: 162 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1368 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1435 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1855 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tobias Harris
2011
Unavailable
Unavailable
5997
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 479 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1299 min · 1,000+ · unratedYear 3: 1850 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2369 min · 1,000+ · rated
Andrew Nicholson
2012
-0.18
-2.34
3738
Year 1
Year 1: 1249 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 492 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 823 min · below 1,000 · rated
Sergey Karasev
2013
0.85
-1.15
1110
Year 1
Year 1: 156 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 555 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 399 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Gary Harris
2014
12.01
0.18
7244
Year 1
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2439 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1782 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2304 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jerian Grant
2015
4.18
-1.04
4918
Year 1
Year 1: 1265 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1028 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1686 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 939 min · below 1,000 · rated
Malik Beasley
2016
2.57
-1.33
3836
Year 1
Year 1: 165 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 583 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1879 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Collins
2017
12.86
0.53
6825
Year 1
Year 1: 1785 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1829 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1363 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1848 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevin Huerter
2018
8.51
-0.77
8122
Year 1
Year 1: 2048 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1760 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2126 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2188 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luka Šamanić
2019
0.46
-1.02
517
Year 1
Year 1: 48 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 308 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 161 min · below 1,000 · rated
Saddiq Bey
2020
6.01
-1.33
8804
Year 1
Year 1: 1909 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2704 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2129 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2062 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kai Jones
2021
0.58
-1.59
1081
Year 1
Year 1: 63 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 550 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 468 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jake LaRavia
2022
3.33
-1.31
4630
Year 1
Year 1: 414 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 806 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1349 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2061 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Teague · 2009
12.97 four-season WAR · 0.63 LEBRON · 6493 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 963 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2183 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2628 min · 1,000+ · rated
Avery Bradley · 2010
3.06 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 4820 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 162 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1368 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1435 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1855 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tobias Harris · 2011
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 5997 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 479 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1299 min · 1,000+ · unrated
Year 3: 1850 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2369 min · 1,000+ · rated
Andrew Nicholson · 2012
-0.18 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 3738 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1249 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 492 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 823 min · below 1,000 · rated
Sergey Karasev · 2013
0.85 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 1110 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 156 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 555 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 399 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Gary Harris · 2014
12.01 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 7244 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2439 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1782 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2304 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jerian Grant · 2015
4.18 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 4918 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1265 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1028 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1686 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 939 min · below 1,000 · rated
Malik Beasley · 2016
2.57 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 3836 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 165 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 583 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1879 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Collins · 2017
12.86 four-season WAR · 0.53 LEBRON · 6825 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1785 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1829 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1363 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1848 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevin Huerter · 2018
8.51 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 8122 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2048 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1760 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2126 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2188 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luka Šamanić · 2019
0.46 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 517 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 48 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 308 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 161 min · below 1,000 · rated
Saddiq Bey · 2020
6.01 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 8804 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1909 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2704 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2129 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2062 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kai Jones · 2021
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 1081 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 63 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 550 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 468 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jake LaRavia · 2022
3.33 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 4630 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 414 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 806 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1349 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2061 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 20: observed four-season examples
Harry Giles · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
1.263
Actual LEBRON
-1.327
NBA minutes
1835
25th-percentile target 1.22 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.05). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Precious Achiuwa · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
4.114
Actual LEBRON
-1.188
NBA minutes
5226
50th-percentile target 3.90 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.21). Debut in year 1.
Matisse Thybulle · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
7.798
Actual LEBRON
-0.184
NBA minutes
5470
90th-percentile target 7.74 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.06). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 20
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Eric Maynor
2009
Unavailable
Unavailable
3569
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 1269 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1200 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 137 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 963 min · below 1,000 · unrated
James Anderson
2010
Unavailable
Unavailable
3599
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 286 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 603 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 401 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 2309 min · 1,000+ · rated
Donatas Motiejūnas
2011
3.02
-1.01
3527
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 538 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 952 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2037 min · 1,000+ · rated
Evan Fournier
2012
3.69
-1.38
6158
Year 1
Year 1: 428 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1503 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1661 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2566 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tony Snell
2013
1.08
-2.04
6280
Year 1
Year 1: 1231 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1412 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1301 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2336 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bruno Caboclo
2014
0.24
-0.64
213
Year 1
Year 1: 23 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 43 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 107 min · below 1,000 · rated
Delon Wright
2015
7.19
0.53
3807
Year 1
Year 1: 229 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 446 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1433 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1699 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caris LeVert
2016
7.02
-0.39
5494
Year 1
Year 1: 1237 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1864 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1063 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1330 min · 1,000+ · rated
Harry Giles
2017
1.26
-1.33
1835
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 820 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 667 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 348 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Okogie
2018
4.99
-0.84
5017
Year 1
Year 1: 1757 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1547 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1197 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 516 min · below 1,000 · rated
Matisse Thybulle
2019
7.80
-0.18
5470
Year 1
Year 1: 1287 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1298 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1685 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1200 min · 1,000+ · rated
Precious Achiuwa
2020
4.11
-1.19
5226
Year 1
Year 1: 737 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1725 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1140 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1624 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Johnson
2021
7.90
0.46
4335
Year 1
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1042 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1889 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1284 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malaki Branham
2022
-2.30
-3.45
3846
Year 1
Year 1: 1550 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1594 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 427 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 275 min · below 1,000 · rated
Eric Maynor · 2009
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3569 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1269 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1200 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 137 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 963 min · below 1,000 · unrated
James Anderson · 2010
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3599 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 286 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 603 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 401 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 2309 min · 1,000+ · rated
Donatas Motiejūnas · 2011
3.02 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 3527 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 538 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 952 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2037 min · 1,000+ · rated
Evan Fournier · 2012
3.69 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 6158 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 428 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1503 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1661 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2566 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tony Snell · 2013
1.08 four-season WAR · -2.04 LEBRON · 6280 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1231 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1412 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1301 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2336 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bruno Caboclo · 2014
0.24 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 213 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 23 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 43 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 107 min · below 1,000 · rated
Delon Wright · 2015
7.19 four-season WAR · 0.53 LEBRON · 3807 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 229 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 446 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1433 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1699 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caris LeVert · 2016
7.02 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 5494 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1237 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1864 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1063 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1330 min · 1,000+ · rated
Harry Giles · 2017
1.26 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 1835 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 820 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 667 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 348 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Okogie · 2018
4.99 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 5017 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1757 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1547 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1197 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 516 min · below 1,000 · rated
Matisse Thybulle · 2019
7.80 four-season WAR · -0.18 LEBRON · 5470 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1287 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1298 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1685 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1200 min · 1,000+ · rated
Precious Achiuwa · 2020
4.11 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 5226 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 737 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1725 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1140 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1624 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jalen Johnson · 2021
7.90 four-season WAR · 0.46 LEBRON · 4335 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1889 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1284 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malaki Branham · 2022
-2.30 four-season WAR · -3.45 LEBRON · 3846 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1550 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1594 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 427 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 275 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 21: observed four-season examples
Craig Brackins · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.040
Actual LEBRON
-1.826
NBA minutes
121
25th-percentile target 0.18 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.14). Debut in year 1.
Justin Anderson · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
3.061
Actual LEBRON
-0.720
NBA minutes
2857
50th-percentile target 3.95 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.89). Debut in year 1.
Gorgui Dieng · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
11.080
Actual LEBRON
-0.201
NBA minutes
7884
90th-percentile target 10.79 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.29). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 21
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Darren Collison
2009
6.99
-1.10
8719
Year 1
Year 1: 2109 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2360 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1878 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2372 min · 1,000+ · rated
Craig Brackins
2010
0.04
-1.83
121
Year 1
Year 1: 33 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 88 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nolan Smith
2011
-0.29
-2.76
829
Year 1
Year 1: 541 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 288 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jared Sullinger
2012
10.10
0.06
6414
Year 1
Year 1: 892 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2041 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1566 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1915 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gorgui Dieng
2013
11.08
-0.20
7884
Year 1
Year 1: 818 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2193 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2220 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2653 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mitch McGary
2014
0.58
-0.73
557
Year 1
Year 1: 485 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Anderson
2015
3.06
-0.72
2857
Year 1
Year 1: 647 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1228 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 519 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 463 min · below 1,000 · rated
DeAndre' Bembry
2016
1.15
-1.88
3672
Year 1
Year 1: 371 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 455 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1931 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 915 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terrance Ferguson
2017
-0.48
-2.53
4000
Year 1
Year 1: 763 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1931 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1257 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 49 min · below 1,000 · rated
Grayson Allen
2018
4.85
-0.61
4198
Year 1
Year 1: 416 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 718 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1259 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1805 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Clarke
2019
9.48
0.51
5051
Year 1
Year 1: 1300 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1415 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1246 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1090 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrese Maxey
2020
15.53
0.55
8227
Year 1
Year 1: 935 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2650 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2016 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2626 min · 1,000+ · rated
Keon Johnson
2021
-0.18
-2.53
3099
Year 1
Year 1: 697 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 61 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1925 min · 1,000+ · rated
Christian Braun
2022
7.80
-0.65
6910
Year 1
Year 1: 1181 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1655 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2675 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1399 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darren Collison · 2009
6.99 four-season WAR · -1.10 LEBRON · 8719 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2109 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2360 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1878 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2372 min · 1,000+ · rated
Craig Brackins · 2010
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 121 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 33 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 88 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nolan Smith · 2011
-0.29 four-season WAR · -2.76 LEBRON · 829 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 541 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 288 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jared Sullinger · 2012
10.10 four-season WAR · 0.06 LEBRON · 6414 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 892 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2041 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1566 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1915 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gorgui Dieng · 2013
11.08 four-season WAR · -0.20 LEBRON · 7884 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 818 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2193 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2220 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2653 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mitch McGary · 2014
0.58 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 557 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 485 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Anderson · 2015
3.06 four-season WAR · -0.72 LEBRON · 2857 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 647 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1228 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 519 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 463 min · below 1,000 · rated
DeAndre' Bembry · 2016
1.15 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 3672 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 371 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 455 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1931 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 915 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terrance Ferguson · 2017
-0.48 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 4000 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 763 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1931 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1257 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 49 min · below 1,000 · rated
Grayson Allen · 2018
4.85 four-season WAR · -0.61 LEBRON · 4198 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 416 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 718 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1259 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1805 min · 1,000+ · rated
Brandon Clarke · 2019
9.48 four-season WAR · 0.51 LEBRON · 5051 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1300 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1415 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1246 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1090 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrese Maxey · 2020
15.53 four-season WAR · 0.55 LEBRON · 8227 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 935 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2650 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2016 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2626 min · 1,000+ · rated
Keon Johnson · 2021
-0.18 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 3099 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 697 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1925 min · 1,000+ · rated
Christian Braun · 2022
7.80 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 6910 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1181 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1655 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2675 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1399 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 22: observed four-season examples
Jordan Adams · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
0.242
Actual LEBRON
-0.897
NBA minutes
263
25th-percentile target 0.26 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.02). Debut in year 1.
Isaiah Jackson · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
4.189
Actual LEBRON
0.278
NBA minutes
2438
50th-percentile target 2.39 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.80). Debut in year 1.
Mason Plumlee · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
15.609
Actual LEBRON
0.915
NBA minutes
7250
90th-percentile target 14.98 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.63). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 22
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Víctor Claver
2009
0.17
-1.94
812
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Elliot Williams
2010
-0.98
-3.42
1306
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 149 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1157 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kenneth Faried
2011
18.71
1.37
7549
Year 1
Year 1: 1037 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2248 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2178 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2086 min · 1,000+ · rated
Fab Melo
2012
0.03
-0.97
36
Year 1
Year 1: 36 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mason Plumlee
2013
15.61
0.92
7250
Year 1
Year 1: 1275 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1743 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2084 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2148 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Adams
2014
0.24
-0.90
263
Year 1
Year 1: 248 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bobby Portis
2015
4.92
-0.84
5044
Year 1
Year 1: 1102 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1000 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1643 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1299 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malachi Richardson
2016
0.32
-1.57
625
Year 1
Year 1: 198 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 324 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 103 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarrett Allen
2017
13.52
0.52
7253
Year 1
Year 1: 1441 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2096 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1852 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1864 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chandler Hutchison
2018
0.58
-1.86
1790
Year 1
Year 1: 895 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 527 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 346 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 22 min · below 1,000 · rated
Grant Williams
2019
6.05
-0.85
6101
Year 1
Year 1: 1043 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1138 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1875 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zeke Nnaji
2020
0.34
-2.21
2399
Year 1
Year 1: 397 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 698 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 728 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 576 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaiah Jackson
2021
4.19
0.28
2438
Year 1
Year 1: 541 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1042 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 771 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Walker Kessler
2022
11.47
1.13
5090
Year 1
Year 1: 1703 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1493 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1740 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 154 min · below 1,000 · rated
Víctor Claver · 2009
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 812 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Elliot Williams · 2010
-0.98 four-season WAR · -3.42 LEBRON · 1306 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 149 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1157 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kenneth Faried · 2011
18.71 four-season WAR · 1.37 LEBRON · 7549 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1037 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2248 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2178 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2086 min · 1,000+ · rated
Fab Melo · 2012
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 36 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 36 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mason Plumlee · 2013
15.61 four-season WAR · 0.92 LEBRON · 7250 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1275 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1743 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2084 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2148 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Adams · 2014
0.24 four-season WAR · -0.90 LEBRON · 263 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 248 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bobby Portis · 2015
4.92 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 5044 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1102 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1000 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1643 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1299 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malachi Richardson · 2016
0.32 four-season WAR · -1.57 LEBRON · 625 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 198 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 324 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 103 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarrett Allen · 2017
13.52 four-season WAR · 0.52 LEBRON · 7253 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1441 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2096 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1852 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1864 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chandler Hutchison · 2018
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.86 LEBRON · 1790 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 895 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 527 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 346 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 22 min · below 1,000 · rated
Grant Williams · 2019
6.05 four-season WAR · -0.85 LEBRON · 6101 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1043 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1875 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Zeke Nnaji · 2020
0.34 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 2399 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 397 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 698 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 728 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 576 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaiah Jackson · 2021
4.19 four-season WAR · 0.28 LEBRON · 2438 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 541 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1042 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 771 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Walker Kessler · 2022
11.47 four-season WAR · 1.13 LEBRON · 5090 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1703 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1493 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1740 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 154 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 23: observed four-season examples
Darius Bazley · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
0.286
Actual LEBRON
-2.318
NBA minutes
5384
25th-percentile target 0.50 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.21). Debut in year 1.
Trevor Booker · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
3.292
Actual LEBRON
-1.240
NBA minutes
4764
50th-percentile target 2.99 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.30). Debut in year 1.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
7.436
Actual LEBRON
-0.309
NBA minutes
5530
90th-percentile target 7.25 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.19). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 23
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Omri Casspi
2009
5.43
-0.79
5477
Year 1
Year 1: 1931 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1702 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1341 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 503 min · below 1,000 · rated
Trevor Booker
2010
3.29
-1.24
4764
Year 1
Year 1: 1063 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1261 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 887 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1553 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nikola Mirotić
2011
4.16
1.42
1654
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1654 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Jenkins
2012
0.26
-2.06
1837
Year 1
Year 1: 902 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 158 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 297 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 480 min · below 1,000 · rated
Solomon Hill
2013
4.13
-1.24
5847
Year 1
Year 1: 226 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2381 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 866 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2374 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rodney Hood
2014
6.81
-0.83
6814
Year 1
Year 1: 1064 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1593 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1616 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
2015
7.44
-0.31
5530
Year 1
Year 1: 615 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1761 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1920 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1234 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ante Žižić
2016
1.29
-1.05
1517
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 214 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1082 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 221 min · below 1,000 · rated
OG Anunoby
2017
7.47
-0.55
6332
Year 1
Year 1: 1481 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1352 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2066 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1433 min · 1,000+ · rated
Aaron Holiday
2018
2.70
-1.45
4460
Year 1
Year 1: 646 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1617 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1176 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1021 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darius Bazley
2019
0.29
-2.32
5384
Year 1
Year 1: 1130 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1714 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1924 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 616 min · below 1,000 · rated
Leandro Bolmaro
2020
0.02
-2.31
309
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 241 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 68 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Usman Garuba
2021
1.15
-0.96
1228
Year 1
Year 1: 240 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 970 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 18 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Roddy
2022
-0.42
-2.69
2918
Year 1
Year 1: 1258 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1177 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 410 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 73 min · below 1,000 · rated
Omri Casspi · 2009
5.43 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 5477 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1931 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1702 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1341 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 503 min · below 1,000 · rated
Trevor Booker · 2010
3.29 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 4764 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1063 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1261 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 887 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1553 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nikola Mirotić · 2011
4.16 four-season WAR · 1.42 LEBRON · 1654 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1654 min · 1,000+ · rated
John Jenkins · 2012
0.26 four-season WAR · -2.06 LEBRON · 1837 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 902 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 158 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 297 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 480 min · below 1,000 · rated
Solomon Hill · 2013
4.13 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 5847 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 226 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2381 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 866 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2374 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rodney Hood · 2014
6.81 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 6814 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1064 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1593 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1616 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson · 2015
7.44 four-season WAR · -0.31 LEBRON · 5530 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 615 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1761 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1920 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1234 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ante Žižić · 2016
1.29 four-season WAR · -1.05 LEBRON · 1517 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 214 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1082 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 221 min · below 1,000 · rated
OG Anunoby · 2017
7.47 four-season WAR · -0.55 LEBRON · 6332 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1481 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1352 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2066 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1433 min · 1,000+ · rated
Aaron Holiday · 2018
2.70 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 4460 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 646 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1617 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1176 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1021 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darius Bazley · 2019
0.29 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 5384 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1130 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1714 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1924 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 616 min · below 1,000 · rated
Leandro Bolmaro · 2020
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.31 LEBRON · 309 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 241 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 68 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Usman Garuba · 2021
1.15 four-season WAR · -0.96 LEBRON · 1228 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 240 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 970 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 18 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Roddy · 2022
-0.42 four-season WAR · -2.69 LEBRON · 2918 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1258 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1177 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 73 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 24: observed four-season examples
MarJon Beauchamp · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
-0.007
Actual LEBRON
-2.467
NBA minutes
1661
25th-percentile target -0.01 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Jared Cunningham · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.241
Actual LEBRON
-1.669
NBA minutes
605
50th-percentile target 0.24 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Tyus Jones · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
7.835
Actual LEBRON
0.376
NBA minutes
4374
90th-percentile target 6.90 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.93). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 24
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Byron Mullens
2009
-1.77
-3.11
3032
Year 1
Year 1: 54 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 85 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1465 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1428 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damion James
2010
Unavailable
Unavailable
623
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 403 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 170 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Reggie Jackson
2011
11.64
0.56
6039
Year 1
Year 1: 501 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 993 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2277 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2268 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jared Cunningham
2012
0.24
-1.67
605
Year 1
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 89 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tim Hardaway Jr.
2013
3.17
-1.54
6574
Year 1
Year 1: 1875 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1681 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 864 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2154 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shabazz Napier
2014
3.05
-1.04
3659
Year 1
Year 1: 1012 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 600 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 512 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1535 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyus Jones
2015
7.83
0.38
4374
Year 1
Year 1: 573 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 774 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1467 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot
2016
0.83
-1.98
3519
Year 1
Year 1: 1190 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 807 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 669 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 853 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyler Lydon
2017
0.05
-1.63
96
Year 1
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 94 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anfernee Simons
2018
-1.05
-2.80
4375
Year 1
Year 1: 141 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1449 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1104 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1681 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ty Jerome
2019
1.96
-1.29
2733
Year 1
Year 1: 328 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 788 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 801 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 816 min · below 1,000 · rated
R.J. Hampton
2020
-1.01
-2.94
3116
Year 1
Year 1: 888 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1402 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 750 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 76 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Christopher
2021
0.01
-2.42
2189
Year 1
Year 1: 1334 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 786 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 69 min · below 1,000 · rated
MarJon Beauchamp
2022
-0.01
-2.47
1661
Year 1
Year 1: 701 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 608 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 156 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 196 min · below 1,000 · rated
Byron Mullens · 2009
-1.77 four-season WAR · -3.11 LEBRON · 3032 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 54 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 85 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1465 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1428 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damion James · 2010
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 623 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 403 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 170 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Reggie Jackson · 2011
11.64 four-season WAR · 0.56 LEBRON · 6039 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 501 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 993 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2277 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2268 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jared Cunningham · 2012
0.24 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 605 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 89 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tim Hardaway Jr. · 2013
3.17 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 6574 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1875 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1681 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 864 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2154 min · 1,000+ · rated
Shabazz Napier · 2014
3.05 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 3659 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1012 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 600 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 512 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1535 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyus Jones · 2015
7.83 four-season WAR · 0.38 LEBRON · 4374 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 573 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 774 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1467 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1560 min · 1,000+ · rated
Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot · 2016
0.83 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 3519 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1190 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 807 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 669 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 853 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyler Lydon · 2017
0.05 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 96 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 94 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anfernee Simons · 2018
-1.05 four-season WAR · -2.80 LEBRON · 4375 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 141 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1449 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1104 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1681 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ty Jerome · 2019
1.96 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 2733 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 328 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 788 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 801 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 816 min · below 1,000 · rated
R.J. Hampton · 2020
-1.01 four-season WAR · -2.94 LEBRON · 3116 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 888 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1402 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 750 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 76 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Christopher · 2021
0.01 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 2189 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1334 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 786 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 69 min · below 1,000 · rated
MarJon Beauchamp · 2022
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.47 LEBRON · 1661 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 701 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 608 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 156 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 196 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 25: observed four-season examples
Brice Johnson · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.136
Actual LEBRON
-0.413
NBA minutes
107
25th-percentile target 0.21 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.08). Debut in year 1.
Jarell Martin · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
0.951
Actual LEBRON
-1.829
NBA minutes
2927
50th-percentile target 0.90 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.05). Debut in year 1.
Clint Capela · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
13.912
Actual LEBRON
1.734
NBA minutes
5146
90th-percentile target 11.78 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 2.14). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 25
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Rodrigue Beaubois
2009
4.36
-0.08
2896
Year 1
Year 1: 700 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 496 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1151 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 549 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dominique Jones
2010
0.58
-1.12
741
Year 1
Year 1: 135 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 268 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 338 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
MarShon Brooks
2011
-0.90
-2.69
2876
Year 1
Year 1: 1648 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 912 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 316 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tony Wroten
2012
-1.88
-3.21
3076
Year 1
Year 1: 272 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1765 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 895 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 144 min · below 1,000 · rated
Reggie Bullock
2013
0.84
-1.53
1629
Year 1
Year 1: 395 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 338 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 429 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 467 min · below 1,000 · rated
Clint Capela
2014
13.91
1.73
5146
Year 1
Year 1: 90 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1471 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1551 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2034 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarell Martin
2015
0.95
-1.83
2927
Year 1
Year 1: 380 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 558 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1661 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 328 min · below 1,000 · rated
Brice Johnson
2016
0.14
-0.41
107
Year 1
Year 1: 9 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 98 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anžejs Pasečņiks
2017
0.45
-0.80
443
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 437 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Moritz Wagner
2018
3.64
-0.48
2963
Year 1
Year 1: 446 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 835 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 722 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 960 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nassir Little
2019
1.22
-1.82
3277
Year 1
Year 1: 573 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 640 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1088 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 976 min · below 1,000 · rated
Immanuel Quickley
2020
14.25
0.62
7374
Year 1
Year 1: 1243 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1802 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2344 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1985 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quentin Grimes
2021
6.79
-0.62
5945
Year 1
Year 1: 786 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2121 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1025 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2013 min · 1,000+ · rated
Blake Wesley
2022
-0.06
-2.52
2589
Year 1
Year 1: 669 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 876 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 683 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 361 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rodrigue Beaubois · 2009
4.36 four-season WAR · -0.08 LEBRON · 2896 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 700 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 496 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1151 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 549 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dominique Jones · 2010
0.58 four-season WAR · -1.12 LEBRON · 741 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 135 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 268 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 338 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
MarShon Brooks · 2011
-0.90 four-season WAR · -2.69 LEBRON · 2876 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1648 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 912 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 316 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tony Wroten · 2012
-1.88 four-season WAR · -3.21 LEBRON · 3076 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 272 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1765 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 895 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 144 min · below 1,000 · rated
Reggie Bullock · 2013
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 1629 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 395 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 338 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 429 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 467 min · below 1,000 · rated
Clint Capela · 2014
13.91 four-season WAR · 1.73 LEBRON · 5146 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 90 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1471 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1551 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2034 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarell Martin · 2015
0.95 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 2927 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 380 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 558 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1661 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 328 min · below 1,000 · rated
Brice Johnson · 2016
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 107 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 9 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 98 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anžejs Pasečņiks · 2017
0.45 four-season WAR · -0.80 LEBRON · 443 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 437 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Moritz Wagner · 2018
3.64 four-season WAR · -0.48 LEBRON · 2963 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 446 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 835 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 722 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 960 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nassir Little · 2019
1.22 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 3277 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 573 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 640 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1088 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 976 min · below 1,000 · rated
Immanuel Quickley · 2020
14.25 four-season WAR · 0.62 LEBRON · 7374 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1243 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1802 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2344 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1985 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quentin Grimes · 2021
6.79 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 5945 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 786 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2121 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1025 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2013 min · 1,000+ · rated
Blake Wesley · 2022
-0.06 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2589 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 669 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 876 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 361 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 26: observed four-season examples
Dylan Windler · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
0.592
Actual LEBRON
-1.449
NBA minutes
982
25th-percentile target 0.62 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.02). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Jordan Hamilton · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
1.576
Actual LEBRON
-0.979
NBA minutes
1796
50th-percentile target 1.41 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.16). Debut in year 1.
Andre Roberson · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
8.433
Actual LEBRON
-0.062
NBA minutes
5614
90th-percentile target 7.98 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.45). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 26
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Taj Gibson
2009
13.83
0.74
6689
Year 1
Year 1: 2204 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1742 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1284 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1459 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quincy Pondexter
2010
0.69
-1.94
3249
Year 1
Year 1: 734 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1002 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1243 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 270 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Hamilton
2011
1.58
-0.98
1796
Year 1
Year 1: 258 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 397 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1019 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 122 min · below 1,000 · rated
Miles Plumlee
2012
5.32
-0.35
4083
Year 1
Year 1: 55 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1964 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1194 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 870 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andre Roberson
2013
8.43
-0.06
5614
Year 1
Year 1: 399 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1286 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2376 min · 1,000+ · rated
P.J. Hairston
2014
1.25
-1.34
2000
Year 1
Year 1: 687 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1313 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Milutinov
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Furkan Korkmaz
2016
1.08
-1.64
2318
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 679 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1559 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caleb Swanigan
2017
0.20
-1.90
655
Year 1
Year 1: 189 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 178 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 288 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Landry Shamet
2018
3.80
-1.41
6094
Year 1
Year 1: 1802 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1452 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1403 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1437 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dylan Windler
2019
0.59
-1.45
982
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 513 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 459 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Payton Pritchard
2020
6.92
-0.13
4737
Year 1
Year 1: 1268 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1001 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 643 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1825 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bones Hyland
2021
3.89
-0.50
3174
Year 1
Year 1: 1310 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1085 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 540 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 239 min · below 1,000 · rated
Wendell Moore Jr.
