{ "schema_version": 3, "data_version": "2006-2025-independent-annual-v1", "dataset_kind": "independent_annual_display", "generated_utc": "2026-10-20T02:22:52Z", "seasons": [2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025], "season_catalog": [ { "season": 2006, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2007, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 27 }, { "season": 2008, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2009, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31 }, { "season": 2010, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31 }, { "season": 2011, "status": "source_blocked", "reason": "unresolved_duplicate_events_and_air_yards", "row_count": 0 }, { "season": 2012, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 32 }, { "season": 2013, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2014, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 27 }, { "season": 2015, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 28 }, { "season": 2016, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 30 }, { "season": 2017, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2018, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 30 }, { "season": 2019, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2020, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2021, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 31 }, { "season": 2022, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2023, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 }, { "season": 2024, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 32 }, { "season": 2025, "status": "exported", "reason": null, "row_count": 29 } ], "eligibility": { "rule": "At least 200 frozen eligible throws and ten eligible games in each season independently; team changes pool by raw GSIS ID.", "population": "Recorded passers, not position-certified; frozen 560 actor-seasons; no adjacent-season requirement.", "model_limit": "Generating CP/EP model and training vintage unknown; observed seasonal values are not era-neutral skill or forecasts.", "missing_player_season": "No eligible record; do not substitute another year/player or a zero." }, "units": { "cpoe_pp": "percentage_points", "completion_pct": "percent", "eligible_throws": "throws", "eligible_games": "actor_games", "dropbacks": "dropbacks", "dropback_games": "actor_games", "sacks": "sacks", "scramble_runs": "runs", "sack_avoidance_pct": "percent", "epa_per_dropback": "expected_points_per_dropback", "epa_lower": "expected_points_per_dropback", "epa_upper": "expected_points_per_dropback" }, "denominators": { "cpoe_pp": "Mean supplied CPOE over all frozen E throws; percentage points.", "completion_pct": "100 times completions divided by the same E throws; matched-row diagnostic.", "epa_per_dropback": "Sum supplied raw EPA on all frozen actor D divided by D, including sacks and scramble-runs; shared play value.", "sack_avoidance_pct": "100*(D minus recorded sacks)/D; recorded outcome proxy, not pocket presence." }, "uncertainty": { "epa": "Approximate marginal 95% conditional complete D-game deletion sensitivity: theta +/-1.96*sqrt((G-1)/G*sum((deletion-mean(deletion))^2)). All actor D games; frozen qualification; no replicate drops.", "other_individual_metrics": "not_estimated", "collapsed": "No observed deletion variation, not certainty.", "limitations": "Approximately independent game shocks conditional on fixed opportunities/player-season/support/model and selection; excludes serial dependence, source/model error and support uncertainty. 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Aggregated and transformed for this analysis.", "source_notices": "Retain applicable upstream notices and disclaimers; no endorsement is implied. Schedule reference has separate upstream notices. Player-list notices remain attached to that separate source.", "data_license_url": "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/blob/master/LICENSE.md", "analysis_repository": "https://github.com/nanu731/nfl-qb-eval", "code_license": "MIT", "transformation_notice": "New independently selected annual summaries from frozen eligible throws and all recorded actor dropbacks; newly calculated marginal conditional EPA and depth-residual game-deletion sensitivities. No isolated-trait or era-neutral interpretation." }, "analysis_versions": { "annual": { "version": "AD-1.0+AD-1.1", "specification_sha256": "7d9c08e156c85fb7c69005b79c192c9b0e45d312ae3b8d5f94c4cdfcb8887ce1" }, "depth": { "version": "DPX-1.0", "specification_sha256": "d097199d263267202330d3f17d4bb3b1b86aa5311c822f992326f6fb1d41206a" }, "export": { "version": "annual-depth-1.0", "script_sha256": "1b3a4ee2dcb0a2b52ca36da47af6affba937f6f3ce496ccf57766622f6c8e826" } }, "aggregate_input_hashes": { "annual_membership_counts": "6086987ab160812cce3a07cb5eff00447a0b06d39c166d0df63e0c0635f29552", "E_keys": "6ae887b1328a8aea8ccc194eb5986bc7cdad460e152295adbe44cef20885744f", "D_manifest": "fe6c9ce3c74c9c3fabfe0cfbb6343368cc923ba3a58498e4d7791e2ef85c79c3", "count_gate_outputs": "4af063b1cfd8466cd76e17e693ffd55e436c7db03e615b5f371d57bd834989c6", "trait_bin_counts": "0abeb174a03c8f0567f04e4cb447d2ec539e9a18983c34e24819c6b8f40ee376", "trait_common_counts": 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