{ "schema_version": 1, "data_version": "2006-2025-annual-mobility-v1", "dataset_kind": "independent_annual_scramble_contribution", "generated_utc": "2026-10-20T22:10:38Z", "seasons": [2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025], "season_catalog": [ { "season": 2006, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2007, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 27, "finite_point_count": 26 }, { "season": 2008, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2009, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31, "finite_point_count": 31 }, { "season": 2010, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31, "finite_point_count": 31 }, { "season": 2011, "status": "source_blocked", "reason": "unresolved_duplicate_events_and_air_yards", "row_count": 0, "finite_point_count": 0 }, { "season": 2012, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 32, "finite_point_count": 32 }, { "season": 2013, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2014, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 27, "finite_point_count": 27 }, { "season": 2015, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 28, "finite_point_count": 28 }, { "season": 2016, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 30, "finite_point_count": 30 }, { "season": 2017, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2018, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 30, "finite_point_count": 30 }, { "season": 2019, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2020, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2021, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31, "finite_point_count": 31 }, { "season": 2022, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2023, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 }, { "season": 2024, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 32, "finite_point_count": 32 }, { "season": 2025, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29, "finite_point_count": 29 } ], "eligibility": { "rule": "At least 200 frozen eligible throws and ten eligible games in each season independently; team changes pool by raw GSIS ID.", "population": "Recorded passers, not position-certified; frozen 560 actor-seasons; no adjacent-season requirement.", "model_limit": "Generating CP/EP model and training vintage unknown; observed seasonal values are not era-neutral skill or forecasts.", "missing_player_season": "No eligible record; do not substitute another year/player or a zero." }, "units": { "scramble_contribution": "expected_points_per_included_recorded_quarterback_play", "scramble_contribution_lower": "expected_points_per_included_recorded_quarterback_play", "scramble_contribution_upper": "expected_points_per_included_recorded_quarterback_play", "dropbacks": "plays", "dropback_games": "actor_games", "sacks": "plays", "scramble_runs": "plays", "nonscramble_runs": "plays", "combined_opportunities": "plays", "combined_games": "actor_games", "scramble_games": "actor_games", "nonscramble_games": "actor_games" }, "denominators": { "scramble_contribution": "Sum supplied signed raw EPA on recorded scramble S divided by N_O. O=D disjoint union R. S subset D. R is recorded non-scramble actor-running, including aborted/lateral plays; no CP, E-game, positive-EPA or penalty filter.", "D": "AD-1.1: qb_dropback1, recorded pass/run, spike0,kneel0,two_point0; raw passer for pass/sack, raw rusher for scramble run. Binary pass/sack scramble flags are diagnostics, never reclassification.", "R": "Recorded run, rush_attempt1, scramble0,kneel0,two_point0; raw rusher; no absent-passer or designed-run requirement." }, "uncertainty": { "interval": "Approximate marginal 95% conditional all-O-game deletion sensitivity: theta +/-1.96*sqrt((G-1)/G*sum((deletion-mean(deletion))^2)). Include all O games, including zero-S and R-only games. Positive full and deletion O denominators; fixed membership; no failed replicate drops.", "collapsed": "No observed deletion variation, not certainty.", "limitations": "Conditional working game-sampling sensitivity, not calibrated talent or prediction intervals. Independent game shocks, stable opportunities and normal approximation may fail. Excludes serial dependence, source/model error, selection and supporting-cast uncertainty; marginal ranges do not test player/year differences. EPA is shared whole-play value." }, "reference_population": { "rule": "Within-year finite accepted C_S values from these frozen eligible player-seasons only. Consumer calculates descriptive same-year midrank percentiles; no ranks or percentiles estimated here. Display finite N; fewer than two peers unavailable. Never substitute legacy20, selected opponent, another year or zero.", "counts": [ { "season": 2006, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2007, "eligible_player_seasons": 27, "finite_accepted_values": 26 }, { "season": 2008, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2009, "eligible_player_seasons": 31, "finite_accepted_values": 31 }, { "season": 2010, "eligible_player_seasons": 31, "finite_accepted_values": 31 }, { "season": 2012, "eligible_player_seasons": 32, "finite_accepted_values": 32 }, { "season": 2013, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2014, "eligible_player_seasons": 27, "finite_accepted_values": 27 }, { "season": 2015, "eligible_player_seasons": 28, "finite_accepted_values": 28 }, { "season": 2016, "eligible_player_seasons": 30, "finite_accepted_values": 30 }, { "season": 2017, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2018, "eligible_player_seasons": 30, "finite_accepted_values": 30 }, { "season": 2019, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2020, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2021, "eligible_player_seasons": 31, "finite_accepted_values": 31 }, { "season": 2022, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2023, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 }, { "season": 2024, "eligible_player_seasons": 32, "finite_accepted_values": 32 }, { "season": 2025, "eligible_player_seasons": 29, "finite_accepted_values": 29 } ] }, "missingness": { "zero": "Zero recorded S with positive observed O yields genuine zero contribution; it does not imply zero mobility talent.", "blocked": "00-0022164 season2007 withheld pending recorded-role review; all counts retained and native point/range null. 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