2022
0.49
-1.45
787
Year 1
Year 1: 153 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 75 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 60 min · below 1,000 · rated
Taj Gibson · 2009
13.83 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 6689 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2204 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1742 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1284 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1459 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quincy Pondexter · 2010
0.69 four-season WAR · -1.94 LEBRON · 3249 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 734 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1002 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1243 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 270 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Hamilton · 2011
1.58 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 1796 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 258 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 397 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1019 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 122 min · below 1,000 · rated
Miles Plumlee · 2012
5.32 four-season WAR · -0.35 LEBRON · 4083 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 55 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1964 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1194 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 870 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andre Roberson · 2013
8.43 four-season WAR · -0.06 LEBRON · 5614 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 399 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1286 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1553 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2376 min · 1,000+ · rated
P.J. Hairston · 2014
1.25 four-season WAR · -1.34 LEBRON · 2000 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 687 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1313 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Milutinov · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Furkan Korkmaz · 2016
1.08 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 2318 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 679 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1559 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caleb Swanigan · 2017
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.90 LEBRON · 655 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 189 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 178 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 288 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Landry Shamet · 2018
3.80 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 6094 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1802 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1452 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1403 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1437 min · 1,000+ · rated
Dylan Windler · 2019
0.59 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 982 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 513 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 459 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Payton Pritchard · 2020
6.92 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 4737 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1268 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1001 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 643 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1825 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bones Hyland · 2021
3.89 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 3174 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1310 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1085 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 540 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 239 min · below 1,000 · rated
Wendell Moore Jr. · 2022
0.49 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 787 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 153 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 75 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 60 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 27: observed four-season examples
Udoka Azubuike · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
0.520
Actual LEBRON
-1.293
NBA minutes
724
25th-percentile target 0.52 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Cam Thomas · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
3.180
Actual LEBRON
-1.434
NBA minutes
4980
50th-percentile target 3.18 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Pascal Siakam · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
16.944
Actual LEBRON
1.256
NBA minutes
7196
90th-percentile target 15.88 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.07). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 27
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
DeMarre Carroll
2009
Unavailable
Unavailable
2304
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 795 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 348 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1111 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Crawford
2010
1.48
-1.92
6348
Year 1
Year 1: 1027 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1753 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1709 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1859 min · 1,000+ · rated
JaJuan Johnson
2011
0.06
-1.92
298
Year 1
Year 1: 298 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arnett Moultrie
2012
0.44
-1.38
729
Year 1
Year 1: 542 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Rudy Gobert
2013
25.62
2.99
7268
Year 1
Year 1: 434 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2158 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1932 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2744 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bogdan Bogdanović
2014
1.21
-1.48
2175
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 2175 min · 1,000+ · rated
Larry Nance Jr.
2015
11.62
0.65
5924
Year 1
Year 1: 1266 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1442 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1421 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1795 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pascal Siakam
2016
16.94
1.26
7196
Year 1
Year 1: 859 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1679 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2548 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2110 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kyle Kuzma
2017
8.24
-0.81
8195
Year 1
Year 1: 2401 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2314 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1526 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1954 min · 1,000+ · rated
Robert Williams
2018
9.37
1.80
3460
Year 1
Year 1: 283 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 388 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 985 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1804 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mfiondu Kabengele
2019
0.30
-1.19
380
Year 1
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 280 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 36 min · below 1,000 · rated
Udoka Azubuike
2020
0.52
-1.29
724
Year 1
Year 1: 57 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 195 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 359 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 113 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cam Thomas
2021
3.18
-1.43
4980
Year 1
Year 1: 1176 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 948 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2075 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 781 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nikola Jović
2022
3.52
-0.64
3064
Year 1
Year 1: 204 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 896 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1156 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 808 min · below 1,000 · rated
DeMarre Carroll · 2009
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 2304 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 795 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 348 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1111 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Crawford · 2010
1.48 four-season WAR · -1.92 LEBRON · 6348 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1027 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1753 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1709 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1859 min · 1,000+ · rated
JaJuan Johnson · 2011
0.06 four-season WAR · -1.92 LEBRON · 298 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 298 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arnett Moultrie · 2012
0.44 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 729 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 542 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Rudy Gobert · 2013
25.62 four-season WAR · 2.99 LEBRON · 7268 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 434 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2158 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1932 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2744 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bogdan Bogdanović · 2014
1.21 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 2175 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 2175 min · 1,000+ · rated
Larry Nance Jr. · 2015
11.62 four-season WAR · 0.65 LEBRON · 5924 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1266 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1442 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1421 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1795 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pascal Siakam · 2016
16.94 four-season WAR · 1.26 LEBRON · 7196 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 859 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1679 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2548 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2110 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kyle Kuzma · 2017
8.24 four-season WAR · -0.81 LEBRON · 8195 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2401 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2314 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1526 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1954 min · 1,000+ · rated
Robert Williams · 2018
9.37 four-season WAR · 1.80 LEBRON · 3460 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 283 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 388 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 985 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1804 min · 1,000+ · rated
Mfiondu Kabengele · 2019
0.30 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 380 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 280 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 36 min · below 1,000 · rated
Udoka Azubuike · 2020
0.52 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 724 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 57 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 195 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 359 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 113 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cam Thomas · 2021
3.18 four-season WAR · -1.43 LEBRON · 4980 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1176 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 948 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2075 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 781 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nikola Jović · 2022
3.52 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 3064 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 204 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 896 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1156 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 808 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 28: observed four-season examples
Livio Jean-Charles · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.03 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.03). No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Wayne Ellington · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.780
Actual LEBRON
-2.108
NBA minutes
5199
50th-percentile target 0.81 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.03). Debut in year 1.
Jordan Poole · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
5.779
Actual LEBRON
-1.138
NBA minutes
7003
90th-percentile target 5.69 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.09). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 28
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Wayne Ellington
2009
0.78
-2.11
5199
Year 1
Year 1: 1384 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1181 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 973 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1661 min · 1,000+ · rated
Greivis Vásquez
2010
7.85
-0.63
7030
Year 1
Year 1: 860 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1706 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2685 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1779 min · 1,000+ · rated
Norris Cole
2011
-1.41
-2.58
6695
Year 1
Year 1: 1260 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1590 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2014 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1831 min · 1,000+ · rated
Perry Jones
2012
-0.41
-2.63
1675
Year 1
Year 1: 280 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 764 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 631 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Livio Jean-Charles
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
C.J. Wilcox
2014
0.12
-1.82
376
Year 1
Year 1: 101 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 167 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 108 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
R.J. Hunter
2015
0.21
-1.48
395
Year 1
Year 1: 315 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 9 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 45 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 26 min · below 1,000 · rated
Skal Labissière
2016
1.30
-1.57
2595
Year 1
Year 1: 612 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1240 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 176 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 567 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tony Bradley
2017
2.20
0.02
1412
Year 1
Year 1: 29 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 36 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 663 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 684 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jacob Evans
2018
-0.09
-2.61
622
Year 1
Year 1: 204 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 418 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Poole
2019
5.78
-1.14
7003
Year 1
Year 1: 1274 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 988 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2283 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2458 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden McDaniels
2020
5.49
-1.32
7835
Year 1
Year 1: 1511 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1803 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2416 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2105 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden Springer
2021
0.84
-1.07
967
Year 1
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 89 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 507 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 365 min · below 1,000 · rated
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
2022
1.19
-0.41
928
Year 1
Year 1: 226 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 493 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 107 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 102 min · below 1,000 · rated
Wayne Ellington · 2009
0.78 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 5199 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1384 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1181 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 973 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1661 min · 1,000+ · rated
Greivis Vásquez · 2010
7.85 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 7030 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 860 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1706 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2685 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1779 min · 1,000+ · rated
Norris Cole · 2011
-1.41 four-season WAR · -2.58 LEBRON · 6695 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1260 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1590 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2014 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1831 min · 1,000+ · rated
Perry Jones · 2012
-0.41 four-season WAR · -2.63 LEBRON · 1675 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 280 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 764 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 631 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Livio Jean-Charles · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
C.J. Wilcox · 2014
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.82 LEBRON · 376 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 101 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 167 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 108 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
R.J. Hunter · 2015
0.21 four-season WAR · -1.48 LEBRON · 395 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 315 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 9 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 45 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 26 min · below 1,000 · rated
Skal Labissière · 2016
1.30 four-season WAR · -1.57 LEBRON · 2595 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 612 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1240 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 176 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 567 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tony Bradley · 2017
2.20 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 1412 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 29 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 36 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 663 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 684 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jacob Evans · 2018
-0.09 four-season WAR · -2.61 LEBRON · 622 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 204 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 418 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Poole · 2019
5.78 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 7003 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1274 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 988 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2283 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2458 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden McDaniels · 2020
5.49 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 7835 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1511 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1803 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2416 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2105 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jaden Springer · 2021
0.84 four-season WAR · -1.07 LEBRON · 967 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 89 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 507 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 365 min · below 1,000 · rated
Patrick Baldwin Jr. · 2022
1.19 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 928 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 226 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 493 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 107 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 102 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 29: observed four-season examples
Džanan Musa · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
0.405
Actual LEBRON
-1.182
NBA minutes
526
25th-percentile target 0.42 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.02). Debut in year 1.
Malachi Flynn · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
1.894
Actual LEBRON
-1.444
NBA minutes
3032
50th-percentile target 1.34 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.56). Debut in year 1.
Keldon Johnson · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
8.198
Actual LEBRON
-0.504
NBA minutes
6724
90th-percentile target 7.64 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.56). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 29
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Toney Douglas
2009
5.54
-0.63
5003
Year 1
Year 1: 1087 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1971 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 656 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1289 min · 1,000+ · rated
Daniel Orton
2010
0.48
-0.95
542
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 104 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 251 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cory Joseph
2011
5.15
0.21
3034
Year 1
Year 1: 266 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 388 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 936 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marquis Teague
2012
0.16
-1.98
835
Year 1
Year 1: 392 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 443 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Archie Goodwin
2013
-0.47
-2.57
2396
Year 1
Year 1: 533 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 535 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1114 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 214 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Huestis
2014
-0.09
-2.45
1068
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 55 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 31 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 982 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chris McCullough
2015
0.55
-0.75
532
Year 1
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 90 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dejounte Murray
2016
6.33
0.20
3752
Year 1
Year 1: 322 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1743 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1687 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick White
2017
9.76
0.88
4608
Year 1
Year 1: 139 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1728 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1677 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1064 min · 1,000+ · rated
Džanan Musa
2018
0.40
-1.18
526
Year 1
Year 1: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 487 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Keldon Johnson
2019
8.20
-0.50
6724
Year 1
Year 1: 301 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1968 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2392 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2063 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malachi Flynn
2020
1.89
-1.44
3032
Year 1
Year 1: 928 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 537 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 691 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 876 min · below 1,000 · rated
Day'Ron Sharpe
2021
5.15
0.49
2772
Year 1
Year 1: 391 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 552 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 921 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
TyTy Washington Jr.
2022
0.78
-0.67
695
Year 1
Year 1: 433 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 56 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 88 min · below 1,000 · rated
Toney Douglas · 2009
5.54 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 5003 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1087 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1971 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 656 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1289 min · 1,000+ · rated
Daniel Orton · 2010
0.48 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 542 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 104 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 251 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cory Joseph · 2011
5.15 four-season WAR · 0.21 LEBRON · 3034 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 266 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 388 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 936 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marquis Teague · 2012
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.98 LEBRON · 835 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 392 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 443 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Archie Goodwin · 2013
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.57 LEBRON · 2396 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 533 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 535 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1114 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 214 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Huestis · 2014
-0.09 four-season WAR · -2.45 LEBRON · 1068 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 55 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 31 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 982 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chris McCullough · 2015
0.55 four-season WAR · -0.75 LEBRON · 532 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 90 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dejounte Murray · 2016
6.33 four-season WAR · 0.20 LEBRON · 3752 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 322 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1743 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1687 min · 1,000+ · rated
Derrick White · 2017
9.76 four-season WAR · 0.88 LEBRON · 4608 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 139 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1728 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1677 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1064 min · 1,000+ · rated
Džanan Musa · 2018
0.40 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 526 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 487 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Keldon Johnson · 2019
8.20 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 6724 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 301 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1968 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2392 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2063 min · 1,000+ · rated
Malachi Flynn · 2020
1.89 four-season WAR · -1.44 LEBRON · 3032 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 928 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 537 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 691 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 876 min · below 1,000 · rated
Day'Ron Sharpe · 2021
5.15 four-season WAR · 0.49 LEBRON · 2772 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 391 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 552 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 921 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
TyTy Washington Jr. · 2022
0.78 four-season WAR · -0.67 LEBRON · 695 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 433 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 56 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 88 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 30: observed four-season examples
Omari Spellman · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
0.798
Actual LEBRON
-1.640
NBA minutes
1691
25th-percentile target 0.96 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.16). Debut in year 1.
Festus Ezeli · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
2.270
Actual LEBRON
-0.855
NBA minutes
2394
50th-percentile target 2.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.20). Debut in year 1.
Desmond Bane · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
14.085
Actual LEBRON
0.717
NBA minutes
7069
90th-percentile target 12.86 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.23). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 30
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Christian Eyenga
2009
0.41
-1.72
1049
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 947 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 102 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lazar Hayward
2010
0.41
-1.20
591
Year 1
Year 1: 419 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 141 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 31 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jimmy Butler
2011
19.70
1.55
7597
Year 1
Year 1: 359 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2134 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2591 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2513 min · 1,000+ · rated
Festus Ezeli
2012
2.27
-0.86
2394
Year 1
Year 1: 1120 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 504 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 770 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nemanja Nedović
2013
-0.04
-2.72
142
Year 1
Year 1: 142 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle Anderson
2014
9.99
0.95
4601
Year 1
Year 1: 358 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1245 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1020 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1978 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevon Looney
2015
5.02
0.34
2859
Year 1
Year 1: 21 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 447 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 910 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1481 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damian Jones
2016
1.43
-0.87
1471
Year 1
Year 1: 85 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 89 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 410 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 887 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Hart
2017
5.18
-1.10
6280
Year 1
Year 1: 1461 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1715 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1755 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1349 min · 1,000+ · rated
Omari Spellman
2018
0.80
-1.64
1691
Year 1
Year 1: 805 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 886 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Porter Jr.
2019
1.88
-1.91
5928
Year 1
Year 1: 1162 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 835 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1907 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2024 min · 1,000+ · rated
Desmond Bane
2020
14.09
0.72
7069
Year 1
Year 1: 1519 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2266 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1841 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Santi Aldama
2021
8.46
0.10
5320
Year 1
Year 1: 360 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1618 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1660 min · 1,000+ · rated
Peyton Watson
2022
1.71
-1.91
4928
Year 1
Year 1: 186 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1488 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1656 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1598 min · 1,000+ · rated
Christian Eyenga · 2009
0.41 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 1049 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 947 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 102 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lazar Hayward · 2010
0.41 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 591 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 419 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 141 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 31 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jimmy Butler · 2011
19.70 four-season WAR · 1.55 LEBRON · 7597 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 359 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2134 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2591 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2513 min · 1,000+ · rated
Festus Ezeli · 2012
2.27 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 2394 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 504 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 770 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nemanja Nedović · 2013
-0.04 four-season WAR · -2.72 LEBRON · 142 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 142 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle Anderson · 2014
9.99 four-season WAR · 0.95 LEBRON · 4601 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 358 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1245 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1020 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1978 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kevon Looney · 2015
5.02 four-season WAR · 0.34 LEBRON · 2859 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 21 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 447 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 910 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1481 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damian Jones · 2016
1.43 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 1471 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 85 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 89 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 887 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Hart · 2017
5.18 four-season WAR · -1.10 LEBRON · 6280 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1461 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1715 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1755 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1349 min · 1,000+ · rated
Omari Spellman · 2018
0.80 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 1691 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 805 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 886 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Porter Jr. · 2019
1.88 four-season WAR · -1.91 LEBRON · 5928 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1162 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 835 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1907 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2024 min · 1,000+ · rated
Desmond Bane · 2020
14.09 four-season WAR · 0.72 LEBRON · 7069 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1519 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2266 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1841 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Santi Aldama · 2021
8.46 four-season WAR · 0.10 LEBRON · 5320 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 360 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1618 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1660 min · 1,000+ · rated
Peyton Watson · 2022
1.71 four-season WAR · -1.91 LEBRON · 4928 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 186 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1488 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1656 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1598 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 31: observed four-season examples
Tibor Pleiß · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.02 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.02). No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Deyonta Davis · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.126
Actual LEBRON
-2.174
NBA minutes
1299
50th-percentile target 0.12 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.01). Debut in year 1.
Andrew Nembhard · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
7.445
Actual LEBRON
-0.865
NBA minutes
7437
90th-percentile target 5.71 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.74). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 31
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jeff Ayres
2009
0.61
-1.24
880
Year 1
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 106 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 369 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tibor Pleiß
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bojan Bogdanović
2011
-0.94
-3.02
1854
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Taylor
2012
-1.39
-3.08
2566
Year 1
Year 1: 1507 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 629 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 430 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Allen Crabbe
2013
1.66
-1.81
5142
Year 1
Year 1: 100 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 683 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2105 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2254 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damien Inglis
2014
0.11
-1.28
156
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 156 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cedi Osman
2015
0.41
-2.16
3116
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 672 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deyonta Davis
2016
0.13
-2.17
1299
Year 1
Year 1: 238 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 943 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Frank Jackson
2017
-1.08
-3.01
2704
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1169 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 797 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 738 min · below 1,000 · rated
Elie Okobo
2018
0.11
-2.28
1677
Year 1
Year 1: 958 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 719 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nic Claxton
2019
10.55
1.71
4026
Year 1
Year 1: 187 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 594 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 974 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2271 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrell Terry
2020
0.09
-0.12
59
Year 1
Year 1: 56 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 3 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Todd
2021
0.16
-0.62
135
Year 1
Year 1: 74 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 61 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andrew Nembhard
2022
7.45
-0.86
7437
Year 1
Year 1: 2073 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1697 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1881 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1786 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Ayres · 2009
0.61 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 880 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 106 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 369 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tibor Pleiß · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bojan Bogdanović · 2011
-0.94 four-season WAR · -3.02 LEBRON · 1854 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1854 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Taylor · 2012
-1.39 four-season WAR · -3.08 LEBRON · 2566 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1507 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 629 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 430 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Allen Crabbe · 2013
1.66 four-season WAR · -1.81 LEBRON · 5142 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 100 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2105 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2254 min · 1,000+ · rated
Damien Inglis · 2014
0.11 four-season WAR · -1.28 LEBRON · 156 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 156 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cedi Osman · 2015
0.41 four-season WAR · -2.16 LEBRON · 3116 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 672 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deyonta Davis · 2016
0.13 four-season WAR · -2.17 LEBRON · 1299 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 238 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 943 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Frank Jackson · 2017
-1.08 four-season WAR · -3.01 LEBRON · 2704 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1169 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 797 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 738 min · below 1,000 · rated
Elie Okobo · 2018
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 1677 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 958 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 719 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nic Claxton · 2019
10.55 four-season WAR · 1.71 LEBRON · 4026 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 594 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 974 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2271 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tyrell Terry · 2020
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.12 LEBRON · 59 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 56 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 3 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Todd · 2021
0.16 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 135 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 74 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andrew Nembhard · 2022
7.45 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 7437 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2073 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1697 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1881 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1786 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 32: observed four-season examples
Tomáš Satoranský · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.01 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Davon Reed · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.243
Actual LEBRON
-1.057
NBA minutes
289
50th-percentile target 0.20 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.04). Debut in year 1.
Ivica Zubac · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
6.911
Actual LEBRON
0.765
NBA minutes
3385
90th-percentile target 5.77 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.14). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 32
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jermaine Taylor
2009
-0.05
-2.41
786
Year 1
Year 1: 303 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 483 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dexter Pittman
2010
0.12
-1.75
347
Year 1
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 301 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 3 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Harper
2011
0.04
-1.59
84
Year 1
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tomáš Satoranský
2012
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Álex Abrines
2013
0.75
-1.25
1055
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 1055 min · 1,000+ · rated
K.J. McDaniels
2014
-0.28
-2.46
2092
Year 1
Year 1: 1352 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 505 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Montrezl Harrell
2015
9.39
0.58
4894
Year 1
Year 1: 379 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1064 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1293 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2158 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ivica Zubac
2016
6.91
0.77
3385
Year 1
Year 1: 609 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 410 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1040 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1326 min · 1,000+ · rated
Davon Reed
2017
0.24
-1.06
289
Year 1
Year 1: 242 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 47 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jevon Carter
2018
3.11
-0.84
3144
Year 1
Year 1: 577 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 945 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 717 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 905 min · below 1,000 · rated
KZ Okpala
2019
0.47
-1.65
965
Year 1
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 447 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 244 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 248 min · below 1,000 · rated
Vernon Carey Jr.
2020
0.16
-1.02
187
Year 1
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 44 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
2021
1.77
-1.63
3474
Year 1
Year 1: 1087 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 814 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 334 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1239 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caleb Houstan
2022
-0.28
-2.64
2490
Year 1
Year 1: 812 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 815 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 788 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 75 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jermaine Taylor · 2009
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.41 LEBRON · 786 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 303 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 483 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dexter Pittman · 2010
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 347 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 301 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 3 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Harper · 2011
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 84 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tomáš Satoranský · 2012
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Álex Abrines · 2013
0.75 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 1055 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 1055 min · 1,000+ · rated
K.J. McDaniels · 2014
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.46 LEBRON · 2092 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1352 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 505 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Montrezl Harrell · 2015
9.39 four-season WAR · 0.58 LEBRON · 4894 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 379 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1064 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1293 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2158 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ivica Zubac · 2016
6.91 four-season WAR · 0.77 LEBRON · 3385 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 609 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1040 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1326 min · 1,000+ · rated
Davon Reed · 2017
0.24 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 289 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 242 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 47 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jevon Carter · 2018
3.11 four-season WAR · -0.84 LEBRON · 3144 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 577 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 945 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 717 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 905 min · below 1,000 · rated
KZ Okpala · 2019
0.47 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 965 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 447 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 244 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 248 min · below 1,000 · rated
Vernon Carey Jr. · 2020
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 187 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 44 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl · 2021
1.77 four-season WAR · -1.63 LEBRON · 3474 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1087 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 814 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 334 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1239 min · 1,000+ · rated
Caleb Houstan · 2022
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 2490 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 815 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 788 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 75 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 33: observed four-season examples
Jason Preston · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
0.301
Actual LEBRON
0.005
NBA minutes
195
25th-percentile target 0.31 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Bernard James · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.723
Actual LEBRON
-0.856
NBA minutes
761
50th-percentile target 0.67 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.05). Debut in year 1.
Dante Cunningham · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
5.000
Actual LEBRON
-0.918
NBA minutes
5478
90th-percentile target 4.47 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.53). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 33
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Dante Cunningham
2009
5.00
-0.92
5478
Year 1
Year 1: 707 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1637 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1124 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2010 min · 1,000+ · rated
Hassan Whiteside
2010
0.21
0.59
111
Year 1
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 109 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle Singler
2011
3.23
-1.52
6373
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 2293 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2337 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1743 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bernard James
2012
0.72
-0.86
761
Year 1
Year 1: 457 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 146 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 158 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Carrick Felix
2013
0.05
-0.26
38
Year 1
Year 1: 38 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joe Harris
2014
0.62
-2.07
3621
Year 1
Year 1: 493 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1138 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1975 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Mickey
2015
0.37
-1.17
482
Year 1
Year 1: 57 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 141 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 284 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cheick Diallo
2016
1.78
-1.09
2155
Year 1
Year 1: 199 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 581 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 896 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 479 min · below 1,000 · rated
Wes Iwundu
2017
1.34
-1.83
3745
Year 1
Year 1: 1020 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 953 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 539 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Brunson
2018
10.53
-0.01
6834
Year 1
Year 1: 1591 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1022 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1697 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2524 min · 1,000+ · rated
Carsen Edwards
2019
0.34
-1.64
706
Year 1
Year 1: 351 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 276 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 79 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Oturu
2020
0.17
-1.00
188
Year 1
Year 1: 161 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 27 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jason Preston
2021
0.30
0.01
195
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 71 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Christian Koloko
2022
1.72
-0.63
1501
Year 1
Year 1: 802 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 342 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 357 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dante Cunningham · 2009
5.00 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 5478 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 707 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1637 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1124 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2010 min · 1,000+ · rated
Hassan Whiteside · 2010
0.21 four-season WAR · 0.59 LEBRON · 111 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 109 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle Singler · 2011
3.23 four-season WAR · -1.52 LEBRON · 6373 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 2293 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2337 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1743 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bernard James · 2012
0.72 four-season WAR · -0.86 LEBRON · 761 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 457 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 146 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 158 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Carrick Felix · 2013
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 38 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 38 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joe Harris · 2014
0.62 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 3621 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 493 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1975 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jordan Mickey · 2015
0.37 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 482 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 57 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 141 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 284 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cheick Diallo · 2016
1.78 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 2155 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 199 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 581 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 896 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 479 min · below 1,000 · rated
Wes Iwundu · 2017
1.34 four-season WAR · -1.83 LEBRON · 3745 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1020 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 953 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 539 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jalen Brunson · 2018
10.53 four-season WAR · -0.01 LEBRON · 6834 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1591 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1022 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1697 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2524 min · 1,000+ · rated
Carsen Edwards · 2019
0.34 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 706 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 351 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 276 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 79 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Oturu · 2020
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.00 LEBRON · 188 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 161 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 27 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jason Preston · 2021
0.30 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 195 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 71 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Christian Koloko · 2022
1.72 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 1501 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 802 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 342 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 357 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 34: observed four-season examples
Armon Johnson · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.080
Actual LEBRON
-2.002
NBA minutes
401
25th-percentile target 0.08 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Anthony Brown · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
0.416
Actual LEBRON
-1.469
NBA minutes
762
50th-percentile target 0.42 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Devonte' Graham · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
11.298
Actual LEBRON
0.220
NBA minutes
6708
90th-percentile target 10.53 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.77). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 34
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Sergio Llull
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Armon Johnson
2010
0.08
-2.00
401
Year 1
Year 1: 277 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Shelvin Mack
2011
Unavailable
Unavailable
3518
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 779 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1490 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 833 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jae Crowder
2012
14.79
1.06
6562
Year 1
Year 1: 1353 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1254 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1647 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2308 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Canaan
2013
0.12
-2.24
3748
Year 1
Year 1: 252 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 938 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1966 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 592 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cleanthony Early
2014
0.15
-1.99
801
Year 1
Year 1: 647 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 154 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anthony Brown
2015
0.42
-1.47
762
Year 1
Year 1: 599 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 159 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 4 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Ulis
2016
1.43
-1.54
2782
Year 1
Year 1: 1123 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1658 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Frank Mason III
2017
1.46
-0.96
1616
Year 1
Year 1: 984 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 435 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 79 min · below 1,000 · rated
Devonte' Graham
2018
11.30
0.22
6708
Year 1
Year 1: 676 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2211 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1659 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2162 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bruno Fernando
2019
1.37
-0.97
1496
Year 1
Year 1: 713 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 226 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 152 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Théo Maledon
2020
-0.48
-2.64
3753
Year 1
Year 1: 1778 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 908 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 854 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 213 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rokas Jokubaitis
2021
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylin Williams
2022
7.45
0.61
3872
Year 1
Year 1: 914 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 897 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 784 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1277 min · 1,000+ · rated
Sergio Llull · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Armon Johnson · 2010
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.00 LEBRON · 401 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 277 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Shelvin Mack · 2011
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 3518 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 779 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1490 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 833 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jae Crowder · 2012
14.79 four-season WAR · 1.06 LEBRON · 6562 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1353 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1254 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1647 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2308 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Canaan · 2013
0.12 four-season WAR · -2.24 LEBRON · 3748 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 252 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 938 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1966 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 592 min · below 1,000 · rated
Cleanthony Early · 2014
0.15 four-season WAR · -1.99 LEBRON · 801 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 647 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 154 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Anthony Brown · 2015
0.42 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 762 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 599 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 159 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 4 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Ulis · 2016
1.43 four-season WAR · -1.54 LEBRON · 2782 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1123 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1658 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Frank Mason III · 2017
1.46 four-season WAR · -0.96 LEBRON · 1616 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 984 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 435 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 79 min · below 1,000 · rated
Devonte' Graham · 2018
11.30 four-season WAR · 0.22 LEBRON · 6708 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 676 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2211 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1659 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2162 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bruno Fernando · 2019
1.37 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 1496 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 713 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 226 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 152 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Théo Maledon · 2020
-0.48 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 3753 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1778 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 854 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 213 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rokas Jokubaitis · 2021
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylin Williams · 2022
7.45 four-season WAR · 0.61 LEBRON · 3872 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 914 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 897 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 784 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1277 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 35: observed four-season examples
DaJuan Summers · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.110
Actual LEBRON
-2.074
NBA minutes
820
25th-percentile target 0.12 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 1.
Melvin Frazier · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
0.159
Actual LEBRON
-1.528
NBA minutes
290
50th-percentile target 0.16 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Herbert Jones · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
14.495
Actual LEBRON
0.725
NBA minutes
7255
90th-percentile target 12.18 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 2.32). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 35
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
DaJuan Summers
2009
0.11
-2.07
820
Year 1
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 199 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 209 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 7 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nemanja Bjelica
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Honeycutt
2011
0.15
-0.39
120
Year 1
Year 1: 88 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Draymond Green
2012
30.39
3.30
8156
Year 1
Year 1: 1061 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1797 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2490 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2808 min · 1,000+ · rated
Glen Rice Jr.
2013
0.15
-0.79
152
Year 1
Year 1: 109 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 43 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarnell Stokes
2014
0.17
-0.65
151
Year 1
Year 1: 126 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 18 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 7 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Willy Hernangómez
2015
3.34
-0.40
2631
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1324 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 495 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rade Zagorac
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ivan Rabb
2017
0.86
-1.29
1237
Year 1
Year 1: 516 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 721 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Melvin Frazier
2018
0.16
-1.53
290
Year 1
Year 1: 44 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 126 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 120 min · below 1,000 · rated
Didi Louzada
2019
0.10
-1.59
185
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 56 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 129 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Xavier Tillman Sr.
2020
6.77
0.28
3940
Year 1
Year 1: 1085 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 701 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1180 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 974 min · below 1,000 · rated
Herbert Jones
2021
14.49
0.73
7255
Year 1
Year 1: 2335 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1951 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2321 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 648 min · below 1,000 · rated
Max Christie
2022
1.43
-2.07
5827
Year 1
Year 1: 512 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 944 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2127 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2244 min · 1,000+ · rated
DaJuan Summers · 2009
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 820 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 405 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 199 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 209 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 7 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nemanja Bjelica · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Honeycutt · 2011
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 120 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 88 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Draymond Green · 2012
30.39 four-season WAR · 3.30 LEBRON · 8156 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1061 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1797 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2490 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2808 min · 1,000+ · rated
Glen Rice Jr. · 2013
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 152 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 109 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 43 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarnell Stokes · 2014
0.17 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 151 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 126 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 18 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 7 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Willy Hernangómez · 2015
3.34 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 2631 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1324 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 495 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rade Zagorac · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ivan Rabb · 2017
0.86 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1237 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 516 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 721 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Melvin Frazier · 2018
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 290 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 44 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 126 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 120 min · below 1,000 · rated
Didi Louzada · 2019
0.10 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 185 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 56 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 129 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Xavier Tillman Sr. · 2020
6.77 four-season WAR · 0.28 LEBRON · 3940 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1085 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 701 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1180 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 974 min · below 1,000 · rated
Herbert Jones · 2021
14.49 four-season WAR · 0.73 LEBRON · 7255 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2335 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1951 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2321 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 648 min · below 1,000 · rated
Max Christie · 2022
1.43 four-season WAR · -2.07 LEBRON · 5827 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 512 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 944 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2127 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2244 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 36: observed four-season examples
Rakeem Christmas · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
0.019
Actual LEBRON
-2.202
NBA minutes
225
25th-percentile target 0.03 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 1.
Jonah Bolden · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.589
Actual LEBRON
-1.042
NBA minutes
686
50th-percentile target 0.60 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Malcolm Brogdon · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
12.383
Actual LEBRON
0.409
NBA minutes
6916
90th-percentile target 10.44 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.94). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 36
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Sam Young
2009
0.46
-2.13
3966
Year 1
Year 1: 1321 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1577 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 375 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 693 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terrico White
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Williams
2011
0.87
-0.25
635
Year 1
Year 1: 635 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Orlando Johnson
2012
0.61
-1.45
1112
Year 1
Year 1: 619 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 392 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 101 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ray McCallum
2013
1.89
-1.27
2808
Year 1
Year 1: 897 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 475 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Johnny O'Bryant
2014
-1.09
-3.25
1684
Year 1
Year 1: 368 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 857 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 379 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rakeem Christmas
2015
0.02
-2.20
225
Year 1
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 219 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Malcolm Brogdon
2016
12.38
0.41
6916
Year 1
Year 1: 1982 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1832 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1666 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonah Bolden
2017
0.59
-1.04
686
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 639 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 47 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mitchell Robinson
2018
13.01
1.29
5473
Year 1
Year 1: 1360 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1412 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 853 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1848 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cody Martin
2019
5.85
0.01
3752
Year 1
Year 1: 903 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 849 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1866 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 134 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyler Bey
2020
0.07
-0.76
71
Year 1
Year 1: 71 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Miles McBride
2021
5.91
-0.13
4053
Year 1
Year 1: 372 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 760 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1328 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1593 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gabriele Procida
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sam Young · 2009
0.46 four-season WAR · -2.13 LEBRON · 3966 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1321 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1577 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 375 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 693 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terrico White · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Williams · 2011
0.87 four-season WAR · -0.25 LEBRON · 635 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 635 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Orlando Johnson · 2012
0.61 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 1112 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 619 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 392 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 101 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ray McCallum · 2013
1.89 four-season WAR · -1.27 LEBRON · 2808 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 897 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 475 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Johnny O'Bryant · 2014
-1.09 four-season WAR · -3.25 LEBRON · 1684 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 368 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 857 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 379 min · below 1,000 · rated
Rakeem Christmas · 2015
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 225 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 219 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Malcolm Brogdon · 2016
12.38 four-season WAR · 0.41 LEBRON · 6916 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1982 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1832 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1666 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jonah Bolden · 2017
0.59 four-season WAR · -1.04 LEBRON · 686 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 639 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 47 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mitchell Robinson · 2018
13.01 four-season WAR · 1.29 LEBRON · 5473 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1360 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1412 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 853 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1848 min · 1,000+ · rated
Cody Martin · 2019
5.85 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 3752 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 903 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 849 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1866 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 134 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyler Bey · 2020
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 71 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 71 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Miles McBride · 2021
5.91 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 4053 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 372 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 760 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1328 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1593 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gabriele Procida · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 37: observed four-season examples
Trey Thompkins · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
-2.230
NBA minutes
119
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 2 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. Debut in year 1.
Darington Hobson · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.050
Actual LEBRON
-0.390
NBA minutes
39
50th-percentile target 0.09 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.04). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Gary Trent Jr. · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
5.908
Actual LEBRON
-0.798
NBA minutes
5693
90th-percentile target 5.52 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.38). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 37
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
DeJuan Blair
2009
7.39
-0.27
5442
Year 1
Year 1: 1494 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1734 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1363 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 851 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darington Hobson
2010
0.05
-0.39
39
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Trey Thompkins
2011
0.00
-2.23
119
Year 1
Year 1: 119 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Quincy Acy
2012
1.94
-1.40
3352
Year 1
Year 1: 342 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 847 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1287 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 876 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tony Mitchell
2013
0.12
-0.02
79
Year 1
Year 1: 79 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
DeAndre Daniels
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Richaun Holmes
2015
4.63
-0.50
3825
Year 1
Year 1: 702 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1193 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 746 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1184 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chinanu Onuaku
2016
0.04
-1.51
74
Year 1
Year 1: 52 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 22 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Semi Ojeleye
2017
-1.21
-2.87
3705
Year 1
Year 1: 1150 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 594 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1011 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 950 min · below 1,000 · rated
Gary Trent Jr.
2018
5.91
-0.80
5693
Year 1
Year 1: 111 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1332 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1802 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2448 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deividas Sirvydis
2019
0.13
-1.17
160
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 133 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 27 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vít Krejčí
2020
-0.01
-2.44
1396
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 690 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 165 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 541 min · below 1,000 · rated
JT Thor
2021
-0.52
-2.84
2261
Year 1
Year 1: 262 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 969 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 781 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 249 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaden Hardy
2022
0.80
-2.10
3502
Year 1
Year 1: 708 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 989 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 907 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 898 min · below 1,000 · rated
DeJuan Blair · 2009
7.39 four-season WAR · -0.27 LEBRON · 5442 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1494 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1734 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1363 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 851 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darington Hobson · 2010
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.39 LEBRON · 39 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Trey Thompkins · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · -2.23 LEBRON · 119 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 119 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Quincy Acy · 2012
1.94 four-season WAR · -1.40 LEBRON · 3352 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 342 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 847 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1287 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 876 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tony Mitchell · 2013
0.12 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 79 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 79 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
DeAndre Daniels · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Richaun Holmes · 2015
4.63 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 3825 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 702 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1193 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 746 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1184 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chinanu Onuaku · 2016
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.51 LEBRON · 74 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 52 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 22 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Semi Ojeleye · 2017
-1.21 four-season WAR · -2.87 LEBRON · 3705 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1150 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 594 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1011 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 950 min · below 1,000 · rated
Gary Trent Jr. · 2018
5.91 four-season WAR · -0.80 LEBRON · 5693 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 111 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1332 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1802 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2448 min · 1,000+ · rated
Deividas Sirvydis · 2019
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 160 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 133 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 27 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vít Krejčí · 2020
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.44 LEBRON · 1396 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 690 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 165 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 541 min · below 1,000 · rated
JT Thor · 2021
-0.52 four-season WAR · -2.84 LEBRON · 2261 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 262 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 969 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 781 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 249 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jaden Hardy · 2022
0.80 four-season WAR · -2.10 LEBRON · 3502 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 708 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 989 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 907 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 898 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 38: observed four-season examples
Kennedy Chandler · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
0.431
Actual LEBRON
-1.373
NBA minutes
636
25th-percentile target 0.44 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 1.
Jon Brockman · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
1.040
Actual LEBRON
-1.295
NBA minutes
1570
50th-percentile target 1.50 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.46). Debut in year 1.
Spencer Dinwiddie · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
10.162
Actual LEBRON
1.281
NBA minutes
4254
90th-percentile target 9.33 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.83). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 38
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jon Brockman
2009
1.04
-1.29
1570
Year 1
Year 1: 654 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 677 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 239 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andy Rautins
2010
0.02
-1.14
24
Year 1
Year 1: 24 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Chandler Parsons
2011
20.15
0.83
9531
Year 1
Year 1: 1804 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2758 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2783 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2186 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quincy Miller
2012
0.60
-1.32
934
Year 1
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 789 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 119 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nate Wolters
2013
2.37
-0.02
1556
Year 1
Year 1: 1309 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 247 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Spencer Dinwiddie
2014
10.16
1.28
4254
Year 1
Year 1: 455 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 159 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1334 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2306 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darrun Hilliard
2015
0.48
-1.47
859
Year 1
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 381 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 95 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Patrick McCaw
2016
-1.02
-2.82
3340
Year 1
Year 1: 1074 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 961 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 397 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Bell
2017
3.06
0.05
1935
Year 1
Year 1: 809 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 788 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 256 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 82 min · below 1,000 · rated
Khyri Thomas
2018
0.43
-0.73
409
Year 1
Year 1: 195 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 61 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 153 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Gafford
2019
7.38
0.19
4448
Year 1
Year 1: 609 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 791 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1444 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1604 min · 1,000+ · rated
Saben Lee
2020
1.96
-0.82
1943
Year 1
Year 1: 781 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 604 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 373 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 185 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ayo Dosunmu
2021
2.41
-1.96
7814
Year 1
Year 1: 2110 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2098 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2212 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1394 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kennedy Chandler
2022
0.43
-1.37
636
Year 1
Year 1: 281 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 355 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jon Brockman · 2009
1.04 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1570 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 654 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 677 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 239 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andy Rautins · 2010
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 24 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 24 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Chandler Parsons · 2011
20.15 four-season WAR · 0.83 LEBRON · 9531 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1804 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2758 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2783 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2186 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quincy Miller · 2012
0.60 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 934 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 26 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 789 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 119 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nate Wolters · 2013
2.37 four-season WAR · -0.02 LEBRON · 1556 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1309 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 247 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Spencer Dinwiddie · 2014
10.16 four-season WAR · 1.28 LEBRON · 4254 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 455 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 159 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1334 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2306 min · 1,000+ · rated
Darrun Hilliard · 2015
0.48 four-season WAR · -1.47 LEBRON · 859 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 381 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 95 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Patrick McCaw · 2016
-1.02 four-season WAR · -2.82 LEBRON · 3340 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1074 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 961 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 397 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 908 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Bell · 2017
3.06 four-season WAR · 0.05 LEBRON · 1935 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 809 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 788 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 256 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 82 min · below 1,000 · rated
Khyri Thomas · 2018
0.43 four-season WAR · -0.73 LEBRON · 409 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 195 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 153 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Gafford · 2019
7.38 four-season WAR · 0.19 LEBRON · 4448 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 609 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 791 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1444 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1604 min · 1,000+ · rated
Saben Lee · 2020
1.96 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 1943 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 781 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 604 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 373 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 185 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ayo Dosunmu · 2021
2.41 four-season WAR · -1.96 LEBRON · 7814 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2110 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2098 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2212 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1394 min · 1,000+ · rated
Kennedy Chandler · 2022
0.43 four-season WAR · -1.37 LEBRON · 636 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 281 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 355 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 39: observed four-season examples
Juan Pablo Vaulet · 2015
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 3 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Neemias Queta · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
2.341
Actual LEBRON
0.314
NBA minutes
1345
50th-percentile target 1.37 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.97). Debut in year 1.
Landry Fields · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
8.571
Actual LEBRON
-0.093
NBA minutes
5794
90th-percentile target 8.41 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.16). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 39
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jonas Jerebko
2009
8.05
0.31
4592
Year 1
Year 1: 2232 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1468 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 892 min · below 1,000 · rated
Landry Fields
2010
8.57
-0.09
5794
Year 1
Year 1: 2541 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1894 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1037 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 322 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Tyler
2011
-0.05
-2.32
1034
Year 1
Year 1: 568 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 68 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 398 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Khris Middleton
2012
16.64
0.74
8165
Year 1
Year 1: 475 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2460 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2378 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2852 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Withey
2013
3.64
0.36
2033
Year 1
Year 1: 684 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 259 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 658 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 432 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jerami Grant
2014
3.91
-1.41
6621
Year 1
Year 1: 1377 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2066 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1531 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1647 min · 1,000+ · rated
Juan Pablo Vaulet
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Michineau
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jawun Evans
2017
0.39
-1.62
843
Year 1
Year 1: 778 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 65 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaac Bonga
2018
2.48
-0.36
1871
Year 1
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1250 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 432 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 69 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alen Smailagić
2019
0.20
-1.00
223
Year 1
Year 1: 139 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 84 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Elijah Hughes
2020
-0.14
-2.85
498
Year 1
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 434 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Neemias Queta
2021
2.34
0.31
1345
Year 1
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 29 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 333 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 863 min · below 1,000 · rated
Khalifa Diop
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jonas Jerebko · 2009
8.05 four-season WAR · 0.31 LEBRON · 4592 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2232 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1468 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 892 min · below 1,000 · rated
Landry Fields · 2010
8.57 four-season WAR · -0.09 LEBRON · 5794 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2541 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1894 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1037 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 322 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Tyler · 2011
-0.05 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 1034 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 568 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 68 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 398 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Khris Middleton · 2012
16.64 four-season WAR · 0.74 LEBRON · 8165 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 475 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2460 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2378 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2852 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jeff Withey · 2013
3.64 four-season WAR · 0.36 LEBRON · 2033 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 684 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 259 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 658 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 432 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jerami Grant · 2014
3.91 four-season WAR · -1.41 LEBRON · 6621 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1377 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2066 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1531 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1647 min · 1,000+ · rated
Juan Pablo Vaulet · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Michineau · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jawun Evans · 2017
0.39 four-season WAR · -1.62 LEBRON · 843 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 778 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 65 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaac Bonga · 2018
2.48 four-season WAR · -0.36 LEBRON · 1871 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1250 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 432 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 69 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alen Smailagić · 2019
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.00 LEBRON · 223 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 139 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Elijah Hughes · 2020
-0.14 four-season WAR · -2.85 LEBRON · 498 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 434 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Neemias Queta · 2021
2.34 four-season WAR · 0.31 LEBRON · 1345 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 120 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 29 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 333 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 863 min · below 1,000 · rated
Khalifa Diop · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 40: observed four-season examples
Diamond Stone · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.018
Actual LEBRON
-1.184
NBA minutes
24
25th-percentile target 0.02 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Justin James · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
0.328
Actual LEBRON
-1.454
NBA minutes
542
50th-percentile target 0.33 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Lance Stephenson · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
9.108
Actual LEBRON
0.122
NBA minutes
5587
90th-percentile target 7.83 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.28). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 40
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Derrick Brown
2009
-0.47
-2.52
2554
Year 1
Year 1: 535 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 576 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1443 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lance Stephenson
2010
9.11
0.12
5587
Year 1
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 442 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2278 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2752 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jon Leuer
2011
Unavailable
Unavailable
2208
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 555 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 642 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 824 min · below 1,000 · rated
Will Barton
2012
2.73
-1.40
4617
Year 1
Year 1: 894 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 387 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 983 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2353 min · 1,000+ · rated
Grant Jerrett
2013
0.06
-0.62
51
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 51 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Glenn Robinson III
2014
1.09
-1.67
2534
Year 1
Year 1: 261 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1427 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 338 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Richardson
2015
11.58
-0.11
7949
Year 1
Year 1: 1107 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1614 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2689 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2539 min · 1,000+ · rated
Diamond Stone
2016
0.02
-1.18
24
Year 1
Year 1: 24 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwayne Bacon
2017
-1.66
-3.05
4012
Year 1
Year 1: 713 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 687 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1853 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rodions Kurucs
2018
1.46
-1.30
2103
Year 1
Year 1: 1294 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 684 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 125 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin James
2019
0.33
-1.45
542
Year 1
Year 1: 232 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 310 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robert Woodard II
2020
0.11
-0.41
87
Year 1
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 42 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jared Butler
2021
2.37
-0.60
2047
Year 1
Year 1: 360 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 77 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 566 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1044 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bryce McGowens
2022
-0.10
-2.52
2581
Year 1
Year 1: 787 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 882 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 880 min · below 1,000 · rated
Derrick Brown · 2009
-0.47 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2554 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 535 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 576 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lance Stephenson · 2010
9.11 four-season WAR · 0.12 LEBRON · 5587 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 442 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2278 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2752 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jon Leuer · 2011
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 2208 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 555 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 642 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 824 min · below 1,000 · rated
Will Barton · 2012
2.73 four-season WAR · -1.40 LEBRON · 4617 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 894 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 387 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 983 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2353 min · 1,000+ · rated
Grant Jerrett · 2013
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.62 LEBRON · 51 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 51 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Glenn Robinson III · 2014
1.09 four-season WAR · -1.67 LEBRON · 2534 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 261 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1427 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 338 min · below 1,000 · rated
Josh Richardson · 2015
11.58 four-season WAR · -0.11 LEBRON · 7949 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1107 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1614 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2689 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2539 min · 1,000+ · rated
Diamond Stone · 2016
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.18 LEBRON · 24 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 24 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwayne Bacon · 2017
-1.66 four-season WAR · -3.05 LEBRON · 4012 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 713 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 687 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1853 min · 1,000+ · rated
Rodions Kurucs · 2018
1.46 four-season WAR · -1.30 LEBRON · 2103 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1294 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 684 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 125 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin James · 2019
0.33 four-season WAR · -1.45 LEBRON · 542 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 232 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 310 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robert Woodard II · 2020
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 87 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 42 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jared Butler · 2021
2.37 four-season WAR · -0.60 LEBRON · 2047 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 360 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 77 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 566 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1044 min · 1,000+ · rated
Bryce McGowens · 2022
-0.10 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 2581 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 787 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 882 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 880 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 41: observed four-season examples
At this slot, the near-median example is Jarvis Varnado (0.43 four-season WAR); the upper-tail example is Tre Jones (8.39 four-season WAR). Jokić's 26.1 four-season WAR is the highest observed result, not the 90th-percentile target.
Stephen Zimmerman · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.111
Actual LEBRON
-0.767
NBA minutes
108
25th-percentile target 0.12 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 1.
Jarvis Varnado · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.431
Actual LEBRON
-0.646
NBA minutes
397
50th-percentile target 0.47 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.04). Debut in year 3 (delayed).
Tre Jones · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
8.392
Actual LEBRON
-0.040
NBA minutes
5539
90th-percentile target 8.24 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.15). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 41
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jodie Meeks
2009
7.89
-0.36
6088
Year 1
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2062 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1644 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1663 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarvis Varnado
2010
0.43
-0.65
397
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 58 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 339 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darius Morris
2011
0.09
-2.20
1464
Year 1
Year 1: 169 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 683 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 313 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 299 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyshawn Taylor
2012
-0.10
-2.58
491
Year 1
Year 1: 221 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 270 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jamaal Franklin
2013
0.07
-1.65
174
Year 1
Year 1: 161 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 13 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Jokić
2014
26.09
4.06
6214
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1733 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2038 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pat Connaughton
2015
2.78
-0.99
3208
Year 1
Year 1: 143 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 316 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1488 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1261 min · 1,000+ · rated
Stephen Zimmerman
2016
0.11
-0.77
108
Year 1
Year 1: 108 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Dorsey
2017
0.50
-1.87
1672
Year 1
Year 1: 974 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 698 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarred Vanderbilt
2018
5.93
0.54
3134
Year 1
Year 1: 69 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 46 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1139 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1880 min · 1,000+ · rated
Eric Paschall
2019
0.74
-2.01
3086
Year 1
Year 1: 1654 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 695 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 737 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tre Jones
2020
8.39
-0.04
5539
Year 1
Year 1: 269 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1148 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1984 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joe Wieskamp
2021
0.16
-1.42
255
Year 1
Year 1: 205 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
E.J. Liddell
2022
0.30
-1.31
425
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 23 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 53 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 349 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jodie Meeks · 2009
7.89 four-season WAR · -0.36 LEBRON · 6088 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 719 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2062 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1644 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1663 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jarvis Varnado · 2010
0.43 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 397 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 58 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 339 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darius Morris · 2011
0.09 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 1464 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 169 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 683 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 313 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 299 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyshawn Taylor · 2012
-0.10 four-season WAR · -2.58 LEBRON · 491 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 221 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 270 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jamaal Franklin · 2013
0.07 four-season WAR · -1.65 LEBRON · 174 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 161 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 13 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Jokić · 2014
26.09 four-season WAR · 4.06 LEBRON · 6214 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1733 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2038 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2443 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pat Connaughton · 2015
2.78 four-season WAR · -0.99 LEBRON · 3208 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 143 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 316 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1488 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1261 min · 1,000+ · rated
Stephen Zimmerman · 2016
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 108 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 108 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Dorsey · 2017
0.50 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 1672 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 974 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 698 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jarred Vanderbilt · 2018
5.93 four-season WAR · 0.54 LEBRON · 3134 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 69 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 46 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1139 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1880 min · 1,000+ · rated
Eric Paschall · 2019
0.74 four-season WAR · -2.01 LEBRON · 3086 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1654 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 695 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 737 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tre Jones · 2020
8.39 four-season WAR · -0.04 LEBRON · 5539 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 269 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1148 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1984 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2138 min · 1,000+ · rated
Joe Wieskamp · 2021
0.16 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 255 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 205 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
E.J. Liddell · 2022
0.30 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 425 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 23 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 53 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 349 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 42: observed four-season examples
Nick Johnson · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
-0.118
Actual LEBRON
-2.929
NBA minutes
262
25th-percentile target -0.09 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.03). Debut in year 1.
Da'Sean Butler · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
50th-percentile target 0.01 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). 3 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Thomas Bryant · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
5.077
Actual LEBRON
0.239
NBA minutes
2986
90th-percentile target 4.08 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.00). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 42
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Patrick Beverley
2009
1.75
1.32
713
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 713 min · below 1,000 · rated
Da'Sean Butler
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dāvis Bertāns
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Doron Lamb
2012
-0.13
-2.42
1272
Year 1
Year 1: 577 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 695 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pierre Jackson
2013
0.16
0.57
84
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nick Johnson
2014
-0.12
-2.93
262
Year 1
Year 1: 262 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Olivier Hanlan
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Whitehead
2016
-0.28
-2.56
1823
Year 1
Year 1: 1643 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 180 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thomas Bryant
2017
5.08
0.24
2986
Year 1
Year 1: 72 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1496 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1147 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 271 min · below 1,000 · rated
Bruce Brown
2018
7.27
-0.58
6308
Year 1
Year 1: 1449 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1634 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1451 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1774 min · 1,000+ · rated
Admiral Schofield
2019
0.02
-2.39
1288
Year 1
Year 1: 368 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 469 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 451 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nick Richards
2020
1.23
-1.87
3406
Year 1
Year 1: 63 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 367 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1217 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1759 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Livers
2021
-0.37
-2.75
2051
Year 1
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1199 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 469 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Trevor Keels
2022
0.02
-0.78
23
Year 1
Year 1: 8 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
Patrick Beverley · 2009
1.75 four-season WAR · 1.32 LEBRON · 713 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 713 min · below 1,000 · rated
Da'Sean Butler · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dāvis Bertāns · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Doron Lamb · 2012
-0.13 four-season WAR · -2.42 LEBRON · 1272 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 577 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 695 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pierre Jackson · 2013
0.16 four-season WAR · 0.57 LEBRON · 84 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nick Johnson · 2014
-0.12 four-season WAR · -2.93 LEBRON · 262 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 262 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Olivier Hanlan · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Whitehead · 2016
-0.28 four-season WAR · -2.56 LEBRON · 1823 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1643 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 180 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thomas Bryant · 2017
5.08 four-season WAR · 0.24 LEBRON · 2986 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 72 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1496 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1147 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 271 min · below 1,000 · rated
Bruce Brown · 2018
7.27 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 6308 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1449 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1634 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1451 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1774 min · 1,000+ · rated
Admiral Schofield · 2019
0.02 four-season WAR · -2.39 LEBRON · 1288 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 368 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 469 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 451 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nick Richards · 2020
1.23 four-season WAR · -1.87 LEBRON · 3406 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 63 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 367 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1217 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1759 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Livers · 2021
-0.37 four-season WAR · -2.75 LEBRON · 2051 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1199 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 469 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Trevor Keels · 2022
0.02 four-season WAR · -0.78 LEBRON · 23 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 8 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 43: observed four-season examples
Zhou Qi · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.033
Actual LEBRON
-1.931
NBA minutes
125
25th-percentile target 0.04 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Devin Ebanks · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.180
Actual LEBRON
-1.884
NBA minutes
711
50th-percentile target 0.24 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.06). Debut in year 1.
Marcus Thornton · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
6.470
Actual LEBRON
-0.934
NBA minutes
7153
90th-percentile target 5.62 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.85). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 43
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Marcus Thornton
2009
6.47
-0.93
7153
Year 1
Year 1: 1872 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1775 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1780 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1726 min · 1,000+ · rated
Devin Ebanks
2010
0.18
-1.88
711
Year 1
Year 1: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 396 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 197 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Malcolm Lee
2011
0.46
-0.97
534
Year 1
Year 1: 243 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 289 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mike Scott
2012
3.64
-0.97
4127
Year 1
Year 1: 376 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1482 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1123 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1146 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ricky Ledo
2013
-0.01
-2.28
277
Year 1
Year 1: 33 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 244 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Edy Tavares
2014
0.08
-1.16
101
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 73 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joe Young
2015
-0.23
-2.64
1077
Year 1
Year 1: 384 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 135 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 558 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Zhou Qi
2016
0.03
-1.93
125
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Hartenstein
2017
1.75
0.18
1046
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 221 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 266 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 559 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Jackson
2018
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylen Nowell
2019
2.90
-0.98
3137
Year 1
Year 1: 151 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 975 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1252 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jahmi'us Ramsey
2020
0.29
-1.09
349
Year 1
Year 1: 94 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 134 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 121 min · below 1,000 · rated
Greg Brown III
2021
0.11
-2.16
773
Year 1
Year 1: 640 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Moussa Diabaté
2022
7.90
1.24
3399
Year 1
Year 1: 195 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 64 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1241 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1899 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Thornton · 2009
6.47 four-season WAR · -0.93 LEBRON · 7153 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1872 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1775 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1780 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1726 min · 1,000+ · rated
Devin Ebanks · 2010
0.18 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 711 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 396 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 197 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Malcolm Lee · 2011
0.46 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 534 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 243 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 289 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mike Scott · 2012
3.64 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 4127 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 376 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1482 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1123 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1146 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ricky Ledo · 2013
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 277 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 33 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 244 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Edy Tavares · 2014
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 101 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 73 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joe Young · 2015
-0.23 four-season WAR · -2.64 LEBRON · 1077 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 384 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 135 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 558 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Zhou Qi · 2016
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.93 LEBRON · 125 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 124 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Hartenstein · 2017
1.75 four-season WAR · 0.18 LEBRON · 1046 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 221 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 266 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 559 min · below 1,000 · rated
Justin Jackson · 2018
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylen Nowell · 2019
2.90 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 3137 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 151 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 759 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 975 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1252 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jahmi'us Ramsey · 2020
0.29 four-season WAR · -1.09 LEBRON · 349 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 94 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 134 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 121 min · below 1,000 · rated
Greg Brown III · 2021
0.11 four-season WAR · -2.16 LEBRON · 773 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 640 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Moussa Diabaté · 2022
7.90 four-season WAR · 1.24 LEBRON · 3399 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 195 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 64 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1241 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1899 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 44: observed four-season examples
Marko Simonovic · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
0.074
Actual LEBRON
-0.301
NBA minutes
55
25th-percentile target 0.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Kessler Edwards · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
1.114
Actual LEBRON
-1.639
NBA minutes
2255
50th-percentile target 1.11 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Ryan Rollins · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
3.515
Actual LEBRON
-0.774
NBA minutes
3336
90th-percentile target 3.42 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.10). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 44
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Chase Budinger
2009
7.28
-0.13
5032
Year 1
Year 1: 1488 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1738 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1298 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 508 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jerome Jordan
2010
0.12
-0.58
108
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 108 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Charles Jenkins
2011
Unavailable
Unavailable
1334
Impact unresolved; Year 1
Year 1: 893 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 441 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kim English
2012
0.27
-1.29
407
Year 1
Year 1: 407 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mike Muscala
2013
3.03
-0.49
2519
Year 1
Year 1: 215 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 502 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 565 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1237 min · 1,000+ · rated
Markel Brown
2014
1.28
-1.22
1794
Year 1
Year 1: 781 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 982 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 31 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andrew Harrison
2015
2.95
-0.83
2987
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1474 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1326 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaïa Cordinier
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Damyean Dotson
2017
-1.47
-2.92
4221
Year 1
Year 1: 474 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 2004 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 836 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 907 min · below 1,000 · rated
Issuf Sanon
2018
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bol Bol
2019
1.65
-1.02
1833
Year 1
Year 1: 87 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 160 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 81 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1505 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marko Simonovic
2020
0.07
-0.30
55
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 35 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 20 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kessler Edwards
2021
1.11
-1.64
2255
Year 1
Year 1: 987 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 385 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 275 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 608 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ryan Rollins
2022
3.52
-0.77
3336
Year 1
Year 1: 62 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 78 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 820 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 2376 min · 1,000+ · rated
Chase Budinger · 2009
7.28 four-season WAR · -0.13 LEBRON · 5032 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1488 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1738 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1298 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 508 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jerome Jordan · 2010
0.12 four-season WAR · -0.58 LEBRON · 108 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 108 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Charles Jenkins · 2011
Unavailable four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 1334 minutes. Impact unresolved. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 893 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 441 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kim English · 2012
0.27 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 407 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 407 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Mike Muscala · 2013
3.03 four-season WAR · -0.49 LEBRON · 2519 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 215 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 502 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 565 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1237 min · 1,000+ · rated
Markel Brown · 2014
1.28 four-season WAR · -1.22 LEBRON · 1794 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 781 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 982 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 31 min · below 1,000 · rated
Andrew Harrison · 2015
2.95 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 2987 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1474 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1326 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Isaïa Cordinier · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Damyean Dotson · 2017
-1.47 four-season WAR · -2.92 LEBRON · 4221 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 474 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 2004 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 836 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 907 min · below 1,000 · rated
Issuf Sanon · 2018
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bol Bol · 2019
1.65 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 1833 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 87 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 160 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 81 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1505 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marko Simonovic · 2020
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.30 LEBRON · 55 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 35 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 20 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kessler Edwards · 2021
1.11 four-season WAR · -1.64 LEBRON · 2255 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 987 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 385 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 275 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 608 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ryan Rollins · 2022
3.52 four-season WAR · -0.77 LEBRON · 3336 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 62 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 78 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 820 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 2376 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 45: observed four-season examples
Nick Calathes · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 5 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Hamidou Diallo · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
0.706
Actual LEBRON
-2.114
NBA minutes
3917
50th-percentile target 0.65 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.05). Debut in year 1.
Dillon Brooks · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
3.143
Actual LEBRON
-1.607
NBA minutes
6789
90th-percentile target 2.66 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.49). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 45
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Nick Calathes
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paulão Prestes
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Harrellson
2011
1.47
0.16
888
Year 1
Year 1: 540 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 31 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 317 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Hamilton
2012
0.76
-0.85
784
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 712 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marko Todorović
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwight Powell
2014
8.41
0.67
4233
Year 1
Year 1: 236 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 992 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1333 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1672 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Thornton
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Demetrius Jackson
2016
0.10
-1.20
136
Year 1
Year 1: 17 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dillon Brooks
2017
3.14
-1.61
6789
Year 1
Year 1: 2350 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 330 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 2112 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1997 min · 1,000+ · rated
Hamidou Diallo
2018
0.71
-2.11
3917
Year 1
Year 1: 526 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 896 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1226 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1269 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Roby
2019
1.23
-1.74
2858
Year 1
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1425 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 948 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 474 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Nwora
2020
0.60
-2.15
3359
Year 1
Year 1: 274 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1185 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1188 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 712 min · below 1,000 · rated
Juhann Begarin
2021
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Minott
2022
1.52
-0.59
1297
Year 1
Year 1: 96 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 91 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 276 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 834 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nick Calathes · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paulão Prestes · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Harrellson · 2011
1.47 four-season WAR · 0.16 LEBRON · 888 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 540 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 31 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 317 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Hamilton · 2012
0.76 four-season WAR · -0.85 LEBRON · 784 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 712 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marko Todorović · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwight Powell · 2014
8.41 four-season WAR · 0.67 LEBRON · 4233 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 236 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 992 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1333 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1672 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Thornton · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Demetrius Jackson · 2016
0.10 four-season WAR · -1.20 LEBRON · 136 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 17 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dillon Brooks · 2017
3.14 four-season WAR · -1.61 LEBRON · 6789 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2350 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 330 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 2112 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1997 min · 1,000+ · rated
Hamidou Diallo · 2018
0.71 four-season WAR · -2.11 LEBRON · 3917 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 526 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 896 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1226 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1269 min · 1,000+ · rated
Isaiah Roby · 2019
1.23 four-season WAR · -1.74 LEBRON · 2858 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1425 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 948 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 474 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jordan Nwora · 2020
0.60 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 3359 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 274 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1185 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1188 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 712 min · below 1,000 · rated
Juhann Begarin · 2021
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Minott · 2022
1.52 four-season WAR · -0.59 LEBRON · 1297 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 96 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 91 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 276 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 834 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 46: observed four-season examples
Gani Lawal · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
-0.430
NBA minutes
2
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 2 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. Debut in year 1.
Darius Miller · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.964
Actual LEBRON
-1.291
NBA minutes
1460
50th-percentile target 1.17 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.21). Debut in year 1.
De'Anthony Melton · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
9.030
Actual LEBRON
0.500
NBA minutes
4853
90th-percentile target 7.53 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 1.50). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 46
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Danny Green
2009
9.62
1.31
3930
Year 1
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 92 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1522 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 2201 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gani Lawal
2010
0.00
-0.43
2
Year 1
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andrew Goudelock
2011
-0.45
-3.84
425
Year 1
Year 1: 419 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Darius Miller
2012
0.96
-1.29
1460
Year 1
Year 1: 694 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 723 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 43 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Erick Green
2013
0.00
-2.28
452
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 410 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 42 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Clarkson
2014
3.19
-1.75
8313
Year 1
Year 1: 1476 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2552 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2397 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1888 min · 1,000+ · rated
Norman Powell
2015
2.86
-1.32
4281
Year 1
Year 1: 725 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1368 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1062 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1126 min · 1,000+ · rated
A.J. Hammons
2016
0.12
-1.25
163
Year 1
Year 1: 163 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sterling Brown
2017
1.39
-1.80
3806
Year 1
Year 1: 776 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1034 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 767 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1229 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Anthony Melton
2018
9.03
0.50
4853
Year 1
Year 1: 984 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1167 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1045 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1657 min · 1,000+ · rated
Talen Horton-Tucker
2019
4.05
-0.91
4209
Year 1
Year 1: 81 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1304 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1511 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1313 min · 1,000+ · rated
CJ Elleby
2020
-0.08
-2.49
1366
Year 1
Year 1: 192 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dalano Banton
2021
2.35
-1.25
3142
Year 1
Year 1: 696 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 279 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1047 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ismael Kamagate
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Danny Green · 2009
9.62 four-season WAR · 1.31 LEBRON · 3930 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 92 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1522 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 2201 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gani Lawal · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · -0.43 LEBRON · 2 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Andrew Goudelock · 2011
-0.45 four-season WAR · -3.84 LEBRON · 425 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 419 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Darius Miller · 2012
0.96 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 1460 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 694 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 723 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 43 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Erick Green · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · -2.28 LEBRON · 452 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 410 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 42 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Clarkson · 2014
3.19 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 8313 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1476 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2552 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2397 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1888 min · 1,000+ · rated
Norman Powell · 2015
2.86 four-season WAR · -1.32 LEBRON · 4281 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 725 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1368 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1062 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1126 min · 1,000+ · rated
A.J. Hammons · 2016
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 163 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 163 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sterling Brown · 2017
1.39 four-season WAR · -1.80 LEBRON · 3806 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 776 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1034 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 767 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1229 min · 1,000+ · rated
De'Anthony Melton · 2018
9.03 four-season WAR · 0.50 LEBRON · 4853 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 984 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1167 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1045 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1657 min · 1,000+ · rated
Talen Horton-Tucker · 2019
4.05 four-season WAR · -0.91 LEBRON · 4209 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 81 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1304 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1511 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1313 min · 1,000+ · rated
CJ Elleby · 2020
-0.08 four-season WAR · -2.49 LEBRON · 1366 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 192 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1174 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dalano Banton · 2021
2.35 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 3142 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 696 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 279 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1047 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1120 min · 1,000+ · rated
Ismael Kamagate · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 47: observed four-season examples
Henk Norel · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 4 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Travis Leslie · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
0.030
Actual LEBRON
-1.330
NBA minutes
45
50th-percentile target 0.03 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 2 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. Debut in year 1.
Svi Mykhailiuk · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
2.493
Actual LEBRON
-1.364
NBA minutes
3745
90th-percentile target 2.22 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.27). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 47
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Henk Norel
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tiny Gallon
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Travis Leslie
2011
0.03
-1.33
45
Year 1
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Murphy
2012
0.03
-1.35
52
Year 1
Year 1: 52 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Raul Neto
2013
1.58
-1.01
1845
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1499 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 346 min · below 1,000 · rated
Russ Smith
2014
0.14
-0.67
131
Year 1
Year 1: 65 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 66 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Artūras Gudaitis
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jake Layman
2016
1.45
-1.38
2241
Year 1
Year 1: 249 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 160 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1327 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 505 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ike Anigbogu
2017
0.03
-0.98
36
Year 1
Year 1: 30 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Svi Mykhailiuk
2018
2.49
-1.36
3745
Year 1
Year 1: 440 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1265 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1324 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 716 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ignas Brazdeikis
2019
0.47
-1.53
838
Year 1
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 249 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 536 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Yam Madar
2020
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Johnson
2021
0.00
-0.87
2
Year 1
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vince Williams Jr.
2022
2.76
-0.92
2860
Year 1
Year 1: 105 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 820 min · below 1,000 · rated
Henk Norel · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tiny Gallon · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Travis Leslie · 2011
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 45 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Murphy · 2012
0.03 four-season WAR · -1.35 LEBRON · 52 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 52 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Raul Neto · 2013
1.58 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 1845 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1499 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 346 min · below 1,000 · rated
Russ Smith · 2014
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.67 LEBRON · 131 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 65 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 66 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Artūras Gudaitis · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jake Layman · 2016
1.45 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 2241 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 249 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 160 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1327 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 505 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ike Anigbogu · 2017
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 36 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 30 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Svi Mykhailiuk · 2018
2.49 four-season WAR · -1.36 LEBRON · 3745 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 440 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1265 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1324 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 716 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ignas Brazdeikis · 2019
0.47 four-season WAR · -1.53 LEBRON · 838 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 249 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 536 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Yam Madar · 2020
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
David Johnson · 2021
0.00 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 2 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vince Williams Jr. · 2022
2.76 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 2860 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 105 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1436 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 499 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 820 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 48: observed four-season examples
Taylor Griffin · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.020
Actual LEBRON
-1.290
NBA minutes
32
25th-percentile target 0.02 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Lamar Patterson · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
0.091
Actual LEBRON
-1.972
NBA minutes
435
50th-percentile target 0.11 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.02). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Ryan Kelly · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
3.352
Actual LEBRON
-0.677
NBA minutes
3125
90th-percentile target 2.73 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.62). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 48
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Taylor Griffin
2009
0.02
-1.29
32
Year 1
Year 1: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Latavious Williams
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Keith Benson
2011
0.01
-0.57
9
Year 1
Year 1: 9 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kostas Papanikolaou
2012
0.17
-2.03
1089
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 795 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 294 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ryan Kelly
2013
3.35
-0.68
3125
Year 1
Year 1: 1312 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 470 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 110 min · below 1,000 · rated
Lamar Patterson
2014
0.09
-1.97
435
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 395 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dakari Johnson
2015
0.15
-0.92
161
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 161 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paul Zipser
2016
-0.20
-2.51
1667
Year 1
Year 1: 843 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 824 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sindarius Thornwell
2017
1.28
-1.21
1721
Year 1
Year 1: 1156 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 313 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 35 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 217 min · below 1,000 · rated
Keita Bates-Diop
2018
1.00
-1.75
2449
Year 1
Year 1: 503 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 744 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 245 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 957 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terance Mann
2019
6.88
-0.56
5814
Year 1
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1263 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2317 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1872 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nico Mannion
2020
0.13
-1.84
364
Year 1
Year 1: 364 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sharife Cooper
2021
0.04
-0.89
39
Year 1
Year 1: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kendall Brown
2022
0.08
-1.14
103
Year 1
Year 1: 40 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 63 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Taylor Griffin · 2009
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.29 LEBRON · 32 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Latavious Williams · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Keith Benson · 2011
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.57 LEBRON · 9 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 9 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kostas Papanikolaou · 2012
0.17 four-season WAR · -2.03 LEBRON · 1089 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 795 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 294 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ryan Kelly · 2013
3.35 four-season WAR · -0.68 LEBRON · 3125 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1312 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1233 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 470 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 110 min · below 1,000 · rated
Lamar Patterson · 2014
0.09 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 435 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 395 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 40 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dakari Johnson · 2015
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.92 LEBRON · 161 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 161 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paul Zipser · 2016
-0.20 four-season WAR · -2.51 LEBRON · 1667 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 843 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 824 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sindarius Thornwell · 2017
1.28 four-season WAR · -1.21 LEBRON · 1721 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1156 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 313 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 35 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 217 min · below 1,000 · rated
Keita Bates-Diop · 2018
1.00 four-season WAR · -1.75 LEBRON · 2449 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 503 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 744 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 245 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 957 min · below 1,000 · rated
Terance Mann · 2019
6.88 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 5814 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 362 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1263 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2317 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1872 min · 1,000+ · rated
Nico Mannion · 2020
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.84 LEBRON · 364 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 364 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sharife Cooper · 2021
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.89 LEBRON · 39 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kendall Brown · 2022
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.14 LEBRON · 103 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 40 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 63 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 49: observed four-season examples
Sergiy Gladyr · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 4 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Michael Gbinije · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.050
Actual LEBRON
0.050
NBA minutes
32
50th-percentile target 0.05 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Kyle O'Quinn · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
4.280
Actual LEBRON
-0.420
NBA minutes
3414
90th-percentile target 3.66 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.62). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 49
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Sergiy Gladyr
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ryan Richards
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Selby
2011
-0.08
-2.62
296
Year 1
Year 1: 237 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 59 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle O'Quinn
2012
4.28
-0.42
3414
Year 1
Year 1: 638 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1188 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 824 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 764 min · below 1,000 · rated
Erik Murphy
2013
0.04
-1.25
62
Year 1
Year 1: 62 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cameron Bairstow
2014
0.14
-0.98
167
Year 1
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 103 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Aaron White
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Michael Gbinije
2016
0.05
0.05
32
Year 1
Year 1: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vlatko Čančar
2017
-0.02
-2.52
326
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 45 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 281 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chimezie Metu
2018
2.20
-0.71
2017
Year 1
Year 1: 145 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 105 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 488 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1279 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quinndary Weatherspoon
2019
0.21
-1.17
272
Year 1
Year 1: 78 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 121 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 73 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Joe
2020
4.86
-0.41
3832
Year 1
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 609 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1395 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1445 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Zegarowski
2021
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Mobley
2022
0.18
-0.75
173
Year 1
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 17 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sergiy Gladyr · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ryan Richards · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Josh Selby · 2011
-0.08 four-season WAR · -2.62 LEBRON · 296 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 237 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 59 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kyle O'Quinn · 2012
4.28 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 3414 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 638 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1188 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 824 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 764 min · below 1,000 · rated
Erik Murphy · 2013
0.04 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 62 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 62 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cameron Bairstow · 2014
0.14 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 167 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 103 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Aaron White · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Michael Gbinije · 2016
0.05 four-season WAR · 0.05 LEBRON · 32 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vlatko Čančar · 2017
-0.02 four-season WAR · -2.52 LEBRON · 326 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 45 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 281 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chimezie Metu · 2018
2.20 four-season WAR · -0.71 LEBRON · 2017 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 145 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 105 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 488 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1279 min · 1,000+ · rated
Quinndary Weatherspoon · 2019
0.21 four-season WAR · -1.17 LEBRON · 272 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 78 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 121 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 73 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Joe · 2020
4.86 four-season WAR · -0.41 LEBRON · 3832 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 383 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 609 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1395 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1445 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marcus Zegarowski · 2021
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Mobley · 2022
0.18 four-season WAR · -0.75 LEBRON · 173 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 72 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 17 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 50: observed four-season examples
Goran Suton · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 6 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Filip Petrušev · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
0.012
Actual LEBRON
-0.447
NBA minutes
10
50th-percentile target 0.11 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.09). Debut in year 3 (delayed).
James Ennis III · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
2.012
Actual LEBRON
-1.249
NBA minutes
2881
90th-percentile target 1.81 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.20). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
All 14 actual selections at pick 50
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Goran Suton
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Solomon Alabi
2010
0.20
-0.65
181
Year 1
Year 1: 59 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 122 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lavoy Allen
2011
3.72
-1.02
4435
Year 1
Year 1: 624 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1669 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1072 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1070 min · 1,000+ · rated
İzzet Türkyılmaz
2012
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
James Ennis III
2013
2.01
-1.25
2881
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 1051 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 329 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1501 min · 1,000+ · rated
Alec Brown
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Eriksson
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Georges Niang
2016
1.33
-1.06
1564
Year 1
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 516 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 923 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mathias Lessort
2017
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alize Johnson
2018
0.64
-0.53
538
Year 1
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 118 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 189 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 167 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jarrell Brantley
2019
0.25
-0.95
273
Year 1
Year 1: 96 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 138 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Skylar Mays
2020
1.25
-0.63
1111
Year 1
Year 1: 269 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 220 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 189 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 433 min · below 1,000 · rated
Filip Petrušev
2021
0.01
-0.45
10
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 10 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Matteo Spagnolo
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Goran Suton · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Solomon Alabi · 2010
0.20 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 181 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 59 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 122 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lavoy Allen · 2011
3.72 four-season WAR · -1.02 LEBRON · 4435 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 624 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1669 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1072 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1070 min · 1,000+ · rated
İzzet Türkyılmaz · 2012
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
James Ennis III · 2013
2.01 four-season WAR · -1.25 LEBRON · 2881 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 1051 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 329 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1501 min · 1,000+ · rated
Alec Brown · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Eriksson · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Georges Niang · 2016
1.33 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 1564 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 32 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 516 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 923 min · below 1,000 · rated
Mathias Lessort · 2017
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alize Johnson · 2018
0.64 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 538 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 64 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 118 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 189 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 167 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jarrell Brantley · 2019
0.25 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 273 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 96 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 138 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Skylar Mays · 2020
1.25 four-season WAR · -0.63 LEBRON · 1111 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 269 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 220 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 189 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 433 min · below 1,000 · rated
Filip Petrušev · 2021
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.45 LEBRON · 10 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Matteo Spagnolo · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 51: observed four-season examples
Jack McClinton · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00); 50th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 7 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Tyrese Martin · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
1.445
Actual LEBRON
-1.382
NBA minutes
2158
90th-percentile target 1.27 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.18). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 51
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Jack McClinton
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Magnum Rolle
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jon Diebler
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kris Joseph
2012
0.05
-0.98
54
Year 1
Year 1: 54 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Romero Osby
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
2014
0.01
-0.33
6
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Harvey
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ben Bentil
2016
0.01
-0.53
10
Year 1
Year 1: 10 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Monte Morris
2017
7.02
-0.14
4827
Year 1
Year 1: 25 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1970 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1636 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1196 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tony Carr
2018
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tremont Waters
2019
0.28
-1.31
407
Year 1
Year 1: 119 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 238 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 50 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justinian Jessup
2020
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Brandon Boston Jr.
2021
0.86
-1.86
2346
Year 1
Year 1: 760 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 248 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 345 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 993 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyrese Martin
2022
1.44
-1.38
2158
Year 1
Year 1: 66 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 1315 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 777 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jack McClinton · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Magnum Rolle · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jon Diebler · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kris Joseph · 2012
0.05 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 54 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 54 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Romero Osby · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thanasis Antetokounmpo · 2014
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.33 LEBRON · 6 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyler Harvey · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ben Bentil · 2016
0.01 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 10 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Monte Morris · 2017
7.02 four-season WAR · -0.14 LEBRON · 4827 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 25 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1970 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1636 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1196 min · 1,000+ · rated
Tony Carr · 2018
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tremont Waters · 2019
0.28 four-season WAR · -1.31 LEBRON · 407 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 119 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 238 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justinian Jessup · 2020
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Brandon Boston Jr. · 2021
0.86 four-season WAR · -1.86 LEBRON · 2346 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 760 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 248 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 345 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 993 min · below 1,000 · rated
Tyrese Martin · 2022
1.44 four-season WAR · -1.38 LEBRON · 2158 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 66 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 1315 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 777 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 52: observed four-season examples
Vasilije Micić · 2014
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 2 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Luke Harangody · 2010
Actual four-season WAR
0.660
Actual LEBRON
-1.147
NBA minutes
871
50th-percentile target 0.42 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.23). Debut in year 1.
Jalen McDaniels · 2019
Actual four-season WAR
3.184
Actual LEBRON
-1.163
NBA minutes
4005
90th-percentile target 2.74 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.44). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 52
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
A.J. Price
2009
5.18
-0.09
3506
Year 1
Year 1: 865 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 795 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 568 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1278 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luke Harangody
2010
0.66
-1.15
871
Year 1
Year 1: 640 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 231 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vernon Macklin
2011
0.19
-0.22
135
Year 1
Year 1: 135 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ognjen Kuzmić
2012
-0.01
-2.32
164
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 92 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 72 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lorenzo Brown
2013
1.11
-0.29
834
Year 1
Year 1: 224 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 549 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 61 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vasilije Micić
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Satnam Singh
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joel Bolomboy
2016
0.10
-0.66
91
Year 1
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 38 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Edmond Sumner
2017
-0.13
-2.53
1520
Year 1
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 210 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 447 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 861 min · below 1,000 · rated
Vince Edwards
2018
0.01
-1.06
16
Year 1
Year 1: 16 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen McDaniels
2019
3.18
-1.16
4005
Year 1
Year 1: 293 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 904 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 895 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1913 min · 1,000+ · rated
KJ Martin
2020
1.70
-1.97
5762
Year 1
Year 1: 1068 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1656 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2292 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 746 min · below 1,000 · rated
Luka Garza
2021
0.89
-0.98
973
Year 1
Year 1: 389 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 243 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 122 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 219 min · below 1,000 · rated
Karlo Matković
2022
1.49
-1.05
1703
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 791 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 912 min · below 1,000 · rated
A.J. Price · 2009
5.18 four-season WAR · -0.09 LEBRON · 3506 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 865 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 795 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 568 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1278 min · 1,000+ · rated
Luke Harangody · 2010
0.66 four-season WAR · -1.15 LEBRON · 871 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 640 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 231 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vernon Macklin · 2011
0.19 four-season WAR · -0.22 LEBRON · 135 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 135 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ognjen Kuzmić · 2012
-0.01 four-season WAR · -2.32 LEBRON · 164 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 92 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 72 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lorenzo Brown · 2013
1.11 four-season WAR · -0.29 LEBRON · 834 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 224 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 549 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 61 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vasilije Micić · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Satnam Singh · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joel Bolomboy · 2016
0.10 four-season WAR · -0.66 LEBRON · 91 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 38 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Edmond Sumner · 2017
-0.13 four-season WAR · -2.53 LEBRON · 1520 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 2 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 210 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 447 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 861 min · below 1,000 · rated
Vince Edwards · 2018
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.06 LEBRON · 16 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 16 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen McDaniels · 2019
3.18 four-season WAR · -1.16 LEBRON · 4005 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 293 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 904 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 895 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1913 min · 1,000+ · rated
KJ Martin · 2020
1.70 four-season WAR · -1.97 LEBRON · 5762 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1068 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1656 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2292 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 746 min · below 1,000 · rated
Luka Garza · 2021
0.89 four-season WAR · -0.98 LEBRON · 973 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 389 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 243 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 122 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 219 min · below 1,000 · rated
Karlo Matković · 2022
1.49 four-season WAR · -1.05 LEBRON · 1703 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 791 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 912 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 53: observed four-season examples
Colton Iverson · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 4 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Nando De Colo · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.080
Actual LEBRON
-2.130
NBA minutes
920
50th-percentile target 0.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.01). Debut in year 4 (delayed).
Kadeem Allen · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.774
Actual LEBRON
-0.504
NBA minutes
640
90th-percentile target 0.69 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.09). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 53
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Nando De Colo
2009
0.08
-2.13
920
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 920 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pape Sy
2010
0.02
-0.56
21
Year 1
Year 1: 21 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
DeAndre Liggins
2011
0.01
-2.21
406
Year 1
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 290 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Furkan Aldemir
2012
0.48
-0.95
540
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 540 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Colton Iverson
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alessandro Gentile
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sir'Dominic Pointer
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Petr Cornelie
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kadeem Allen
2017
0.77
-0.50
640
Year 1
Year 1: 107 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 117 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Devon Hall
2018
0.09
-0.64
81
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 81 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Wright-Foreman
2019
0.06
-0.40
45
Year 1
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cassius Winston
2020
0.15
-0.71
137
Year 1
Year 1: 98 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Charles Bassey
2021
1.94
0.02
1257
Year 1
Year 1: 168 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 205 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 376 min · below 1,000 · rated
JD Davison
2022
0.25
-1.49
416
Year 1
Year 1: 66 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 218 min · below 1,000 · rated
Nando De Colo · 2009
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.13 LEBRON · 920 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 920 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pape Sy · 2010
0.02 four-season WAR · -0.56 LEBRON · 21 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 21 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
DeAndre Liggins · 2011
0.01 four-season WAR · -2.21 LEBRON · 406 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 290 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Furkan Aldemir · 2012
0.48 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 540 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 540 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Colton Iverson · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alessandro Gentile · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sir'Dominic Pointer · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Petr Cornelie · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kadeem Allen · 2017
0.77 four-season WAR · -0.50 LEBRON · 640 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 107 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 416 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 117 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Devon Hall · 2018
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 81 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 81 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Justin Wright-Foreman · 2019
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.40 LEBRON · 45 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 45 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cassius Winston · 2020
0.15 four-season WAR · -0.71 LEBRON · 137 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 98 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Charles Bassey · 2021
1.94 four-season WAR · 0.02 LEBRON · 1257 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 168 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 508 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 205 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 376 min · below 1,000 · rated
JD Davison · 2022
0.25 four-season WAR · -1.49 LEBRON · 416 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 66 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 218 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 54: observed four-season examples
Robert Vaden · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 6 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Tornike Shengelia · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.122
Actual LEBRON
-1.552
NBA minutes
247
50th-percentile target 0.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.05). Debut in year 1.
Shake Milton · 2018
Actual four-season WAR
3.309
Actual LEBRON
-1.008
NBA minutes
3713
90th-percentile target 2.40 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.91). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 54
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Robert Vaden
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Willie Warren
2010
0.21
0.01
134
Year 1
Year 1: 134 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Milan Mačvan
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tornike Shengelia
2012
0.12
-1.55
247
Year 1
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 154 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arsalan Kazemi
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nemanja Dangubić
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dani Díez
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kay Felder
2016
0.20
-1.73
526
Year 1
Year 1: 386 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 140 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alec Peters
2017
0.28
-0.42
225
Year 1
Year 1: 225 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Shake Milton
2018
3.31
-1.01
3713
Year 1
Year 1: 268 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 805 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1461 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1179 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marial Shayok
2019
0.02
-1.03
28
Year 1
Year 1: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cassius Stanley
2020
0.13
-1.56
248
Year 1
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 155 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sandro Mamukelashvili
2021
3.49
0.08
2199
Year 1
Year 1: 407 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 660 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 451 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 681 min · below 1,000 · rated
Yannick Nzosa
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robert Vaden · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Willie Warren · 2010
0.21 four-season WAR · 0.01 LEBRON · 134 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 134 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Milan Mačvan · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tornike Shengelia · 2012
0.12 four-season WAR · -1.55 LEBRON · 247 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 154 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arsalan Kazemi · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nemanja Dangubić · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dani Díez · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kay Felder · 2016
0.20 four-season WAR · -1.73 LEBRON · 526 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 386 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 140 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alec Peters · 2017
0.28 four-season WAR · -0.42 LEBRON · 225 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 225 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Shake Milton · 2018
3.31 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 3713 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 268 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 805 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1461 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1179 min · 1,000+ · rated
Marial Shayok · 2019
0.02 four-season WAR · -1.03 LEBRON · 28 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cassius Stanley · 2020
0.13 four-season WAR · -1.56 LEBRON · 248 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 93 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 155 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sandro Mamukelashvili · 2021
3.49 four-season WAR · 0.08 LEBRON · 2199 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 407 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 660 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 451 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 681 min · below 1,000 · rated
Yannick Nzosa · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 55: observed four-season examples
Marcus Paige · 2016
Actual four-season WAR
0.038
Actual LEBRON
-0.263
NBA minutes
28
25th-percentile target 0.04 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Joffrey Lauvergne · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
0.223
Actual LEBRON
-2.148
NBA minutes
2289
50th-percentile target 0.22 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
Gui Santos · 2022
Actual four-season WAR
3.576
Actual LEBRON
-0.030
NBA minutes
2349
90th-percentile target 3.36 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.22). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
All 14 actual selections at pick 55
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Patty Mills
2009
1.26
-1.19
1738
Year 1
Year 1: 38 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 783 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 261 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 656 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Evans
2010
2.85
-0.26
2104
Year 1
Year 1: 463 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 217 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 215 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
E'Twaun Moore
2011
0.49
-2.09
4023
Year 1
Year 1: 331 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1506 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 504 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darius Johnson-Odom
2012
0.04
-0.15
21
Year 1
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joffrey Lauvergne
2013
0.22
-2.15
2289
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 268 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 1041 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 980 min · below 1,000 · rated
Semaj Christon
2014
0.08
-2.20
973
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 973 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cady Lalanne
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Paige
2016
0.04
-0.26
28
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nigel Williams-Goss
2017
0.06
-0.45
50
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 50 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arnoldas Kulboka
2018
0.00
-1.13
5
Year 4 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 5 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kyle Guy
2019
0.29
-1.33
431
Year 1
Year 1: 10 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 186 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jay Scrubb
2020
0.22
-0.94
235
Year 1
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 121 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 30 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Aaron Wiggins
2021
5.53
-0.83
5478
Year 1
Year 1: 1209 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 1297 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1744 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gui Santos
2022
3.58
-0.03
2349
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 192 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 762 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1395 min · 1,000+ · rated
Patty Mills · 2009
1.26 four-season WAR · -1.19 LEBRON · 1738 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 38 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 783 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 261 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 656 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jeremy Evans · 2010
2.85 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 2104 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 463 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 217 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 215 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
E'Twaun Moore · 2011
0.49 four-season WAR · -2.09 LEBRON · 4023 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 331 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1682 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1506 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 504 min · below 1,000 · rated
Darius Johnson-Odom · 2012
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.15 LEBRON · 21 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 15 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Joffrey Lauvergne · 2013
0.22 four-season WAR · -2.15 LEBRON · 2289 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 268 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 1041 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 980 min · below 1,000 · rated
Semaj Christon · 2014
0.08 four-season WAR · -2.20 LEBRON · 973 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 973 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cady Lalanne · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Paige · 2016
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.26 LEBRON · 28 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nigel Williams-Goss · 2017
0.06 four-season WAR · -0.45 LEBRON · 50 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Arnoldas Kulboka · 2018
0.00 four-season WAR · -1.13 LEBRON · 5 minutes. Debut year 4 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 5 min · below 1,000 · rated
Kyle Guy · 2019
0.29 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 431 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 10 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 235 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 186 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jay Scrubb · 2020
0.22 four-season WAR · -0.94 LEBRON · 235 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 84 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 121 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 30 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Aaron Wiggins · 2021
5.53 four-season WAR · -0.83 LEBRON · 5478 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1209 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 1297 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1228 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1744 min · 1,000+ · rated
Gui Santos · 2022
3.58 four-season WAR · -0.03 LEBRON · 2349 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 192 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 762 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1395 min · 1,000+ · rated
Pick 56: observed four-season examples
Ahmad Nivins · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 4 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Jabari Bird · 2017
Actual four-season WAR
0.114
Actual LEBRON
-0.821
NBA minutes
115
50th-percentile target 0.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.04). Debut in year 1.
Peyton Siva · 2013
Actual four-season WAR
0.213
Actual LEBRON
-0.872
NBA minutes
224
90th-percentile target 0.20 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.01). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 56
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Ahmad Nivins
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Hamady N'Diaye
2010
0.17
-0.64
157
Year 1
Year 1: 80 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 3 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 74 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chukwudiebere Maduabum
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tomislav Zubčić
2012
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Peyton Siva
2013
0.21
-0.87
224
Year 1
Year 1: 224 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Devyn Marble
2014
0.45
-0.81
457
Year 1
Year 1: 208 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 249 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Branden Dawson
2015
0.01
-1.72
29
Year 1
Year 1: 29 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Hamilton
2016
0.17
-1.24
232
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 204 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jabari Bird
2017
0.11
-0.82
115
Year 1
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ray Spalding
2018
0.19
-0.65
167
Year 1
Year 1: 148 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 19 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylen Hands
2019
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Grant Riller
2020
0.03
-0.76
27
Year 1
Year 1: 27 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Scottie Lewis
2021
0.01
-1.01
7
Year 1
Year 1: 7 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Luke Travers
2022
0.18
-0.95
191
Year 3 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 88 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 103 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ahmad Nivins · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Hamady N'Diaye · 2010
0.17 four-season WAR · -0.64 LEBRON · 157 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 80 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 3 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 74 min · below 1,000 · rated
Chukwudiebere Maduabum · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tomislav Zubčić · 2012
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Peyton Siva · 2013
0.21 four-season WAR · -0.87 LEBRON · 224 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 224 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Devyn Marble · 2014
0.45 four-season WAR · -0.81 LEBRON · 457 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 208 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 249 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Branden Dawson · 2015
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.72 LEBRON · 29 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 29 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Daniel Hamilton · 2016
0.17 four-season WAR · -1.24 LEBRON · 232 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 204 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jabari Bird · 2017
0.11 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 115 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 115 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ray Spalding · 2018
0.19 four-season WAR · -0.65 LEBRON · 167 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 148 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 19 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaylen Hands · 2019
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Grant Riller · 2020
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.76 LEBRON · 27 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 27 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Scottie Lewis · 2021
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.01 LEBRON · 7 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 7 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Luke Travers · 2022
0.18 four-season WAR · -0.95 LEBRON · 191 minutes. Debut year 3 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 88 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 103 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 57: observed four-season examples
Emir Preldžić · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00); 50th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 9 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Reggie Perry · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
0.271
Actual LEBRON
-1.334
NBA minutes
398
90th-percentile target 0.21 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.06). Debut in year 1.
All 14 actual selections at pick 57
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Emir Preldžić
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ryan Reid
2010
0.01
-1.08
17
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 17 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tanguy Ngombo
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
İlkan Karaman
2012
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alex Oriakhi
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Louis Labeyrie
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Radičević
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Wang Zhelin
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sasha Vezenkov
2017
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Hervey
2018
0.07
-0.44
52
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 52 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Bone
2019
0.08
-1.89
249
Year 1
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 196 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Reggie Perry
2020
0.27
-1.33
398
Year 1
Year 1: 211 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Balša Koprivica
2021
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jabari Walker
2022
2.02
-1.61
3830
Year 1
Year 1: 619 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1700 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 749 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 762 min · below 1,000 · rated
Emir Preldžić · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ryan Reid · 2010
0.01 four-season WAR · -1.08 LEBRON · 17 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 17 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tanguy Ngombo · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
İlkan Karaman · 2012
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Alex Oriakhi · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Louis Labeyrie · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Nikola Radičević · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Wang Zhelin · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sasha Vezenkov · 2017
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kevin Hervey · 2018
0.07 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 52 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 52 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan Bone · 2019
0.08 four-season WAR · -1.89 LEBRON · 249 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 53 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 196 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Reggie Perry · 2020
0.27 four-season WAR · -1.33 LEBRON · 398 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 211 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 187 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Balša Koprivica · 2021
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jabari Walker · 2022
2.02 four-season WAR · -1.61 LEBRON · 3830 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 619 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1700 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 749 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 762 min · below 1,000 · rated
Pick 58: observed four-season examples
Ater Majok · 2011
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00); 50th-percentile target 0.01 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target -0.01). 5 of 14 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Robbie Hummel · 2012
Actual four-season WAR
0.774
Actual LEBRON
-1.438
NBA minutes
1397
90th-percentile target 0.74 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.03). Debut in year 2 (delayed).
All 14 actual selections at pick 58
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Lester Hudson
2009
0.66
-0.47
538
Year 1
Year 1: 131 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 73 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 334 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Derrick Caracter
2010
-0.10
-3.03
215
Year 1
Year 1: 215 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ater Majok
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robbie Hummel
2012
0.77
-1.44
1397
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 655 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 742 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Deshaun Thomas
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan McRae
2014
0.32
-1.51
579
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 195 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 384 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
J.P. Tokoto
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Abdel Nader
2016
-0.67
-2.87
2083
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 522 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 694 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 867 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ognjen Jaramaz
2017
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thomas Welsh
2018
0.04
-0.79
36
Year 1
Year 1: 36 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Miye Oni
2019
0.03
-2.34
672
Year 1
Year 1: 109 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 519 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 44 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paul Reed
2020
5.76
0.78
2824
Year 1
Year 1: 177 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 302 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 755 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1590 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jericho Sims
2021
0.64
-2.05
2584
Year 1
Year 1: 555 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 812 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 585 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 632 min · below 1,000 · rated
Hugo Besson
2022
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Lester Hudson · 2009
0.66 four-season WAR · -0.47 LEBRON · 538 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 131 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 73 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 334 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Derrick Caracter · 2010
-0.10 four-season WAR · -3.03 LEBRON · 215 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 215 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ater Majok · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robbie Hummel · 2012
0.77 four-season WAR · -1.44 LEBRON · 1397 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 655 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 742 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Deshaun Thomas · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jordan McRae · 2014
0.32 four-season WAR · -1.51 LEBRON · 579 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 195 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 384 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
J.P. Tokoto · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Abdel Nader · 2016
-0.67 four-season WAR · -2.87 LEBRON · 2083 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 522 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 694 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 867 min · below 1,000 · rated
Ognjen Jaramaz · 2017
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Thomas Welsh · 2018
0.04 four-season WAR · -0.79 LEBRON · 36 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 36 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Miye Oni · 2019
0.03 four-season WAR · -2.34 LEBRON · 672 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 109 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 519 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 44 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Paul Reed · 2020
5.76 four-season WAR · 0.78 LEBRON · 2824 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 177 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 302 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 755 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1590 min · 1,000+ · rated
Jericho Sims · 2021
0.64 four-season WAR · -2.05 LEBRON · 2584 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 555 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 812 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 585 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 632 min · below 1,000 · rated
Hugo Besson · 2022
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 59: observed four-season examples
Chinemelu Elonu · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00); 50th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 8 of 13 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Jalen Harris · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
0.108
Actual LEBRON
-1.417
NBA minutes
172
90th-percentile target 0.10 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
All 13 actual selections at pick 59
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Chinemelu Elonu
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Stanley Robinson
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ádám Hanga
2011
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Denmon
2012
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bojan Dubljević
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Xavier Thames
2014
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dimitrios Agravanis
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Cousins
2016
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaron Blossomgame
2017
0.44
-0.82
439
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 439 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
George King
2018
0.03
-0.74
25
Year 1
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 19 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dewan Hernandez
2019
0.03
-0.97
28
Year 1
Year 1: 28 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen Harris
2020
0.11
-1.42
172
Year 1
Year 1: 172 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
RaiQuan Gray
2021
0.09
-0.53
74
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 35 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 39 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Chinemelu Elonu · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Stanley Robinson · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Ádám Hanga · 2011
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Marcus Denmon · 2012
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Bojan Dubljević · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Xavier Thames · 2014
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dimitrios Agravanis · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Cousins · 2016
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jaron Blossomgame · 2017
0.44 four-season WAR · -0.82 LEBRON · 439 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 439 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
George King · 2018
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.74 LEBRON · 25 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 6 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 19 min · below 1,000 · rated
Dewan Hernandez · 2019
0.03 four-season WAR · -0.97 LEBRON · 28 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 28 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Jalen Harris · 2020
0.11 four-season WAR · -1.42 LEBRON · 172 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 172 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
RaiQuan Gray · 2021
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.53 LEBRON · 74 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 35 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 39 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Pick 60: observed four-season examples
Robert Dozier · 2009
Actual four-season WAR
0.000
Actual LEBRON
Unavailable
NBA minutes
0
25th-percentile target 0.00 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). 6 of 13 complete selections at this slot share this exact WAR outcome. No NBA appearance in this four-season window.
Georgios Kalaitzakis · 2021
Actual four-season WAR
0.070
Actual LEBRON
-1.881
NBA minutes
214
50th-percentile target 0.07 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.00). Debut in year 1.
Sam Merrill · 2020
Actual four-season WAR
1.805
Actual LEBRON
-0.444
NBA minutes
1419
90th-percentile target 1.69 four-season WAR (actual-minus-target 0.11). Debut in year 1.
All 13 actual selections at pick 60
Four seasons after selection. Missing positive-minute metrics remain unavailable. No NBA appearances produce zero WAR and no defined rate.
All selected-slot outcomes, including unresolved records.
Player
Draft
WAR
LEBRON
Minutes
Debut/status
Four actual years
Robert Dozier
2009
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwayne Collins
2010
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Thomas
2011
18.69
1.16
8001
Year 1
Year 1: 1656 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 2: 2122 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 2497 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 1726 min · 1,000+ · rated
Robert Sacre
2012
1.24
-1.59
2745
Year 1
Year 1: 203 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 1089 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 3: 1133 min · 1,000+ · ratedYear 4: 320 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jānis Timma
2013
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cory Jefferson
2014
0.85
-0.10
581
Year 1
Year 1: 531 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Luka Mitrović
2015
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyrone Wallace
2016
0.28
-2.09
1639
Year 2 (delayed)
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 851 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 628 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 160 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alpha Kaba
2017
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kostas Antetokounmpo
2018
0.09
-0.70
87
Year 1
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 20 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 56 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vanja Marinković
2019
0.00
Unavailable
0
No NBA debut in window
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sam Merrill
2020
1.80
-0.44
1419
Year 1
Year 1: 233 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 58 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 3: 59 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 4: 1069 min · 1,000+ · rated
Georgios Kalaitzakis
2021
0.07
-1.88
214
Year 1
Year 1: 214 min · below 1,000 · ratedYear 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unratedYear 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Robert Dozier · 2009
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Dwayne Collins · 2010
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Isaiah Thomas · 2011
18.69 four-season WAR · 1.16 LEBRON · 8001 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 1656 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 2: 2122 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 2497 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 1726 min · 1,000+ · rated
Robert Sacre · 2012
1.24 four-season WAR · -1.59 LEBRON · 2745 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 203 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 1089 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 3: 1133 min · 1,000+ · rated
Year 4: 320 min · below 1,000 · rated
Jānis Timma · 2013
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Cory Jefferson · 2014
0.85 four-season WAR · -0.10 LEBRON · 581 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 531 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 50 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Luka Mitrović · 2015
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Tyrone Wallace · 2016
0.28 four-season WAR · -2.09 LEBRON · 1639 minutes. Debut year 2 (delayed).
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 851 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 628 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 160 min · below 1,000 · rated
Alpha Kaba · 2017
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Kostas Antetokounmpo · 2018
0.09 four-season WAR · -0.70 LEBRON · 87 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 11 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 20 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 56 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Vanja Marinković · 2019
0.00 four-season WAR · Unavailable LEBRON · 0 minutes. No NBA debut in window.
Four actual years
Year 1: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Sam Merrill · 2020
1.80 four-season WAR · -0.44 LEBRON · 1419 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 233 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 58 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 3: 59 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 4: 1069 min · 1,000+ · rated
Georgios Kalaitzakis · 2021
0.07 four-season WAR · -1.88 LEBRON · 214 minutes. Debut year 1.
Four actual years
Year 1: 214 min · below 1,000 · rated
Year 2: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 3: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
Year 4: 0 min · below 1,000 · unrated
These joint WAR/minutes/rate profiles stay the same when you switch the chart measure. Displayed profile values and differences use three decimals; differences are calculated from unrounded inputs. Each target combines marginal percentiles; a matched player can differ on any one dimension. The match is drawn from the full cohort, not necessarily the selected slot.
An actual four-season player profile closest to a pick's 25th, 50th or 90th percentile profile in WAR, minutes and rate, standardized by cohort SD. The dimensions' marginal quantiles are a target, not necessarily one observed profile. No play-style or future-player prediction. Optional global joint-profile illustrations; signed WAR/minutes/rate mismatches are explicit. The warning flag means absolute WAR mismatch exceeds the selected slot's observed WAR interquartile range; it is a display heuristic, not a validated quality test. Prefer same-slot examples for direct draft history. illustrate measured four-season profiles. They do not predict a future player's identity or playing style.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.928. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 2.551. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Caris LeVert
WAR
4.470
7.020
Minutes
6105
5494
LEBRON rate
0.001
-0.391
Profiles for pick 34
25th-percentile target: Cleanthony Early — drafted 2014, pick 34.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.065. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.071. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Day'Ron Sharpe
WAR
4.079
5.150
Minutes
3280
2772
LEBRON rate
0.573
0.486
Profiles for pick 43
25th-percentile target: JaJuan Johnson — drafted 2011, pick 27.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.016. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
JaJuan Johnson
WAR
0.044
0.060
Minutes
295
298
LEBRON rate
-1.931
-1.920
50th-percentile target: Dominique Jones — drafted 2010, pick 25.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.343. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Dominique Jones
WAR
0.237
0.580
Minutes
742
741
LEBRON rate
-1.088
-1.115
90th-percentile target: Cody Martin — drafted 2019, pick 36.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.228. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Cody Martin
WAR
5.620
5.848
Minutes
3909
3752
LEBRON rate
-0.039
0.015
Profiles for pick 44
25th-percentile target: Erik Murphy — drafted 2013, pick 49.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = -0.031. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Erik Murphy
WAR
0.074
0.043
Minutes
108
62
LEBRON rate
-1.256
-1.251
50th-percentile target: D.J. Wilson — drafted 2017, pick 17.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.554. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
D.J. Wilson
WAR
1.114
1.668
Minutes
1833
1749
LEBRON rate
-0.832
-0.907
90th-percentile target: Isaiah Joe — drafted 2020, pick 49.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.437. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Isaiah Joe
WAR
3.419
4.857
Minutes
4044
3832
LEBRON rate
-0.301
-0.412
Profiles for pick 45
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
50th-percentile target: Jeff Ayres — drafted 2009, pick 31.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = -0.044. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Jeff Ayres
WAR
0.654
0.610
Minutes
836
880
LEBRON rate
-1.199
-1.238
90th-percentile target: Jeremy Lamb — drafted 2012, pick 12.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 2.851. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.802. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Hasheem Thabeet
WAR
1.808
2.610
Minutes
2486
2165
LEBRON rate
-0.508
-0.493
Profiles for pick 51
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
50th-percentile target: Ike Anigbogu — drafted 2017, pick 47.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.028. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Ike Anigbogu
WAR
0.004
0.032
Minutes
3
36
LEBRON rate
-0.980
-0.976
90th-percentile target: Isaac Bonga — drafted 2018, pick 39.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.207. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Isaac Bonga
WAR
1.269
2.476
Minutes
2290
1871
LEBRON rate
-0.256
-0.357
Profiles for pick 52
25th-percentile target: Kevin Murphy — drafted 2012, pick 47.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.027. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.540. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Kyle O'Quinn
WAR
2.740
4.280
Minutes
3855
3414
LEBRON rate
-0.227
-0.420
Profiles for pick 53
25th-percentile target: Kevin Murphy — drafted 2012, pick 47.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.027. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Kevin Murphy
WAR
0.003
0.030
Minutes
5
52
LEBRON rate
-1.357
-1.350
50th-percentile target: Joel Bolomboy — drafted 2016, pick 52.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.030. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Joel Bolomboy
WAR
0.069
0.099
Minutes
109
91
LEBRON rate
-0.672
-0.662
90th-percentile target: Lorenzo Brown — drafted 2013, pick 52.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.422. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Lorenzo Brown
WAR
0.686
1.108
Minutes
836
834
LEBRON rate
-0.357
-0.295
Profiles for pick 54
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.043. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Jabari Bird
WAR
0.071
0.114
Minutes
72
115
LEBRON rate
-0.846
-0.821
90th-percentile target: Bruno Caboclo — drafted 2014, pick 20.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.032. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Bruno Caboclo
WAR
0.205
0.237
Minutes
230
213
LEBRON rate
-0.645
-0.637
Profiles for pick 57
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
50th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
90th-percentile target: Khyri Thomas — drafted 2018, pick 38.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.216. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Khyri Thomas
WAR
0.215
0.431
Minutes
353
409
LEBRON rate
-0.699
-0.725
Profiles for pick 58
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.146. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Melvin Frazier
WAR
0.013
0.159
Minutes
377
290
LEBRON rate
-1.510
-1.528
90th-percentile target: Isaac Bonga — drafted 2018, pick 39.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.736. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Isaac Bonga
WAR
0.740
2.476
Minutes
2434
1871
LEBRON rate
-0.217
-0.357
Profiles for pick 59
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
50th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.051. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Isaiah Todd
WAR
0.105
0.156
Minutes
152
135
LEBRON rate
-0.616
-0.621
Profiles for pick 60
25th-percentile target: No NBA minutes in the four-season window. Rate unavailable.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 0.024. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Kostas Antetokounmpo
WAR
0.070
0.094
Minutes
87
87
LEBRON rate
-0.702
-0.702
90th-percentile target: Jeff Withey — drafted 2013, pick 39.
Joint-profile compromise: actual minus target WAR = 1.949. This is a profile match, not an exact WAR equivalent. Large WAR mismatch: its absolute gap exceeds this slot's observed interquartile spread, a display warning rather than a validated matching test.
Target profile versus actual four-season profile
Measure
Target
Jeff Withey
WAR
1.691
3.640
Minutes
2524
2033
LEBRON rate
0.402
0.359
Annual WAR: four-year average vs single-season incumbents
Pick 1: 14.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.67 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $9,832,000–$14,748,000 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Nikola Vucevic
3.48 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Orlando Magic at snapshot; source age 36. Contract source. -0.194 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kel'El Ware
3.48 observed WAR · $4,654,920 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,654,920 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.197 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jaylon Tyson
3.41 observed WAR · $3,658,560 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,300,060 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.260 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 3.41–3.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $55,761,711 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 1: 14.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.67 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $9,832,000–$14,748,000 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Sam Hauser
3.69 observed WAR · $10,848,215 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $34,955,356 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Anthony Black
3.49 observed WAR · $10,106,316 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $10,106,316 total counted cap hits. Orlando Magic at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.179 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brandin Podziemski
3.86 observed WAR · $5,679,459 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $67,127,736 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.189 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 3.49–3.86 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $55,761,711 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 1: 14.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.67 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $9,832,000–$14,748,000 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Sam Hauser
3.69 observed WAR · $10,848,215 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $34,955,356 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Keldon Johnson
3.51 observed WAR · $18,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $18,000,000 total counted cap hits. San Antonio Spurs at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.163 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Anthony Black
3.49 observed WAR · $10,106,316 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $10,106,316 total counted cap hits. Orlando Magic at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.179 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 3.49–3.69 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $55,761,711 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 2: 12.30 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.07 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $8,796,880–$13,195,320 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Craig Porter Jr.
3.06 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jamal Shead
3.04 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $26,296,271 total counted cap hits. Toronto Raptors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Oso Ighodaro
3.02 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Phoenix Suns at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 3.02–3.06 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $49,903,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 2: 12.30 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.07 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $8,796,880–$13,195,320 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Craig Porter Jr.
3.06 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jamal Shead
3.04 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $26,296,271 total counted cap hits. Toronto Raptors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Oso Ighodaro
3.02 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Phoenix Suns at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 3.02–3.06 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $49,903,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 2: 12.30 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 3.07 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $8,796,880–$13,195,320 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Craig Porter Jr.
3.06 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Cj Mccollum
3.05 observed WAR · $21,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $21,000,000 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. -0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jamal Shead
3.04 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $26,296,271 total counted cap hits. Toronto Raptors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 3.04–3.06 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $49,903,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 3: 10.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.72 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,899,840–$11,849,760 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Ryan Rollins
2.67 observed WAR · $4,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,000,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.058 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bones Hyland
2.79 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Minnesota Timberwolves at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Javonte Green
2.83 observed WAR · $3,943,679 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,943,679 total counted cap hits. Detroit Pistons at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.105 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 2.67–2.83 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $44,835,474 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 3: 10.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.72 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,899,840–$11,849,760 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaylin Williams
2.77 observed WAR · $7,774,648 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,774,648 total counted cap hits. Oklahoma City Thunder at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.043 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ryan Rollins
2.67 observed WAR · $4,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,000,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.058 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bones Hyland
2.79 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Minnesota Timberwolves at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 2.67–2.79 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $44,835,474 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 3: 10.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.72 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,899,840–$11,849,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Robert Williams III
2.73 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Grayson Allen
2.72 observed WAR · $18,125,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $18,125,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Moses Moody
2.69 observed WAR · $12,500,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $25,925,925 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 2.69–2.73 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $44,835,474 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 4: 9.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.48 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,122,480–$10,683,720 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyle Filipowski
2.43 observed WAR · $3,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.043 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sion James
2.52 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Daniss Jenkins
2.41 observed WAR · $4,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,000,000 total counted cap hits. Detroit Pistons at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.066 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 2.41–2.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $40,433,904 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 4: 9.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.48 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,122,480–$10,683,720 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Derik Queen
2.47 observed WAR · $5,416,080 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,089,920 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bennedict Mathurin
2.47 observed WAR · $7,500,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,500,000 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kyle Filipowski
2.43 observed WAR · $3,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.043 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 2.43–2.47 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $40,433,904 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 4: 9.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.48 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $7,122,480–$10,683,720 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Derik Queen
2.47 observed WAR · $5,416,080 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,089,920 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Daniel Gafford
2.47 observed WAR · $17,263,584 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $54,380,289 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bennedict Mathurin
2.47 observed WAR · $7,500,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,500,000 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 2.47–2.47 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $40,433,904 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 5: 9.13 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $6,449,840–$9,674,760 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Miles Mcbride
2.32 observed WAR · $3,956,523 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,956,523 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gui Santos
2.24 observed WAR · $4,629,630 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,629,630 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.043 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jay Huff
2.23 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.058 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 2.23–2.32 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $36,631,936 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 5: 9.13 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $6,449,840–$9,674,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Landry Shamet
2.31 observed WAR · $5,490,967 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,228,467 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Miles Mcbride
2.32 observed WAR · $3,956,523 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,956,523 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gui Santos
2.24 observed WAR · $4,629,630 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,629,630 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.043 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 2.24–2.32 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $36,631,936 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 5: 9.13 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $6,449,840–$9,674,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jusuf Nurkic
2.26 observed WAR · $11,458,333 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. -0.027 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Landry Shamet
2.31 observed WAR · $5,490,967 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,228,467 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Miles Mcbride
2.32 observed WAR · $3,956,523 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,956,523 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 2.26–2.32 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $36,631,936 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 6: 8.50 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,858,000–$8,787,000 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaylen Wells
2.12 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Dru Smith
2.11 observed WAR · $2,584,539 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,584,539 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. -0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Mouhamed Gueye
2.08 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 2.08–2.12 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $33,279,940 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 6: 8.50 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,858,000–$8,787,000 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaxson Hayes
2.12 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jaylen Wells
2.12 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Keon Ellis
2.12 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $18,000,000 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 2.12–2.12 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $33,279,940 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 6: 8.50 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 2.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,858,000–$8,787,000 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaxson Hayes
2.12 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jaylen Wells
2.12 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Keon Ellis
2.12 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $18,000,000 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 2.12–2.12 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $33,279,940 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 7: 7.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.99 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,347,760–$8,021,640 (80–120%). Ceiling below the rookie range: no scale salary fits.Rookie scale source.
Ryan Dunn
2.00 observed WAR · $2,784,240 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $7,809,793 total counted cap hits. Phoenix Suns at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Demar Derozan
1.97 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 37. Contract source. -0.024 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Baylor Scheierman
1.94 observed WAR · $2,744,040 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,744,040 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.94–2.00 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $30,395,110 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 7: 7.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.99 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,347,760–$8,021,640 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ryan Dunn
2.00 observed WAR · $2,784,240 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $7,809,793 total counted cap hits. Phoenix Suns at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Aj Green
1.97 observed WAR · $10,044,644 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $45,000,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Demar Derozan
1.97 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 37. Contract source. -0.024 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.97–2.00 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $30,395,110 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 7: 7.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.99 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $5,347,760–$8,021,640 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ryan Dunn
2.00 observed WAR · $2,784,240 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $7,809,793 total counted cap hits. Phoenix Suns at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Aj Green
1.97 observed WAR · $10,044,644 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $45,000,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Demar Derozan
1.97 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 37. Contract source. -0.024 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.97–2.00 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $30,395,110 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 8: 7.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.88 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,899,120–$7,348,680 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Baylor Scheierman
1.94 observed WAR · $2,744,040 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,744,040 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ryan Kalkbrenner
1.81 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Demar Derozan
1.97 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 37. Contract source. 0.091 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.81–1.97 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $27,859,101 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 8: 7.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.88 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,899,120–$7,348,680 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Aaron Wiggins
1.88 observed WAR · $9,028,038 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $17,196,264 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Naji Marshall
1.88 observed WAR · $9,428,571 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $61,628,571 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Baylor Scheierman
1.94 observed WAR · $2,744,040 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,744,040 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.88–1.94 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $27,859,101 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 8: 7.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.88 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,899,120–$7,348,680 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Aaron Wiggins
1.88 observed WAR · $9,028,038 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $17,196,264 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Naji Marshall
1.88 observed WAR · $9,428,571 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $61,628,571 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Christian Braun
1.87 observed WAR · $21,551,726 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $96,551,726 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.87–1.88 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $27,859,101 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 9: 7.10 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.78 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,503,200–$6,754,800 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Andre Drummond
1.74 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ryan Kalkbrenner
1.81 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Marvin Bagley III
1.68 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.099 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.68–1.81 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $25,620,963 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 9: 7.10 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.78 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,503,200–$6,754,800 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Josh Okogie
1.79 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.011 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
1.80 observed WAR · $6,065,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,065,000 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Andre Drummond
1.74 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.74–1.80 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $25,620,963 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 9: 7.10 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.78 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,503,200–$6,754,800 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Josh Okogie
1.79 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.011 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
1.80 observed WAR · $6,065,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,065,000 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Andre Drummond
1.74 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.74–1.80 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $25,620,963 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 10: 6.74 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,278,240–$6,417,360 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Marvin Bagley III
1.68 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Dominick Barlow
1.65 observed WAR · $3,415,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,415,000 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Andre Drummond
1.74 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.65–1.74 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $24,344,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 10: 6.74 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,278,240–$6,417,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Marvin Bagley III
1.68 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jake Laravia
1.66 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Dominick Barlow
1.65 observed WAR · $3,415,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,415,000 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.65–1.68 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $24,344,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 10: 6.74 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,278,240–$6,417,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Marvin Bagley III
1.68 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jake Laravia
1.66 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $6,000,000 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Dominick Barlow
1.65 observed WAR · $3,415,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,415,000 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.65–1.68 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $24,344,578 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 11: 6.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,064,160–$6,096,240 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Yves Missi
1.61 observed WAR · $3,512,760 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,108,587 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nique Clifford
1.59 observed WAR · $3,263,400 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,263,400 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Hugo Gonzalez
1.58 observed WAR · $2,923,560 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,923,560 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 20. Contract source. -0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.58–1.61 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $23,419,040 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 11: 6.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,064,160–$6,096,240 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Collin Sexton
1.61 observed WAR · $9,366,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,366,000 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Yves Missi
1.61 observed WAR · $3,512,760 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,108,587 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nique Clifford
1.59 observed WAR · $3,263,400 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,263,400 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.59–1.61 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $23,419,040 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 11: 6.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $4,064,160–$6,096,240 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Isaiah Stewart
1.59 observed WAR · $15,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $15,000,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Collin Sexton
1.61 observed WAR · $9,366,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,366,000 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Yves Missi
1.61 observed WAR · $3,512,760 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,108,587 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.59–1.61 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $23,419,040 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 12: 6.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,861,120–$5,791,680 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Simone Fontecchio
1.52 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.036 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.49–1.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $22,519,815 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 12: 6.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,861,120–$5,791,680 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Simone Fontecchio
1.52 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.036 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.49–1.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $22,519,815 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 12: 6.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,861,120–$5,791,680 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Simone Fontecchio
1.52 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.036 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.49–1.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $22,519,815 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 13: 5.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.46 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,668,000–$5,502,000 (80–120%). Ceiling inside the rookie range: only part fits.Rookie scale source.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.41–1.49 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $21,650,062 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 13: 5.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.46 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,668,000–$5,502,000 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.41–1.49 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $21,650,062 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 13: 5.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.46 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,668,000–$5,502,000 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ayo Dosunmu
1.49 observed WAR · $19,310,345 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $86,510,348 total counted cap hits. Minnesota Timberwolves at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $12,656,205 total counted cap hits. Boston Celtics at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.49–1.49 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $21,650,062 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 14: 5.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.39 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,484,800–$5,227,200 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,917 total counted cap hits. Golden State Warriors at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.097 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.35–1.49 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,818,256 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 14: 5.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.39 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,484,800–$5,227,200 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Quinten Post
1.36 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,000,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.35–1.41 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,818,256 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 14: 5.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.39 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,484,800–$5,227,200 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Quinten Post
1.36 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,000,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.35–1.41 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,818,256 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 15: 5.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,310,320–$4,965,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,941,440 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.068 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,300,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.27–1.41 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,011,903 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 15: 5.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,310,320–$4,965,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jeremiah Fears
1.31 observed WAR · $7,896,240 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $16,168,200 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 20. Contract source. -0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Quinten Post
1.36 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,000,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.31–1.36 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,011,903 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 15: 5.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,310,320–$4,965,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jeremiah Fears
1.31 observed WAR · $7,896,240 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $16,168,200 total counted cap hits. New Orleans Pelicans at snapshot; source age 20. Contract source. -0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Quinten Post
1.36 observed WAR · $9,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,000,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.31–1.36 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $20,011,903 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 16: 5.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,144,880–$4,717,320 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,941,440 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.083 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.19–1.35 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $19,017,083 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 16: 5.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,144,880–$4,717,320 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Egor Demin
1.28 observed WAR · $7,233,720 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,233,720 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 20. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Cedric Coward
1.29 observed WAR · $6,001,080 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $12,288,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,941,440 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.27–1.29 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $19,017,083 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 16: 5.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $3,144,880–$4,717,320 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Egor Demin
1.28 observed WAR · $7,233,720 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,233,720 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 20. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Quentin Grimes
1.29 observed WAR · $13,953,489 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $43,953,489 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Cedric Coward
1.29 observed WAR · $6,001,080 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $12,288,000 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.28–1.29 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $19,017,083 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 17: 4.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,987,520–$4,481,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,941,440 total counted cap hits. Brooklyn Nets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.19–1.27 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $18,072,981 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 17: 4.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,987,520–$4,481,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
1.25 observed WAR · $5,939,141 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,939,141 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.023 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.19–1.25 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $18,072,981 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 17: 4.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,987,520–$4,481,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
1.25 observed WAR · $5,939,141 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,939,141 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.023 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.19–1.25 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $18,072,981 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 18: 4.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,838,320–$4,257,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.018 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.16–1.19 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $17,177,699 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 18: 4.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,838,320–$4,257,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,296,271 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.018 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.16–1.19 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $17,177,699 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 18: 4.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,838,320–$4,257,480 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Peyton Watson
1.18 observed WAR · $20,465,116 year-one cap hit
Contract context
3 counted seasons, $64,465,116 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Santi Aldama
1.17 observed WAR · $17,007,043 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $17,007,043 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.16–1.18 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $17,177,699 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 19: 4.52 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,710,480–$4,065,720 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.14–1.19 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $16,412,588 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 19: 4.52 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,710,480–$4,065,720 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,406,205 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.14–1.19 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $16,412,588 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 19: 4.52 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.13 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,710,480–$4,065,720 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Shaedon Sharpe
1.16 observed WAR · $20,089,287 year-one cap hit
Contract context
4 counted seasons, $90,000,000 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.027 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.14–1.16 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $16,412,588 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 20: 4.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.09 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,601,840–$3,902,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.067 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.077 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 1.02–1.16 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,760,951 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 20: 4.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.09 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,601,840–$3,902,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.067 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,411,090 total counted cap hits. Cleveland Cavaliers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.077 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 1.02–1.16 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,760,951 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 20: 4.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.09 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,601,840–$3,902,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jarred Vanderbilt
1.07 observed WAR · $12,428,571 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $12,428,571 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.059 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.067 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 1.02–1.14 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,760,951 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 21: 4.17 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.04 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,497,840–$3,746,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.080 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,108,000 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.101 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.96–1.14 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,307,336 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 21: 4.17 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.04 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,497,840–$3,746,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. -0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.080 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.96–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,307,336 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 21: 4.17 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.04 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,497,840–$3,746,760 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jarred Vanderbilt
1.07 observed WAR · $12,428,571 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $12,428,571 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. -0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.99–1.07 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $15,307,336 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 22: 4.01 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.00 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,398,080–$3,597,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.040 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.137 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.87–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,866,259 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 22: 4.01 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.00 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,398,080–$3,597,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.040 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.96–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,866,259 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 22: 4.01 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 1.00 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,398,080–$3,597,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Corey Kispert
0.98 observed WAR · $13,975,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $27,000,000 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. -0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.98–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,866,259 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 23: 3.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.96 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,302,240–$3,453,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.054 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.098 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.87–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,436,414 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 23: 3.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.96 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,302,240–$3,453,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. 0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.054 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.96–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,436,414 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 23: 3.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.96 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,302,240–$3,453,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Corey Kispert
0.98 observed WAR · $13,975,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $27,000,000 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. 0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.96–0.99 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,436,414 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 24: 3.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.93 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,210,240–$3,315,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.091 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.87–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,017,911 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 24: 3.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.93 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,210,240–$3,315,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. 0.065 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.87–0.99 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,017,911 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 24: 3.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.93 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,210,240–$3,315,360 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Reed Sheppard
0.91 observed WAR · $11,108,880 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,108,880 total counted cap hits. Houston Rockets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.035 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Corey Kispert
0.98 observed WAR · $13,975,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $27,000,000 total counted cap hits. Atlanta Hawks at snapshot; source age 27. Contract source. 0.056 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.91–0.98 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $14,017,911 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 25: 3.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.89 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,121,520–$3,182,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Los Angeles Lakers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.126 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.87–1.02 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,607,937 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 25: 3.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.89 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,121,520–$3,182,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Khris Middleton
0.99 observed WAR · $5,591,122 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,591,122 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 35. Contract source. 0.101 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.87–0.99 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,607,937 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 25: 3.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.89 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,121,520–$3,182,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Reed Sheppard
0.91 observed WAR · $11,108,880 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,108,880 total counted cap hits. Houston Rockets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.019 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.87–0.96 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,607,937 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 26: 3.44 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.86 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,051,280–$3,076,920 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.096 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.104 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.76–0.96 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,161,781 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 26: 3.44 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.86 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,051,280–$3,076,920 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.096 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,667,944 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.104 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.76–0.96 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,161,781 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 26: 3.44 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.86 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $2,051,280–$3,076,920 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Reed Sheppard
0.91 observed WAR · $11,108,880 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,108,880 total counted cap hits. Houston Rockets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.053 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.096 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.76–0.91 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $13,161,781 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 27: 3.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.83 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,992,080–$2,988,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.040 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.063 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.122 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,786,358 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 27: 3.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.83 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,992,080–$2,988,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.040 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.063 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.122 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,786,358 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 27: 3.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.83 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,992,080–$2,988,120 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.040 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.063 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Reed Sheppard
0.91 observed WAR · $11,108,880 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,108,880 total counted cap hits. Houston Rockets at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.085 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.76–0.91 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,786,358 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 28: 3.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.79 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,979,680–$2,969,520 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.072 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.091 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,709,732 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 28: 3.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.79 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,979,680–$2,969,520 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.072 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.091 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,709,732 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 28: 3.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.79 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,979,680–$2,969,520 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.072 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Caris Levert
0.71 observed WAR · $14,809,200 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,809,200 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. -0.081 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.71–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,709,732 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 29: 3.06 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.76 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,965,520–$2,948,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.060 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jose Alvarado
0.87 observed WAR · $4,439,656 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $9,234,484 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.102 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.87 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,617,393 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 29: 3.06 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.76 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,965,520–$2,948,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.060 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.090 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.67–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,617,393 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 29: 3.06 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.76 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,965,520–$2,948,280 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Caris Levert
0.71 observed WAR · $14,809,200 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,809,200 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. -0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.060 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,617,393 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 30: 2.94 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.74 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,951,200–$2,926,800 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.096 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,526,276 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 30: 2.94 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.74 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,951,200–$2,926,800 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.67–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,526,276 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 30: 2.94 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.74 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
Rookie year-one scale range: $1,951,200–$2,926,800 (80–120%). Ceiling at or above the rookie range: the full range fits.Rookie scale source.
Caris Levert
0.71 observed WAR · $14,809,200 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,809,200 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. -0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.70–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
At 100% rookie scale, four years total $12,526,276 only if both team options are exercised. This is not all guaranteed.
Pick 31: 2.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.71 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.056 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.068 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 31: 2.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.71 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.056 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.67–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 31: 2.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.71 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Caris Levert
0.71 observed WAR · $14,809,200 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,809,200 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.032 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.67–0.71 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 32: 2.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. Philadelphia 76ers at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.084 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.76 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 32: 2.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.70 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 32: 2.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.68 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Caris Levert
0.71 observed WAR · $14,809,200 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,809,200 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 32. Contract source. 0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.67–0.71 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 33: 2.61 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.65 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.092 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.56–0.70 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 33: 2.61 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.65 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.70 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 33: 2.61 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.65 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bilal Coulibaly
0.67 observed WAR · $9,240,012 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $9,240,012 total counted cap hits. Washington Wizards at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.64–0.70 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 34: 2.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.63 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.066 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,497,812 total counted cap hits. Portland Trail Blazers at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.077 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.56–0.70 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 34: 2.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.63 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.027 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.58–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 34: 2.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.63 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.027 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.58–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 35: 2.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. -0.065 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.54–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 35: 2.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.58–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 35: 2.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.60 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.022 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.58–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 36: 2.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.58 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Brice Sensabaugh
0.64 observed WAR · $4,862,237 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $4,862,237 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.54–0.64 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 36: 2.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.58 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.023 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.56–0.60 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 36: 2.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.58 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kris Murray
0.60 observed WAR · $5,315,004 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,315,004 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.023 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.56–0.60 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 37: 2.22 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.55 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. -0.017 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. -0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 37: 2.22 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.55 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. -0.017 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.54–0.58 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 37: 2.22 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.55 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. -0.017 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ousmane Dieng
0.58 observed WAR · $5,750,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,500,000 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.54–0.58 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 38: 2.12 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 38: 2.12 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 38: 2.12 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.53 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 39: 2.03 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.51 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.053 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 39: 2.03 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.51 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.50–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 39: 2.03 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.51 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kyle Kuzma
0.50 observed WAR · $20,490,152 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,490,152 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.50–0.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 40: 1.95 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.49 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $5,375,385 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 24. Contract source. 0.075 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.52–0.56 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 40: 1.95 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.49 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.011 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.48–0.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 40: 1.95 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.49 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. -0.011 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Kyle Kuzma
0.50 observed WAR · $20,490,152 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,490,152 total counted cap hits. Milwaukee Bucks at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. 0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.48–0.50 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 41: 1.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.47 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
The observed pick-41 median is 0.47 WAR across four seasons. The fitted annual target above is a different quantity, even though both round to 0.47.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.066 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 41: 1.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.47 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
The observed pick-41 median is 0.47 WAR across four seasons. The fitted annual target above is a different quantity, even though both round to 0.47.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.48–0.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 41: 1.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.47 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
The observed pick-41 median is 0.47 WAR across four seasons. The fitted annual target above is a different quantity, even though both round to 0.47.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.43–0.50 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 42: 1.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.44 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.092 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 42: 1.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.44 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.50 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 42: 1.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.44 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.012 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 43: 1.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.42 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.091 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.113 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 43: 1.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.42 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Max Christie
0.50 observed WAR · $8,285,714 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $8,285,714 total counted cap hits. Dallas Mavericks at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.072 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.50 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 43: 1.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.42 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.025 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.051 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 44: 1.62 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.40 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.111 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.132 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 44: 1.62 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.40 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.078 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 44: 1.62 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.40 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.028 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.071 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 45: 1.54 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.38 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.131 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Jordan Clarkson
0.54 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,449,421 total counted cap hits. New York Knicks at snapshot; source age 34. Contract source. 0.152 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.40–0.54 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 45: 1.54 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.38 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.058 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.090 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 45: 1.54 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.38 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.058 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.43 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 46: 1.46 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.37 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.150 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.170 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 46: 1.46 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.37 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.109 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 46: 1.46 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.37 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.039 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Malik Monk
0.43 observed WAR · $20,190,035 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $20,190,035 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.066 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.43 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 47: 1.39 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.35 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.151 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Svi Mykhailiuk
0.52 observed WAR · $3,850,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $3,850,000 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 29. Contract source. 0.168 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.52 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 47: 1.39 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.35 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Royce O'Neale
0.48 observed WAR · $10,875,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $22,500,000 total counted cap hits. Charlotte Hornets at snapshot; source age 33. Contract source. 0.128 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.33–0.48 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 47: 1.39 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.35 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.052 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.067 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.28–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 48: 1.32 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.070 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.133 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.159 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 48: 1.32 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.070 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.133 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 48: 1.32 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.33 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.048 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.056 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.27–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 49: 1.25 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.31 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.088 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.115 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.141 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 49: 1.25 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.31 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.088 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.115 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 49: 1.25 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.31 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.038 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.27–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 50: 1.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.29 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.098 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.105 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.123 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 50: 1.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.29 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.098 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.105 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 50: 1.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.29 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. -0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. -0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.033 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.27–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 51: 1.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.081 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.106 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.122 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 51: 1.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.081 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.106 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 51: 1.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.28 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.050 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.27–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 52: 1.04 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.26 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.090 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.139 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 52: 1.04 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.26 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.067 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.090 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 52: 1.04 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.26 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.013 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.021 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.064 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.28 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 53: 0.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.24 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.073 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.155 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 53: 0.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.24 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.073 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Taylor Hendricks
0.33 observed WAR · $7,805,900 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $7,805,900 total counted cap hits. Memphis Grizzlies at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.083 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.33 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 53: 0.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.24 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.030 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.037 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.047 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.28 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 54: 0.91 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.057 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.172 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 54: 0.91 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.057 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.077 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 54: 0.91 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.23 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaac Okoro
0.27 observed WAR · $11,814,814 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $11,814,814 total counted cap hits. Chicago Bulls at snapshot; source age 26. Contract source. 0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Rui Hachimura
0.28 observed WAR · $14,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,000,000 total counted cap hits. LA Clippers at snapshot; source age 28. Contract source. 0.053 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.20–0.28 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 55: 0.85 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.21 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.187 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 55: 0.85 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.21 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.061 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 55: 0.85 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.21 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. -0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.041 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. -0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 56: 0.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.20 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.203 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 56: 0.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.20 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.046 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 56: 0.78 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.20 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.026 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. -0.029 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 57: 0.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.218 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 57: 0.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 57: 0.72 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.18 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. -0.010 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. -0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.015 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 58: 0.66 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.17 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.233 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 58: 0.66 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.17 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 58: 0.66 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.17 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. -0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.17 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 59: 0.60 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.15 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.248 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 59: 0.60 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.15 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.045 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 59: 0.60 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.15 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. within 0.01 WAR of target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. 0.016 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.020 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.17 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 60: 0.55 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.14 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $5,307,502 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.060 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Ben Sheppard
0.40 observed WAR · $5,031,669 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $5,031,669 total counted cap hits. Indiana Pacers at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.263 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 67 eligible incumbents: 0.17–0.40 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 60: 0.55 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.14 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $11,000,000 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Isaiah Collier
0.20 observed WAR · $2,763,960 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,763,960 total counted cap hits. Utah Jazz at snapshot; source age 22. Contract source. 0.060 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 134 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.20 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Pick 60: 0.55 four-season WAR ÷ 4 ≈ 0.14 WAR per season
Selected-budget comparison. Incumbent cap ceiling: $23,212,005 in 2026–27. Compare with observed single-season WAR in 2025–26; salary eligibility is not an acquisition price.
No fixed pick-specific rookie scale is supplied for this second-round slot. Rookie cost and asset surplus remain unpriced.
Spencer Jones
0.15 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit
Contract context
2 counted seasons, $11,750,000 total counted cap hits. Denver Nuggets at snapshot; source age 25. Contract source. 0.014 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Bobby Portis
0.17 observed WAR · $14,521,414 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $14,521,414 total counted cap hits. Miami Heat at snapshot; source age 31. Contract source. 0.031 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Maxime Raynaud
0.17 observed WAR · $2,150,918 year-one cap hit
Contract context
1 counted season, $2,150,918 total counted cap hits. Sacramento Kings at snapshot; source age 23. Contract source. 0.034 WAR versus target; differences use unrounded inputs.
Three nearby references from 200 eligible incumbents: 0.15–0.17 observed WAR. Tiny gaps do not establish a uniquely equivalent player.
Comparison assumptions and rookie cost
This divides fitted four-season pick WAR by four and compares that average with one observed incumbent season. It does not estimate trade cost or match roles. Counted contract terms are context; the production comparison remains annual.
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Snapshots date to October 23, 2026; scenario evaluated November 4. The ceiling applies only to incumbent year-one cap hits, not the pick or total contract cost. No future player production is projected. Growth, role, fit, future deals, control, discounting and trade feasibility are unpriced.
Compare at 120% of rookie scale
This optional panel uses a separate incumbent cap ceiling: 120% of the first-year base scale for picks 1–30. The selected salary ceiling and its comparison above remain unchanged. It retains the same annual WAR target and signed-player eligibility. It is not a first-year rookie forecast, a signed rookie salary, or a trade-feasibility calculation.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 1 · 120% of base
$12,290,000 base × 1.20 = $14,748,000 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 14.70 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 3.67 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 160 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Sam Hauser
3.69 observed WAR · $10,848,215 year-one cap hit.
0.019 WAR versus target · $3,899,785 below ceiling. Contract source.
Anthony Black
3.49 observed WAR · $10,106,316 year-one cap hit.
-0.179 WAR versus target · $4,641,684 below ceiling. Contract source.
Brandin Podziemski
3.86 observed WAR · $5,679,459 year-one cap hit.
0.189 WAR versus target · $9,068,541 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 2 · 120% of base
$10,996,100 base × 1.20 = $13,195,320 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 12.30 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 3.07 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 150 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Craig Porter Jr.
3.06 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
-0.013 WAR versus target · $10,789,115 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jamal Shead
3.04 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
-0.038 WAR versus target · $10,899,049 below ceiling. Contract source.
Oso Ighodaro
3.02 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
-0.059 WAR versus target · $10,899,049 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 3 · 120% of base
$9,874,800 base × 1.20 = $11,849,760 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 10.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 2.72 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 141 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Jaylin Williams
2.77 observed WAR · $7,774,648 year-one cap hit.
0.043 WAR versus target · $4,075,112 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ryan Rollins
2.67 observed WAR · $4,000,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.058 WAR versus target · $7,849,760 below ceiling. Contract source.
Bones Hyland
2.79 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.064 WAR versus target · $9,400,339 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 4 · 120% of base
$8,903,100 base × 1.20 = $10,683,720 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 9.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 2.48 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 130 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Derik Queen
2.47 observed WAR · $5,416,080 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $5,267,640 below ceiling. Contract source.
Bennedict Mathurin
2.47 observed WAR · $7,500,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.010 WAR versus target · $3,183,720 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kyle Filipowski
2.43 observed WAR · $3,000,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.043 WAR versus target · $7,683,720 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 5 · 120% of base
$8,062,300 base × 1.20 = $9,674,760 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 9.13 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 2.28 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 123 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Landry Shamet
2.31 observed WAR · $5,490,967 year-one cap hit.
0.030 WAR versus target · $4,183,793 below ceiling. Contract source.
Miles Mcbride
2.32 observed WAR · $3,956,523 year-one cap hit.
0.039 WAR versus target · $5,718,237 below ceiling. Contract source.
Gui Santos
2.24 observed WAR · $4,629,630 year-one cap hit.
-0.043 WAR versus target · $5,045,130 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 6 · 120% of base
$7,322,500 base × 1.20 = $8,787,000 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 8.50 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 2.13 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 110 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Jaxson Hayes
2.12 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $2,787,000 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jaylen Wells
2.12 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $6,490,729 below ceiling. Contract source.
Anfernee Simons
2.14 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit.
0.012 WAR versus target · $2,787,000 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 7 · 120% of base
$6,684,700 base × 1.20 = $8,021,640 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 7.97 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.99 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 105 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Ryan Dunn
2.00 observed WAR · $2,784,240 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $5,237,400 below ceiling. Contract source.
Demar Derozan
1.97 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.024 WAR versus target · $5,572,219 below ceiling. Contract source.
Keyonte George
2.03 observed WAR · $6,563,925 year-one cap hit.
0.038 WAR versus target · $1,457,715 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 8 · 120% of base
$6,123,900 base × 1.20 = $7,348,680 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 7.51 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.88 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 96 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Baylor Scheierman
1.94 observed WAR · $2,744,040 year-one cap hit.
0.064 WAR versus target · $4,604,640 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ryan Kalkbrenner
1.81 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit.
-0.064 WAR versus target · $4,937,590 below ceiling. Contract source.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
1.80 observed WAR · $6,065,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.081 WAR versus target · $1,283,680 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 9 · 120% of base
$5,629,000 base × 1.20 = $6,754,800 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 7.10 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.78 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 94 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Josh Okogie
1.79 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit.
0.011 WAR versus target · $754,800 below ceiling. Contract source.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
1.80 observed WAR · $6,065,000 year-one cap hit.
0.021 WAR versus target · $689,800 below ceiling. Contract source.
Andre Drummond
1.74 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.032 WAR versus target · $4,305,379 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 10 · 120% of base
$5,347,800 base × 1.20 = $6,417,360 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 6.74 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.68 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 91 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Marvin Bagley III
1.68 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $3,967,939 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jake Laravia
1.66 observed WAR · $6,000,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.026 WAR versus target · $417,360 below ceiling. Contract source.
Dominick Barlow
1.65 observed WAR · $3,415,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.037 WAR versus target · $3,002,360 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 11 · 120% of base
$5,080,200 base × 1.20 = $6,096,240 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 6.41 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.60 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 91 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Yves Missi
1.61 observed WAR · $3,512,760 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $2,583,480 below ceiling. Contract source.
Nique Clifford
1.59 observed WAR · $3,263,400 year-one cap hit.
-0.013 WAR versus target · $2,832,840 below ceiling. Contract source.
Hugo Gonzalez
1.58 observed WAR · $2,923,560 year-one cap hit.
-0.021 WAR versus target · $3,172,680 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 12 · 120% of base
$4,826,400 base × 1.20 = $5,791,680 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 6.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.53 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 78 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Simone Fontecchio
1.52 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $3,342,259 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
-0.034 WAR versus target · $3,385,475 below ceiling. Contract source.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit.
-0.036 WAR versus target · $3,640,763 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 13 · 120% of base
$4,585,000 base × 1.20 = $5,502,000 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 5.83 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.46 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 72 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit.
0.033 WAR versus target · $3,351,083 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
0.035 WAR versus target · $3,095,795 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jordan Miller
1.41 observed WAR · $5,300,000 year-one cap hit.
-0.052 WAR versus target · $202,000 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 14 · 120% of base
$4,356,000 base × 1.20 = $5,227,200 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 5.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.39 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 66 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
-0.045 WAR versus target · $2,559,256 below ceiling. Contract source.
Will Richard
1.49 observed WAR · $2,150,917 year-one cap hit.
0.097 WAR versus target · $3,076,283 below ceiling. Contract source.
Jordan Walsh
1.49 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
0.099 WAR versus target · $2,820,995 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 15 · 120% of base
$4,137,900 base × 1.20 = $4,965,480 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 5.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.33 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 65 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.015 WAR versus target · $2,297,536 below ceiling. Contract source.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit.
-0.068 WAR versus target · $2,024,040 below ceiling. Contract source.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
-0.139 WAR versus target · $2,669,209 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 16 · 120% of base
$3,931,100 base × 1.20 = $4,717,320 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 5.11 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.28 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 63 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit.
-0.012 WAR versus target · $1,775,880 below ceiling. Contract source.
Justin Champagnie
1.35 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.071 WAR versus target · $2,049,376 below ceiling. Contract source.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
-0.083 WAR versus target · $2,421,049 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 17 · 120% of base
$3,734,400 base × 1.20 = $4,481,280 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.90 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.23 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 61 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
-0.031 WAR versus target · $2,185,009 below ceiling. Contract source.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
-0.035 WAR versus target · $2,075,075 below ceiling. Contract source.
Danny Wolf
1.27 observed WAR · $2,941,440 year-one cap hit.
0.041 WAR versus target · $1,539,840 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 18 · 120% of base
$3,547,900 base × 1.20 = $4,257,480 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.18 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 59 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit.
-0.014 WAR versus target · $1,846,390 below ceiling. Contract source.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
0.014 WAR versus target · $1,851,275 below ceiling. Contract source.
Adem Bona
1.19 observed WAR · $2,296,271 year-one cap hit.
0.018 WAR versus target · $1,961,209 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 19 · 120% of base
$3,388,100 base × 1.20 = $4,065,720 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.52 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.13 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 59 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit.
0.015 WAR versus target · $957,720 below ceiling. Contract source.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit.
0.033 WAR versus target · $1,654,630 below ceiling. Contract source.
Gg Jackson
1.19 observed WAR · $2,406,205 year-one cap hit.
0.061 WAR versus target · $1,659,515 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 20 · 120% of base
$3,252,300 base × 1.20 = $3,902,760 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.34 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.09 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 53 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit.
0.059 WAR versus target · $794,760 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.067 WAR versus target · $1,453,339 below ceiling. Contract source.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
1.16 observed WAR · $2,411,090 year-one cap hit.
0.077 WAR versus target · $1,491,670 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 21 · 120% of base
$3,122,300 base × 1.20 = $3,746,760 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.17 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.04 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 50 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.025 WAR versus target · $1,297,339 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
-0.080 WAR versus target · $1,078,816 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit.
0.101 WAR versus target · $638,760 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 22 · 120% of base
$2,997,600 base × 1.20 = $3,597,120 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 4.01 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 1.00 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 48 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.016 WAR versus target · $1,147,699 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
-0.040 WAR versus target · $929,176 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit.
0.141 WAR versus target · $489,120 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 23 · 120% of base
$2,877,800 base × 1.20 = $3,453,360 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.86 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.96 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 46 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $785,416 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.054 WAR versus target · $1,003,939 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kyshawn George
1.14 observed WAR · $3,108,000 year-one cap hit.
0.180 WAR versus target · $345,360 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 24 · 120% of base
$2,762,800 base × 1.20 = $3,315,360 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.71 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.93 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 45 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.035 WAR versus target · $647,416 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.091 WAR versus target · $865,939 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.165 WAR versus target · $865,939 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 25 · 120% of base
$2,651,900 base × 1.20 = $3,182,280 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.57 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.89 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 44 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.071 WAR versus target · $514,336 below ceiling. Contract source.
Ziaire Williams
1.02 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.126 WAR versus target · $732,859 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.129 WAR versus target · $732,859 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 26 · 120% of base
$2,564,100 base × 1.20 = $3,076,920 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.44 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.86 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 43 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.096 WAR versus target · $627,499 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.104 WAR versus target · $408,976 below ceiling. Contract source.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit.
-0.155 WAR versus target · $579,108 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 27 · 120% of base
$2,490,100 base × 1.20 = $2,988,120 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.31 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.83 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 42 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.063 WAR versus target · $538,699 below ceiling. Contract source.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit.
-0.122 WAR versus target · $490,308 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.137 WAR versus target · $320,176 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 28 · 120% of base
$2,474,600 base × 1.20 = $2,969,520 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.18 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.79 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 42 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
-0.032 WAR versus target · $520,099 below ceiling. Contract source.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit.
-0.091 WAR versus target · $471,708 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.168 WAR versus target · $301,576 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 29 · 120% of base
$2,456,900 base × 1.20 = $2,948,280 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 3.06 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.76 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 42 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
within 0.01 WAR of target · $498,859 below ceiling. Contract source.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit.
-0.060 WAR versus target · $450,468 below ceiling. Contract source.
Vit Krejci
0.96 observed WAR · $2,667,944 year-one cap hit.
0.199 WAR versus target · $280,336 below ceiling. Contract source.
Rookie-scale comparison · pick 30 · 120% of base
$2,439,000 base × 1.20 = $2,926,800 incumbent cap ceiling in 2026–27. Target: 2.94 four-season WAR ÷ 4 = 0.74 WAR per season. Scale source.
Up to three nearby references from 41 eligible incumbents, using observed 2025–26 WAR.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
0.76 observed WAR · $2,449,421 year-one cap hit.
0.028 WAR versus target · $477,379 below ceiling. Contract source.
Sidy Cissoko
0.70 observed WAR · $2,497,812 year-one cap hit.
-0.031 WAR versus target · $428,988 below ceiling. Contract source.
Kobe Sanders
0.56 observed WAR · $2,622,139 year-one cap hit.
-0.174 WAR versus target · $304,661 below ceiling. Contract source.
Pick 31: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 32: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 33: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 34: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 35: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 36: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 37: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 38: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 39: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 40: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 41: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 42: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 43: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 44: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 45: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 46: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 47: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 48: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 49: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 50: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 51: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 52: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 53: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 54: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 55: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 56: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 57: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 58: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 59: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Pick 60: not applicable. No first-round rookie scale applies to this second-round slot; no ceiling or matches are supplied.
Playing time is part of the result
Selected pick 41 belongs to picks 1–5. In this band, 70/70 selections played NBA minutes; 68/70 had a 1,000-minute season; 6/70 debuted in years two–four. Highlighted rows follow the selected band, not an individual-player development forecast.
Selected pick 41 belongs to picks 6–14. In this band, 126/126 selections played NBA minutes; 116/126 had a 1,000-minute season; 3/126 debuted in years two–four. Highlighted rows follow the selected band, not an individual-player development forecast.
Selected pick 41 belongs to picks 15–30. In this band, 222/224 selections played NBA minutes; 152/224 had a 1,000-minute season; 18/224 debuted in years two–four. Highlighted rows follow the selected band, not an individual-player development forecast.
Selected pick 41 belongs to picks 31–60. In this band, 327/418 selections played NBA minutes; 121/418 had a 1,000-minute season; 56/418 debuted in years two–four. Highlighted rows follow the selected band, not an individual-player development forecast.
At least one 1,000-minute season is a substantial-playing-time proxy, not proof of rotation quality. For picks 1–5, 68/70 selections met it; 70/70 accumulated at least 1,000 minutes across all four seasons. The two thresholds answer different questions.
At least one 1,000-minute season is a substantial-playing-time proxy, not proof of rotation quality. For picks 6–14, 116/126 selections met it; 124/126 accumulated at least 1,000 minutes across all four seasons. The two thresholds answer different questions.
At least one 1,000-minute season is a substantial-playing-time proxy, not proof of rotation quality. For picks 15–30, 152/224 selections met it; 180/224 accumulated at least 1,000 minutes across all four seasons. The two thresholds answer different questions.
At least one 1,000-minute season is a substantial-playing-time proxy, not proof of rotation quality. For picks 31–60, 121/418 selections met it; 169/418 accumulated at least 1,000 minutes across all four seasons. The two thresholds answer different questions.
Independent NBA minutes; each numerator is out of all actual selections.
Picks
1,000+ in one season
1,000+ in four seasons
Delayed debut
1–5
68/70
70/70
6/70
6–14
116/126
124/126
3/126
15–30
152/224
180/224
18/224
31–60
121/418
169/418
56/418
No debut within the four-season window: 1–5: 0/70; 6–14: 0/126; 15–30: 2/224; 31–60: 91/418.
Delayed debut means no appearance in year one followed by an appearance in years two–four. A later debut still uses up the four-season clock. The career table below describes changing rated groups and attrition; it is not a paired-player development estimate.
The first four years
The same 838 selections from the 2009–2022 drafts appear in every year. Each average describes players with a LEBRON rating and positive recorded minutes in that season.
Mean LEBRON among rated players; rated players / all picks beneath each value.
Picks
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
1–5
−1.3564/70 rated players out of all picks
−0.1266/70 rated players out of all picks
+0.2169/70 rated players out of all picks
+0.7269/70 rated players out of all picks
6–14
−1.58123/126 rated players out of all picks
−0.95124/126 rated players out of all picks
−0.48123/126 rated players out of all picks
−0.24117/126 rated players out of all picks
15–30
−1.47204/224 rated players out of all picks
−1.00213/224 rated players out of all picks
−0.67192/224 rated players out of all picks
−0.53185/224 rated players out of all picks
31–60
−1.20271/418 rated players out of all picks
−1.15256/418 rated players out of all picks
−0.86212/418 rated players out of all picks
−0.70169/418 rated players out of all picks
Year 1 is the regular season starting in the draft year: the 2020 draft maps to 2020–21. The rated players change across years. These averages include attrition and do not measure the improvement of a fixed group of players. Unrated players remain in the pick counts; their LEBRON is not assigned zero.
What changes among the same returning players?
This pairs players with ratings in both year one and year four. Retention means the share of year-one-rated players rated again in year four; it is not an NBA survival rate for all selections. The change describes returning measured players, not causal development of all draftees.
Same-player LEBRON change, year four minus year one; pointwise 95% class-bootstrap intervals.
Picks
Paired / year-one rated
Change (LEBRON)
95% interval
1–5
63/64
1.94
1.54 to 2.30
6–14
114/123
1.24
0.94 to 1.57
15–30
171/204
0.97
0.77 to 1.21
31–60
143/271
0.52
0.30 to 0.78
Returning-player means, attrition and annual opportunity
Paired measurements and nonreturning year-one-rated players.
Picks
All drafted
Paired n
Paired year 1
Paired year 4
No NBA year 4
Played but unrated year 4
1–5
70
63
-1.39
0.55
1
0
6–14
126
114
-1.51
-0.27
9
0
15–30
224
171
-1.45
-0.48
32
1
31–60
418
143
-1.17
-0.65
128
0
Annual opportunity: all eligible selections, including nonparticipants.
Picks
Year after draft
Played / drafted
Rated / drafted
1,000 minutes / drafted
Mean minutes (all)
Mean minutes (participants)
1–5
1
64/70
64/70
53/70
1600
1750
1–5
2
66/70
66/70
57/70
1776
1883
1–5
3
69/70
69/70
57/70
1760
1786
1–5
4
69/70
69/70
56/70
1791
1817
6–14
1
123/126
123/126
83/126
1303
1335
6–14
2
125/126
124/126
93/126
1551
1563
6–14
3
124/126
123/126
93/126
1523
1548
6–14
4
117/126
117/126
83/126
1426
1536
15–30
1
204/224
204/224
69/224
693
761
15–30
2
214/224
213/224
104/224
999
1046
15–30
3
195/224
192/224
107/224
993
1141
15–30
4
186/224
185/224
104/224
1009
1215
31–60
1
271/418
271/418
38/418
303
467
31–60
2
259/418
256/418
60/418
388
626
31–60
3
212/418
212/418
73/418
399
786
31–60
4
169/418
169/418
73/418
416
1028
The pointwise 95% intervals resample whole draft classes 2,000 times. They describe uncertainty in the measured returning group, not the range of future careers for every draftee.
How the model works
The 2019 draft class’s four-season window matures through 2022–23. Holding out the 2020–2022 classes is a retrospective evaluation, not a claim that these outcomes were available on 2020 draft night.
MethodScope and all-pick audit data
What the difference means
For 2009–2022 selections, earlier slots tended to produce more four-season WAR. Draft position had a weaker relationship with LEBRON among rated NBA participants. That rate comparison excludes players without a measured rate.
For a team, this separates two questions: how much NBA value a slot produced, including players who never appeared, and how effective its measured NBA participants were while playing. Neither quantity is pure talent.
At pick 41, the four-year WAR mean is 3.81, while the four-season median is 0.47 WAR across 14 complete selections. The average and the typical middle outcome tell different stories.
Why the pick-41 average is not a typical outcome
Nikola Jokić, drafted 2014 at pick 41, produced 26.09 WAR and a 4.06 LEBRON rate in 6214 NBA minutes over the 2014-15 through 2017-18 window. He played in 3 of those four seasons; the waiting season still counts. Highest observed four-season WAR among the 14 pick-41 outcomes; an upside example, not a typical outcome or contract surplus. Includes a draft-to-debut waiting season.
Opportunity differs too: 70/70 top-five selections played NBA minutes in the window, compared with 327/418 second-round selections. Their mean four-season minutes were 6927 and 1505, respectively, including nonparticipants.
Opportunity and measurement by pick band
Same 2009–2022 selections; appearances and minutes use independent NBA totals. Positive-minute players with missing metrics can appear in the NBA count without entering the complete or rated samples.
Four-year opportunity among all actual selections; scroll sideways for all measures.
Picks
Played / drafted
Rated / drafted
Complete WAR
Mean minutes
Median minutes
1–5
70/70
70/70
70
6927
6995
6–14
126/126
124/126
124
5804
5698
15–30
222/224
217/224
219
3694
3584
31–60
327/418
324/418
415
1505
446
Compare BBall Index estimate of on-court impact per 100 possessions, with zero at league average; not pure talent. Window rates are weighted by provider on-court possessions, then players count equally in pick summaries. No minutes means undefined rate. while playing with Provider-supplied LEBRON wins above replacement. Sum over the four regular seasons immediately following selection, preserving negative values. Confirmed absent seasons contribute zero accumulated value. across the first four seasons after selection.
93 complete selections had no NBA appearances in the four-season window. They count as zero accumulated WAR, with no defined LEBRON rate.
All 60 picks — complete data table
On a narrow screen, swipe the table sideways or focus it and use the Left and Right arrow keys. Full distribution and uncertainty values are available in the final sources section.
Rate means use rated participants. WAR means use complete outcomes. The counts are separate denominators.
Pick summaries in native units
Pick
Drafted
Complete
Unresolved
Rated
Mean LEBRON
Pooled mean LEBRON
Mean WAR
Fitted WAR
1
14
14
0
14
0.93
-0.90
17.60
14.70
2
14
14
0
14
-0.51
-0.90
7.70
12.30
3
14
14
0
14
0.63
-0.90
14.41
10.90
4
14
14
0
14
-0.65
-0.90
8.22
9.90
5
14
14
0
14
-0.60
-0.90
7.58
9.13
6
14
14
0
14
-0.48
-0.90
8.16
8.50
7
14
14
0
14
-0.87
-0.90
7.54
7.97
8
14
14
0
14
-0.83
-0.90
6.98
7.51
9
14
14
0
14
-0.89
-0.90
7.15
7.10
10
14
14
0
14
-0.70
-0.90
8.01
6.74
11
14
14
0
14
-0.82
-0.90
6.76
6.41
12
14
14
0
14
-0.80
-0.90
6.86
6.11
13
14
13
1
13
-1.09
-0.90
5.57
5.83
14
14
13
1
13
-0.98
-0.90
4.44
5.57
15
14
14
0
14
-0.79
-0.90
6.70
5.34
16
14
14
0
14
-0.59
-0.90
4.35
5.11
17
14
14
0
14
-1.07
-0.90
4.93
4.90
18
14
14
0
14
-0.99
-0.90
3.61
4.71
19
14
13
1
13
-0.91
-0.90
5.17
4.52
20
14
12
2
12
-0.96
-0.90
3.83
4.34
21
14
14
0
14
-1.03
-0.90
4.98
4.17
22
14
14
0
14
-0.74
-0.90
5.37
4.01
23
14
14
0
14
-1.17
-0.90
3.14
3.86
24
14
13
1
13
-1.69
-0.90
1.92
3.71
25
14
14
0
14
-1.06
-0.90
3.16
3.57
26
14
14
0
13
-0.96
-0.90
3.43
3.44
27
14
13
1
13
-0.41
-0.90
6.35
3.31
28
14
14
0
13
-1.49
-0.90
1.70
3.18
29
14
14
0
14
-0.81
-0.90
3.13
3.06
30
14
14
0
14
-0.73
-0.90
5.09
2.94
31
14
14
0
13
-1.53
-0.90
1.28
2.83
32
14
14
0
13
-1.30
-0.90
1.60
2.72
33
14
14
0
14
-0.89
-0.90
1.89
2.61
34
14
13
1
11
-1.08
-0.90
2.93
2.51
35
14
14
0
12
-0.54
-0.90
4.15
2.41
36
14
14
0
12
-0.90
-0.90
2.90
2.31
37
14
14
0
13
-1.43
-0.90
1.38
2.22
38
14
14
0
14
-0.76
-0.90
3.53
2.12
39
14
14
0
11
-0.72
-0.90
3.29
2.03
40
14
13
1
13
-1.29
-0.90
2.05
1.95
41
14
14
0
14
-0.80
-0.90
3.81
1.86
42
14
14
0
11
-1.29
-0.90
1.04
1.78
43
14
14
0
13
-1.20
-0.90
1.68
1.70
44
14
13
1
11
-1.02
-0.90
1.52
1.62
45
14
14
0
9
-1.05
-0.90
1.28
1.54
46
14
14
0
13
-1.29
-0.90
2.36
1.46
47
14
14
0
10
-1.14
-0.90
0.64
1.39
48
14
14
0
13
-1.33
-0.90
0.93
1.32
49
14
14
0
10
-1.08
-0.90
0.85
1.25
50
14
14
0
8
-0.82
-0.90
0.67
1.18
51
14
14
0
7
-0.93
-0.90
0.69
1.11
52
14
14
0
12
-1.12
-0.90
1.03
1.04
53
14
14
0
10
-0.96
-0.90
0.28
0.97
54
14
14
0
8
-0.90
-0.90
0.56
0.91
55
14
14
0
13
-1.00
-0.90
1.05
0.85
56
14
14
0
10
-0.95
-0.90
0.11
0.78
57
14
14
0
5
-1.27
-0.90
0.18
0.72
58
14
14
0
9
-1.52
-0.90
0.53
0.66
59
13
13
0
5
-0.90
-0.90
0.05
0.60
60
13
13
0
7
-0.81
-0.90
1.77
0.55
How the model works
Formulas
Elapsed seasons since the draft, not seasons since the NBA debut. Delayed entry uses up the window. Off-calendar 2020 draft maps to the 2020-21 season. Leave-one-draft-class-out CV on 2009-2019; simplest model within one SE of the lowest mean fold RMSE. 2020-2022 reserved for final testing. Final displayed curve refit on all eligible complete classes.
Final rate equation: LEBRON = -0.896958. Final WAR equation: WAR = 14.695272 + (-3.455910 × ln(pick)). The logarithm lets the fitted decline differ between early and later slots.
These equations describe the selected fits in this retrospective sample; they do not forecast an individual player or establish a causal effect of draft position.
Pointwise percentile 95% whole-draft-class bootstrap intervals for historical means. Pointwise percentile 95% whole-class bootstrap intervals; selected model held fixed; uncertainty about mean, not individual prediction intervals. Percentile 95% whole-class bootstrap intervals; player-level observations.
Validation and research
Where does a pick depart from the fitted trend?
Raw pick averages can rise at later slots. The scan below compares observed mean WAR with the fitted WAR trend across all 60 slots; it does not establish a causal or lasting advantage. Simultaneous bands account for scanning the slots together and remain conditional on the selected model.
In this scan, pick 56's mean WAR is 0.11 versus fitted 0.78: a residual of -0.68. Removing the highest-WAR player at every slot and refitting shrinks that residual to -0.14. The main scan's simultaneous 95% band -1.26 to -0.09 does not establish a lasting effect. The negative sign is conditional on this expected curve: another eligible curve can change the sign. This is a model-choice-dependent residual, not a lasting slot effect, a forecast or a reason to prefer a nearby slot.
Pick 56: period and exceptional-player checks
Against the same main fitted curve, the observed-minus-fitted WAR residual in 2009–2015 is -0.66; in 2016–2022: -0.69. After removing the highest-WAR player at every slot and refitting, the residual is -0.14. These checks are negative relative to the specified main curve or its refit. They do not establish a curve-independent direction: the sign depends on the expected curve chosen.
Matched adjacent-slot differences
Later-numbered slot minus earlier-numbered slot, within the SAME draft classes; primary windows complete for both, and both rates observed for the rate contrast. Positive differences favor the later-numbered slot on the measured outcome. Each row uses only draft classes observed at both slots. Intervals are pointwise and exploratory, without a simultaneous correction for scanning all pairs.
Four-season WAR: later slot minus earlier slot within the same classes.
Earlier → later
Matched classes
Missing pairs
Mean difference
95% interval
1 → 2
14
0
-9.90
-16.89 to -2.69
2 → 3
14
0
6.71
0.49 to 13.43
3 → 4
14
0
-6.19
-12.15 to -0.86
4 → 5
14
0
-0.64
-6.05 to 4.73
5 → 6
14
0
0.57
-5.33 to 6.93
6 → 7
14
0
-0.62
-6.18 to 5.51
7 → 8
14
0
-0.56
-6.39 to 5.39
8 → 9
14
0
0.17
-5.66 to 6.06
9 → 10
14
0
0.86
-6.12 to 7.59
10 → 11
14
0
-1.24
-7.63 to 4.80
11 → 12
14
0
0.10
-4.71 to 4.74
12 → 13
13
1
-1.82
-6.35 to 2.81
13 → 14
12
2
-0.95
-4.69 to 2.25
14 → 15
13
1
0.81
-4.20 to 6.47
15 → 16
14
0
-2.35
-7.73 to 2.57
16 → 17
14
0
0.58
-2.66 to 3.97
17 → 18
14
0
-1.31
-4.55 to 1.64
18 → 19
13
1
1.44
-1.54 to 4.78
19 → 20
11
3
-0.74
-4.67 to 2.72
20 → 21
12
2
1.39
-2.35 to 4.91
21 → 22
14
0
0.39
-3.90 to 4.98
22 → 23
14
0
-2.23
-5.66 to 1.12
23 → 24
13
1
-1.21
-3.21 to 0.90
24 → 25
13
1
1.44
-2.45 to 5.26
25 → 26
14
0
0.27
-2.57 to 3.06
26 → 27
13
1
3.71
0.11 to 8.00
27 → 28
13
1
-4.57
-9.96 to -0.23
28 → 29
14
0
1.43
-0.81 to 3.37
29 → 30
14
0
1.96
-1.05 to 5.34
30 → 31
14
0
-3.82
-7.84 to -0.24
31 → 32
14
0
0.32
-2.14 to 2.74
32 → 33
14
0
0.29
-1.92 to 2.24
33 → 34
13
1
1.15
-0.77 to 3.82
34 → 35
13
1
1.53
-2.08 to 5.41
35 → 36
14
0
-1.25
-6.90 to 3.36
36 → 37
14
0
-1.52
-4.11 to 0.97
37 → 38
14
0
2.16
-1.16 to 5.79
38 → 39
14
0
-0.25
-4.61 to 3.84
39 → 40
13
1
-1.50
-4.54 to 1.61
40 → 41
13
1
2.05
-2.05 to 6.93
41 → 42
14
0
-2.77
-7.01 to 0.13
42 → 43
14
0
0.64
-1.24 to 2.38
43 → 44
13
1
-0.25
-1.43 to 0.99
44 → 45
13
1
-0.26
-2.03 to 1.61
45 → 46
14
0
1.08
-0.71 to 3.18
46 → 47
14
0
-1.72
-3.52 to -0.16
47 → 48
14
0
0.29
-0.67 to 1.41
48 → 49
14
0
-0.08
-1.53 to 1.21
49 → 50
14
0
-0.17
-1.21 to 0.84
50 → 51
14
0
0.02
-1.05 to 1.34
51 → 52
14
0
0.34
-1.06 to 1.49
52 → 53
14
0
-0.75
-1.58 to 0.00
53 → 54
14
0
0.28
-0.10 to 0.86
54 → 55
14
0
0.49
-0.33 to 1.29
55 → 56
14
0
-0.94
-1.92 to -0.17
56 → 57
14
0
0.07
-0.14 to 0.37
57 → 58
14
0
0.36
-0.32 to 1.28
58 → 59
13
1
-0.52
-1.47 to 0.08
59 → 60
13
1
1.72
0.07 to 4.85
Four-season LEBRON rate among measured participants: later slot minus earlier slot within the same classes.
Earlier → later
Matched classes
Missing pairs
Mean difference
95% interval
1 → 2
14
0
-1.44
-2.44 to -0.36
2 → 3
14
0
1.14
-0.16 to 2.43
3 → 4
14
0
-1.28
-2.26 to -0.24
4 → 5
14
0
0.05
-1.01 to 1.04
5 → 6
14
0
0.12
-1.03 to 1.12
6 → 7
14
0
-0.39
-1.34 to 0.70
7 → 8
14
0
0.04
-1.01 to 1.11
8 → 9
14
0
-0.06
-1.09 to 0.96
9 → 10
14
0
0.19
-1.00 to 1.40
10 → 11
14
0
-0.12
-1.03 to 0.82
11 → 12
14
0
0.02
-0.86 to 0.92
12 → 13
13
1
-0.40
-1.13 to 0.35
13 → 14
12
2
0.14
-0.80 to 0.99
14 → 15
13
1
-0.10
-1.16 to 1.02
15 → 16
14
0
0.19
-0.85 to 1.28
16 → 17
14
0
-0.47
-1.18 to 0.28
17 → 18
14
0
0.08
-0.95 to 1.01
18 → 19
13
1
0.07
-0.58 to 0.78
19 → 20
11
3
0.07
-0.74 to 0.80
20 → 21
12
2
0.00
-0.99 to 0.91
21 → 22
14
0
0.29
-0.67 to 1.34
22 → 23
14
0
-0.43
-1.20 to 0.30
23 → 24
13
1
-0.52
-1.04 to -0.06
24 → 25
13
1
0.64
-0.54 to 1.70
25 → 26
13
1
0.04
-0.80 to 0.89
26 → 27
12
2
0.60
-0.26 to 1.56
27 → 28
12
2
-0.74
-1.72 to 0.10
28 → 29
13
1
0.81
0.31 to 1.33
29 → 30
14
0
0.08
-0.64 to 0.86
30 → 31
13
1
-0.84
-1.90 to 0.22
31 → 32
12
2
0.14
-0.95 to 1.21
32 → 33
13
1
0.42
-0.29 to 1.13
33 → 34
11
3
-0.18
-1.02 to 0.58
34 → 35
9
5
0.41
-0.82 to 1.53
35 → 36
11
3
-0.62
-1.79 to 0.55
36 → 37
11
3
-0.78
-1.69 to 0.22
37 → 38
13
1
0.51
-0.19 to 1.25
38 → 39
11
3
-0.27
-1.35 to 0.85
39 → 40
10
4
-0.73
-1.54 to 0.14
40 → 41
13
1
0.59
-0.29 to 1.69
41 → 42
11
3
-0.62
-2.25 to 0.65
42 → 43
10
4
0.35
-0.69 to 1.26
43 → 44
11
3
0.13
-0.76 to 0.94
44 → 45
6
8
0.21
-0.83 to 1.32
45 → 46
8
6
-0.50
-1.85 to 0.85
46 → 47
9
5
0.38
-0.44 to 1.15
47 → 48
10
4
-0.19
-0.64 to 0.24
48 → 49
10
4
0.35
-0.52 to 1.19
49 → 50
6
8
0.11
-0.57 to 0.80
50 → 51
3
11
-0.41
Only three pairs; no stable interval.
2016: 0.53 later-minus-earlier
2019: -0.37 later-minus-earlier
2021: -1.41 later-minus-earlier
51 → 52
6
8
-0.42
-1.43 to 0.47
52 → 53
10
4
0.30
-0.58 to 1.09
53 → 54
7
7
-0.25
-0.59 to 0.13
54 → 55
8
6
0.23
-0.33 to 0.83
55 → 56
9
5
0.06
-0.47 to 0.63
56 → 57
4
10
-0.37
-0.64 to 0.20
57 → 58
4
10
-0.16
-1.95 to 1.50
58 → 59
4
10
0.19
-2.20 to 1.52
59 → 60
3
11
-0.11
Only three pairs; no stable interval.
2018: 0.04 later-minus-earlier
2020: 0.97 later-minus-earlier
2021: -1.35 later-minus-earlier
Explore all pick deviations
Observed mean minus fitted four-season WAR; simultaneous 95% bands.
Pick
Difference
Band
Exploratory signal
1
2.91
-5.41 to 11.23
Band includes zero
2
-4.60
-10.58 to 1.38
Band includes zero
3
3.51
-5.00 to 12.02
Band includes zero
4
-1.68
-7.30 to 3.93
Band includes zero
5
-1.55
-7.15 to 4.05
Band includes zero
6
-0.35
-7.42 to 6.73
Band includes zero
7
-0.43
-6.39 to 5.53
Band includes zero
8
-0.53
-7.22 to 6.16
Band includes zero
9
0.05
-6.72 to 6.81
Band includes zero
10
1.27
-6.76 to 9.30
Band includes zero
11
0.36
-6.11 to 6.83
Band includes zero
12
0.75
-5.12 to 6.62
Band includes zero
13
-0.26
-6.53 to 6.01
Band includes zero
14
-1.14
-5.83 to 3.56
Band includes zero
15
1.37
-6.61 to 9.34
Band includes zero
16
-0.76
-5.24 to 3.71
Band includes zero
17
0.02
-4.34 to 4.39
Band includes zero
18
-1.10
-5.13 to 2.94
Band includes zero
19
0.65
-3.67 to 4.97
Band includes zero
20
-0.51
-3.59 to 2.57
Band includes zero
21
0.81
-3.67 to 5.29
Band includes zero
22
1.36
-4.45 to 7.16
Band includes zero
23
-0.72
-3.26 to 1.82
Band includes zero
24
-1.79
-5.33 to 1.75
Band includes zero
25
-0.41
-4.92 to 4.11
Band includes zero
26
0.00
-3.24 to 3.24
Band includes zero
27
3.04
-4.17 to 10.25
Band includes zero
28
-1.48
-4.15 to 1.19
Band includes zero
29
0.07
-3.06 to 3.20
Band includes zero
30
2.15
-2.79 to 7.09
Band includes zero
31
-1.55
-4.61 to 1.50
Band includes zero
32
-1.12
-3.91 to 1.67
Band includes zero
33
-0.73
-3.06 to 1.60
Band includes zero
34
0.42
-4.15 to 4.99
Band includes zero
35
1.74
-5.68 to 9.16
Band includes zero
36
0.59
-3.54 to 4.72
Band includes zero
37
-0.84
-3.08 to 1.40
Band includes zero
38
1.41
-3.28 to 6.10
Band includes zero
39
1.25
-3.10 to 5.61
Band includes zero
40
0.10
-3.65 to 3.85
Band includes zero
41
1.95
-4.10 to 8.00
Band includes zero
42
-0.73
-2.68 to 1.21
Band includes zero
43
-0.01
-2.40 to 2.37
Band includes zero
44
-0.09
-2.09 to 1.90
Band includes zero
45
-0.26
-2.16 to 1.64
Band includes zero
46
0.90
-1.84 to 3.64
Band includes zero
47
-0.75
-1.78 to 0.29
Band includes zero
48
-0.39
-2.09 to 1.32
Band includes zero
49
-0.40
-1.89 to 1.10
Band includes zero
50
-0.50
-1.26 to 0.25
Band includes zero
51
-0.42
-2.14 to 1.30
Band includes zero
52
-0.01
-1.38 to 1.36
Band includes zero
53
-0.70
-1.47 to 0.07
Band includes zero
54
-0.35
-1.53 to 0.82
Band includes zero
55
0.20
-1.58 to 1.98
Band includes zero
56
-0.68
-1.26 to -0.09
Band excludes zero
57
-0.55
-1.37 to 0.28
Band includes zero
58
-0.13
-1.45 to 1.19
Band includes zero
59
-0.55
-1.17 to 0.07
Band includes zero
60
1.23
-3.10 to 5.56
Band includes zero
Coverage and sensitivity
Ten positive-minute metric windows remain unresolved, all in the 2009–2011 classes. They are excluded from complete outcomes, never assigned zero. The strict 2012–2022 sensitivity retains 658 complete selections.
Coverage by draft class
Actual selections and measurement status
Draft
Selections
Complete
Unresolved
NBA appearances
No NBA appearances
2009
60
58
2
49
11
2010
60
57
3
49
11
2011
60
55
5
53
7
2012
60
60
0
55
5
2013
60
60
0
51
9
2014
60
60
0
53
7
2015
60
60
0
44
16
2016
60
60
0
54
6
2017
60
60
0
56
4
2018
60
60
0
57
3
2019
60
60
0
58
2
2020
60
60
0
58
2
2021
60
60
0
56
4
2022
58
58
0
52
6
Check alternative coverage samples
Four-season rank correlations and selected models
Sample
Complete
Rated
WAR correlation
Rate correlation
WAR / rate model
All completely measured windows; 2009-2022
828
735
-0.52
-0.13
log / mean
Fully covered draft classes; 2012-2022
658
594
-0.51
-0.13
log / mean
Exclude windows with >max(2min,1%) exposure discrepancy or unequal games
823
730
-0.52
-0.12
log / mean
At least 1000 NBA minutes in the four-season window
534
534
-0.31
-0.16
log / mean
The at-least-1,000-total-minute sensitivity retains 534 players. Its WAR rank correlation is -0.31, versus -0.52 in the main complete-outcome sample; its rate correlation is -0.16. Selecting players by exposure changes the question and does not isolate talent.
Immediate versus delayed NBA debut · measured participants
Within the same completely measured rated population, compare first NBA game in post-draft year one with first NBA game in years two through four. No causes such as injury or draft stash are inferred. The draft-based four-year outcome window is unchanged. Reasons for delayed entry were not measured.
Descriptive subgroups; same four-season window, without causal interpretation.
Debut
n
Pick–WAR rank correlation
Pick–LEBRON rank correlation
Within-group correlation difference
Year 1
652
-0.43
-0.12
-0.31 [-0.35 to -0.27]
Years 2–4
83
-0.44
-0.16
-0.28 [-0.50 to -0.01]
Each group uses the same whole-class draw schedule; intervals compare its two rank correlations on the same players within each draw. Groups are descriptive selected subsets, not causal or randomized comparisons.
Limitations
Limitations
Historical WAR includes production for any NBA team, not necessarily value captured by the team that drafted the player.
Four seasons describe early contribution, not full careers; older/younger entrants, delayed debuts, injuries and opportunity matter.
LEBRON is an estimated context-sensitive impact measure, not pure talent or causal team scouting quality.
Up to 14 draft classes underlie a pick; individual outcomes vary substantially and overlapping mean intervals limit fine rankings.
Season counts do not equalize games available across lockout/COVID-shortened seasons.
All cohorts use one frozen retrospective provider snapshot. The ratings were not verified as the values available at each historical draft date.
Missing positive-minute metrics remain unresolved and are excluded from complete outcomes; coverage is reported explicitly.
LEBRON rate analysis conditions on NBA participation and measurement and can have survivorship/selection bias.
The selected model's held-out error is an estimate from three test classes; final displayed fit uses those classes after evaluation.
Bootstrap curve intervals condition on model selection and do not incorporate provider rating uncertainty.
Anomaly scans are exploratory despite simultaneous bands and period/star sensitivity checks.
Annual production references use a dated incumbent cap-hit ceiling and observed prior-season WAR. Sourced contract terms are context, not a ranking of unequal-duration production or a valuation of future control.
Definitions
Definitions
LEBRON
BBall Index estimate of on-court impact per 100 possessions, with zero at league average; not pure talent. Window rates are weighted by provider on-court possessions, then players count equally in pick summaries. No minutes means undefined rate.
Accumulated WAR
Provider-supplied LEBRON wins above replacement. Sum over the four regular seasons immediately following selection, preserving negative values. Confirmed absent seasons contribute zero accumulated value.
Four-season window
Elapsed seasons since the draft, not seasons since the NBA debut. Delayed entry uses up the window. Off-calendar 2020 draft maps to the 2020-21 season.
Association
A relationship between draft position and observed outcomes; it does not establish a causal effect of selection position.
Historical player equivalent
The default examples are actual selected-slot draftees nearest each WAR percentile, matching on WAR alone. The optional joint-profile method instead uses: An actual four-season player profile closest to a pick's 25th, 50th or 90th percentile profile in WAR, minutes and rate, standardized by cohort SD. The dimensions' marginal quantiles are a target, not necessarily one observed profile. No play-style or future-player prediction. Optional global joint-profile illustrations; signed WAR/minutes/rate mismatches are explicit. The warning flag means absolute WAR mismatch exceeds the selected slot's observed WAR interquartile range; it is a display heuristic, not a validated quality test. Prefer same-slot examples for direct draft history.
Confidence interval
Uncertainty about a population mean under resampling draft classes, not a range that contains 95% of individual player outcomes.
Held-out draft classes
Entire draft classes excluded during fitting. Model selection uses 2009-2019 only; final test is 2020-2022. Retrospective snapshot values are not a point-in-time scouting backtest.
Trade reference
Divide fitted four-season pick WAR by four, then match one observed 2025-26 WAR season among the verified signed pool under each 2026-27 cap-hit ceiling. Both sides have one-season units. Annualization is a historical average per season, not a rookie-year forecast; no future production is invented.
Same-slot player example
Actual draftee from the selected slot with four-season WAR nearest the slot's 25th/50th/90th percentile. Matching uses only absolute WAR distance (weight 1); minutes and rate have weight 0 and are shown as actual facts. Ties choose the earlier draft class. A nearest example can still differ from its quantile target; the signed difference is explicit. A named nonparticipant has zero accumulated WAR/minutes and an undefined rate.
Rated-player retention
The share of year-one-rated players rated again in year four: paired players divided by year-one-rated players. It is conditional on an initial rating and does not measure survival of all draft selections.
Paired player change
Year-four minus year-one LEBRON for the SAME players rated in both seasons. Returning measured players are a selected group; this is not a causal development estimate for every draftee.
Matched adjacent-slot contrast
Later-numbered slot minus earlier-numbered slot, within the SAME draft classes; primary windows complete for both, and both rates observed for the rate contrast. Intervals are pointwise and exploratory, not simultaneous across all neighboring slots.
Four-season 1,000-minute threshold
At least 1000 total NBA regular-season minutes across all four post-draft seasons; an exposure threshold, not proof of rotation quality
One-season 1,000-minute proxy
At least one of the four post-draft regular seasons with 1000 NBA minutes; a labeled substantial-playing-time proxy, not proof of role or quality
Delayed debut
No NBA games in post-draft year one, but at least one NBA game in years two through four; no-debut players are a separate category
Cross-validation (CV)
Cross-validation (CV): repeatedly hold out one development draft class, fit on the other development classes, and measure error on the held-out class. The reported CV error is the average class error.
Root mean squared error (RMSE)
Root mean squared error (RMSE): square each prediction error, average those squares, then take the square root. It uses the outcome units and gives larger errors more weight. Lower is better.
Standard error and the one-SE rule
The one-standard-error rule keeps the simplest candidate whose average CV error is no more than one standard error above the best average CV error. Here the standard error is the standard deviation of class errors divided by the square root of the number of development classes.
R²
Test R² compares squared prediction errors with predicting the development-sample mean for every test player. Zero means equal error to that baseline; negative means worse. Final-fit R² describes variation explained in the refitted sample and is not held-out performance.
Bootstrap
The bootstrap repeatedly samples whole draft classes with replacement and refits or recalculates a quantity. It preserves players within a class together; the displayed intervals use 2,000 such samples and condition on the selected model.
Natural spline and degrees of freedom
A natural spline joins smooth curve segments while constraining the tails to be linear. Degrees of freedom (df) control flexibility; more df allow more curvature.
Percentiles
A percentile marks a position in the observed player outcomes. The median is the 50th percentile; the 25th–75th percentiles contain the middle half. Percentiles describe outcome spread, not uncertainty about a mean.
Sources and code
Sources and reproducibility
All distribution and uncertainty values
LEBRON rate: observed distribution and 95% mean intervals
Pick
n
P10
P25
Median
P75
P90
Mean interval
Pooled mean interval
1
14
-0.84
-0.04
0.66
2.14
2.92
0.10 to 1.68
-0.95 to -0.84
2
14
-1.78
-1.61
-0.89
0.18
1.27
-1.24 to 0.32
-0.95 to -0.84
3
14
-1.65
-0.59
0.49
2.13
2.85
-0.23 to 1.55
-0.95 to -0.84
4
14
-2.32
-1.84
-0.69
0.58
0.86
-1.29 to 0.06
-0.95 to -0.84
5
14
-2.05
-1.57
-0.67
0.07
0.90
-1.21 to 0.08
-0.95 to -0.84
6
14
-1.68
-1.14
-0.46
0.55
0.76
-1.12 to 0.14
-0.95 to -0.84
7
14
-2.26
-1.95
-1.03
0.13
0.33
-1.46 to -0.22
-0.95 to -0.84
8
14
-2.34
-1.90
-0.77
-0.09
1.00
-1.52 to -0.14
-0.95 to -0.84
9
14
-1.77
-1.65
-1.33
-0.44
1.00
-1.67 to -0.13
-0.95 to -0.84
10
14
-2.31
-1.89
-0.55
0.01
0.58
-1.40 to 0.07
-0.95 to -0.84
11
14
-2.53
-2.01
-0.65
0.51
0.70
-1.54 to -0.14
-0.95 to -0.84
12
14
-2.10
-1.49
-1.12
-0.16
1.10
-1.41 to -0.13
-0.95 to -0.84
13
13
-2.17
-1.88
-1.22
-0.63
0.87
-1.66 to -0.42
-0.95 to -0.84
14
13
-2.12
-1.60
-1.06
-0.88
0.56
-1.50 to -0.37
-0.95 to -0.84
15
14
-2.82
-1.91
-1.18
0.43
1.68
-1.68 to 0.18
-0.95 to -0.84
16
14
-1.40
-1.22
-0.75
-0.03
0.44
-0.97 to -0.19
-0.95 to -0.84
17
14
-2.83
-1.65
-1.16
0.07
0.28
-1.72 to -0.44
-0.95 to -0.84
18
14
-2.22
-1.70
-1.06
-0.44
0.15
-1.52 to -0.51
-0.95 to -0.84
19
13
-1.54
-1.33
-1.15
-0.77
0.46
-1.35 to -0.46
-0.95 to -0.84
20
12
-1.97
-1.34
-0.93
-0.34
0.39
-1.57 to -0.41
-0.95 to -0.84
21
14
-2.53
-1.87
-0.73
-0.30
0.37
-1.59 to -0.48
-0.95 to -0.84
22
14
-2.13
-1.79
-0.87
0.46
1.07
-1.44 to -0.05
-0.95 to -0.84
23
14
-2.31
-1.91
-1.15
-0.80
-0.38
-1.67 to -0.59
-0.95 to -0.84
24
13
-2.91
-2.47
-1.67
-1.29
0.09
-2.27 to -1.05
-0.95 to -0.84
25
14
-2.64
-1.83
-0.96
-0.43
0.41
-1.71 to -0.40
-0.95 to -0.84
26
13
-1.85
-1.45
-1.34
-0.35
-0.07
-1.37 to -0.49
-0.95 to -0.84
27
13
-1.83
-1.43
-1.19
0.65
1.69
-1.15 to 0.51
-0.95 to -0.84
28
13
-2.60
-2.11
-1.48
-1.07
-0.45
-1.94 to -1.06
-0.95 to -0.84
29
14
-2.31
-1.38
-0.71
0.03
0.40
-1.34 to -0.27
-0.95 to -0.84
30
14
-1.91
-1.70
-0.98
0.28
0.88
-1.32 to -0.06
-0.95 to -0.84
31
13
-3.02
-2.28
-1.81
-0.86
-0.22
-2.20 to -0.81
-0.95 to -0.84
32
13
-2.45
-1.75
-1.59
-1.02
0.30
-1.83 to -0.71
-0.95 to -0.84
33
14
-1.77
-1.43
-0.96
-0.35
0.00
-1.26 to -0.47
-0.95 to -0.84
34
11
-2.24
-2.00
-1.47
-0.37
0.61
-1.74 to -0.33
-0.95 to -0.84
35
12
-2.03
-1.54
-0.72
-0.23
0.68
-1.24 to 0.36
-0.95 to -0.84
36
12
-2.20
-1.62
-0.90
-0.09
0.37
-1.62 to -0.19
-0.95 to -0.84
37
13
-2.76
-2.23
-1.40
-0.50
-0.30
-1.93 to -0.92
-0.95 to -0.84
38
14
-1.81
-1.36
-0.98
0.03
0.64
-1.31 to -0.17
-0.95 to -0.84
39
11
-2.32
-1.52
-0.36
0.31
0.36
-1.41 to -0.05
-0.95 to -0.84
40
13
-2.52
-1.67
-1.30
-0.60
-0.17
-1.78 to -0.78
-0.95 to -0.84
41
14
-2.14
-1.82
-1.15
-0.43
0.37
-1.50 to 0.10
-0.95 to -0.84
42
11
-2.75
-2.49
-1.87
-0.17
0.57
-2.08 to -0.41
-0.95 to -0.84
43
13
-2.26
-1.93
-1.09
-0.97
-0.04
-1.73 to -0.61
-0.95 to -0.84
44
11
-1.64
-1.26
-0.83
-0.54
-0.30
-1.50 to -0.62
-0.95 to -0.84
45
9
-2.12
-1.74
-1.20
-0.59
0.26
-1.65 to -0.42
-0.95 to -0.84
46
13
-2.45
-1.80
-1.29
-0.91
0.31
-1.94 to -0.63
-0.95 to -0.84
47
10
-1.39
-1.36
-1.17
-0.93
-0.85
-1.30 to -0.97
-0.95 to -0.84
48
13
-2.02
-1.84
-1.21
-0.89
-0.59
-1.68 to -1.02
-0.95 to -0.84
49
10
-2.53
-1.23
-0.87
-0.49
-0.37
-1.64 to -0.60
-0.95 to -0.84
50
8
-1.12
-1.03
-0.80
-0.61
-0.51
-1.01 to -0.62
-0.95 to -0.84
51
7
-1.57
-1.35
-0.98
-0.43
-0.26
-1.40 to -0.49
-0.95 to -0.84
52
12
-2.28
-1.36
-1.06
-0.57
-0.23
-1.55 to -0.71
-0.95 to -0.84
53
10
-2.14
-1.36
-0.67
-0.52
-0.36
-1.42 to -0.53
-0.95 to -0.84
54
8
-1.61
-1.55
-1.02
-0.31
0.03
-1.35 to -0.41
-0.95 to -0.84
55
13
-2.14
-1.33
-0.94
-0.26
-0.17
-1.42 to -0.62
-0.95 to -0.84
56
10
-1.29
-0.99
-0.85
-0.77
-0.65
-1.16 to -0.78
-0.95 to -0.84
57
5
-1.78
-1.61
-1.33
-1.08
-0.70
-1.71 to -0.76
-0.95 to -0.84
58
9
-2.90
-2.34
-1.51
-0.79
-0.22
-2.27 to -0.69
-0.95 to -0.84
59
5
-1.24
-0.97
-0.82
-0.74
-0.62
-1.19 to -0.64
-0.95 to -0.84
60
7
-1.96
-1.74
-0.70
-0.27
0.40
-1.58 to 0.06
-0.95 to -0.84
Accumulated WAR: observed distribution and 95% mean intervals